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Post by raftsox on Feb 1, 2013 11:34:31 GMT -5
The NL Central parks are evenly split between park run effects. Admittedly the AL East is mostly all hitter biased. He began his career as a starter, converted to relieving for a few seasons and then went back to starting. Since going back to starting, he's been a very solid high 3s FIP. I don't see why that will change significantly.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Feb 1, 2013 11:39:12 GMT -5
If you look at his game logs with the Rangers, he had quality starts in 7 of his 12 starts. Look at his bad starts:
a) 8/2 vs. LAA: gave up 5 runs in 2d inning, settled back down and pitched into the fifth. b) 8/13 vs. NYY: gave up 5 runs in the 3d inning, settled back down and pitched into the seventh. c) 9/18 vs LAA: Charged with 4 of 8 runs scored in the 4th. Chased. d) 10/3 vs. OAK: Charged with 4 of 6 runs scored in the 4th. Chased.
So I'd say more that he may have been prone to the occasional big inning, which I'm not downplaying, but it's not like he was throwing soft toss for the entire time he was with the Rangers. I'd take 65 good innings and 4 awful ones myself.
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Post by bluechip on Feb 1, 2013 11:46:02 GMT -5
Looking at his career ERA is useless. It is inflated from his early career struggles in Miami and Cincinnati. He struggled early in his career with low strikeout numbers and very high walk numbers. He has been a very good pitcher since 2008 when he returned to the rotation. .
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steveofbradenton
Veteran
Watching Spring Training, the FCL, and the Florida State League
Posts: 1,823
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Post by steveofbradenton on Feb 1, 2013 12:29:41 GMT -5
Wouldn't be surprised if he gives a "good" Wakefield kind of year. He is not an ace, but there are so few. He is dependable and we need that as badly as anything. If healthy, I'm looking for 195 to 205 innings, an ERA around 4.30, and W/L record of 12 and 12. I'll take that, especially if Buch and Lester pitch more like Buch and Lester.
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Post by borisman on Feb 1, 2013 13:56:34 GMT -5
If you look at his game logs with the Rangers, he had quality starts in 7 of his 12 starts. Look at his bad starts: a) 8/2 vs. LAA: gave up 5 runs in 2d inning, settled back down and pitched into the fifth. b) 8/13 vs. NYY: gave up 5 runs in the 3d inning, settled back down and pitched into the seventh. c) 9/18 vs LAA: Charged with 4 of 8 runs scored in the 4th. Chased. d) 10/3 vs. OAK: Charged with 4 of 6 runs scored in the 4th. Chased. So I'd say more that he may have been prone to the occasional big inning, which I'm not downplaying, but it's not like he was throwing soft toss for the entire time he was with the Rangers. I'd take 65 good innings and 4 awful ones myself. Edit: I tried to bold "so I'd say he may be prone to the occasional big inning", from Chris's post. He'll fit right in then. We needed someone to replace Dice-K. Seriously though, I think his durability and ability to pitch deep into games, even if he gives up 4-5 runs will be worth it and will help our bullpen in the long run. I don't see the Yankees wearing out our pitching as they have in the past. The other teams in the division are a little more free-swinging so if he keeps the ball in park I think we're good.
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