|
Post by Guidas on Apr 13, 2016 21:43:36 GMT -5
Wow! Great to see us salvage the last game of the series. At this rate, the bullpen arms will all be dead by August. Then they'll get more.
|
|
radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,321
|
Post by radiohix on Apr 13, 2016 21:49:40 GMT -5
Kimbrel with the 50% K-rate and the 6.75 ERA. Let's see how that plays out over the longterm. Pedro Martinez in 1999: From July 18th till the end of the season K% 44%! I know it has nothing to do with your comment, but I just like to say something about how amazing Pedro was from time to time. Sorry about that heh!
|
|
|
Post by cheers on Apr 13, 2016 21:53:23 GMT -5
Worth lamenting: 1) Farrell didn't do anything to sabotage the victory tonight. 2) Castillo to AAA. On the heels of the likely phantom DL trip for Panda, the front office is not effing around.
|
|
|
Post by station13 on Apr 13, 2016 22:06:59 GMT -5
THis pen with Smith back is filthy.
|
|
|
Post by ajs1994 on Apr 13, 2016 22:42:04 GMT -5
Right, the idea is the same though. the defensive statistics just aren't advanced enough to use until a 1 to 3 full year sample. It's the same story with DRS www.fangraphs.com/library/defense/drs/. That's not what that says. It says it's not good in small sample sizes cause defense is quite variable, so a couple months or less sample size is really to small. Says when you get to 1 and 3 year samples it's a solid metric. It's doesn't say 1 to 3 full year sample, huge difference. With Holt we have a 3 year sample size. All years are not created equal. The idea of 1-3 seasons is assuming a person plays close to every day. Starting 78 total games is simply not enough of a barometer to measure anything, there's too much variability to draw conclusions from that. But i digress, it's clear we're not going to agree and that's fine.
|
|
|
Post by jerrygarciaparra on Apr 13, 2016 23:07:42 GMT -5
Kimbrel....any questions? I didn't think so.
|
|
|
Post by Don Caballero on Apr 14, 2016 0:23:34 GMT -5
Kimbrel....any questions? I didn't think so. Kimbrel is the most unquestionable RP pitching today. If there's one guy today you could watch pitching a game and not ever need to look at his numbers to know how good he is, it's Kimbrel. His stuff is flat out ridiculous.
|
|
|
Post by taftreign on Apr 14, 2016 1:07:26 GMT -5
What a beautiful baseball player the O's have in Machado! I really hope he doesn't sign with the MFY when he turns FA. Edit: lol, Jinx! I think it's key for Baltimore to sign Machado before either Trout or Harper get a new deal. Those two will set a "new" market for young star players which I would put Machado a close 3rd behind considering the power, speed and defense. For reference I would have both Betts and Bogaerts currently a tier behind but it would still benefit Boston to look into getting extensions done this offseason.
|
|
|
Post by mgoetze on Apr 14, 2016 2:53:46 GMT -5
My guess on the Castillo countermove: Edwin Escobar.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,931
|
Post by ericmvan on Apr 14, 2016 9:19:35 GMT -5
Wow! Great to see us salvage the last game of the series. At this rate, the bullpen arms will all be dead by August. Then they'll get more. Tiny sample size, but Varvaro, who was a very solid bullpen arm in 2013-14, has faced 13 batters, fanned 6, and allowed just a single. As a guy with a career reverse split, he's gunning for Ross's job.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Apr 14, 2016 9:24:08 GMT -5
They'd have to make another 40-man move to call up Varvaro, though, and there's not a lot of low-hanging fruit left (Rutledge, maybe (with Marrero or Hernandez taking his spot), but if they were OK with that, they never would have called up Rutledge in the first place). In terms of up-and-down relievers, the top candidate is probably Hembree.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 14, 2016 11:07:58 GMT -5
I watched Varvaro during spring training, and it was easy to see he was getting better and better with each outing. Given what he's done in AAA, he's definitely an asset if he is all healed up. He was very effective with Atlanta when healthy, and it's smart of the team to have him on board. I think they do bring him up at some point.
|
|
|
Post by sarasoxer on Apr 14, 2016 13:17:43 GMT -5
Heath Hembree is my guess......
|
|
danr
Veteran
Posts: 1,871
|
Post by danr on Apr 14, 2016 13:47:38 GMT -5
I think you guys who say it will be a RP are probably right. The pen is getting used a lot, which is not unusual at the beginning of the season. The team ERA is 5.40, almost entirely due to the SPs. Another good arm is the team's greatest need right now.
The team BA is.280 and they are scoring 5.5 runs per game. There isn't any obvious problem there. The lowest BA for a regular is .250 for Bradley and if that is what he hits for the season it probably would be looked as reasonably successful, assuming his D is back to previous form.
I am a bit mystified by their handling of Castillo. He got in one game and had two hits, including a double, in four ABs. Did he run over Farrell's dog?
|
|
|
Post by Guidas on Apr 14, 2016 14:47:06 GMT -5
Future News Flash: August call-up Brandon Workman has added 4 MPH to his FB post-Tommy John surgery, making what would've been hard-hit mistakes at 93 MPH into swings and misses at 97 MPH.
Of course I'm projecting here but it's what we do, right?
|
|
|
Post by jimed14 on Apr 14, 2016 17:03:15 GMT -5
Future News Flash: August call-up Brandon Workman has added 4 MPH to his FB post-Tommy John surgery, making what would've been hard-hit mistakes at 93 MPH into swings and misses at 97 MPH. Of course I'm projecting here but it's what we do, right? But he was pretty much around 90-91 for most of his time in the big leagues.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 15, 2016 18:54:26 GMT -5
That's not what that says. It says it's not good in small sample sizes cause defense is quite variable, so a couple months or less sample size is really to small. Says when you get to 1 and 3 year samples it's a solid metric. It's doesn't say 1 to 3 full year sample, huge difference. With Holt we have a 3 year sample size. All years are not created equal. The idea of 1-3 seasons is assuming a person plays close to every day. Starting 78 total games is simply not enough of a barometer to measure anything, there's too much variability to draw conclusions from that. But i digress, it's clear we're not going to agree and that's fine. 1 year sample tells you how player played D that year based on their scale, gold glove, great, above average, average, below average, poor and awful. 3 year sample gives you idea what type of D he plays in general. Example 1 year of Pedroia DRS data shows he played gold glove D that year, 3 years shows you he's a gold glove guy at D in general, year in year out. It's 1 and 3 year samples not 1-3 year samples. With Holt I agree we don't have enough data to say what his D would be playing full time at 3B. We do have enough data though to know that playing 20-40 games a year at 3B he will save you less runs then an average 3B would. He was been between -4 and -5 DRS for 3 straight years. With DRS/year(1200innings) of -39, -15 and -21 the last 3 years.
|
|