Post by brendan98 on Aug 2, 2017 15:53:55 GMT -5
Sure he's a different hitter stylistically than benintendi, but so is devers and you wouldn't have the same concerns because you see him being selective and using the whole field. It's a combo effect - if the k/bb numbers weren't great but the reports said he was driving the ball to all fields I wouldn't really worry about the approach, but I'd be pretty wary on that front with a guy who's pull happy and not necessarily showing great discipline. I don't think there's anyway to spin the way Chavis has played this year to make it not very impressive and promising, but I think he likely needs to move slower than guys like benintendi and devers for those reasons, leaving aside the questions about where he plays long term defensively.
- Devers: 34 BB / 63 K in 86 minor league games
- Chavis: 30 BB / 78 K in 95 minor league games
So while Chavis’ K/BB numbers will never be confused with Kevin Youkilis, they really are really not that alarming for a guy with a power hitting profile, and honestly they are not that far off of Rafael Devers minor league numbers this year.
As for being pull happy, I say that’s only a bad thing if you are selling out on the inside pitch and consistently out in front of offspeed and pitches away. One of the best hitting instructors I’ve ever known has a favorite phrase, he says “Millionaires are made on the inner half of the plate.” With Chavis I see a guy who is pulling the inside pitch when pitchers challenge him inside, and pulling the breaking ball out over the plate because of his bat speed, fastballs over the heart of the plate he is hitting from left center to straight away center and I’ve seen him hit a couple of outside pitches out of the park to the opposite field including one right down the RF line.
I saw Chavis play a Doubleheader in April when he was with Salem in Frederick MD, I’m pretty certain he was 2 for 3 with a double in 1 game and 1 for 3 with a HR in the other, he hit his double in the gap, pulled his HR, and hit a line drive to RF for his single, it was textbook hitting the ball where it’s pitched.
I’m a HS hitting coach, I don’t tell my hitters to pull the ball or hit the ball the other way, we simplify things and work on hitting the ball on the barrel of the bat, if that is where the focus is than they are likely to hit the ball where it is pitched. The video and live looks I’ve had of Chavis is a good reflection of that kind of philosophy, I don’t see him cheating on the inside pitch and looking bad on offspeed, rather I see a guy who stays back well enough to unload on breaking balls out over the plate, which he wouldn’t be able to do if he was selling out to pull the ball.
I’d much rather see Chavis pulling pitches on the inner half of the plate than inside outing them, because if he inside outing them he is late, and if you are consistently late on the inside pitch you have much bigger problems than “being pull happy”.
I don’t really think Chavis is ready for the big leagues yet, but a lot of people didn’t think Devers was ready when the Red Sox called him up either. What I do think is that his stats indicate that he could be ready for the big leagues (as did Devers’), and I think the Sox should consider promoting him to AAA and see what that looks like (if they promote Chavis to Pawtucket and he puts up a .300 / .350 / .600 triple slash for 2 weeks, how do you not bring him up to the big leagues) unlikely - certainly, impossible – I don’t think you can say that when you consider what he has done this year. The arguments that I’ve seen that Chavis isn’t ready, don’t hold water to me, his BB/K is not bad at all for a player with a power hitting profile, and unless you are watching Chavis every day and every at-bat you can’t say with any level of knowledge that he is too pull happy, I don’t care if all 26 of his HR’s were pulled, as long as he’s not struggling on pitches away what difference does it make.