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5/19 Gameday Thread: Time to Howlett The Moon
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Post by iakovos11 on May 19, 2019 8:06:52 GMT -5
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radiohix
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'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
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Post by radiohix on May 19, 2019 10:23:44 GMT -5
CJ Chatham is SLUGGING .300 in the month of May lmao
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radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,234
Member is Online
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Post by radiohix on May 19, 2019 12:29:35 GMT -5
Duran piling up XBH lately. Starts the game with a line drive 2 baggers to RF and scores on a bloop single to left.
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Post by soxfan511 on May 19, 2019 13:18:35 GMT -5
Duran piling up XBH lately. Starts the game with a line drive 2 baggers to RF and scores on a bloop single to left. This is getting embarrassing. Just promote the man already |
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Post by philsbosoxfan on May 19, 2019 15:09:57 GMT -5
Duran ended up 1/3 2B,SF,R,RBI
His RP now sits at 1.42. Mookie's RP was 1.3 in his MVP year.
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Post by telson13 on May 19, 2019 18:07:18 GMT -5
Duran ended up 1/3 2B,SF,R,RBI His RP now sits at 1.42. Mookie's RP was 1.3 in his MVP year. I’m kind of wondering if the recent XBH are an adjustment; he had that stretch where his IsoP plummeted but his BABIP went up, as he was either hitting singles or striking out. He’s been doing more damage lately and seems to be whiffing less (oddly enough, if he’s hitting for more power, but everything about his game is unusual), but not piling up the hits as much. So maybe it was a “focus on...” edict from the brass before promotion. Seems like he’s made an adjustment already to the league adjusting to him, and this may be rd 2. I haven’t been as excited for a prospect since Mookie. Not that I think Duran will be that good (that’s unfair to ask, though tbh I am starting to think he becomes a 60-role instead of a 50-55; he actually may be a true-talent .350 BABIP hitter). It’s just the style of his game...sort of Ichiro without the arm but a bit more pop and more whiffs. But just **fun to watch**. |
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Post by philsbosoxfan on May 19, 2019 18:31:27 GMT -5
Duran ended up 1/3 2B,SF,R,RBI His RP now sits at 1.42. Mookie's RP was 1.3 in his MVP year. I’m kind of wondering if the recent XBH are an adjustment; he had that stretch where his IsoP plummeted but his BABIP went up, as he was either hitting singles or striking out. He’s been doing more damage lately and seems to be whiffing less (oddly enough, if he’s hitting for more power, but everything about his game is unusual), but not piling up the hits as much. So maybe it was a “focus on...” edict from the brass before promotion. Seems like he’s made an adjustment already to the league adjusting to him, and this may be rd 2. I haven’t been as excited for a prospect since Mookie. Not that I think Duran will be that good (that’s unfair to ask, though tbh I am starting to think he becomes a 60-role instead of a 50-55; he actually may be a true-talent .350 BABIP hitter). It’s just the style of his game...sort of Ichiro without the arm but a bit more pop and more whiffs. But just **fun to watch**. Agree with the Mookie level of excitement comparison but for me this is more because most games I can see almost all of his plays on MiLB.TV whereas when Mookie was at Salem, they only had BA's Mookie meter. Always say that Ricky Henderson was the most exciting player I've watched and nobody, not even Mookie, come near that level of excitement. (I don't think Duran will either but that's my favorite style.) I'm not so sure the short singles streak wasn't more a case of the situation. Like in the video of a double 5 or 6 games ago, runner on first (Rusconi), he arrived at first about the same time as Rusconi arrived at second and 2nd way before Ruscini arrived at third. Rusconi probably has about average speed. The bottom of the order had several games where they were getting on base in front of Duran. I'm guessing but think, it's likely that there would have been times he would have gone for a double but the runner ahead of him stopped at second, especially with no outs or two out which is 2/3 of the time and especially on line drives to left field. I didn't see much change in his approach or contact during that stretch, he was still hitting line drives to all fields. Pure conjecture even when you watch the plays because there's typically only one camera following the action but he rarely slows down going into first. |
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Post by telson13 on May 19, 2019 19:04:13 GMT -5
I’m kind of wondering if the recent XBH are an adjustment; he had that stretch where his IsoP plummeted but his BABIP went up, as he was either hitting singles or striking out. He’s been doing more damage lately and seems to be whiffing less (oddly enough, if he’s hitting for more power, but everything about his game is unusual), but not piling up the hits as much. So maybe it was a “focus on...” edict from the brass before promotion. Seems like he’s made an adjustment already to the league adjusting to him, and this may be rd 2. I haven’t been as excited for a prospect since Mookie. Not that I think Duran will be that good (that’s unfair to ask, though tbh I am starting to think he becomes a 60-role instead of a 50-55; he actually may be a true-talent .350 BABIP hitter). It’s just the style of his game...sort of Ichiro without the arm but a bit more pop and more whiffs. But just **fun to watch**. Agree with the Mookie level of excitement comparison but for me this is more because most games I can see almost all of his plays on MiLB.TV whereas when Mookie was at Salem, they only had BA's Mookie meter. Always say that Ricky Henderson was the most exciting player I've watched and nobody, not even Mookie, come near that level of excitement. (I don't think Duran will either but that's my favorite style.) I'm not so sure the short singles streak wasn't more a case of the situation. Like in the video of a double 5 or 6 games ago, runner on first (Rusconi), he arrived at first about the same time as Rusconi arrived at second and 2nd way before Ruscini arrived at third. Rusconi probably has about average speed. The bottom of the order had several games where they were getting on base in front of Duran. I'm guessing but think, it's likely that there would have been times he would have gone for a double but the runner ahead of him stopped at second, especially with no outs or two out which is 2/3 of the time and especially on line drives to left field. I didn't see much change in his approach or contact during that stretch, he was still hitting line drives to all fields. Pure conjecture even when you watch the plays because there's typically only one camera following the action but he rarely slows down going into first. Lol, yeah Rickey was amazing. Drive me nuts but I agree that that style: OBP, speed, some pop, and the ridiculous flair that goes with the 3rd-person self-reference (🤣🤣🤣)...he was just a SHOW. I always found that to a significant extent with Ichiro, who lacked Rickey’s power and OB skills in large part, but who was a tremendous defender with one of the greatest strength/accuracy arm combos I’ve seen. HR are great sometimes, but for the most part they lack the suspense, and *drama*, of manufactured runs. Also, I really appreciate your perspective on Duran since I don’t get to watch games, so I really just go on a few clips and whatever stats I can dig up. Having eyes-on really is informative. |
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Post by philsbosoxfan on May 19, 2019 20:42:12 GMT -5
The only adjustments that are noticeable to me are the adjustments of the opposing pitchers. They are trying to mix it up inordinately by changing the eye level, speed, break, inside/outside. It isn't working. The ratio of swinging strikeouts to called strikeout isn't a fluke. There are far far more called balls than called strikes and he fouls off a lot of pitches meaning he makes contact more than he doesn't. You have to throw strikes or you are going to be walking a guy with plus plus speed and you can't shift against him because he's spraying line drives all over the place. I can't wait until he gets to Portland because I don't believe they are going to solve him either. If he bats anywhere near his Salem line he's going to force the Sox hand and I don't mean as a pinch runner or bench jockey.
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Post by telson13 on May 19, 2019 21:34:22 GMT -5
The only adjustments that are noticeable to me are the adjustments of the opposing pitchers. They are trying to mix it up inordinately by changing the eye level, speed, break, inside/outside. It isn't working. The ratio of swinging strikeouts to called strikeout isn't a fluke. There are far far more called balls than called strikes and he fouls off a lot of pitches meaning he makes contact more than he doesn't. You have to throw strikes or you are going to be walking a guy with plus plus speed and you can't shift against him because he's spraying line drives all over the place. I can't wait until he gets to Portland because I don't believe they are going to solve him either. If he bats anywhere near his Salem line he's going to force the Sox hand and I don't mean as a pinch runner or bench jockey. That’s actually almost more encouraging than if he’d been forced or told to adjust. That different plans haven’t worked is pretty fantastic. I get the sense that his aggressiveness and ability to go with pitches and drop them in will probably somewhat limit his walk rate. But it’s also possible (see: this year’s rise vs last year, and well past the stabilization point) that he simply becomes more selectively aggressive and starts hunting pitches he can drive, reduces chases, and actually sees the walk rate continue to climb a bit. If he’s really a true-talent high BABIP hitter (and all evidence seems to point that way), getting the walk rate up in the 10-12% range and keeping his K rate at or below 20% should portend a consistently (very) high OBP and the chance to use his speed. The IsoP is fine right where it is, if the BA stays high. And if he did add some game power as he got into his late-20s, he certainly wouldn’t be the first. Looking at his spray charts he almost certainly hasn’t been hurt by Salem HR-wise, and may be helped a bit with some triples. I’m curious, too, to see him in Portland because of the talent leap. I agree that if he keeps going even close to this (.350/.400/.500) in AA, it’s going to bring up some big questions. And there’s always a chance the juicier MLB ball gives him a little power boost. Like you and many others, I think he really has nothing left to prove at Salem. Fast-track him so he’s challenged. He seems to need a level (and opposing talent) change to force some adjustments. What an absolute draft **steal** he’s been. |
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