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Post by dyoungteach on Feb 11, 2020 7:25:51 GMT -5
A few things could happen. Collin mchugh signs would be step 1. After that could we dive into yasiel puig? Both would cost somewhere around $6-$7million combined. See where the season starts with both of them signed. Develop depth in minors and see where we sit come July. If we are in it- make a run at playoffs with mild upgrades. If we are out ( which we all suspect) Bradley will be shopped. Puig could be moved. Mchugh could be moved. Barnes and workman possibly traded off. Erod could be looked at being moved if the right larger return is obtained. Jd of course and a rebounder euvaldi although I don’t see the latter for another year or two.
Bloom will build depth throughout the organization, at least hopefully h that’s what he does
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Post by manfred on Feb 11, 2020 9:48:36 GMT -5
I am a tad confused by people advocating signing Puig. Where does he play? We have a DH. And please, please don’t tell me after all the excitement of the “haul” from the Dodgers that people see Verdugo as a platoon player.
I suppose signing a pitcher just to muddle through 2020 makes sense. Otherwise, I am more in favor of prepping the fire sale than taking on guys who have no role in anything but keeping us mediocre.
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jimoh
Veteran
Posts: 3,962
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Post by jimoh on Feb 11, 2020 9:59:05 GMT -5
I am a tad confused by people advocating signing Puig. Where does he play? We have a DH. And please, please don’t tell me after all the excitement of the “haul” from the Dodgers that people see Verdugo as a platoon player. I suppose signing a pitcher just to muddle through 2020 makes sense. Otherwise, I am more in favor of prepping the fire sale than taking on guys who have no role in anything but keeping us mediocre. I don't really advocate signing Puig, but with three LHH outfielders, all somewhat capable of playing CF, Puig could play RF and spell any of the three. JBJ to some extent and esp. Benintendi are worse against LHP. None of the three would thrive if asked to play 155 games. Signing Puig might make sense if you can get something for Chavis, who's sort of the the backup OF now. (No wait, they just signed Cesar Puello?)
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Post by James Dunne on Feb 11, 2020 10:12:46 GMT -5
I am a tad confused by people advocating signing Puig. Where does he play? We have a DH. And please, please don’t tell me after all the excitement of the “haul” from the Dodgers that people see Verdugo as a platoon player. I suppose signing a pitcher just to muddle through 2020 makes sense. Otherwise, I am more in favor of prepping the fire sale than taking on guys who have no role in anything but keeping us mediocre. I agree with the current roster construction, but I know some were advocating pairing a Puig signing with a Bradley move which would put Verdugo in center for the time being. It was also being talked about during the time where a Padres trade was on the table and there was no clear outfield option coming back.
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Post by soxaddict on Feb 11, 2020 11:21:30 GMT -5
Like with a lever and fulcrum? Those two have zero trade value right now. They will both be on the opening day roster. Economics 101 I disagree. JBJ does have some trade value to the right team. Philadelphia would be a great landing spot. JBJ and Matt Barnes for David Robertson and prospects such as Adonis Medina, Luis Garcia and Francisco Morales would be realistic. Then sign a guy like Billy Hamilton or Cam Maybin.
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Post by manfred on Feb 11, 2020 11:30:02 GMT -5
Richard Justice on MLB posits a Workman to the ChiSox deal. It could be a great time to sell on Workman. There is really nothing less important on a mediocre team than a closer, so I’m for it.
I am for trading JBJ (though I love him as a fellow Gamecock), but I don’t know his value. Maybe see if he gets off to one of his legendary hot streaks, sell a bit higher.
Actually, outside of Devers and X, I’d trade anybody. I don’t see anyone who will either still be at a peak or near peak or be so good as to play a central role in a real run by the time the overall roster is a go. Sale will be old, and a guy like Beni seems replaceable (especially since 2-3 years from now he’ll be that much more expensive). Sell everything.
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Post by huskies15 on Feb 11, 2020 11:38:15 GMT -5
If you can get value for Bradley, sure trade him, but I'm starting to think that he won't get paid much and could be a decent guy on a 2-3 year deal. It's not like the system is producing guys that are projected to be better than him.
This year might be the high-water mark for his salary in all honesty.
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Post by jclmontana on Feb 11, 2020 12:14:28 GMT -5
Does anyone have a good source for the actual CBT payroll number? Someone posted in another thread that the there is only an estimated 9.3 million left after figuring benefits and other costs. If so, it seems there won’t be any 1-3 million signings. To go over the CBT after the Betts trade would be idiotic, and Bloom seems to value payroll flexibility rather highly.
I think it will be a dizzying summer of roster churn, but the calls to blow up the team for a complete reset are just thinly veiled ways to keep grousing about the Betts trade, and it is not reasonable. The team overall is pretty young, and the most valuable pieces are Devers, Bogaerts, Rodriguez, and maybe Vasquez. I don’t trust Erod to stay healthy and effective, but the others? No thanks to getting rid of the core pieces that want to be in Boston.
The others that the team might want to move for value are just not that valuable right now, and selling low won’t help anything. And if the older, and/or “distressed” assets do rebound, then they can be sold later, or the team will be good enough for the playoffs, and that is a good thing, right? MLB is not the NBA, getting into the playoffs is a legit goal, because (the 2019 Nationals!) anything can happen. And don’t talk about the MFY bullies on the block. There is a long history of better teams on paper losing out to underdogs, because that is baseball.
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Post by soxin8 on Feb 11, 2020 13:05:54 GMT -5
Does anyone have a good source for the actual CBT payroll number? Someone posted in another thread that the there is only an estimated 9.3 million left after figuring benefits and other costs. If so, it seems there won’t be any 1-3 million signings. To go over the CBT after the Betts trade would be idiotic, and Bloom seems to value payroll flexibility rather highly. I think it will be a dizzying summer of roster churn, but the calls to blow up the team for a complete reset are just thinly veiled ways to keep grousing about the Betts trade, and it is not reasonable. The team overall is pretty young, and the most valuable pieces are Devers, Bogaerts, Rodriguez, and maybe Vasquez. I don’t trust Erod to stay healthy and effective, but the others? No thanks to getting rid of the core pieces that want to be in Boston. The others that the team might want to move for value are just not that valuable right now, and selling low won’t help anything. And if the older, and/or “distressed” assets do rebound, then they can be sold later, or the team will be good enough for the playoffs, and that is a good thing, right? MLB is not the NBA, getting into the playoffs is a legit goal, because (the 2019 Nationals!) anything can happen. And don’t talk about the MFY bullies on the block. There is a long history of better teams on paper losing out to underdogs, because that is baseball. docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRHU26eqSx5Ei3OAlzcqYreTOpeAEpGIFmXkmcze-c76bh-lioOnk5iyXenZDM3bBpzm6Xp_iRFijdB/pubhtmlAccording to Cots, the Sox are now almost 20 MM under the 208 threshold. That leaves them room to add during the season if they choose to.
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Post by incandenza on Feb 11, 2020 13:28:31 GMT -5
Richard Justice on MLB posits a Workman to the ChiSox deal. It could be a great time to sell on Workman. There is really nothing less important on a mediocre team than a closer, so I’m for it. I am for trading JBJ (though I love him as a fellow Gamecock), but I don’t know his value. Maybe see if he gets off to one of his legendary hot streaks, sell a bit higher. Actually, outside of Devers and X, I’d trade anybody. I don’t see anyone who will either still be at a peak or near peak or be so good as to play a central role in a real run by the time the overall roster is a go. Sale will be old, and a guy like Beni seems replaceable (especially since 2-3 years from now he’ll be that much more expensive). Sell everything. I'm on record saying they shouldn't even give up on 2020. But you think 2021-22 is out the window because Sale will be "old"? (He'll be 32-33.) And who are you going to trade? If you set aside Xander and Devers, which players have real trade value? Benintendi a little bit? Vazquez a little bit? What sort of prospect haul can you get for that? Far less combined than they got for Mookie, which you seemed pretty underwhelmed with. And then Bogaerts has an opt out after 2022, so while we've blown up the team for the next several years for the sake of building around Bogaerts and Devers, we'll also have squandered the whole Bogaerts window, as well as Devers' and Verdugo's cheap years. I think, like jclmontana said, you're thinking about this emotionally - wanting the Sox to blow up the team essentially just to spite them. There's every chance in the world they can be a great team in 2021. Especially after they sign Mookie back.
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Post by juanpena on Feb 11, 2020 13:52:40 GMT -5
I don't see how JBJ makes it through the entirety of spring training without being shipped to Texas or Pittsburgh. Cherington is trying to build something for 2022 and beyond. He'd never give up anything for a year of Bradley.
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Post by baseballlifer34 on Feb 11, 2020 14:08:40 GMT -5
Richard Justice on MLB posits a Workman to the ChiSox deal. It could be a great time to sell on Workman. There is really nothing less important on a mediocre team than a closer, so I’m for it. All for this before the start of the season. Workman is a good bet to not be as good in 2020. Selling high right now is ideal. You can shoot for the moon and ask for Andrew Vaughn and then settle for a Dane Dunning or a Jonathan Stiever.
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Post by julyanmorley on Feb 11, 2020 14:12:20 GMT -5
Bradley has a pretty good contract for a 2 win player. He could probably return someone like Connor Wong in a trade. But a 2 win player has value to this year's Red Sox, too.
This year's Sox project to win 85 games by my estimation. They should not act like a team projected to win 70 games.
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Post by manfred on Feb 11, 2020 14:27:19 GMT -5
Richard Justice on MLB posits a Workman to the ChiSox deal. It could be a great time to sell on Workman. There is really nothing less important on a mediocre team than a closer, so I’m for it. I am for trading JBJ (though I love him as a fellow Gamecock), but I don’t know his value. Maybe see if he gets off to one of his legendary hot streaks, sell a bit higher. Actually, outside of Devers and X, I’d trade anybody. I don’t see anyone who will either still be at a peak or near peak or be so good as to play a central role in a real run by the time the overall roster is a go. Sale will be old, and a guy like Beni seems replaceable (especially since 2-3 years from now he’ll be that much more expensive). Sell everything. I'm on record saying they shouldn't even give up on 2020. But you think 2021-22 is out the window because Sale will be "old"? (He'll be 32-33.) And who are you going to trade? If you set aside Xander and Devers, which players have real trade value? Benintendi a little bit? Vazquez a little bit? What sort of prospect haul can you get for that? Far less combined than they got for Mookie, which you seemed pretty underwhelmed with. And then Bogaerts has an opt out after 2022, so while we've blown up the team for the next several years for the sake of building around Bogaerts and Devers, we'll also have squandered the whole Bogaerts window, as well as Devers' and Verdugo's cheap years. I think, like jclmontana said, you're thinking about this emotionally - wanting the Sox to blow up the team essentially just to spite them. There's every chance in the world they can be a great team in 2021. Especially after they sign Mookie back. I definitely think 2020 is out. Obviously 2021 depends on free agency. I don’t see game changing options internally that season. Even assuming guys like Downs, Casas, Mata, Groome work out, I don’t expect them to be team leaders that season. So huge FA is a must. You also appear to think trading someone like Sale won’t produce value in 2021/2022. I’d hope to get a decent haul. He is not in my “bag of balls” category. At the same time, I am certainly concerned about how he will age. After last year, I can’t say I look forward to age 32, 33. Obviously I might be wrong... if his decline were certain, he’d have no trade value! But I would be up for getting while the getting is good.
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Post by soxaddict on Feb 11, 2020 14:43:42 GMT -5
I could see some 1 year deals like Aaron Sanchez to start and not sure how many spots are up for grabs. If we are still under I’d like to buy some prospects if it’s a one year deal. Mets could want to get rid of Lowrie. Exactly. Moving Bradley to the Phillies for Robertson is a wash salary wise. Robertson does has a $2M buyout for 2021. Add in Barnes to the deal and IMO it would be worth three mid range prospects. This would actually save Boston $3.1M for 2020. Then they could replace Bradley with a guy like Cameron Maybin with the Barnes money. All for this too. But what if the Sox agreed to take on Kelvin Herrera too? It would cost another $5M but the space is there and then maybe we could get a prospect like Andrew Vaughn or Nick Madrigal. If not, maybe a couple of SP prospects. IMO, Chavis is another player we could move for another prospect of similar value and need. I don't think moving Bradley, Barnes, Workman or Chavis will make any impact on the 2020 success and if done right, we can add nice some prospects.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Feb 11, 2020 14:46:59 GMT -5
I could see some 1 year deals like Aaron Sanchez to start and not sure how many spots are up for grabs. If we are still under I’d like to buy some prospects if it’s a one year deal. Mets could want to get rid of Lowrie. Exactly. Moving Bradley to the Phillies for Robertson is a wash salary wise. Robertson does has a $2M buyout for 2021. Add in Barnes to the deal and IMO it would be worth three mid range prospects. This would actually save Boston $3.1M for 2020. Then they could replace Bradley with a guy like Cameron Maybin with the Barnes money. All for this too. But what if the Sox agreed to take on Kelvin Herrera too? It would cost another $5M but the space is there and then maybe we could get a prospect like Andrew Vaughn or Nick Madrigal. If not, maybe a couple of SP prospects. IMO, Chavis is another player we could move for another prospect of similar value and need. I don't think moving Bradley, Barnes, Workman or Chavis will make any impact on the 2020 success and if done right, we can add nice some prospects. Honestly, that's hard to see. Workman will not get the Red Sox Madrigal or Vaughn. I mean that is soon to be the right side of the White Sox infield. They're not giving up their future leadoff man and future cleanup hitter for Brandon Workman, even if the Red Sox took on Herrera. Vaughn and Madrigal are too important to that team's future as is Luis Roberts, Jimenez, Moncada, and Giolito. Man that team is loaded. They should rule the Central division for the foreseeable future soon.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Feb 11, 2020 15:09:21 GMT -5
Where do you people come up with the trade ideas? Would you trade Triston Casas for a reliever like Workman? Because Vaughn is MUCH better than Casas.
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Post by soxaddict on Feb 11, 2020 15:48:21 GMT -5
Where do you people come up with the trade ideas? Would you trade Triston Casas for a reliever like Workman? Because Vaughn is MUCH better than Casas. Keep reading. Workman for Herrera and two pitching prospects.
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Feb 11, 2020 15:51:24 GMT -5
Where do you people come up with the trade ideas? Would you trade Triston Casas for a reliever like Workman? Because Vaughn is MUCH better than Casas. Keep reading. Workman for Herrera and two pitching prospects. You'd be lucky to get 1 guy off their top 30 for Workman. And any SP prospect coming back for a reliever is more likely a "could be a starter but more likely a reliever" type.
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Post by baseballlifer34 on Feb 11, 2020 15:53:46 GMT -5
Keep reading. Workman for Herrera and two pitching prospects. You'd be lucky to get 1 guy off their top 30 for Workman. And any SP prospect coming back for a reliever is more likely a "could be a starter but more likely a reliever" type. Ohh that isn't true. Workman was one of the 10 best relievers last year. He'll fetch something pretty good if you sell him now.
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Post by incandenza on Feb 11, 2020 16:02:12 GMT -5
I'm on record saying they shouldn't even give up on 2020. But you think 2021-22 is out the window because Sale will be "old"? (He'll be 32-33.) And who are you going to trade? If you set aside Xander and Devers, which players have real trade value? Benintendi a little bit? Vazquez a little bit? What sort of prospect haul can you get for that? Far less combined than they got for Mookie, which you seemed pretty underwhelmed with. And then Bogaerts has an opt out after 2022, so while we've blown up the team for the next several years for the sake of building around Bogaerts and Devers, we'll also have squandered the whole Bogaerts window, as well as Devers' and Verdugo's cheap years. I think, like jclmontana said, you're thinking about this emotionally - wanting the Sox to blow up the team essentially just to spite them. There's every chance in the world they can be a great team in 2021. Especially after they sign Mookie back. I definitely think 2020 is out. Obviously 2021 depends on free agency. I don’t see game changing options internally that season. Even assuming guys like Downs, Casas, Mata, Groome work out, I don’t expect them to be team leaders that season. So huge FA is a must. You also appear to think trading someone like Sale won’t produce value in 2021/2022. I’d hope to get a decent haul. He is not in my “bag of balls” category. At the same time, I am certainly concerned about how he will age. After last year, I can’t say I look forward to age 32, 33. Obviously I might be wrong... if his decline were certain, he’d have no trade value! But I would be up for getting while the getting is good. Well yeah, that's the thing. If he has minimal trade value then he's not getting anything good back. On the other hand if he does have value then a team in need of starting pitching would want him. And you know who that describes? The Boston Red Sox! There's also the fact that he, for arcane reasons that are totally beyond me, only counts about $25 million against the salary cap? Even taking the health risk into account, I really don't see who the Sox could get in free agency that would be less risky. The best options next season appear to be Corey Kluber (35), Jon Lester (37), and Charlie Morton (37). The next year you have Syndergaard (29), Kershaw (34), Scherzer (37), Verlander (39), Archer (33), and Greinke (38). Which of those guys is a better bet than a 32-33 year old Sale?
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Post by alexcorahomevideo on Feb 11, 2020 16:08:25 GMT -5
Keep reading. Workman for Herrera and two pitching prospects. You'd be lucky to get 1 guy off their top 30 for Workman. And any SP prospect coming back for a reliever is more likely a "could be a starter but more likely a reliever" type. Workman would easily net a top 10 prospect. Top 30 is a huge exaggeration. Barnes probably gets top 15. Low cost relievers who have won titles generally go for a decent amount. Also you need to take into consideration that Workman isn't even making a million.
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Post by James Dunne on Feb 11, 2020 16:15:01 GMT -5
Would you trade Duran or Houck for a player with a performance history as short as Workman's? Very possible neither of them would make the White Sox Top 10. And, for what it's worth, Workman is making $3.5 million this year.
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Post by baseballlifer34 on Feb 11, 2020 16:21:33 GMT -5
Would you trade Duran or Houck for a player with a performance history as short as Workman's? Very possible neither of them would make the White Sox Top 10. And, for what it's worth, Workman is making $3.5 million this year. If I was the White Sox, I would trade a top 10 prospect. The Twins are loaded offensively and you need every upgrade possible to possibly catch them in the division.
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Post by wcsoxfan on Feb 11, 2020 16:26:00 GMT -5
These trades make no sense. The Red Sox are well under the luxury tax so there's no need to cut more payroll and guys like Workman and Bradley will have similar value near the trade deadline as Workman is a reliever and Bradley is expensive enough that it's tough to find a taker for his full contract. Neither would be offered arbitration after the season (without a monster season, which would in turn raise their value at the deadline) so there isn't a draft pick at issue.
The Red Sox need a RHH OFer and a back-end starter, otherwise they're in good shape to be a 'good' (80-90 win) but not great team (depending on how the SPers shake out).
McHugh makes sense.
Dyson, Pillar, Maybin and Puig make sense.
Otherwise, best course of work is to play-it-out and so how the team looks in June/July.
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