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Post by natesp4 on Apr 8, 2024 15:46:32 GMT -5
Makes sense. High floor guy so absolute worst case is they slightly overpay for a gold glove quality defensive substitution. Best case they wildy underpay for a couple all star seasons if he learns some approach at the plate. 90% chance it falls somewhere in the middle, which I'm 100% ok with.
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Post by natesp4 on Apr 1, 2024 21:42:48 GMT -5
Just catching up on Twitter feed and seeing more dugout dance circles. Everytime I see people smiling in the dugout, Pablo Reyes seems to be at the center of it. Definitely seems like he's a great clubhouse guy, I'd love for him to get a few more big moments and become the undersized fan favorite utility man, as is tradition.
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Post by natesp4 on Apr 1, 2024 21:32:08 GMT -5
Blue Jays just got no-hit by Houston's 5 starter. Yet another guy the Astros signed to their first professional deal VERY late. They seem to have struck gold with the market inefficiency of finding all these late bloomers. Blanco debuted professionally at 22, Framber Valdez at 21, Cristian Javier not as dramatic but still was 18. Makes all the sense in the world, how many domestic guys explode out of nowhere in college in that 18-21 age range?
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Post by natesp4 on Sept 14, 2023 16:25:55 GMT -5
I don't have the mental energy to read this entire thread but I need to vent to a forum of people that is more intelligent than Red Sox Twitter.
I'm really irritated by this. I'm not irate or about to burn the city down, but this makes me start to lose trust in the ownership brass, on the direction of the team and how it's managed.
The Dombrowski firing was a ruthless move where he had fulfilled his purpose of turning assets into a championship. Tough, but was based on historical precedent of his skillset.
For Bloom, it doesn't make sense to me. For casual fans I get why they hate him, but we all here understand exactly why things like the Mookie trade and "lack of spending" happened. Those are direct ownership directives. Bloom made mistakes along the way, but also made a lot of nice moves. Through all that, it seems like he's done exactly what I *thought* ownership was asking of him: To rebuild the farm, shed the dead weight contracts, all while not fielding embarrassing 100 loss teams.
So, what that signifies to me: I don't believe Bloom was hired to be the scapegoat, I don't think they hired him with the plan to fire him after the farm was rebuilt. I instead think the organization can't decide what their 5/10/20 year plan is and is waffling. That is the reason why I'm so irritated. I'm losing trust in the ability of ownership to establish the road map required to build a sustained winning team.
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Post by natesp4 on Sept 9, 2023 7:46:30 GMT -5
Yeah my point was not that the Red Sox should have unlocked Littell's abilities, just that the meme of the Rays taking waiver fodder short relievers and turning them into studs who can pitch complete games continues on.
Also, before that start Littell had been meh and there would have been pitchforks within the Red Sox fan base if they kept running him out there as much as the Rays did.
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Post by natesp4 on Sept 8, 2023 14:49:30 GMT -5
8IP 1ER for Zack Littell last night
*sigh*
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Post by natesp4 on Aug 15, 2023 16:22:42 GMT -5
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Post by natesp4 on Aug 9, 2023 21:21:19 GMT -5
So what you're showing there is that he makes better quality of contact when he's making better swing decisions? What a concept! Too bad that pointing such a thing out would mean that you're a stat nerd with a personal vendetta against him. That said, I do think these sample sizes are small enough that they're not predictive and may not even be terribly descriptive. Interesting nonetheless though. lol, you are getting testy. I get it. Red Sox twitter right now is unbearable. Lots of people lashing out at "nerds and their advanced stats", as if "he swings at bad pitches and as a result gets bad contact" is a deep cut sabrmetric too difficult to understand. Chris seems to get the bulk of that as the quasi-face of Sox Prospects over there.
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Post by natesp4 on Jul 29, 2023 8:52:31 GMT -5
I see the up arrow on Roman Anthony, I'm guessing he has a decent chance up having his ceiling bumped to a 7.
Also no arrow, and probably a given with draftees being added, but I'm guessing Theo Denlinger drops off regardless with his recent demotion.
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Post by natesp4 on Jul 12, 2023 11:32:38 GMT -5
One of the funny parts of the draft every year for me is how I'll be generally disinterested in a pick like Kristian Campbell who's ranked ~200 and then ready to cry if they don't sign Phoenix Call who's ranked ~200. The attachment I develop to late round high school prospects unlikely to sign is comical
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Post by natesp4 on Jul 7, 2023 15:24:16 GMT -5
For some reason something that always interests me is guys who successfully make a career at being just good enough to stick around. The easiest way to do this is be a defense first catcher and the best example is Jeff Mathis and his 17 year career accumulating a total 0.2bWAR. And he made 22 million dollars doing so.
Another example is Austin Barnes who with the exception of 2017, has been a very similar type of player. Except, this year is hitting for an unimaginably bad .319 OPS. For reference, Jeff Mathis posted his worst career OPS at 36 of .433. We all had a meltdown over JBJ being a black hole last year with a .578 OPS. The average NL pitcher OPS in 2017 was .320.
No real conclusion here other than baseball is cool and to get your kids blocking, receiving, and calling games starting at 2 years old.
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Post by natesp4 on Jun 15, 2023 18:46:05 GMT -5
I've straddled both sides of the Oakland fence during this fiasco, the political climate there made a deal difficult to reach, but the over asks by a billionaire weren't realistic either. In the end I just feel profound sadness for those fans in Oakland, and Rob Manfred is a clown who will kill this sport and should really just learn to shut the f up. It's transparent what you are doing Rob, you're making yourself the enemy to protect Fischer, and it's gross, to be so shameless and call yourself a man. His comment he made today read like an Onion Sports headline. It helped absolutely nothing and just directly antagonized the A's fan base. I get he works for the owners and will side with them, but I thought he was at least supposed to pretend to come off as neutral. www.google.com/amp/s/www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/37859385/mlb-commissioner-rob-manfred-feels-sorry-fans-oakland%3fplatform=amp"It's great to see what is this year almost an average Major League Baseball crowd in the facility for one night. That's a great thing."
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Post by natesp4 on Jun 10, 2023 15:02:39 GMT -5
Getting ahead of myself here, but does this mean he repeats Salem in 2024 or do they push him to Greenville? 126 ABs in Low-A and is 1.9 years younger than average there. Seems like it might be ok to ease him back.
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Post by natesp4 on Jun 3, 2023 18:45:12 GMT -5
Shintaro Fujinami reportedly drew strong interest from the Red Sox. He's having a pretty crazy (trainwreck) season with the A's and I can't stop checking in. 12.19 ERA in 31.0 IP for -2.1 bWAR. 1st percentile in fastball spin, 2nd percentile in chase rate, 3rd percentile in average exit velocity, 4th percentile in BB%. He throws hard with great extension and that's literally it.
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Post by natesp4 on Mar 17, 2023 17:45:05 GMT -5
This was a lot of fun to watch. Chris even did a nice job doing a little play-by-play. Become weirdly proud whenever any of the guys winds up on TV or featured on NESN
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Post by natesp4 on Feb 21, 2023 16:19:36 GMT -5
I hate this on the surface, but I hated the Lindholm and Ullmark deals so I'll shut my trap and give Sweeney a little of my blind trust for now
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Post by natesp4 on Feb 10, 2023 21:31:09 GMT -5
As a mostly box score viewing Celtics fan, I feel like a Jaylen Brown facial injury keeping him out is about the best possible bad news the team could get. Not something that lingers once he's back and forces some rotation players to get more development/minutes. Then Brown comes back fully rested for the end of the season and playoffs. Only downside is potentially losing the #1 seed which as someone else pointed out, has actual larger implications as of now. I'm ambivalent towards that. I think it could force Joe to play more 3 guards line-ups, but we really need Smart to be healthy to do that. The guard depth is so crazy it's easy to forget we're missing our starting PG lol. A 3 guard line-up doesn't really work with Fast PP, you need The Captain to do it properly. I like Hauser, but I'm still not sold in him being anything more than a JAG. Lol I quite literally forgot Smart was out when making that post. Still, fun to watch!
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Post by natesp4 on Feb 10, 2023 21:19:47 GMT -5
As a mostly box score viewing Celtics fan, I feel like a Jaylen Brown facial injury keeping him out is about the best possible bad news the team could get. Not something that lingers once he's back and forces some rotation players to get more development/minutes. Then Brown comes back fully rested for the end of the season and playoffs. Only downside is potentially losing the #1 seed which as someone else pointed out, has actual larger implications as of now.
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Post by natesp4 on Jan 30, 2023 17:28:46 GMT -5
One thing I've learned this offseason is I'm not ever saying the phrase "We know XXXXX isn't getting DFA'd" again
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Post by natesp4 on Dec 24, 2022 16:16:59 GMT -5
Is that not forward progress just because he willingly took a step back? Sure felt like 4 Bengals had him stopped and stood up while stripping the ball. I'm pretty biased so I admit I'm probably wrong, but maybe someone smarter can explain.
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Post by natesp4 on Dec 8, 2022 11:20:06 GMT -5
My prediction (and hope) is a Seabold DFA and a Dalbec trade.
Seabold's lack of a floor due to being a poor bullpen fit makes him my #1 DFA guy.
After that, it starts to hurt a little bit. Agree with previous poster that Ort seems unlikely due to flashing that late season 101. Probably Downs and Darwinzon come next for me, hopefully by then though enough FA have signed elsewhere to clog up 40-man rosters across the league.
Chaim is getting tons of hate today so I guess I'll give credit that at least the 40-man roster is in a spot where the backend guys hurt to lose these days...
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Post by natesp4 on Dec 5, 2022 16:55:06 GMT -5
I only learned today that there's a chance they get Top-6 not just Top-1, so my hopes are absolutely through the roof, 100% ready to feel pain when it doesn't pan out.
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Post by natesp4 on Dec 2, 2022 18:40:40 GMT -5
What standpoint are you saying that from? It being unrealistic or you don't actually want it? I acknowledged this all has a microscopic chance of happening but I guess I'd argue there still is a chance Xander would be willing. My uneducated opinion is he refused a position change in large part because he was going into a contract year wanting to get SS money. If the Sox give it to him, does he really care all that much where he plays? Of course he's going to care, that whole locker room would care. Did Jeter move when ARod went to NY? I don't even think Cora would even entertain the idea of even having the conversation with Xander I think that's a fair criticism, I don't disagree with you. Thought I caveated my post enough to make it clear that this is what I want to happen not what I think will happen.
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Post by natesp4 on Dec 2, 2022 18:22:13 GMT -5
Alright I'm ready to present my pipe dream for the rest of the off season. This is based largely on me wildly overanalyzing them keeping Brasier to mean they're blowing past the tax limit this year. 1. Overpay and give Xander SS money to play LF. Starting to think keeping Xander is key in getting Devers to extend. 2. Sign Correa for SS 3. Trade Verdugo, Houck, Yorke, and Duran to Marlins for Pablo Lopez. Dugie likely gets flipped at the deadline for a nice return for the Marlins and they can give Houck and Duran the run they need to get through growing pains. 4. Sign Haniger for RF. Not the savior of the team, I get that he's basically a Renfroe clone, but they could use a solid average regular. 5. Sign Josh Bell for DH Bonus: Sign Senga, let Eovaldi walk for the pick. Helps them not have to rely on any of Sale/Paxton/Whitlock to stick in the rotation and be healthy Probably <1% chance this all happens. Even if they overspent like this, it requires the players involved to also want it. As Eflin proves, not everyone is dying to come up north to Boston. So in this scenario, you have Xander getting booted from his position for Carlos Correa? Just gonna stop you there What standpoint are you saying that from? It being unrealistic or you don't actually want it? I acknowledged this all has a microscopic chance of happening but I guess I'd argue there still is a chance Xander would be willing. My uneducated opinion is he refused a position change in large part because he was going into a contract year wanting to get SS money. If the Sox give it to him, does he really care all that much where he plays?
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Post by natesp4 on Dec 2, 2022 17:48:15 GMT -5
Alright I'm ready to present my pipe dream for the rest of the off season. This is based largely on me wildly overanalyzing them keeping Brasier to mean they're blowing past the tax limit this year.
1. Overpay and give Xander SS money to play LF. Starting to think keeping Xander is key in getting Devers to extend.
2. Sign Correa for SS
3. Trade Verdugo, Houck, Yorke, and Duran to Marlins for Pablo Lopez. Dugie likely gets flipped at the deadline for a nice return for the Marlins and they can give Houck and Duran the run they need to get through growing pains.
4. Sign Haniger for RF. Not the savior of the team, I get that he's basically a Renfroe clone, but they could use a solid average regular.
5. Sign Josh Bell for DH
Bonus: Sign Senga, let Eovaldi walk for the pick. Helps them not have to rely on any of Sale/Paxton/Whitlock to stick in the rotation and be healthy
Probably <1% chance this all happens. Even if they overspent like this, it requires the players involved to also want it. As Eflin proves, not everyone is dying to come up north to Boston.
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