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Post by burythehammer on Feb 23, 2024 13:38:27 GMT -5
I don't expect a deluge of "likes" for this post, lol. But the extreme Tomase hate is pretty silly. He screwed up badly in his job 20 years ago. He let his competitiveness and desire to break a big story override his caution. But it was 20 friggin' years ago. Has anyone on here not screwed up in their job once in the last 20 years? It's not like his careless mistake caused the rest of the NFL or fans to think that HC NEP was a cheater. That cake was already baked. The journalistic screwup was akin to accusing Willie Sutton of robbing a bank that he didn't really rob. It was neutral in terms of affecting anyone's reputation. I basically agree with this. I don't know why he insists on calling himself a reporter still though, as far as I can tell the only thing he writes anymore is clickbait opinion pieces. Idk seems like a decent guy, we all gotta make a living somehow.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 18, 2023 16:29:17 GMT -5
Passan drops the hammer Looks like Pepen was full of s*** and we are back to square one. You know how this stuff works with reporters, it's semantics. Maybe he hasn't been presented with the offers yet but that doesn't mean teams don't have 300m deals ready to go. They don't whip them up the night before like me writing my papers in college. If anything it tells us that Bowden's sources were definitely with the teams and not Yamamoto's camp.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 16, 2023 16:02:05 GMT -5
I could be wrong but the bit about incentives and clauses is very specific and feels like something you don't usually hear about until after a deal is signed (I'm not saying that's the case obviously but I found it notable)
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 16, 2023 15:42:48 GMT -5
Or they think they're going to lose out on him so they want it known that they made a very aggressive offer to soften the blow for fans. Really no point in drawing any conclusion other than exactly what's been reported, which is clearly positive news.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 8, 2023 16:32:54 GMT -5
Out of curiousity is there any reports why the Red Sox weren't that involved in the Ohtani market? I feel of the players that are going to sign mammoth contracts, Ohtani would far and away be the most worth it business wise. He is going to make whatever team he signs with a ton of money regardless of if he produces on the field. 600m is a lot for a 30 year old DH (I kid, I kid)
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Post by burythehammer on Oct 20, 2023 14:41:18 GMT -5
I'm not really sure why the same people who treat Alex Cora as a serious option (if he wanted it) are scoffing at Gabe Kapler. Is it just cause he's an iconoclastic guy who says/does gooofy stuff sometimes?
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Post by burythehammer on Mar 28, 2022 11:07:10 GMT -5
I'm reminded of Theo's quote when asked if he thought Josh Bell (?) looked good while scouting him: "Yeah, if you like home runs to straightaway center field."
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Post by burythehammer on Aug 5, 2021 13:03:04 GMT -5
BB in his first plate appearance. Beast. Promote him imo.
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Post by burythehammer on Jul 29, 2021 19:09:34 GMT -5
If you thought Chaim Bloom is the kind of GM who is dead set on winning the bidding on an in-demand rental player at the deadline, you haven’t been paying attention. He’s not that kind of team builder. To elaborate, that’s why I’m skeptical about the Scherzer rumors. Bloom is not a GM who identifies a player he wants and does whatever he can to acquire him. He’s not a GM who will overpay for a rental because he thinks it’s the “missing piece.” Maybe ownership overrides that, but it just doesn’t seem in his DNA. I'm with you, but Scherzer's desires complicate things a bit. If he likes the idea of pitching in Fenway in a pennant race, or just thinks the Red Sox are his best chance to win, they wouldn't have to overpay. They may not even have to offer the best package.
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Post by burythehammer on Jul 29, 2021 18:03:56 GMT -5
Translation: Scherzer's not crazy about playing for the Padres/a team that (at best) is going to be in a play-in game. I'm not sure this one's quite over.
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Post by burythehammer on Jul 29, 2021 12:40:34 GMT -5
]That suggests that he's not doomed to his current swing-and-miss condition. But I'm not sure what the point is, beyond that. The point is that if they had acquired Gallo, it's Dalbec's PAs that he would be largely taking. I think that's more relevant than whether Alex Verdugo has better "clutch" numbers.
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Post by burythehammer on Jul 29, 2021 4:39:09 GMT -5
Yeah, but once you clear the short porch, the next 150' don't count. Gallo's line is interesting. His OBP is .150 above his AVG. He has put fear into the hearts of quite a few major league pitchers. Not the really good ones. Guys like him often fatten their stats against poor pitchers and are less impressive against the best, because those are the pitchers who can win the strikeout versus homer battle. Last time I ran the numbers, Stanton and Sanchez were two of the worst clutch hitters in all of MLB. So I was optimistic that Gallo had bad splits in high leverage, which is the easiest way to check for this, since high lev is unduly populated by elite relievers. Well, he may have the worst high-lev split I've ever seen, and it's way worse than average (for him) this year. Hard numbers tomorrow in the AL East thread ... But the short version is that he's the Anti-Verdugo. Alex: 107 wRC+, 1.71 Win Probability Added Joey: 140 wRC+, 0.03 WPA. Leverage Index 2.37 or higher: Gallo 0/18, 7 BB
Verdugo 7/15, 2B, 2 HR, 2 BB, HBP That's a .280 OPS versus 1.489.
That's cool now compare him to Bobby Dalbec.
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 30, 2020 20:45:28 GMT -5
You mean to tell me there is internal debate going on in a major league front office in the midst of a blockbuster trade deal? Get right out of town, Sean.
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 13, 2020 17:32:38 GMT -5
The "harsh" punishment for Cora is clearly based on his role in Houston, not in Boston. Find me a tweet that suggests otherwise to this point.
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Post by burythehammer on Sept 9, 2019 17:23:39 GMT -5
This all seems like utter hogwash and probably not an accident that Gammons doesn't directly attribute this to any sources. Both the idea that Ferreira, while an asset to the org, is negotiating contracts, and that Mookie would sign an extension if he was chummy with the GM?
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Post by burythehammer on Sept 9, 2019 5:46:21 GMT -5
You mean two of the guys he devoted a massive amount of long-term resources to?
I'd rather have the literal second coming of Theo...
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Post by burythehammer on Jul 16, 2018 7:34:06 GMT -5
It is, quite frankly, insane that we're at the All Star break and he has a wRC+ that begins with a 2.
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 22, 2018 11:07:16 GMT -5
Huh, it's almost as if you can have a highly competitive major league club and a healthy farm system at the same time...
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 22, 2018 10:40:08 GMT -5
When's the last time our top prospect was as low as 83 on BA's list? Gotta be pre-Henry era, right?
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 30, 2017 17:55:20 GMT -5
Machado's worth about 30m in surplus value. It will suck to have no farm system to speak of, but I'd probably do it, even for one year. It's a bit steep if you like both of those guys, but if you think they're both as overrated as I do, it's an easier call.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 16, 2017 17:21:13 GMT -5
1. I'm talking about the DH penalty, you can google it. 2. That's what projections are, essentially. You said they were roughly equal hitters, so why try and add in a DH penalty? That is comparing the value of the bat based on position, not just comparing them as hitters. Again, I'm not talking about positional value mglbaseball.com/2013/12/09/pinch-hitter-dh-and-other-penalties-revisited/
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 16, 2017 14:13:26 GMT -5
Steamer Martinez: 130 Santana: 127 Clearly it's a bit down on Martinez, and probably ZIPS will be a bit higher, but to say that it's not even close is just objectively wrong. And oh btw, Martinez will take a hit being an everyday/primarily a DH. And more importantly, their contracts will not be close. wRC+ is unaffected by position if that is what you were suggesting. I can't get behind these projections at all, I think its much more important to look at recent past performance here. 1. I'm talking about the DH penalty, you can google it. 2. That's what projections are, essentially.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 16, 2017 5:36:44 GMT -5
Wasn't aware of the pick compensation but no, they project as roughly equal hitters. J.D. Martinez is a much, much better hitter than Carlos Martinez....he's better than Carlos Santana too. Martinez's wRC+ over the past 4 years starting with most recent: 166, 141, 136, 154 Santana's wRC+ over the past 4 years starting with most recent: 117, 131, 107, 127 Steamer Martinez: 130 Santana: 127 Clearly it's a bit down on Martinez, and probably ZIPS will be a bit higher, but to say that it's not even close is just objectively wrong. And oh btw, Martinez will take a hit being an everyday/primarily a DH. And more importantly, their contracts will not be close.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 15, 2017 17:40:21 GMT -5
Someone tell me why we're going to give JD Martinez twice what we could have signed Carlos Martinez for. Markedly better hitter, no draft pick penalty for signing him. Wasn't aware of the pick compensation but no, they project as roughly equal hitters and Steamer actually has Santana as the slightly better overall player.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 15, 2017 13:53:50 GMT -5
Someone tell me why we're going to give JD Martinez twice what we could have signed Carlos Martinez for.
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