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Post by preston on Dec 7, 2016 11:49:19 GMT -5
How concerned should we be about organizational depth? I feel like the team is a few unlucky injuries away from being a slightly better version of the 2016 Chicago White Sox. I struggle to see how we won't have a better bullpen, which was our biggest issue. Our offense will definitely score a lot of runs too, and we have insane rotation depth and quality. If we end up like the 2016 White Sox it would be the most extensively injury riddled team of all time. It was an exaggeration but Pablo's production is an unknown at this point, Pedroia is no spring chicken, JBJ is very streaky, Ortiz is gone, and freak injuries or adjustment periods for younger players happen. The team is very good on paper but if they have to rely on Holt, Hernandez, Castillo, and/or Marrero for an extended period of time then it could get ugly. Maybe it's confirmation bias but depth always seems to come up big in playoff runs.
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Post by preston on Dec 7, 2016 11:30:59 GMT -5
How concerned should we be about organizational depth? I feel like the team is a few unlucky injuries away from being a slightly better version of the 2016 Chicago White Sox.
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2016 18:48:01 GMT -5
For everyone here that completely fails to realize what an amazing value this deal is (and there are a lot of you), especially in a SP market headlined by 38 year old Rich Hill and Jason Hammel, I offer you this article. Same thing with the Thornburg trade this morning. grantland.com/features/dave-dombrowski-detroit-tigers/Dombrowski almost never loses his trades, he wins, and wins big. The #HOTTAKE overreactions are absurd and quite frankly, shows how little a person knows about baseball and market values. It's not the trade in a vacuum, it's everything he's done since he arrived. I'm a fan of this deal and some of the minor deals, but he's mainly traded away value for not a lot of wins in return, in his short tenure here. I will never be a fan of over paying for relief pitching; I don't see great long term returns with that approach.
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2016 18:40:35 GMT -5
Not sure where to put this....but in DD's brief tenure, he has basically traded away 16 prospects that on their own resemble a top 16 from a top 10 or so system. Thats crazy to me. No need to nitpick specific spots where these guys would rank, I'm just trying to get it close: 1. Yoan Moncada 2. Anderson Espinoza 3. Manual Margot 4. Michel Kopech 5. Luis Alexander Basabe 6. Mauricio Dubon 7. Logan Allen 8. Carlos Asuaje 9. Javier Guerra 10. Josh Pennington 11. Luis Alejandro Basabe 12. Victor Diaz 13. Aaron Wilkerson 14. Jonathon Aro 15. Jose Almonte 16. Wendell Rijo I suppose 10-16 would be pretty weak relative to other systems, but the top 4 compete with top systems, and the top 8-9 would be very solid. Hopefully the all star game in 2022 isn't a plethora of former Boston org. guys.
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2016 18:25:42 GMT -5
So with the Moreland signing it appears the Sox will roll with a platoon at DH (Hanley, Moreland, Young). That'll take some getting used to after the decade + of Ortiz. I'm hoping DD gets a rhh 3b depth player, like others have said, and calls it an off season. I can't see them trading away what's left of the system. Perhaps it would be nice to trade an excess arm to shore up higher level minor depth and get a lower level lotto ticket.
The Sale trade is extremely bitter sweet but ownership is getting exactly what they wanted, so they must be over the moon
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2016 17:36:56 GMT -5
What are the major priorities now? I think corner infield depth and the DH are glaring.
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2016 15:43:36 GMT -5
Dave must be very confident in a Pablo rebound
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2016 15:26:32 GMT -5
Dave definitely depleted the farm system; both its depth and talent but they still have Beni, Mookie, Xander, Swihart, Erod, Wright, JBJ, Devers, Travis, Groome and the 2016 class, and the big three guys in the rotation who will be fully intact for at least two more years.
It's really going to be up to Dave and his guys to draft/sign well but they have a multi year window to do so.
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2016 14:18:33 GMT -5
I don't want to dwell on the past but I prefer this trade over the Kimbrel and Pomeranz trades. It hurts the system more but the returning asset is a Cy Young award winning and cost controlled pitcher.
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Post by preston on Feb 6, 2014 21:12:36 GMT -5
Agree with Charlie here. Seems like the qualifier means amount of risk in reaching that ceiling. Kukuk stuck out to me, too. But 50 high? I think that means high risk of reaching that ceiling, not high liklihood. Right--It's the amount of riskiness attached to the grade. Xander is ranked above Baez, Sano, et al. with a 'low' risk label. JBJ is ranked above the other prospects with the same numerical grade with a 'medium' label rather than a 'high' label, and Ball is ranked below prospects with a lower numerical grade with an 'extreme' label, Workman with his 50 grade, Hatfield's entire post, etc.
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Post by preston on Jan 5, 2014 22:12:30 GMT -5
It is being chiseled into two tablets next to a small brush fire as we speak. Hehe. Very funny. We all know that there is a major dye shortage after the Clipper recall.
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2013 19:53:31 GMT -5
Remember, the Red Sox did have some success with a reclamation project in Mike Carp last year. But I see a few problems with potentially acquiring one of the high-ceiling, low-floor guys this time around (I'm specifically thinking of Logan Morrison, Justin Smoak, and Ike Davis here): 1) Specific to those three names, they all hit righties better than lefties (Morisson and Davis are LHH, Smoak is a switch-hitter who is a natural lefty and has hit RHP better over his career). That makes it difficult for them to platoon with Nava and Carp, which matters a lot in terms of maximizing their production. (Carp had this advantage in 2013.) 2) High-spending contenders should ideally only pursue high-risk high-reward players if there are strong backup options in place in case the new guy flops. The Red Sox had that last year with Napoli, but all of the current Red Sox 1B candidates seem pretty risky: Nava was great last year but is a big regression candidate (and might be needed in LF), Carp's success came in a small sample and with an inflated BABIP, and the minor league options (Alex Hassan, Brandon Snyder) aren't much of a safety net. It helps that the Red Sox have multiple layers of protection, but each of the individual layers seem pretty iffy to me. 3) In general, the 2014 Red Sox are shaping up to be a pretty high-risk roster. They're relying heavily on prospects/unproven young players (Bogaerts, Bradley, Middlebrooks) and overachievers (Nava, Carp). Those guys all have high potential, but they're riskier than veterans with an established true talent level. Adding more risk on top of that chafes against my risk-adverse tendencies, especially since adding LoMo/Smoak/Davis has the opportunity cost of ensuring that the Red Sox couldn't add a more proven 1B (Napoli or Hart). 4) Morrison, Smoak, and Davis all play on non-contending teams that you'd expect would be the ideal candidates to just let 'em play and see how it shakes out. Yet, all three teams want to move them-- why? It does not reflect well on them that the 2nd, 6th, and 8th worst teams in the league last year want to trade these alleged high-ceiling players, especially since they're doing so to open up playing time for the likes of Garrett Jones and Lucas Duda. Add in the fact that it'll probably cost a B/B+ prospect or two to get any of these guys, and count me out. They're not-terrible backup options if Napoli and Hart (and Morse) are gone, but I'd focus elsewhere for now. That's true, it's very risky. Middlebrooks is far from proven, Bogaerts is a rookie, Pedroia will be coming off of surgery, and Victorino will probably regress a little bit. With that said, Xander is an upgrade over Drew offensively against LHP. Drew was horrid against lefties, so if you swap him out with a guy that hits lefties well and have Carp, who in a small amount of appearances has been decent against them, at first then it might be a wash out. As it stands, the Sox are taking a lot of chances. A lot of their success hinges on Will, Jackie, and Xander. In addition, Ortiz might regress as well.
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Post by preston on Dec 6, 2013 19:36:47 GMT -5
Meh I know he doesn't fit but I like LoMo. I like reclamation projects. Its just irrational.Nothing irrational at all about buying low and selling high. If we assume Napoli is gone, which is still unclear, then I wouldn't really object. I was a little concerned about losing Napoli's bat against lefties, but Bogaerts is much better against lefties than Drew, and that should help offset that imbalance. If Middlebrooks takes a step forward then we're in pretty good shape. Carp, in a SSS, has been decent against LHPs in his career, and, of course, Pedroia mashes against lefties. I wouldn't mind a platoon where Carp sees more LHPs and Morrison is in the mix with RHPs.
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Post by preston on Nov 23, 2013 18:59:36 GMT -5
This officially makes the Yankees the prohibitive favorites to win the World Series. Also the Red Sox are officially a small market club. If I could I'd put italics on it. You're able to use italics by doing this: italics. Also bold: bold bbcode
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Post by preston on Nov 20, 2013 20:56:33 GMT -5
Deal is done pending league approval (due to amount of cash changing hands) per Heyman. Wow. Any word on how much Detroit is contributing towards Prince's contract? I didn't see anything specific.
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Post by preston on Nov 20, 2013 20:54:25 GMT -5
So does this mean that Texas is going to go hard after Cano?
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Post by preston on Oct 30, 2013 22:03:29 GMT -5
Well, it's Koji time. That speaks for itself.
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Post by preston on Oct 30, 2013 20:35:26 GMT -5
Here we go Naps.
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Post by preston on Oct 28, 2013 22:33:47 GMT -5
Lester apparently pitched through back stiffness tonight. Makes his performance all the more amazing. The Soxprospects banner should just be Jon Lester. That's how good he's been.
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Post by preston on Oct 28, 2013 22:31:17 GMT -5
Sorry, I didn't mean to start this silly debate again. I just wanted to appreciate Jon Lester for what he did tonight, and all postseason. Just pure, unadulterated dominance. Beautiful stuff. Me too... First well played game of the series top to bottom and a phenomenal outing from Lester and the D including his own. This Xander guy really 21? Not only that but he's from Aruba and he speaks four languages.
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Post by preston on Oct 28, 2013 22:06:01 GMT -5
Great win!
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Post by preston on Oct 28, 2013 21:43:27 GMT -5
It's Koji Time.
Amazing performance by Lester.
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Post by preston on Oct 28, 2013 20:31:47 GMT -5
Ells was so good up until the World Series.
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Post by preston on Oct 28, 2013 20:07:05 GMT -5
I wonder if they're just going to start walking him.
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Post by preston on Oct 28, 2013 19:32:01 GMT -5
Backwards Ks everywhere. No Mas. Wainwright actually threw a below-average percentage of his pitches in the strike zone this season. You gotta make him throw strikes or his curveball is going to destroy you. Unfortunately, they've been on the losing end of a couple borderline calls so far. Yeah, I remember you posting that earlier in game 1.
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