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Post by Gwell55 on Feb 20, 2024 22:03:46 GMT -5
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Post by Gwell55 on Oct 1, 2023 16:13:59 GMT -5
It has been a while since he smiled like that !! Like to see it. I'm not much of a stats guy so I don't post much but after all the dugie hate it got me looking last night at his game ab's since he got hurt... 17 games as of last night he was bad. So I looked at the 17 games prior to the hamstring injury and they were very good. When ya look why all the hate? Sorry I can't figure out how to get the page to show just those games before and after the last injury.
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Post by Gwell55 on Apr 26, 2023 10:12:29 GMT -5
I don't think he "flipped a switch". Others pointed out he got hurt, and he probably needed a little time to recoup from the WBC. The other piece of it is the volatility of hitting performance over time. Players go through regular streaks both bad and good. Looks to me like he's getting pitchers trained up too. They're reluctant to throw him anything inside or out over the plate. So he's got more walks than Ks. Seemed to me in his first game he got hit in his forearm right above his wrist and then after his leg tightness and the 5 games off he then got hit again in the first game back (coincidence I hope). After that I did notice he wore a larger than normal "wrapping" under his uniform sleeve, it has been less bulky it appears lately. I think that might be part of his problems when he was pounding all the balls into the ground. He seems to be adjusting now.
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Post by Gwell55 on Apr 5, 2023 10:56:57 GMT -5
Manny Machado struck out on a pitch clock violation, argued with the HP umpire and was subsequently ejected View: I watched this two or three times he clearly called time out and Kulpa was wrong to call the strike; so what is manfred going to do if and when the players union complains? This rule is crazy wrong to me. It has to change. Many players swing their bat to time then set it and swing. Mlb needs to fix this fast.
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Post by Gwell55 on Oct 13, 2022 11:53:39 GMT -5
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Post by Gwell55 on Oct 5, 2022 17:38:42 GMT -5
Brasier doing his part yet again!
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Post by Gwell55 on Aug 9, 2022 11:36:28 GMT -5
Maybe Sale should take lessons from our president so he can learn how to fall without hurting himself. Or it is the prez's fault for the fuel mess that kept Sale from driving!
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Post by Gwell55 on Jul 20, 2022 9:17:58 GMT -5
If the most pertinent question regarding a prospect's character is "how do they respond to failure?" then it seems like that would be even harder to judge, seeing as most of the players at the the time they're drafted will have never really struggled at baseball in their lives. Seems like I remember back in 04 or 05 Clay Buchholz went through Theo's system of review and was interviewed after his character was tested before Boston drafted him. I think he stole some stuff or was involved with some other kids that did at school. I believe that the Sox had a system they used back then to check out the kids they were interested in. No system is perfect but they should be and are checked out I believe.
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Post by Gwell55 on Jun 8, 2022 21:16:44 GMT -5
Does anyone got the lowdown on what happened in the 6th inning of game 2 with Worcester and the ejections?
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Post by Gwell55 on Apr 13, 2022 13:41:45 GMT -5
Gosh I hope that buys us at least a week's respite from all the whinging about JBJ... Especially as he is only 1 hit behind Hunter.
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Post by Gwell55 on Mar 10, 2022 16:38:30 GMT -5
Curious why New York teams would vote no. Well with Scherzer and Cole voting no I wouldn't need to think long on anyone their would go against them.
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Post by Gwell55 on Mar 4, 2022 19:01:46 GMT -5
When he says go back to the old CBT, what does he mean? The standard 17.5%, 30%, 40% and 50% or the one in the middle with no draft pick? If it's the old way, that changes everything. Only the one with sliding rates up to 40 million started trouble. Yet he's not clear in that video about which one. Another thing I wonder about is the bonus pool 30m, 60m, or whatever ... are they going to give it to the top 15 or 30 or 100? or is that each league or both leagues one group? all that could make a difference.
So 2 mil to the top 15 is a good bonus amount or even top 30 with a 1M. I would assume top 100 was a starting number.
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Post by Gwell55 on Mar 4, 2022 16:47:04 GMT -5
Does anyone know how credible Bill Madden is? I got sent this link from a friend and wonder how much is true?
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Post by Gwell55 on Dec 24, 2021 18:50:46 GMT -5
It's the Pettitte vote that makes this a real agent of chaos. It could've just been "no votes for anyone who has even a whiff of a rumor of PEDs about them," but then... Pettitte. So who the hell knows, and he doesn't bother trying to explain it. Funny alright considering Pettitte was linked to HGH during the PED frenzy back in 2002/3 with the Mitchel report. If Papi gets had for back then Pettitte should of been kept off too! These guys shouldn't be receiving ballot Imo.
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Post by Gwell55 on Mar 4, 2021 20:43:38 GMT -5
Does it not inflate his totals? Sure it's not as much, yet it's not that far off either. Your adding about 5 b war over five years. You are doing that with a player who doesn't play 150 games because his bat is so bad, not because of injuries. I'd argue given all the information we have, you should be decreasing his numbers per 150. He's more like Hernandez, his value would go down with more playing time not up. I completely disagree with this but I’m sick of explaining it so I digress. Let’s really cherry pick now, shall we? In seasons where he played a minimum of 133 games AND excluding his 2016 season: 3 Seasons, 2017 - 2019. Average of 2.6 WAR (didn’t use WAR/150 since people think I’m using it to boost his value somehow). So I’ve cherry picked out his best season (2016) and two seasons where he put up 2+ WAR in under 100 games. And he’s STILL a 2.6 WAR guy. If anyone remembers this argument started over someone calling JBJ a sub league average player. Considering he has 2.6 WAR per season (not per 150) after all that cherry picking you’d have to consider that disproven, no? For argument sake how about since being 26 yr old his WAR has fell down every year to the 29 yr old's actual full season of 1.9 WAR with a part season total with hot streak included of 2.1 WAR at 30 yr old. Seems it will decline from there in the future maybe? How about leaving it at that!
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Post by Gwell55 on Feb 12, 2021 16:54:58 GMT -5
Explain to me how Bradley's bat isn't easy to replace? They just signed Gonzalez who was better from 2017 to 2019 for 3 million. I would say arrogance is looking at a small sample size and using position based bwar to judge a players hitting ability when trying to build a team for 2021. The argument for Bradley is his defense. That you want him in CF, Verdugo in RF because that's the best defensive OF. That the extra runs scored would be less than the runs saved. If you want to talk samples, I’d say a 3-year sample of MG that includes 2017 is suspect. 2016: oWAR .08. 2018: oWAR 1.8. 2019: oWAR: .7. 2017: oWAR 4.5! Wow. What was going on in 2017? As I wrote elsewhere, he has a career 99 OPS+ that goes down 7-9 points if you remove 2017! Wow. What was going on that year? He has slugged over .414 once. That was .530 in... 2017. Weird. What WAS going on that year? His second highest OBP is .327. Career of .317. But at his peak, he reached .377. Like he was seeing what was coning that year! When was that? Oh. 2017. Must’ve been La Nina? Naw I think it was Cheatty Cheatty Bang Bang
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Post by Gwell55 on Feb 4, 2021 19:54:29 GMT -5
Don't you have to count the projected wins here? Since the figure of 90 or less isn't known till the end of that season. If we are looking at 21 then that is the projected wins talked about. I think for instance the red sox projection for 2013 on fangraphs was 84? 2013 is a outlier. I wouldn't use that as a example. O k same question but the same result 2014 San Francisco win was 84.6 That is why I wanted to know why you weren't using projected for the previous winners to conclude the 21 result. That seemed fairer was my questioning of the logic.
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Post by Gwell55 on Feb 4, 2021 10:18:15 GMT -5
Are you really trying to to say that there's a huge difference between the "best team in baseball" and the teams contending for "10th best team in baseball"? That I would agree with you. But to Eric's point, baseball isn't a sport (like basketball) where the best team in the league has a strong correlation with winning the title. When the best team only wins 60-65% of their games (and less when facing top competition), it really is a coin toss. Hence Billy Beane's quote: "My job is to get us to the playoffs. What happens after that is f****** luck." I mean, ya. Every Sox team that has won a world series has won 95 plus games. The Sox even projected by fangraphs if they sign JBJ is right around 90 wins. The last team to win 90 or less games and win the world series was a decade and a half ago with the 2006 Cardinals. So yeah color me skeptical about a 90 win team being a legitimate world series threat. It's happened once in the last 2 decades, WITH the wild card era no less. Not to mention, all the super teams have been built the past 5 years. 2018 Sox. The 2017-2020 Yankees. The Astros.. The past decade Dodgers. Now the Padres. Ya good luck getting past that with a 90 win team. Don't you have to count the projected wins here? Since the figure of 90 or less isn't known till the end of that season. If we are looking at 21 then that is the projected wins talked about. I think for instance the red sox projection for 2013 on fangraphs was 84?
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Post by Gwell55 on Jan 22, 2021 13:53:16 GMT -5
I have been using the sox prospects forum quite a while with no problems. But this last few months when ever I go into the forum and click on the "new post" icon it takes me instead of the new post like normally to the top of the page the new post is in. It is getting annoying having to scroll down to find the new posts. I thought is was because of using adblocksplus and privacy badger in my browser so I turned those off in my firefox browser and still the same.
What changed or am I doing something wrong? Thanks
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Post by Gwell55 on Sept 11, 2020 9:31:11 GMT -5
With only 15 games left, Bobby could cool off a little and still have a 1.000 OPS. This year, of all years, a minimum wage player with 6 years control and no super two, should fetch significantly more than usual. To me, if we trade him, it comes down to this. He's either the ultimate sell high candidate or else he has a career that makes us regret a trade. Seems like the odds favor the former. Yea, he could become Aaron Judge by the strikeout comparison too if we look back. Do you sell high on him or is he a strong contender for the future. Seems like the Sox should keep this gamble to me. If the Yanks can financially afford back then to wait and see, the Sox should be able to take the financial and team health risk now too.
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Post by Gwell55 on Sept 10, 2020 20:51:23 GMT -5
Barnes n a one run lead ... Tampa gotta be salivating over that.
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Post by Gwell55 on Aug 31, 2020 16:41:44 GMT -5
Question here ... so if the players are agreed to by the teams does that mean that the players know or are notified who they now belong too? If so then it won't be long before a hat will show up on the PTBNL guys and someone here will discover it!
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Post by Gwell55 on Aug 23, 2020 12:10:14 GMT -5
You base these Sale and ERod predictions on what exactly? I'd assume Sale's velocity goes up from 2019 levels. Heck a lot of guys come back throwing harder. John Lackey threw harder than ever after TJ surgery. ERod had inflammation around his heart. Common after having bad infections and isn't a long-term type thing. Things might not turn out good, that's true for any player, especially pitchers. Yet it isn't some crazy long shot type thing either. A 33 year old who had a history even with the White Sox of wearing down as season progressed. A player's slight build along with a violent delivery. Combine that with not all players get better -- I think it adds up. As for ERod I'm skeptical about what you're saying as "common." This isn't common. A comment below made in the link-- He has "myocarditis." www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/sports-cardiologist-explains-why-athletes-with-covid-19-symptoms-need-cardiac-testing-before-playing/""This particular virus causes more problems with the heart than any other virus so that's why we're being particularly careful," Dr. Phelan told CBS Sports. "That's why we're being more conservative in terms of our recommendations for return to play. We have data from hospitalized patients that show between seven and 33 percent of people will have some cardiac injury after getting COVID-19."As it is he was a good starter but not a great one. If you think 7% or less and he is going to bounce back fine-- okay. I don't. Here's why-- **Here is another comment about myocarditis from the article above: "If you have myocarditis, exercise actually makes the disease worse," Dr. Phelan told CBS Sports. "So it increases the viral replication and it increases the likelihood of dangerous rhythms of the heart and sudden cardiac arrest."
I don't see this as good. I don't think 7% applies here. Why if this is a mild case diagnosis? In many cases, myocarditis improves on its own or with treatment, leading to a complete recovery. Myocarditis treatment focuses on the cause and the symptoms, such as heart failure. In mild cases, persons should avoid competitive sports for at least three to six months.
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Post by Gwell55 on Aug 14, 2020 16:45:12 GMT -5
An honest question for those of you who are rooting for the Red Sox to lose: do you really mean it? Like, do you watch the games and then get annoyed when they score runs because it makes their draft position worse? Because that seems bonkers to me. Rooting doesn't actually change what happens, so might as well just stick with your emotional investment in the team and hope they do well, right? And if they don't, then you can get excited about the draft pick. Personally, I couldn't root for the team to do badly if I tried. But maybe I am taking this too literally and saying you're rooting for them to lose is just a way to cope with the disappointment or express frustration. In which case, carry on... Yes, for the most part I am rooting for them to lose so I can root for them to win in the future. I mean, most of us knew this team would be mediocre at best - I mean you can't honestly look at the pitching staff and project a contender, can you? And losing Mookie certainly doesn't improve the lineup, does it? Or how about losing Cora? I mean, if they're going to be bad, they might as well go all the way and if that means being the worst team in baseball so they can draft the best talent (and Kumar would possibly be the best pitching prospect since Clemens - and boy do they need a pitching prospect like that!), then I'm all for it - of course Manfred might nix the plan. It's really easy not to root for the 2020 Red Sox. The players are getting run in and out so much it's not like I'm going to build an emotional attachment to the Jeffrey Springs of the world. Really, there's a handful of players I enjoy seeing and some of them might not be long for the team. I hope the Sox suck and fans are apathetic. Maybe it sends a message to John Henry that fans don't like it when teams put themselves in a position to dump their generational player, or know that it's all about the bottom line rather than doing what it takes to win. And on the other hand, if losing breeds winning in the future, then it's really easy to root for their total suckiness. I mean, really how much joy is there in going 27-33 and getting very little out of it? The only flies in the ointment at this point are the Pirates and potentially Rob Manfred. So honestly the Yankees could sweep the Sox 4 straight and it wouldn't bother me one bit. Losing hurts when there are expectations of winning. Losing doesn't hurt at all when your team sucks. You get used to it and it's a painless numb feeling. I mean, I actually woke up this morning from a dream in which I dreamed the Sox pitching staff gave up 40 runs in one game...and all I could do was laugh. Well at least it wasn't a bad dream I heard they won that one 41-40...
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Post by Gwell55 on Aug 3, 2020 18:05:52 GMT -5
Serious question, and I don’t know the answer: how many cities/markets have a baseball team and another major sports franchise and the baseball team is the favorite? I ask cause I live in WA, and I’d say the Mariners fall behind the Seahawks, the Sounders, and, depending on what side of the state, UW or Wazzu. And sure the Mariners blow, but still... I don't think this is a fair question as it concerns the mariners ... We have been traveling to Seattle ;since the late 80's to watch the sox every series they play there. We have never seen a game their when the Mariner fans didn't start leaving whenever they got behind. That doesn't seem to say there every was many loyal fans around washington for them. heck back when Griffey was there in his best days when the Mariners got behind my kids could jeer Griffey when he was at the plate (we usually had loge box seats halfway down the first baseline) and he could hear them when they were behind. Every time we were there and the sox got ahead by 3 runs or so they started leaving. I've been to games in Fenway, Oakland, Denver, Frisco, and La and we never saw that type behavior. Not surprising any sport in Washington would be a better follow.
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