SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
9/2-9/4 Red Sox @ Athletics Series Thread
|
Post by jmei on Sept 3, 2016 21:59:19 GMT -5
Bleh, a better left fielder gets that.
|
|
|
Post by Gwell55 on Sept 3, 2016 22:00:30 GMT -5
Way to go DAVE!!!
|
|
|
Post by Guidas on Sept 3, 2016 22:00:30 GMT -5
Chris Young took care of it with a bad initial read, poor first step that left himout of position to track down a catchable ball.
|
|
|
Post by soxfan06 on Sept 3, 2016 22:01:19 GMT -5
I'm glad we don't have to worry about a no hitter here.
No need to put pointless extra work on Rick. Let him pitch to his normal number of pitches, but no need to worry about a no hitter.
|
|
|
Post by brianthetaoist on Sept 3, 2016 22:04:04 GMT -5
Ah, too bad ... loved Porcello's reaction, though. Dude's unflappable.
|
|
|
Post by DesignatedKyle on Sept 3, 2016 22:09:25 GMT -5
I hate umpires.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Sept 3, 2016 22:16:05 GMT -5
Moncada is going to strike out a lot, guys. A LOT. Hopefully he corrects this over time, but I fear a Byron Buxton-level of struggle for him in the early going.
|
|
|
Post by DesignatedKyle on Sept 3, 2016 22:20:53 GMT -5
Moncada is going to strike out a lot, guys. A LOT. Hopefully he corrects this over time, but I fear a Byron Buxton-level of struggle for him in the early going. He's probably going to strikeout 25-30% of the time, yes, but for the most part what we've seen so far is not him being overmatched but a combination of taking counts ultra deep and some poor umpiring. He's only had maybe one or two swings where he's looked off. Taking that pitch down the LF line for a double earlier was a VERY positive sign. He'll be fine.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,931
|
Post by ericmvan on Sept 3, 2016 22:30:57 GMT -5
Odd quirky fact: JBJ and Mookie's combination 24 OF assists is just the 3rd highest for a pair of teammates. Adam Eaton 18 + Melky Cabrera 11; Colby Rasmus 13 + George Springer 12. That's 6 of the 9 top guys.
|
|
radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,320
Member is Online
|
Post by radiohix on Sept 3, 2016 22:45:41 GMT -5
Ifhe gets his K rate under control, this kid is a star in this league!
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Sept 3, 2016 22:47:00 GMT -5
Moncada, Bradley, Pedroia... Sox have the top of the lineup at bat.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,931
|
Post by ericmvan on Sept 3, 2016 22:58:25 GMT -5
Ifhe gets his K rate under control, this kid is a star in this league! He has Beltre-level defensive tools. He could be in the Machado / Arenado conversation in two years, maybe sooner.
|
|
|
Post by patford on Sept 3, 2016 23:28:17 GMT -5
Ifhe gets his K rate under control, this kid is a star in this league! He has Beltre-level defensive tools. He could be in the Machado / Arenado conversation in two years, maybe sooner. His defensive shortcomings are easily corrected with work. He has already shown he has the tools to be top flight. His arm is insane and 3B is his best position on the infield. His arm would be wasted as 2B.
|
|
|
Post by Don Caballero on Sept 4, 2016 1:10:52 GMT -5
Really? Do I really need to be the first one to say FIRST PLACE BABY!!!
|
|
|
Post by Canseco on Sept 4, 2016 1:20:41 GMT -5
Seeing our bench players (obviously a non-factor if Benintendi is back) play left field like this makes it an even bigger joke that Castillo isn't up. All the same... how awful are the A's? Talk about mailing it in!
|
|
|
Post by patford on Sept 4, 2016 1:48:02 GMT -5
Seeing our bench players (obviously a non-factor if Benintendi is back) play left field like this makes it an even bigger joke that Castillo isn't up. All the same... how awful are the A's? Talk about mailing it in! Total agreement. I think pairing Moncada and Castillo is a great idea, and particularly since Ortiz is around.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,931
|
Post by ericmvan on Sept 4, 2016 2:31:26 GMT -5
Seeing our bench players (obviously a non-factor if Benintendi is back) play left field like this makes it an even bigger joke that Castillo isn't up. All the same... how awful are the A's? Talk about mailing it in! Seeing our bench players (obviously a non-factor if Benintendi is back) play left field like this makes it an even bigger joke that Castillo isn't up. All the same... how awful are the A's? Talk about mailing it in! Total agreement. I think pairing Moncada and Castillo is a great idea, and particularly since Ortiz is around. Vazquez, Hembree, and Noe Ramirez are joining the team Monday. That doesn't preclude further players joining them in Toronto, and I remain puzzled as to why they haven't already added a fourth real outfielder. Castillo should indeed be selected. He looks now like a very useful up-and-down guy next year, and if he does well in that role, he can succeed Young on the roster and actually earn his salary. BTW, using BP's FRAA, he's been +10 R/150 CF at Pawtucket, which matches what JBJ has done in CF according to DRS (Mookie has been the RF equivalent of +18 CF). BP has Benintendi as +9 (which translates to +21 in LF).
|
|
|
Post by bluechip on Sept 4, 2016 6:56:24 GMT -5
I going to echo the comments on Castillo, he would have a lot of value both as a defensive replacement and as a pinch runner. His pinch running alone is reason enough to bring him up for September with Ortiz on this roster.
As I said in another thread, they can always remove him from the 40 man after the season.
The only reason not to bring him up, and I'm guessing this is the reason, is because of the luxury tax implications of having his salary on the 40 man roster. I am no expert on the luxury tax, but am I correct in assuming that if he is put back on the 40 man the portion of his salary for September counts against the tax?
|
|
|
Post by philsbosoxfan on Sept 4, 2016 8:25:14 GMT -5
MLB hype much ? Todays headline:
A Yoan in first? Rook, Rick help Sox tie Jays Boston rode Yoan Moncada and Rick Porcello to a first-place tie with Toronto in the AL East.
|
|
|
Post by jmei on Sept 4, 2016 8:30:12 GMT -5
I going to echo the comments on Castillo, he would have a lot of value both as a defensive replacement and as a pinch runner. His pinch running alone is reason enough to bring him up for September with Ortiz on this roster. As I said in another thread, they can always remove him from the 40 man after the season. The only reason not to bring him up, and I'm guessing this is the reason, is because of the luxury tax implications of having his salary on the 40 man roster. I am no expert on the luxury tax, but am I correct in assuming that if he is put back on the 40 man the portion of his salary for September counts against the tax? Correct, but at this point in the season, the additional luxury tax they'd pay on a month of his salary is negligible-- by my calculations, approximately $0.8m. That's not quite nothing, but it's pretty damn close, and I similarly remain confused about why Castillo isn't up.
|
|
|
Post by philsbosoxfan on Sept 4, 2016 8:45:39 GMT -5
I going to echo the comments on Castillo, he would have a lot of value both as a defensive replacement and as a pinch runner. His pinch running alone is reason enough to bring him up for September with Ortiz on this roster. As I said in another thread, they can always remove him from the 40 man after the season. The only reason not to bring him up, and I'm guessing this is the reason, is because of the luxury tax implications of having his salary on the 40 man roster. I am no expert on the luxury tax, but am I correct in assuming that if he is put back on the 40 man the portion of his salary for September counts against the tax? Correct, but at this point in the season, the additional luxury tax they'd pay on a month of his salary is negligible-- by my calculations, approximately $0.8m. That's not quite nothing, but it's pretty damn close, and I similarly remain confused about why Castillo isn't up. If they call him up, he'd be put on the 40 man. Although the lux tax is negligible this year, what about next year ? I'm guessing he isn't seeing the 40 man until they think it's permanent (same with Craig). As it is now, I don't believe the Sox have any need to use up a 40 man slot this coming off season.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,931
|
Post by ericmvan on Sept 4, 2016 9:24:00 GMT -5
Who has been the best team in MLB this year so far, in terms of talent on the roster as demonstrated by player stats? The Cubs, right?
Probably not. Thanks to the two smackdowns of the A's and the continued dominance of the AL over the NL (which is now up to 5.1 wins per 162 games), the Sox have now passed the Cubs in schedule-adjusted BaseRuns Win% ("Quality"), .647 to .646.
The 11 game difference in W/L record? 5.2 of that is the schedule (4.2 wins for the overall league difference so far, 1.0 for the individual team schedules). And the Win Efficiency or Karma difference -- the ability to turn those stats into wins -- is another 6.1 wins.
The Sox, of course, have the bigger gap between current roster strength and average roster strength over the whole season. I don't believe there's any question that they're the most talented team in baseball.
The only reason why they aren't the favorites to win the WS at this point is that their path to it will be tougher. They still have a significant chance of needing to play a WC game. Even if they win the division, the Sox might have to beat the Indians (.586 Quality) without home-field advantage and the Blue Jays (.588) with it (or the Rangers, .521, without it). The Cubs would be at home, perhaps versus either the Cards (.561) or Giants (.528), then the Nationals (.605).
BTW, I hate the 5-game series for the opening round of the playoffs. It's essentially a 7-game series plus significant extra random noise, i.e., luck. The extra luck, of course, increases the odds that the best teams will not advance further. And there is a fairly decent correlation between being the best teams and being the teams that fans want to see play, since they tend to have more star power. It serves nobody's interest. They can start the season three days earlier and do a better job of scheduling early season games in warm-weather cities. (And if they expand to 32 teams and re-align, they may be able to cut a whole week from the schedule because you can eliminate 2-game series and reduce travel a ton.)
Also BTW, I once did a study of whether raw Win Efficiency (not adjusted for SoS) predicts post-season results (relative to W/L, not Quality), and there was at least a trend towards a negative correlation. The reason seemed clear: if the only reason you made the post-season was your karma, that stops working in the post-season. Whereas if you can make the post-season despite bad karma, when that stops working, too, you're better off. It's the result you'd expect if Win Efficiency were mostly luck, and is the same result as Quality being much more predictive than W/L record.
(Unfortunately, I think the evidence that much of our negative Win Inefficiency is JF's bullpen management is strong.)
|
|
|
Post by brianthetaoist on Sept 4, 2016 9:52:06 GMT -5
I sorta downplayed the injury to Koji a little bit and was hopelessly wrong to do so (although, in my defense, I said it was a problem mainly because the depth of the bullpen was thrashed). Will be very nice to have him back this week. Having Koji-Kimbrel in 8th/9th will make it easier to match up other relievers in 6th/7th.
Wright's situation is the only thing keeping me from declaring the Sox the best team in the AL (and possibly baseball). Still very well may be, though, depending on Clay's performance.
|
|
|
Post by jimed14 on Sept 4, 2016 10:06:30 GMT -5
Correct, but at this point in the season, the additional luxury tax they'd pay on a month of his salary is negligible-- by my calculations, approximately $0.8m. That's not quite nothing, but it's pretty damn close, and I similarly remain confused about why Castillo isn't up. If they call him up, he'd be put on the 40 man. Although the lux tax is negligible this year, what about next year ? I'm guessing he isn't seeing the 40 man until they think it's permanent (same with Craig). As it is now, I don't believe the Sox have any need to use up a 40 man slot this coming off season. They can DFA him after the season. If someone wants the salary, let them have him.
|
|
|
Post by telluricrook on Sept 4, 2016 12:30:07 GMT -5
JA Happ is getting touched up early by the Rays. I hope they take advantage here in the first inning!
|
|
|