SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
8/15 Gameday Thread: A Zefer-Song DH Please! Reyes Rolling
|
Post by telson13 on Aug 15, 2019 22:28:43 GMT -5
Also, in light of tonight’s great performance, what do people think of Houck? Still walking too many guys (10 in 14 innings, with 4 hit batters 🤣), but clearly tough to hit (0.167) and getting K’s. I still hope very much that he (like Darwinzon) gets another chance to start, but Houck seems like he might be a legit MLB relief option right now. And next year he could be a very good long reliever, part-time opener, spot starter. Maybe back to the rotation in 2021 if he refined his command and works on the CH or another 3rd pitch.
|
|
|
Post by telson13 on Aug 15, 2019 22:47:29 GMT -5
One last one: 1) Noah Song is the real deal. I hope they promote him to Greenville right away, and he gets a chance to pitch next year. 2) I’m buying into Sam Travis as at least a half-time 1b next year. He’s probably not a *starter*, but I do think he might be close, and he adds a useful hitting element to the team. I’m comfortable with him in a platoon, and getting AB versus RH too. I think an extreme-platoon LHH who destroys righties would be a good, cheap offseason pickup. Even Moreland again on a cheap deal. Not ready to buy Ockimey there, but he’s the archetype. Be nice if they had a glove there, too.
|
|
cdj
Veteran
Posts: 13,849
|
Post by cdj on Aug 15, 2019 23:07:17 GMT -5
Brasier may be getting his mojo back
|
|
|
Post by soxfan511 on Aug 16, 2019 0:25:07 GMT -5
Flores K rate is 23%, not bad at all for a kid his age in the NYP. Contact has nothing to do with average. His BABIP is just .276 He also has 20 BB's vs 36K's. That's pretty nice ratio. How many times have you seen him play? You've complained about some of the high bonus kids in the past too. Some will pan out some won't Some will improve a ton from where they're at. Some have been challenged with placement more than other. Give these a kids a little time! He's also all of 18 years old. Overreaction is never our friend. I've seen him play twice. Unfortunately a lot of road games lately, but I live 5 minutes from the stadium in Lowell so I plan on going to more games. I think he has talent. I think he has tools. I don't know what's going on, I'll leave that to the experts, but his stat lines look very concerning besides the BB/K rate. TheGoodBadSox, I don't think I've overreacted at all. I stated hes very young for the league. We agree on that. I stated hes very promising. We also agree on that. My last statement is was he has had a disappointing season. I think that's very fair. 42 games in and 134 ABs, he's posting a .196 .302 .239 stat line. His OPS is only .541. He has just 7 RBIs and 0 HR. The question is, should he be sent back to Gulf Coast? Is he not ready for low A?
|
|
|
Post by soxfan511 on Aug 16, 2019 0:27:26 GMT -5
Also, in light of tonight’s great performance, what do people think of Houck? Still walking too many guys (10 in 14 innings, with 4 hit batters 🤣), but clearly tough to hit (0.167) and getting K’s. I still hope very much that he (like Darwinzon) gets another chance to start, but Houck seems like he might be a legit MLB relief option right now. And next year he could be a very good long reliever, part-time opener, spot starter. Maybe back to the rotation in 2021 if he refined his command and works on the CH or another 3rd pitch. Houck's slider could strike out good right handed MLB hitters right now. My concern is will his stuff hold up long term vs Lefties In AA Houck crushed righties 40K/8BB while his ERA against lefties was 5.02
|
|
|
Post by boydhurstlovechild on Aug 16, 2019 0:38:21 GMT -5
Anyone seen Yoelvis Guidas pitch? Don't know anything about him or his stuff, but his stats look like he's a kid who knows what he's doing on the mound.
|
|
cdj
Veteran
Posts: 13,849
|
Post by cdj on Aug 16, 2019 5:47:15 GMT -5
He's also all of 18 years old. Overreaction is never our friend. I've seen him play twice. Unfortunately a lot of road games lately, but I live 5 minutes from the stadium in Lowell so I plan on going to more games. I think he has talent. I think he has tools. I don't know what's going on, I'll leave that to the experts, but his stat lines look very concerning besides the BB/K rate. TheGoodBadSox, I don't think I've overreacted at all. I stated hes very young for the league. We agree on that. I stated hes very promising. We also agree on that. My last statement is was he has had a disappointing season. I think that's very fair. 42 games in and 134 ABs, he's posting a .196 .302 .239 stat line. His OPS is only .541. He has just 7 RBIs and 0 HR. The question is, should he be sent back to Gulf Coast? Is he not ready for low A? And that question has already been answered in this thread (no, he’s been horribly unlucky and hasn’t been overmatched) I think it’s fair to underwhelmed by the overall line, but there’s context to it
|
|
|
Post by James Dunne on Aug 16, 2019 7:43:10 GMT -5
Also, in light of tonight’s great performance, what do people think of Houck? Still walking too many guys (10 in 14 innings, with 4 hit batters 🤣), but clearly tough to hit (0.167) and getting K’s. I still hope very much that he (like Darwinzon) gets another chance to start, but Houck seems like he might be a legit MLB relief option right now. And next year he could be a very good long reliever, part-time opener, spot starter. Maybe back to the rotation in 2021 if he refined his command and works on the CH or another 3rd pitch. I would still give him a chance to start, because what he needs to become a starter--something to neutralize lefties some--is more obvious than a guy like Hernandez, and I also don't see him as the potential dominant reliever that Hernandez might be. I liked the idea of putting him in the bullpen in the short term and I'd have no worry turning to him in September if they're in contention. I probably keep him in Pawtucket and send him to the AFL if they are not, no reason to burn the 40-man slot. Then next season I'd have him in the Pawtucket rotation and evaluate the progress against lefties around midseason. For me, what to do with Houck is more straightforward than what to do with Hernandez. Hernandez has more upside, but also is further away from being an adequate starter and is also probably currently the better relief pitcher because any stamina concerns are just totally out the window.
|
|
|
Post by James Dunne on Aug 16, 2019 9:40:16 GMT -5
Anyone seen Yoelvis Guidas pitch? Don't know anything about him or his stuff, but his stats look like he's a kid who knows what he's doing on the mound. I haven't seen him, but there was a report that his slider and control were pretty advanced for his age that's reflected in the scouting report we have for him. Given that and the fact he can get the fastball in the low 90's it wouldn't surprise me to see him do well in the low minors. Hard to know more than that, but he's someone I'll be interested to hear a report on from Instructs.
|
|
|
Post by soxin8 on Aug 16, 2019 10:33:44 GMT -5
Got my last look at the Sea Dogs in Hartford last night. Someone gave me a ticket outside the park that included a food buffet on the second deck 1st base side so I don't have as much to say as I otherwise might. I'd like to think I would have skipped the buffet if it was Mata.
The last time I saw Denyi in Hartford he took a no hitter into the 5th. This time the light hitting Yard Goats hit him hard. The fastball still sitting 90, touching 91 a few times.
Of Lau's 25 pitches, 23 were fastballs (90-95). The first curve at 79 got a pop out to 3rd, a second at 76 went in the dirt. Four swings and misses with the fastball.
Feltman dealt cleanly with the bottom of the Y-G lineup in the 8th with a fastball hitting 96 and 3 off speed pitches at 85 (deep fly to center),88 (called strike), and 83 (looked like a curve taken for a ball).
Duran lined a single to center in the first, hit an off speed pitch to the warning track in left in the 3rd, a grounder rolling between 3rd and short for a single in the 5th, and another warning track fly against the tough lefty Horacek that Jones ran down in the left field corner. Easy to dream on him peppering the left field wall in Fenway in what would have been a 4 hit game last night (or last year in Norwich). Downs (who doubled twice on Wednesday) double play grounder kept him from a 5th at bat.
AA employs major league shifts and Netzer was robbed of a hit by one in the fourth when Herrera caught his sharp line drive one hopper 90 feet in the outfield grass and just a few feet left of the first baseman and threw him out at first. In the 6th, Netzer would beat the shift lining a 95mph fastball to short that went through to left with Burcham playing to the right of second base.
One play stood out for me last night. After Vizcaino (who ran wild on the bases this week) led off the 7th with a double an error to reach third, he did not test Wilson's arm in right who threw a laser one hop throw home. It is a short right field in Hartford but it was still a "wow" throw for me. Plenty of arm for right if the bat continues to progress. Vizcaino (who stole home Wednesday) chose to score on a grounder to third on the next play.
|
|
|
Post by soxin8 on Aug 16, 2019 10:44:06 GMT -5
I met Vizcaino's wife during a rain delay at a game I went to a couple weeks ago and saw her again last night. I told her that her husband was killing my Sea Dogs on the bases this week, especially the steal of home Wednesday. She smiled and politely apologized.
I enjoyed the walk up music played for Rivera (Jeremy by Pearl Jam) and Curletta (Joey by Concrete Blonde).
chrisfromnc once said to report what we experienced, even if it was just that we got a better hot dog this time. The free buffet on the deck was great.
|
|
|
Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Aug 16, 2019 11:21:38 GMT -5
He's also all of 18 years old. Overreaction is never our friend. I've seen him play twice. Unfortunately a lot of road games lately, but I live 5 minutes from the stadium in Lowell so I plan on going to more games. I think he has talent. I think he has tools. I don't know what's going on, I'll leave that to the experts, but his stat lines look very concerning besides the BB/K rate. TheGoodBadSox, I don't think I've overreacted at all. I stated hes very young for the league. We agree on that. I stated hes very promising. We also agree on that. My last statement is was he has had a disappointing season. I think that's very fair. 42 games in and 134 ABs, he's posting a .196 .302 .239 stat line. His OPS is only .541. He has just 7 RBIs and 0 HR. The question is, should he be sent back to Gulf Coast? Is he not ready for low A? I think it's definitely an overreaction. They gave an 18 year old kid an aggressive assignment and he's struggled a little bit. As others have mentioned, the peripherals are fine so there's no real concern at least as of now and your initial assertion was that he needs to make more contact which isn't really all that correct. If he comes out next year (I'd assume he repeats Lowell) and struggles without making any adjustments then yeah, maybe we can worry. But look for the context before making these big blanket statements. And the bonus thing doesn't really matter that much either. Aren't you the one who said you'd like to see the Sox target high bonus guys just for the sake of going for it? I feel like you of all people would be more patient with bonus babies. Just let things play out a reasonable amount before making overarching conclusions. There are a few legit prospects on that Lowell team who are struggling and that's probably just because they're young and young prospects can struggle a bit. As long as they show the tools, which by all legitimate reports Flores has.
|
|
|
Post by James Dunne on Aug 16, 2019 11:24:12 GMT -5
Agree with everything else you said, but I'd be pretty surprised if Flores repeats Lowell, and I'd actually be mildly concerned if he's assigned there again.
|
|
|
Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Aug 16, 2019 11:29:53 GMT -5
Agree with everything else you said, but I'd be pretty surprised if Flores repeats Lowell, and I'd actually be mildly concerned if he's assigned there again. Yeah, I can see the argument for why they'd continue to be aggressive with him and just let him play full season ball. A lot of it probably will have to do with the work they put in with him over the fall/spring. At a certain point, getting those legit game reps that you miss by playing short season has to be more valuable than XST. But my only issue with it is if you keep pushing a guy and he keeps struggling, I wonder if the mental toll that takes becomes damaging at any point. I have no idea what Flores is like mentally and I would make positive assumptions before I'd ever make a negative one, but people deal with "failure" differently and my first assumption with Flores is that they would try to given him an opportunity to succeed before pushing him further. I get the argument the other way, though.
|
|
|
Post by soxfan511 on Aug 16, 2019 12:06:03 GMT -5
I've seen him play twice. Unfortunately a lot of road games lately, but I live 5 minutes from the stadium in Lowell so I plan on going to more games. I think he has talent. I think he has tools. I don't know what's going on, I'll leave that to the experts, but his stat lines look very concerning besides the BB/K rate. TheGoodBadSox, I don't think I've overreacted at all. I stated hes very young for the league. We agree on that. I stated hes very promising. We also agree on that. My last statement is was he has had a disappointing season. I think that's very fair. 42 games in and 134 ABs, he's posting a .196 .302 .239 stat line. His OPS is only .541. He has just 7 RBIs and 0 HR. The question is, should he be sent back to Gulf Coast? Is he not ready for low A? I think it's definitely an overreaction. They gave an 18 year old kid an aggressive assignment and he's struggled a little bit. As others have mentioned, the peripherals are fine so there's no real concern at least as of now and your initial assertion was that he needs to make more contact which isn't really all that correct. If he comes out next year (I'd assume he repeats Lowell) and struggles without making any adjustments then yeah, maybe we can worry. But look for the context before making these big blanket statements. And the bonus thing doesn't really matter that much either. Aren't you the one who said you'd like to see the Sox target high bonus guys just for the sake of going for it? I feel like you of all people would be more patient with bonus babies. Just let things play out a reasonable amount before making overarching conclusions. There are a few legit prospects on that Lowell team who are struggling and that's probably just because they're young and young prospects can struggle a bit. As long as they show the tools, which by all legitimate reports Flores has. Yes I’m all for targeting high value international prospects. After all, we came away with Rafael Devers, Jose Iglesias, and turned Yoan Moncada into Chris Sale.
|
|
|
Post by jimed14 on Aug 16, 2019 12:22:10 GMT -5
I think it's definitely an overreaction. They gave an 18 year old kid an aggressive assignment and he's struggled a little bit. As others have mentioned, the peripherals are fine so there's no real concern at least as of now and your initial assertion was that he needs to make more contact which isn't really all that correct. If he comes out next year (I'd assume he repeats Lowell) and struggles without making any adjustments then yeah, maybe we can worry. But look for the context before making these big blanket statements. And the bonus thing doesn't really matter that much either. Aren't you the one who said you'd like to see the Sox target high bonus guys just for the sake of going for it? I feel like you of all people would be more patient with bonus babies. Just let things play out a reasonable amount before making overarching conclusions. There are a few legit prospects on that Lowell team who are struggling and that's probably just because they're young and young prospects can struggle a bit. As long as they show the tools, which by all legitimate reports Flores has. Yes I’m all for targeting high value international prospects. After all, we came away with Rafael Devers, Jose Iglesias, and turned Yoan Moncada into Chris Sale. They also wasted millions on guys like Michael Almanzar, Christopher Acosta, Raymel Flores, Simon Mercedes, Jose Almonte and Jose Vincio while picking up Darwinzon Hernandez and Bryan Mata for peanuts. Being so hung up on big bonus international kids isn't wise when there's a really restrictive cap.
|
|
|
Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Aug 16, 2019 12:48:49 GMT -5
I think it's definitely an overreaction. They gave an 18 year old kid an aggressive assignment and he's struggled a little bit. As others have mentioned, the peripherals are fine so there's no real concern at least as of now and your initial assertion was that he needs to make more contact which isn't really all that correct. If he comes out next year (I'd assume he repeats Lowell) and struggles without making any adjustments then yeah, maybe we can worry. But look for the context before making these big blanket statements. And the bonus thing doesn't really matter that much either. Aren't you the one who said you'd like to see the Sox target high bonus guys just for the sake of going for it? I feel like you of all people would be more patient with bonus babies. Just let things play out a reasonable amount before making overarching conclusions. There are a few legit prospects on that Lowell team who are struggling and that's probably just because they're young and young prospects can struggle a bit. As long as they show the tools, which by all legitimate reports Flores has. Yes I’m all for targeting high value international prospects. After all, we came away with Rafael Devers, Jose Iglesias, and turned Yoan Moncada into Chris Sale. We also came away with Christopher Acosta, Rusney Castillo (different situation, but you listed Moncada so Castillo gets to be included too), Jose Vinicio, Michael Almanzar, Simon Mercedes, JC Linares. On the flip side, lower bonus guys who turned out to be good prospects: Xander Bogaerts, Frank Montas, Darwinzon Hernandez, Brayan Bello, maybe Bryan Lucas (relative to price at least), Gilberto Jimenez, Joan Martinez, Pedro Castellanos, Cedanne Rafaela, and then there are some older guys where you don't have reported bonuses. You don't want high VALUE prospects, you want high PRICE prospects. Those are two different things. And value is entirely subjective. Like I've said a million times, international free agency is a crapshoot. Those 30 guys that MLB.com ranks are not likely to be close to the best 30 prospects from the class because they are SIXTEEN years old. It's a much better strategy, and this will become more evident as the Red Sox continue to employ it, that the best way to get value out of this system is to buy as many lottery tickets as possible. Now, if the Red Sox like a player who is going to command a seven figure bonus, I'm certainly not saying don't do it because he's expensive. But you are advocating spending money for the sake of spending money and given that there is a relatively hard cap on resources teams can use that is not a smart way of thinking about it.
|
|
|
Post by James Dunne on Aug 16, 2019 12:55:30 GMT -5
I think it's definitely an overreaction. They gave an 18 year old kid an aggressive assignment and he's struggled a little bit. As others have mentioned, the peripherals are fine so there's no real concern at least as of now and your initial assertion was that he needs to make more contact which isn't really all that correct. If he comes out next year (I'd assume he repeats Lowell) and struggles without making any adjustments then yeah, maybe we can worry. But look for the context before making these big blanket statements. And the bonus thing doesn't really matter that much either. Aren't you the one who said you'd like to see the Sox target high bonus guys just for the sake of going for it? I feel like you of all people would be more patient with bonus babies. Just let things play out a reasonable amount before making overarching conclusions. There are a few legit prospects on that Lowell team who are struggling and that's probably just because they're young and young prospects can struggle a bit. As long as they show the tools, which by all legitimate reports Flores has. Yes I’m all for targeting high value international prospects. After all, we came away with Rafael Devers, Jose Iglesias, and turned Yoan Moncada into Chris Sale. You're all for targeting them, but you're also all for demoting them after a bad month! The whole point is that Flores is an actual real-life non-hypothetical high-level expensive IFA the Red Sox thought was good and signed. If you want the Red Sox to get these expensive high-ceiling guys, it's hard to freak about them but then also argue in the exact same thread that signing high-level expensive IFAs is the right way to roll. You seem to want hypothetical studs who are hyped and live up to the hype and are basically brought into the system fully developed. Which... we all want that. You can't moan that the Red Sox don't sign any Antoni Flores's while also complaining about the production of the actual Antoni Flores, especially when there are some legitimately good signs with his play despite a frustrating overall stat line.
|
|
|
Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Aug 16, 2019 14:46:45 GMT -5
Yes I’m all for targeting high value international prospects. After all, we came away with Rafael Devers, Jose Iglesias, and turned Yoan Moncada into Chris Sale. They also wasted millions on guys like Michael Almanzar, Christopher Acosta, Raymel Flores, Simon Mercedes, Jose Almonte and Jose Vincio while picking up Darwinzon Hernandez and Bryan Mata for peanuts. Being so hung up on big bonus international kids isn't wise when there's a really restrictive cap. We must've posted around the same time because I didn't even see that you posted this.
|
|
|
Post by Chris Hatfield on Aug 16, 2019 14:49:56 GMT -5
Mookie Betts in Lowell at age 19: .267/.352/.307.
The point of player development is not to have them put up extraordinary stats at every level. The point is that they continue developing as players. Putting up good numbers does not mean the player should be promoted immediately. Putting up bad ones does not mean the player must be demoted or repeat the level next year. It doesn't work like that.
Flores could probably really use the offseason, that's for sure. Then he'll come in next year, head to Greenville, and we'll go from there.
|
|
|
Post by soxfan511 on Aug 16, 2019 15:21:43 GMT -5
Yes I’m all for targeting high value international prospects. After all, we came away with Rafael Devers, Jose Iglesias, and turned Yoan Moncada into Chris Sale. We also came away with Christopher Acosta, Rusney Castillo (different situation, but you listed Moncada so Castillo gets to be included too), Jose Vinicio, Michael Almanzar, Simon Mercedes, JC Linares. On the flip side, lower bonus guys who turned out to be good prospects: Xander Bogaerts, Frank Montas, Darwinzon Hernandez, Brayan Bello, maybe Bryan Lucas (relative to price at least), Gilberto Jimenez, Joan Martinez, Pedro Castellanos, Cedanne Rafaela, and then there are some older guys where you don't have reported bonuses. You don't want high VALUE prospects, you want high PRICE prospects. Those are two different things. And value is entirely subjective. Like I've said a million times, international free agency is a crapshoot. Those 30 guys that MLB.com ranks are not likely to be close to the best 30 prospects from the class because they are SIXTEEN years old. It's a much better strategy, and this will become more evident as the Red Sox continue to employ it, that the best way to get value out of this system is to buy as many lottery tickets as possible. Now, if the Red Sox like a player who is going to command a seven figure bonus, I'm certainly not saying don't do it because he's expensive. But you are advocating spending money for the sake of spending money and given that there is a relatively hard cap on resources teams can use that is not a smart way of thinking about it. I'm advocating be aggressive if you see a potential superstar in the international free agency pool you love. Yankees just spent 5 million on supposedly the best prospect to come out in many years. Some of the top players in MLB today were highly touted, high priced international free agents
|
|
|
Post by James Dunne on Aug 16, 2019 15:26:31 GMT -5
Yes, you've mentioned lots and lots of times that the Yankees signed Jasson Dominguez.
|
|
|
Post by soxfan511 on Aug 16, 2019 15:26:51 GMT -5
Agree with everything else you said, but I'd be pretty surprised if Flores repeats Lowell, and I'd actually be mildly concerned if he's assigned there again. Well, he's batting below .200 and has hit for literally zero power. What constitutes him going to greenville next year?
|
|
|
Post by James Dunne on Aug 16, 2019 15:27:45 GMT -5
The fact that they don't place players based on statistics.
|
|
|
Post by soxfan511 on Aug 16, 2019 15:29:51 GMT -5
Mookie Betts in Lowell at age 19: .267/.352/.307. The point of player development is not to have them put up extraordinary stats at every level. The point is that they continue developing as players. Putting up good numbers does not mean the player should be promoted immediately. Putting up bad ones does not mean the player must be demoted or repeat the level next year. It doesn't work like that. Flores could probably really use the offseason, that's for sure. Then he'll come in next year, head to Greenville, and we'll go from there. I'm rooting for Flores, hard. He's one of the reasons I go to the lowell games. I just can't get his statline out of my head. Others have brought up really good points, and I'm certainly not giving up on him at all. Let's see what this offseason brings. At 18, I doubt he's done growing
|
|
|