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Post by ryan24 on Jun 28, 2020 18:03:57 GMT -5
I am trying to make sure that I understand what's going on here. The sox have a pool of 60 plyers to fill out the roster. They have selected 47 so far. Leaves 13 open spots. 5 catchers so far with no lucroy. The thinking I have seen is that it is expected that each team will carry 3 . 24 pitchers, but no houck, Mata or groome. Seems like a lot of pitchers. Be interesting to see how that shakes out. 13 pitchers on the 26 man roster and at least one of the 3 taxi squad guys will be a pitcher. 11 infielders. But no Downs. Only 7 outfielders. Do you count on J D being a regular defensive OF. Seems light. And no Duran. Can you cut from this list and add other players that other teams have cut? What happens to the remaining 30 after you cut down to the first 30 that open the season? Yes I know if you have injuries that this pool will cover. Just for argument purposes no one gets hurt in the first 2 weeks. What do the last 30 players do in the mean time to stay ready? It would seem that Downs, Duran, Houck, Mata, Groome, and Casas would be filling out spots at the tail end of the pool. Do you think they are giving Lucroy's spot to Wong to see what they have? LOTS of stuff for the sox to figure out.
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Post by ryan24 on Jun 28, 2020 18:09:01 GMT -5
A couple of great catches from Ian on the new roster rules: It looks like MLB wants these 60-man pools to more-or-less be the full list of guys a team is going to use this year, imo. I don't think we're going to see much fluidity. My bad I did not see this when I posted. Some of my questions have been answered.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 28, 2020 21:51:08 GMT -5
I think a lot of folks are reading way too much into guys who aren't there. And it was reported they just have to rework Lucroy's contract. He'll be added.
There are 12 spots left (once Lucroy gets added). It seems fairly obvious that Houck and Duran will get added, but it seems the plan is to get the 48 guys in they want to look at for the roster (plus have enough catchers), then they might evaluate what other areas they need to bolster. In order to remove a player from the 60-man roster, you basically need to waive him, so being deliberate with what guys they add is important. Frankly, I'm surprised some teams already named their 60 today.
I think not being on this initial roster matters much more for guys like De La Guerra, Longhi, and Kickham than it does for guys like Houck, Mata, and Duran.
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jun 28, 2020 22:10:58 GMT -5
I would think a few additional relievers would be wise.
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Post by agastonguay13 on Jun 28, 2020 22:40:44 GMT -5
I wonder if they'd burn a spot on Feltman to maybe get him in with some different coaching and only work outs, or if they think he'd be better served by a season off?
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jun 28, 2020 23:17:41 GMT -5
Some decent pieces might become available. I'm guessing the Phillies aren't the only team:
Jon Heyman @jonheyman · 1h Phillies release Matt Szczur and Drew Storen, two casualties of the situation. Two good guys for a team; like to see them catch on elsewhere @jaysonst 1st
ADD:
Jon Heyman @jonheyman · 1h Carlos Gonzalez has now been released by the Mariners. Had been expected to be released with the batch of minor leaguers weeks ago. Anyway M’s are going young. But perhaps with DH in both leagues CarGo can find work with a contender at some point. @shannondrayer on it this time
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Post by Oregon Norm on Jun 29, 2020 0:37:08 GMT -5
Hard to see how a guy like Gonzalez, who's been trending down with a bullet, gets to play DH somewhere. I mean the position is all about hitting, right? But with a 60 man roster he might find a gig, and he is someone who could be jettisoned when no longer needed I suppose.
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jun 29, 2020 1:41:33 GMT -5
For Cargo I would think that if he finds a home, it would likely be in the NL and likely a minor league gig to start until he showed something is still there.
I am guessing there will be others over the next few days, guys that had a shot at making a roster back in the spring or just plain depth.
Both of the Phillies look like decent, experienced taxi depth, an outfielder and a reliever.
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jun 29, 2020 3:01:36 GMT -5
Mariners also released Wei-Yin Chen
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Post by ryan24 on Jun 29, 2020 6:30:52 GMT -5
I think a lot of folks are reading way too much into guys who aren't there. And it was reported they just have to rework Lucroy's contract. He'll be added. There are 12 spots left (once Lucroy gets added). It seems fairly obvious that Houck and Duran will get added, but it seems the plan is to get the 48 guys in they want to look at for the roster (plus have enough catchers), then they might evaluate what other areas they need to bolster. In order to remove a player from the 60-man roster, you basically need to waive him, so being deliberate with what guys they add is important. Frankly, I'm surprised some teams already named their 60 today. I think not being on this initial roster matters much more for guys like De La Guerra, Longhi, and Kickham than it does for guys like Houck, Mata, and Duran. Good points. Do you see the sox putting any of their picks from this year's draft on the roster? Some teams have already done that. I can see Houck, Mata, Duran and Downs being added. They all appear to be major league ready within the next year or two and could possibly contribute this year. have you heard where the sox are looking at anyone already cut by teams as being possible pickups?
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 29, 2020 9:43:25 GMT -5
Was just discussing the draft pick thing with Ian. I don't think they'll do it - the draft picks to be added so far were all Top 10 guys. I'd put Yorke and Jordan behind Casas, Downs, Mata, Groome, Duran, Houck, Ward, and Jimenez at least. That's 8 of the remaining 12 spots right there. So the question becomes how many more MLB guys do you need in those 4 spots, and who are the next priority guys? Would they take Lugo before Yorke and Jordan? What about the Lowell rotation guys (Zeferjahn, Ramirez, Murphy)?
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Post by soxfanatic on Jun 29, 2020 10:19:05 GMT -5
Was just discussing the draft pick thing with Ian. I don't think they'll do it - the draft picks to be added so far were all Top 10 guys. I'd put Yorke and Jordan behind Casas, Downs, Mata, Groome, Duran, Houck, Ward, and Jimenez at least. That's 8 of the remaining 12 spots right there. So the question becomes how many more MLB guys do you need in those 4 spots, and who are the next priority guys? Would they take Lugo before Yorke and Jordan? What about the Lowell rotation guys (Zeferjahn, Ramirez, Murphy)? I think the draft pick thing makes way more sense with advanced college picks. We had no pick that fits that mold.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 29, 2020 10:54:36 GMT -5
FWIW, Hassell got added in San Diego. But I don't disagree with your point.
Also, I forgot about Aybar and Wilson, who are presumably getting added. So there go two more spots.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Jun 29, 2020 11:08:15 GMT -5
Three mlfa's that were NRI's but were left off are A.J. Alvarez, Trevor Hildenberger, and Mike Kickham, all of whom were in the second round of guys cut. Nick Longhi was projected but I believe he did not get an invite.
Other NRI's who were omitted who were potential MLB depth (AA experience) but not top prospects: Bobby Poyner; Daniel McGrath and Denyi Reyes, Josh Ockimey and Tommy Joseph. Ockimey was in the second round of cuts and the others were in the first. So all these guys (except maybe Longhi) are likely out of the picture.
Guys not yet named who are projected and would appear to be locks: Casas, Downs, Mata, Groome, Duran, Houck, Ward, and Wilson. Aybar, possibly (he was optioned to Salem).
That leaves 3 or 4 spots open for either pickups from other teams or non-projected prospects. Our lack of high-minors depth is helping here.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 29, 2020 11:21:30 GMT -5
Three mlfa's that were NRI's but were left off are A.J. Alvarez, Trevor Hildenberger, and Mike Kickham, all of whom were in the second round of guys cut. Nick Longhi was projected but I believe he did not get an invite.
Other NRI's who were omitted who were potential MLB depth (AA experience) but not top prospects: Bobby Poyner; Daniel McGrath and Denyi Reyes, Josh Ockimey and Tommy Joseph. Ockimey was in the second round of cuts and the others were in the first. So all these guys (except maybe Longhi) are likely out of the picture.
Guys not yet named who are projected and would appear to be locks: Casas, Downs, Mata, Groome, Duran, Houck, Ward, and Wilson. Aybar, possibly (he was optioned to Salem).
That leaves 3 or 4 spots open for either pickups from other teams or non-projected prospects. Our lack of high-minors depth is helping here.
I believe that Longhi, De La Guerra, and Kickham were the NRIs who were still in camp but are not on this list. Everyone else had been sent down. I could have missed someone. I think that CDLG probably got bumped out by Munoz, who hadn't reported yet I don't think when things got shut down. Adding Puello and Pillar is probably what changed Longhi's situation. Not sure of the deal with Kickham - McHugh being close to healthy? I think Wilson and Aybar do have to be added. Although the initial report was that teams didn't need to include 40-man guys (although they'd still be paid), the language on MLB's website now essentially says "the 40-man roster plus 20 other guys." This would square with the fact Ian uncovered that to remove a guy from the 60 you need to basically DFA him. Figuring that means there are 10 spots left and that 7 are going to the guys you list, I could see why they want to see what they need to buttress on the MLB roster still, as that could determine whether they bring in Longhi, CDLG, or Kickham, or perhaps go with other prospects like Jimenez, Lugo, any of the other various Lowell guys in our top 20 (Zeferjahn, Ramirez, Murphy, Decker, Cannon). The more I look at it, the more I think they may not bring in those guys, but it'll depend on things like health as well.
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Post by jmanny24 on Jun 29, 2020 12:37:51 GMT -5
Maybe I missed this but I see a lot of teams putting some of their top young prospects in their pool. Can someone explain the logic here, given 1. it's unlikely they play and 2. if I read right, makes them eligible to be traded at the deadline.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 29, 2020 14:02:55 GMT -5
Maybe I missed this but I see a lot of teams putting some of their top young prospects in their pool. Can someone explain the logic here, given 1. it's unlikely they play and 2. if I read right, makes them eligible to be traded at the deadline. Taking 2 first, why is that a bad thing? It's not like they're going to be forced to trade someone if they don't want to, right? And if anything, wouldn't you want the players you might trade to be eligible to be traded? As for 1, the thinking would be that in a 60-game season, you don't necessarily need 60 guys, or at least that of you do you can remove players from the roster, and this is an opportunity to bring in priority prospects for instruction when otherwise the team isn't working with them directly. It's not clear when they're going to hold anything for minor leaguers specifically, so you bring these guys in to work with them.
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Post by jmanny24 on Jun 29, 2020 14:10:33 GMT -5
Maybe I missed this but I see a lot of teams putting some of their top young prospects in their pool. Can someone explain the logic here, given 1. it's unlikely they play and 2. if I read right, makes them eligible to be traded at the deadline. Taking 2 first, why is that a bad thing? It's not like they're going to be forced to trade someone if they don't want to, right? And if anything, wouldn't you want the players you might trade to be eligible to be traded? As for 1, the thinking would be that in a 60-game season, you don't necessarily need 60 guys, or at least that of you do you can remove players from the roster, and this is an opportunity to bring in priority prospects for instruction when otherwise the team isn't working with them directly. It's not clear when they're going to hold anything for minor leaguers specifically, so you bring these guys in to work with them. Thanks Chris. I get it more now. I was just thinking it was odd but this explains it, much appreciated.
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Post by bdub on Jun 29, 2020 15:37:39 GMT -5
I guess i can see this both ways 1- do you want your top prospects going a year without playing? i think this could be solved at the spring training facility 2- if this is about prospect development first, it is not about potentially making the play offs (which is what i think we should major on). 3-If this is about making the playoffs those younger prospects should not be considered. Guys who can help them win now should.
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Post by patford on Jun 29, 2020 16:01:25 GMT -5
Just a thought about something that isn't going to happen. Given how odd this season is, wouldn't it be nice if MLB allowed the Sox to add Rusney Castillo to the 60 man roster, without the Sox being in essence penalized. It isn't like he'd be a huge addition and it would be more to his benefit than the Sox. In fact the Sox might not even add him if it were possible but it would be nice to see him get a chance.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 29, 2020 22:23:26 GMT -5
I guess i can see this both ways 1- do you want your top prospects going a year without playing? i think this could be solved at the spring training facility 2- if this is about prospect development first, it is not about potentially making the play offs (which is what i think we should major on). 3-If this is about making the playoffs those younger prospects should not be considered. Guys who can help them win now should. We have no idea what teams are going to do for the vast majority of their minor leaguers. If teams do have something at the facilities at some point (which, keep in mind, are in Florida and Arizona, which are both worse in terms of Covid-19 now than they've been at any other point in time), we're not sure when it is or what form it will take. There might be some kind of expanded instructional league at some point, but in the meantime, it makes sense to get priority guys in now and use them. I think you might be overestimating the number of players they are going to need. Last year, over 162 games, the Red Sox used 21 position players and 26 pitchers. Yes, there will probably be more injuries and more roster churn this year, but it's also 37% the size of last year. I don't think it's "use the 60 spots for guys to help the MLB team" or "prioritize prospect development first." You can work towards both goals. I don't think they're going to use 60 major league players this year. Just a thought about something that isn't going to happen. Given how odd this season is, wouldn't it be nice if MLB allowed the Sox to add Rusney Castillo to the 60 man roster, without the Sox being in essence penalized. It isn't like he'd be a huge addition and it would be more to his benefit than the Sox. In fact the Sox might not even add him if it were possible but it would be nice to see him get a chance. He wouldn't count toward the CBT unless he was added to the 40-man roster. That they didn't add him to the 60-man roster really says it all. He's going to hit free agency this offseason and he's gone.
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Post by DesignatedForAssignment on Jun 29, 2020 22:59:32 GMT -5
Research topic: Pedroia & Rusney ... do we presume they are getting a pro-rated salary? This is costing them big money. Do they have the option of taking the year off and carrying their contract over til 2021?
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Post by Oregon Norm on Jun 29, 2020 23:46:38 GMT -5
Those are distinct cases. Pedroia is due his money and it will count against the cap. Castillo was DFAd and there were no takers. He came back off the books. His salary isn't part of the cap calculations. The caveat is that I have not read through the agreement for this shortened season. There may be some contingencies in there I'm unaware of.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Jun 30, 2020 14:13:35 GMT -5
Three mlfa's that were NRI's but were left off are A.J. Alvarez, Trevor Hildenberger, and Mike Kickham, all of whom were in the second round of guys cut. Nick Longhi was projected but I believe he did not get an invite.
Other NRI's who were omitted who were potential MLB depth (AA experience) but not top prospects: Bobby Poyner; Daniel McGrath and Denyi Reyes, Josh Ockimey and Tommy Joseph. Ockimey was in the second round of cuts and the others were in the first. So all these guys (except maybe Longhi) are likely out of the picture.
Guys not yet named who are projected and would appear to be locks: Casas, Downs, Mata, Groome, Duran, Houck, Ward, and Wilson. Aybar, possibly (he was optioned to Salem).
That leaves 3 or 4 spots open for either pickups from other teams or non-projected prospects. Our lack of high-minors depth is helping here.
I believe that Longhi, De La Guerra, and Kickham were the NRIs who were still in camp but are not on this list. Everyone else had been sent down. I could have missed someone. I think that CDLG probably got bumped out by Munoz, who hadn't reported yet I don't think when things got shut down. Adding Puello and Pillar is probably what changed Longhi's situation. Not sure of the deal with Kickham - McHugh being close to healthy? I think Wilson and Aybar do have to be added. Although the initial report was that teams didn't need to include 40-man guys (although they'd still be paid), the language on MLB's website now essentially says "the 40-man roster plus 20 other guys." This would square with the fact Ian uncovered that to remove a guy from the 60 you need to basically DFA him. Figuring that means there are 10 spots left and that 7 are going to the guys you list, I could see why they want to see what they need to buttress on the MLB roster still, as that could determine whether they bring in Longhi, CDLG, or Kickham, or perhaps go with other prospects like Jimenez, Lugo, any of the other various Lowell guys in our top 20 (Zeferjahn, Ramirez, Murphy, Decker, Cannon). The more I look at it, the more I think they may not bring in those guys, but it'll depend on things like health as well. According to Transactions here, Kickham was sent down on 3/8. Was he brought back? I think you're right about the reasons for the other two (and Longhi definitely got an invite).
One thing worth noting: they probably did a historical study of players used in 60-game stretches, and know how many potential MLB contributors they want on the 60-man squad, broken down by position. But I'm at a loss for the rationale for leaving off the list at this point all of the 9 guys who also seem obvious. Unless they want the eventual news story to include the whole list of names (but why Wong, then?).
If PTBNL's are not allowed in deadline trades, that would make the protection decision for prospects much harder, but I think that would have been reflected by more teams doing what the Sox have done.
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Post by patford on Jun 30, 2020 14:27:11 GMT -5
I guess i can see this both ways 1- do you want your top prospects going a year without playing? i think this could be solved at the spring training facility 2- if this is about prospect development first, it is not about potentially making the play offs (which is what i think we should major on). 3-If this is about making the playoffs those younger prospects should not be considered. Guys who can help them win now should. We have no idea what teams are going to do for the vast majority of their minor leaguers. If teams do have something at the facilities at some point (which, keep in mind, are in Florida and Arizona, which are both worse in terms of Covid-19 now than they've been at any other point in time), we're not sure when it is or what form it will take. There might be some kind of expanded instructional league at some point, but in the meantime, it makes sense to get priority guys in now and use them. I think you might be overestimating the number of players they are going to need. Last year, over 162 games, the Red Sox used 21 position players and 26 pitchers. Yes, there will probably be more injuries and more roster churn this year, but it's also 37% the size of last year. I don't think it's "use the 60 spots for guys to help the MLB team" or "prioritize prospect development first." You can work towards both goals. I don't think they're going to use 60 major league players this year. Just a thought about something that isn't going to happen. Given how odd this season is, wouldn't it be nice if MLB allowed the Sox to add Rusney Castillo to the 60 man roster, without the Sox being in essence penalized. It isn't like he'd be a huge addition and it would be more to his benefit than the Sox. In fact the Sox might not even add him if it were possible but it would be nice to see him get a chance. He wouldn't count toward the CBT unless he was added to the 40-man roster. That they didn't add him to the 60-man roster really says it all. He's going to hit free agency this offseason and he's gone. That does say it all. Clearly he never developed into anything close to what was hoped for and at his age it'd be very strange if he suddenly became an MLB regular OF but I'd have thought he would be good depth in the event of injury. How has the shortened season (or no season in MiLB ) affected his contract. Maybe that's why he wasn't added to the 60 man. If there is no MiLB at all how much does he get paid ?
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