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Post by philsbosoxfan on Oct 2, 2020 21:38:28 GMT -5
Finally, I listened to about an hour of the Padres game. Does that make me a supporter of the playoff format ?
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Oct 3, 2020 1:50:10 GMT -5
Very cool
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Oct 3, 2020 1:54:33 GMT -5
Does it seem strange to anyone else that the Padres would employ an opener approach in a three game playoff series ? It's worked so far but.... They lost their #1 and #2 starters (Clevinger and Lamet) to injuries in the last five days of the season. The 5th starter at year's end was 21 y/o rookie Adrian Morejon, who started twice and relieved twice in the second half of September and had a 7.27 ERA and 1.094 OPS allowed. So they had no choice but to throw the first 9-pitcher shutout in MLB history (regular-season or playoffs).
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Oct 3, 2020 6:36:06 GMT -5
As it worked out, all four of the next series are between division rivals.
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Post by unitspin on Oct 3, 2020 7:08:02 GMT -5
I hope they keep the playoff format the same next season its been a fun watch. Lets go rays and As. I don't why but those two teams fighting for a chance at the ship makes me happy.
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Post by manfred on Oct 3, 2020 16:46:45 GMT -5
Does it seem strange to anyone else that the Padres would employ an opener approach in a three game playoff series ? It's worked so far but.... They lost their #1 and #2 starters (Clevinger and Lamet) to injuries in the last five days of the season. The 5th starter at year's end was 21 y/o rookie Adrian Morejon, who started twice and relieved twice in the second half of September and had a 7.27 ERA and 1.094 OPS allowed. So they had no choice but to throw the first 9-pitcher shutout in MLB history (regular-season or playoffs). That is an amazing statistic... cool. I love when MLB first happen in the playoffs, especially ones that are both quirky but also meaningful. A 9-pitcher shutout is insane — what are the odds that you go through 9 guys and don’t hit on someone who just doesn’t have it that day?
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Oct 3, 2020 23:10:21 GMT -5
They lost their #1 and #2 starters (Clevinger and Lamet) to injuries in the last five days of the season. The 5th starter at year's end was 21 y/o rookie Adrian Morejon, who started twice and relieved twice in the second half of September and had a 7.27 ERA and 1.094 OPS allowed. So they had no choice but to throw the first 9-pitcher shutout in MLB history (regular-season or playoffs). That is an amazing statistic... cool. I love when MLB first happen in the playoffs, especially ones that are both quirky but also meaningful. A 9-pitcher shutout is insane — what are the odds that you go through 9 guys and don’t hit on someone who just doesn’t have it that day? The announcers made exactly that point.
And here's where I hope you can appreciate the beauty of analytics. Their first-time manager, Jayce Tingler, had to know which guys he wanted to face which hitters. The announcers pointed out that when you know you have a bullpen game, you create a plan based on those matchups. And in this case, they knew game 3 was going to be a pen game if they needed it, so he had to plan the pen usage for the first two games accordingly, factoring in recovery times. And then that got tossed in the trash when their #2 starter, Chris Paddack, lasted 2.1 IP in game 1 (6 ER)!
So the plan needs to be revised after every game ... and once the game starts, you have to wing it, like jazz. The cool thing is, you can keep roughly to the plan as long as guys take 4 batters or so to get 3 outs. And that seems to be pretty much what happened. But you have to credit Tingler and his staff for everyone doing their job and no one sucking. As long as they did, it just snowballed, as a very high % of the matchups were presumably as planned.
And the plan? Garret Richards had a dominant 1-2-3 in game 1, and got the last out of an inning in game 2 with a man on 3rd ... but never pitched in game 3! Only Tingler knows why.
But this might not be the coolest thing that happened in the series.
Their series Win Probability was down to 4% in game 2, when they were trailing 6-2 going into the bottom of the 6th.
Fernando Tatis, Jr. so far has gone BB, 1B, 1B with the bases empty. With runners on: 3rd out with man on 1st, 3rd out with men on 1st and 2nd, 3rd out with men on 2nd and 3rd, K with 1st and 2nd and 1 out, K with bases full and 2 outs.
He comes up in the sixth with 2 on and 1 out, and hits a three-run bomb (with epic bat flip). Machado follows to tie the score.
In the bottom of the 7th Will Myers goes yard to break the tie, and Tatis homers again to stretch the lead to 9-6.
In the bottom of the 8th they're leading 9-8 and Myers hits a 2 run bomb.
So teammates Tatis and Myers each have a 2-homer game. (Never mind that it all happened in 3 innings, and accounts for 8 of the last 9 runs in an 11-8 victory!)
Has that ever happened before in post-season history? Surprisingly, just once.
Now, for this to be cooler than a 9-pitcher shutout, the guys who did it have to be reasonably cool themselves.
You got it. Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig.
So, yeah. A 4% chance of winning the series with 12 outs left? Nothing that duplicating a feet accomplished only by Ruth and Gehrig in the last 3 innings, and then a 9-pitcher shutout can't handle!
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