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2021-22 International Signing Period
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Apr 2, 2021 18:06:38 GMT -5
The Red Sox spent up to their international cap every year they were allowed to. In 2017-18 they traded so that they could spend the maximum amount possible under the rules, and they also traded for more cap space the following year. You do know there is a hard cap now, right? Not a rhetorical question but it seems like you don't understand this from your last post. They can't trade for cap space anymore either. And next CBA there is almost certainly going to be an international draft. As for your assertion that they sign more Dominican players now, just look: www.soxprospects.com/international.htmLast year, 3 of their top 4 and 6 of their top 9 bonuses went to Venezuelans. Like, what numbers are there that say they sign more Dominicans now? I mean, maybe you're right about something but hit me with something other than "I talked to a guy." What evidence is there other than you guessing without even looking that they've done worse in the international market or something?
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 2, 2021 22:22:34 GMT -5
"There was a definite redirection of funds with the Mets international head signing on with team ( from Venezuela to Dominican)." See, this is what I'm saying - no, there wasn't. What are you basing this on? And what do you mean by Dombrowski "did this" with the Tigers? Directed funds away from international scouting? Do you have anything that actually says that? That's news to me. He ran three teams before the Red Sox and I've never heard about him directing funds away from amateur scouting. And Becerra is just a special assistant in amateur and international scouting - I think he's essentially a special assignment scout. By the way, he was hired by Dombrowski, who apparently was ok allocating money to sign a former international scouting director as a special assistant, so that's another strike against the presumption that Dombrowski directed money away from international scouting. ——— Of course I know there is both a cap and lack of trading for more space. I also am well aware that dombrowski has a history. With tigers he did not spend money for scouts ( which form relationships with buscones to identify talent early and offer contracts early). Let me direct your to an article: www.google.com/amp/s/www.blessyouboys.com/platform/amp/2015/7/7/8903925/mlb-free-agent-international-signing-day-july-2Seems like EXACTLY what he did with Red Sox. Then add in talking with scouts who said they were very much underfunded and most relationships start 2-3 years before they sign. So my theory is IF this is correct then 1-2 years from now the Red Sox will be back in thick of things for high end guys. Now maybe that theory is wrong. Again... name an impact player signed under dombrowski. I can name 1. No excuses. 1. Right now. That’s it. Perhaps more will be and I hope there are. After dombrowski left the same scout told me watch our international signings now. What have tigers done after investing in the draft and establishing a foundation? They signed 2 of top prospects and 1 top 10 guy. And next year are already linked to 1-2 more. I’m not trying to sit here and say I’m definitely right. I’m saying there is a concern that I hope is rectified. I hope it changes. Because this bs excuse that oh it’s not smart to spend on high end talent Marco Luciano, wander Franco, julio Rodriguez, Vladimir Guerrero, Christian Hernandez, Christian pache, Jason Dominguez, Randy arozarena, Francisco Alvarez, kristian Robinson, brailyn Marquez, O’Neil Cruz, Ronny Mauricio, Simeon woods Richardson, Miguel Amaya, all say that high end bonuses work pretty dang well. ( those are all from this years top 100). So here’s what I’m saying: it seems perhaps dombrowski favored the theory that we have done over the years. From tigers scouts to article linked to the fact tigers haven’t had international guy make an impact in years!!! Now Red Sox sit with 1 higher end prospect from international from dombrowski years. Which the money spent correlates pretty dang close to what he advocated for tigers. ( which produced nobody). Out of the current top 100 prospects all but 4 of them were pretty significant signings ( money wise). It will be interesting to see if over next 1-2 years ( not counting this years group) bloom changes how we sign international talent and targets some high end players. If he does..... I believe that’s because the focus has shifted and resources allocated ( not to players but to scouts and establishing relationships). Now maybe I’m wrong....because the crop from 2 years ago seems to hold potential.... but there should could seem to be a trend of dombrowski teams.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Apr 2, 2021 22:54:48 GMT -5
Again, as Chris mentioned above, the Red Sox spend their entire international bonus money every year, including the years Dombrowski was with the Sox. Every year Ben Badler and Jesse Sanchez note them as the most active on the international market. The Red Sox have clearly made the strategy of spreading their bonuses out amongst more players - you can argue with the strategy, but they clearly are not being cheap. While the GM at the time may have some impact, like I said before, Eddie Romero runs the show.
You've also cherry picked a ton of players in your list (including multiple players that haven't even made their debut yet and one player - Woods-Richardson - who isn't even an international signee). Some of the players you listed also signed for modest deals: Arozarena ($1.25 mil), Oneil Cruz ($950k), Pache ($1.4 mil), Marquez ($600k), Amaya ($1 mil). I could go on...
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cdj
Veteran
Posts: 13,849
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Post by cdj on Apr 2, 2021 23:18:44 GMT -5
"There was a definite redirection of funds with the Mets international head signing on with team ( from Venezuela to Dominican)." See, this is what I'm saying - no, there wasn't. What are you basing this on? And what do you mean by Dombrowski "did this" with the Tigers? Directed funds away from international scouting? Do you have anything that actually says that? That's news to me. He ran three teams before the Red Sox and I've never heard about him directing funds away from amateur scouting. And Becerra is just a special assistant in amateur and international scouting - I think he's essentially a special assignment scout. By the way, he was hired by Dombrowski, who apparently was ok allocating money to sign a former international scouting director as a special assistant, so that's another strike against the presumption that Dombrowski directed money away from international scouting. ——————- We were signing most of our talent from Venezuela before. After the Becerra signing our signing have come more from Dominican. ( Ie redirection of funds). As for tigers. Absolutely!!! 100,000% they had zero international presence under dumbrowski. I’ve heard that directly from scouts from low levels here where I live. It was a fact with the low level ( now high class a team). You could see the prospects weren’t there from international and they didn’t compete at high level for international players. Now that he’s been gone tigers have been and are signing high end international signings. So yes I absolutely know 100,000% he reduced funds in Detroit. The excuses can be there. And maybe I’m wrong but facts don’t back this up. Especially if Red Sox return to signing expensive high end international prospects in the next 1-2 years. 4 of their 6 biggest bonuses this year went to players from Venezuela, what on Earth are you talking about? They use their entire international bonus pool every year, they quite literally cannot do more unless they make trades.
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 3, 2021 5:50:53 GMT -5
Again, as Chris mentioned above, the Red Sox spend their entire international bonus money every year, including the years Dombrowski was with the Sox. Every year Ben Badler and Jesse Sanchez note them as the most active on the international market. The Red Sox have clearly made the strategy of spreading their bonuses out amongst more players - you can argue with the strategy, but they clearly are not being cheap. While the GM at the time may have some impact, like I said before, Eddie Romero runs the show. You've also cherry picked a ton of players in your list (including multiple players that haven't even made their debut yet and one player - Woods-Richardson - who isn't even an international signee). Some of the players you listed also signed for modest deals: Arozarena ($1.25 mil), Oneil Cruz ($950k), Pache ($1.4 mil), Marquez ($600k), Amaya ($1 mil). I could go on... ———- my mistake then on woods Richardson and those “modest” signings aren’t so modest compared to our signings. Those $1 million signings would rank right up there with our signings. At end of day name last international signing not named devers who has made an impact....?? List one not named Jimenez who is ranked high enough to get anything in trade?? I’ll wait .... Look I’m not saying they are horrible. But I AM saying there could be avenues to improve and it will be interesting to see if they chase some of the more higher priced players. While dombrowski was gm we did NOT sign impact players who have created low cost players or trade bait for Boston Red Sox outside of one player. I get we were handicapped for a year and we had a player have unfortunate circumstances. BUT in a results oriented business if you are saying the results are there then I guess Ild like higher return on investment. If that’s not dombrowski then we have an even bigger issue at hand. As for allocating resources. Look at the whole of the group. Most of our prospects came from Venezuela with dombrowski. ( we did that because it was cheaper to sign there compared to Dominican due to the violence going on). What was last years? Of course we are going to still sign players out of Venezuela but there has been more funds spent in Dominican possibly. Or sure seemed to be last year. Time will tell; but I believe international signings were another place he neglected the system while focusing on the major league team. ( and sorry I don’t believe for a second a general manager who is going to have his job impacted by the players signed or not signed has zero say in a department ). I don’t care what business your in—- it doesn’t work that way!! And if it does then you aren’t a successful business. I’m not saying he needs to make decisions but I darn well believe he has a day in how resources are spent outside of the signings. And he will directly want to be sure those people are acquiring him impact talent to use on major league roster or trades. So I come back to my question. “ who is impact either on team or in minors right now that was signed in international market??” 2 names!! 2. Over the entirety of his gm career here right now are impact players ..2 It will be interesting to see if that changes and one of the ways is by signing more high end talent. Again using conversations from people in tigers ... that was a dombrowski result for them. Regardless if you believe that; let’s hope for 20 impact players this year. We sure seem to need them or for some of the last 2 years worth to become impact players. Because right now. We don’t seem to have many international players who are impact that can help us right now
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Apr 3, 2021 15:12:29 GMT -5
At end of day name last international signing not named devers who has made an impact....?? Darwinzon Hernandez, Hector Velazquez, And again, THEY COULDN'T SIGN ANYONE FOR TWO YEARS. Of course the well went dry for a while as a result. Then there's this... Looooooool seriously? Yoan Moncada, Manuel Margot, Javier Guerra, Anderson Espinoza, Gregory Santos, Esteban Quiroz, Lorenzo Cedrola, Angeudis Santos, Elio Prado, Noelberth Romero, Jhon Nunez, Yoan Aybar, Rafael Rincones, Gerson Bautista, Imeldo Diaz, Stanley Espinal, Yeison Coca, Luis Alexander Basabe, Victor Diaz, Luis Alejandro Basabe, Jose Almonte, Wendell Rijo, Jonathan Aro. That's all Dombrowski or Bloom era trades. Plus guys in the system you're ignoring: Mata was ranked higher than Jimenez by most outlets pre-injury. Aldo Ramirez and Brainer Bonaci are top 20 here. Bazardo, Bello, Rodriguez top 30. As for the asinine Dominican versus Venezuela point, 19 Venezuelans versus 14 Dominicans in the last signing class. 7 versus 6 in current class which is mostly done. I'll ask again, do you have any actual evidence about abutting related to the Boston Red Sox-based points that you've raised?
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 3, 2021 16:43:10 GMT -5
At end of day name last international signing not named devers who has made an impact....?? Darwinzon Hernandez, Hector Velazquez, And again, THEY COULDN'T SIGN ANYONE FOR TWO YEARS. Of course the well went dry for a while as a result. Then there's this... Looooooool seriously? Yoan Moncada, Manuel Margot, Javier Guerra, Anderson Espinoza, Gregory Santos, Esteban Quiroz, Lorenzo Cedrola, Angeudis Santos, Elio Prado, Noelberth Romero, Jhon Nunez, Yoan Aybar, Rafael Rincones, Gerson Bautista, Imeldo Diaz, Stanley Espinal, Yeison Coca, Luis Alexander Basabe, Victor Diaz, Luis Alejandro Basabe, Jose Almonte, Wendell Rijo, Jonathan Aro. That's all Dombrowski or Bloom era trades. Plus guys in the system you're ignoring: Mata was ranked higher than Jimenez by most outlets pre-injury. Aldo Ramirez and Brainer Bonaci are top 20 here. Bazardo, Bello, Rodriguez top 30. As for the asinine Dominican versus Venezuela point, 19 Venezuelans versus 14 Dominicans in the last signing class. 7 versus 6 in current class which is mostly done. I'll ask again, do you have any actual evidence about abutting related to the Boston Red Sox-based points that you've raised? ——— Umm wow all those guys were signed during the dombrowski era? Holy crap! I guess I didn’t realize his years of being general manager started back when Ben Cherington was gm and he was gm of the tigers. He’s good. Running two teams at once and over the gm when many of those players were signed. And come on. You seriously call 90% of them IMPACT players? Or that they could get impact players in trade? It’s no wonder we are 0-2.. good grief. So I’ll ask again. Name an impact player on the Red Sox or used in trade by Red Sox signed when dombrowski was gm??? Besides devers or gimenez. Impact isn’t a cup of coffee in major leagues or AAA fodder or ranked as number 20 player in our system. Impact is contributor to major league team or being traded for one who contributes because of his value. My evidence is THAT. My gosh the lists are on this site. Use it. Do your own research. Without excuses. The evidence is that there is none. Not yet anyways. So whatever they were doing wasn’t working or hasn’t yet. So it will be interesting to see if that changes or if the signings from 2 years ago develop more than the previous years have. As for my “assnine” theory: 12/15 Venezuelan (2015-2016), 6/8 (2017-2018), 6/14 Venezuelan (2018-2019). Plus the next 3 Venezuelan, 2019-2020. (7/13 Venezuelan). 2020- -2021. (6-12 Venezuelan). So looking at percentages of top signers: it seems that percentage has went down. Now is that something that will stick or is it just random data not caused by a change in philosophy by scouting community. I respectfully understand that maybe I’m way off based on this theory but I definitely am not so far on the fact that dombrowskis years did not produce impact international talent .
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jimoh
Veteran
Posts: 3,962
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Post by jimoh on Apr 3, 2021 19:45:54 GMT -5
Darwinzon Hernandez, Hector Velazquez, And again, THEY COULDN'T SIGN ANYONE FOR TWO YEARS. Of course the well went dry for a while as a result. Then there's this... Looooooool seriously? Yoan Moncada, Manuel Margot, Javier Guerra, Anderson Espinoza, Gregory Santos, Esteban Quiroz, Lorenzo Cedrola, Angeudis Santos, Elio Prado, Noelberth Romero, Jhon Nunez, Yoan Aybar, Rafael Rincones, Gerson Bautista, Imeldo Diaz, Stanley Espinal, Yeison Coca, Luis Alexander Basabe, Victor Diaz, Luis Alejandro Basabe, Jose Almonte, Wendell Rijo, Jonathan Aro. That's all Dombrowski or Bloom era trades. Plus guys in the system you're ignoring: Mata was ranked higher than Jimenez by most outlets pre-injury. Aldo Ramirez and Brainer Bonaci are top 20 here. Bazardo, Bello, Rodriguez top 30. As for the asinine Dominican versus Venezuela point, 19 Venezuelans versus 14 Dominicans in the last signing class. 7 versus 6 in current class which is mostly done. I'll ask again, do you have any actual evidence about abutting related to the Boston Red Sox-based points that you've raised? ——— Umm wow all those guys were signed during the dombrowski era? Holy crap! I guess I didn’t realize his years of being general manager started back when Ben Cherington was gm and he was gm of the tigers. He’s good. Running two teams at once and over the gm when many of those players were signed. And come on. You seriously call 90% of them IMPACT players? Or that they could get impact players in trade? It’s no wonder we are 0-2.. good grief. So I’ll ask again. Name an impact player on the Red Sox or used in trade by Red Sox signed when dombrowski was gm??? Besides devers or gimenez. Impact isn’t a cup of coffee in major leagues or AAA fodder or ranked as number 20 player in our system. Impact is contributor to major league team or being traded for one who contributes because of his value. My evidence is THAT. My gosh the lists are on this site. Use it. Do your own research. Without excuses. The evidence is that there is none. Not yet anyways. So whatever they were doing wasn’t working or hasn’t yet. So it will be interesting to see if that changes or if the signings from 2 years ago develop more than the previous years have. As for my “assnine” theory: 12/15 Venezuelan (2015-2016), 6/8 (2017-2018), 6/14 Venezuelan (2018-2019). Plus the next 3 Venezuelan, 2019-2020. (7/13 Venezuelan). 2020- -2021. (6-12 Venezuelan). So looking at percentages of top signers: it seems that percentage has went down. Now is that something that will stick or is it just random data not caused by a change in philosophy by scouting community. I respectfully understand that maybe I’m way off based on this theory but I definitely am not so far on the fact that dombrowskis years did not produce impact international talent . You’re being sort of an ass. Your insane claim was to make specific claims about diverting international money. Switching to “who besides the best two did DD sign?” or deducing a change in philosophy because “the percentage has went down” (sic) is kind of a dick move.
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 3, 2021 23:43:57 GMT -5
——— Umm wow all those guys were signed during the dombrowski era? Holy crap! I guess I didn’t realize his years of being general manager started back when Ben Cherington was gm and he was gm of the tigers. He’s good. Running two teams at once and over the gm when many of those players were signed. And come on. You seriously call 90% of them IMPACT players? Or that they could get impact players in trade? It’s no wonder we are 0-2.. good grief. So I’ll ask again. Name an impact player on the Red Sox or used in trade by Red Sox signed when dombrowski was gm??? Besides devers or gimenez. Impact isn’t a cup of coffee in major leagues or AAA fodder or ranked as number 20 player in our system. Impact is contributor to major league team or being traded for one who contributes because of his value. My evidence is THAT. My gosh the lists are on this site. Use it. Do your own research. Without excuses. The evidence is that there is none. Not yet anyways. So whatever they were doing wasn’t working or hasn’t yet. So it will be interesting to see if that changes or if the signings from 2 years ago develop more than the previous years have. As for my “assnine” theory: 12/15 Venezuelan (2015-2016), 6/8 (2017-2018), 6/14 Venezuelan (2018-2019). Plus the next 3 Venezuelan, 2019-2020. (7/13 Venezuelan). 2020- -2021. (6-12 Venezuelan). So looking at percentages of top signers: it seems that percentage has went down. Now is that something that will stick or is it just random data not caused by a change in philosophy by scouting community. I respectfully understand that maybe I’m way off based on this theory but I definitely am not so far on the fact that dombrowskis years did not produce impact international talent . You’re being sort of an ass. Your insane claim was to make specific claims about diverting international money. Switching to “who besides the best two did DD sign?” or deducing a change in philosophy because “the percentage has went down” (sic) is kind of a dick move. ——- I’m sorry that’s your assumed position. How is me listing facts asking to make a conclusion being an ass? Or a dick move? I’m really confused? I posed a couple theories one of which is that during dombrowski’s era the international group hasn’t produced impact players accept 2 players. Again how are listing those facts being an ass or dick?? You do understand I mean diverting funds to mean away from Venezuela right? And the second argument is that perhaps the not going after high impact signings didn’t work to add impact talent? And I’ve said the next two years will be interesting to see what changes if anything. I listed a conversation with a Detroit scout who got me to thinking that way. And an article saying dombrowski favored in Detroit the no high impact signings ( meaning expensive ) and it didn’t work out. Exactly how is that being a dick? Or ass? If listing facts and posing a theory based off those facts is being a dick. Holy heck dude.
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Post by Jimmy on Apr 4, 2021 1:11:52 GMT -5
Hopefully to move this conversation in a more constructive direction:
Now that we have really improved depth within the farm I wonder if we start to shift away from the quantity over quality strategy. Maybe the improved state of the farm system will be an incentive to take a swing for the fences while we still can (before Intl. draft is implemented).
I guess what if really depends on is if you think we get more blue chip guys with 10 lottery tickets (10 is just an placeholder / estimate, you get the point), or with 1 or 2 big signings. Personally I’m not sure, but I think previously the state of the farm system has made it pretty easy to move towards the 10 lottery ticket side.
As an aside, I think theoretically it’s better for a team with a lot of resources compared to the rest of the league to spread the money over 10 guys than drop big money for the top of the class. If we have the resources to have a competitive advantage in international scouting, we should have a more informed opinion on lesser know guys who will sign for less than other teams do. This advantage is probably not as strong for the high end / big bonus guys in the class. Might as well leverage the advantages we have.
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Post by johnsilver52 on Apr 4, 2021 2:07:15 GMT -5
Hopefully to move this conversation in a more constructive direction: Now that we have really improved depth within the farm I wonder if we start to shift away from the quantity over quality strategy. Maybe the improved state of the farm system will be an incentive to take a swing for the fences while we still can (before Intl. draft is implemented). I guess what if really depends on is if you think we get more blue chip guys with 10 lottery tickets (10 is just an placeholder / estimate, you get the point), or with 1 or 2 big signings. Personally I’m not sure, but I think previously the state of the farm system has made it pretty easy to move towards the 10 lottery ticket side. As an aside, I think theoretically it’s better for a team with a lot of resources compared to the rest of the league to spread the money over 10 guys than drop big money for the top of the class. If we have the resources to have a competitive advantage in international scouting, we should have a more informed opinion on lesser know guys who will sign for less than other teams do. This advantage is probably not as strong for the high end / big bonus guys in the class. Might as well leverage the advantages we have. They did that, 2017 and prior with exceptions being penalty seasons of course. I can see them targeting perhaps 1 decent IFA kid, like they did Bleiss in the previous year, or preferably MLB gets it's act together and starts lumping all amateur players, under a certain age (20-21, whatever) as eligible for the June Rule 4 draft and gets rid of bundles of problems and corruption in one area of the world and 1 size fits all simplification of who ends up where. It even more than likely cuts down bonuses, which should be 1st and foremost on the mind of roughly 1/3 of the teams in the game constantly complaining about revenue.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Apr 4, 2021 9:01:24 GMT -5
Umm wow all those guys were signed during the dombrowski era? Holy crap! I guess I didn’t realize his years of being general manager started back when Ben Cherington was gm and he was gm of the tigers. He’s good. Running two teams at once and over the gm when many of those players were signed. And come on. You seriously call 90% of them IMPACT players? Or that they could get impact players in trade? It’s no wonder we are 0-2.. good grief. So I’ll ask again. Name an impact player on the Red Sox or used in trade by Red Sox signed when dombrowski was gm??? Besides devers or gimenez. Impact isn’t a cup of coffee in major leagues or AAA fodder or ranked as number 20 player in our system. Impact is contributor to major league team or being traded for one who contributes because of his value. My evidence is THAT. My gosh the lists are on this site. Use it. Do your own research. Without excuses. The evidence is that there is none. Not yet anyways. So whatever they were doing wasn’t working or hasn’t yet. So it will be interesting to see if that changes or if the signings from 2 years ago develop more than the previous years have. As for my “assnine” theory: 12/15 Venezuelan (2015-2016), 6/8 (2017-2018), 6/14 Venezuelan (2018-2019). Plus the next 3 Venezuelan, 2019-2020. (7/13 Venezuelan). 2020- -2021. (6-12 Venezuelan). So looking at percentages of top signers: it seems that percentage has went down. Now is that something that will stick or is it just random data not caused by a change in philosophy by scouting community. I respectfully understand that maybe I’m way off based on this theory but I definitely am not so far on the fact that dombrowskis years did not produce impact international talent . You're the one who said "since Devers" man. Make your mind up on what your point is. Devers was signed in 2013, 2 years before Dombrowski. Let's start small so I can explain this slowly. 1) You understand that they literally couldn't sign anyone in Dombrowski's second season and couldn't sign any above $300k in his first? And that they lost 5 guys who got the 300k in that first class? What do you think a realistic return is for these years, one of which they, again, literally couldn't sign anyone? 2) You understand that, therefore, your point is that they didn't sign any "impact" players - other than the one you are admitting IS a potential impact player - in a two-year span in which (a) the kid they spent $3.1M on DIED, and (b) the majority of players signed haven't played in the US yet? I ask - how many players across baseball signed in those 2 classes would you call "impact" players? You're removing one player for no real reason that you say does fit what you're looking for - how many players like that do you expect them to get out of each class? And why aren't you counting Mata if you're counting Jimenez? And by the way, I have no idea what the following means.
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 4, 2021 10:47:21 GMT -5
Umm wow all those guys were signed during the dombrowski era? Holy crap! I guess I didn’t realize his years of being general manager started back when Ben Cherington was gm and he was gm of the tigers. He’s good. Running two teams at once and over the gm when many of those players were signed. And come on. You seriously call 90% of them IMPACT players? Or that they could get impact players in trade? It’s no wonder we are 0-2.. good grief. So I’ll ask again. Name an impact player on the Red Sox or used in trade by Red Sox signed when dombrowski was gm??? Besides devers or gimenez. Impact isn’t a cup of coffee in major leagues or AAA fodder or ranked as number 20 player in our system. Impact is contributor to major league team or being traded for one who contributes because of his value. My evidence is THAT. My gosh the lists are on this site. Use it. Do your own research. Without excuses. The evidence is that there is none. Not yet anyways. So whatever they were doing wasn’t working or hasn’t yet. So it will be interesting to see if that changes or if the signings from 2 years ago develop more than the previous years have. As for my “assnine” theory: 12/15 Venezuelan (2015-2016), 6/8 (2017-2018), 6/14 Venezuelan (2018-2019). Plus the next 3 Venezuelan, 2019-2020. (7/13 Venezuelan). 2020- -2021. (6-12 Venezuelan). So looking at percentages of top signers: it seems that percentage has went down. Now is that something that will stick or is it just random data not caused by a change in philosophy by scouting community. I respectfully understand that maybe I’m way off based on this theory but I definitely am not so far on the fact that dombrowskis years did not produce impact international talent . You're the one who said "since Devers" man. Make your mind up on what your point is. Devers was signed in 2013, 2 years before Dombrowski. Let's start small so I can explain this slowly. 1) You understand that they literally couldn't sign anyone in Dombrowski's second season and couldn't sign any above $300k in his first? And that they lost 5 guys who got the 300k in that first class? What do you think a realistic return is for these years, one of which they, again, literally couldn't sign anyone? 2) You understand that, therefore, your point is that they didn't sign any "impact" players - other than the one you are admitting IS a potential impact player - in a two-year span in which (a) the kid they spent $3.1M on DIED, and (b) the majority of players signed haven't played in the US yet? I ask - how many players across baseball signed in those 2 classes would you call "impact" players? You're removing one player for no real reason that you say does fit what you're looking for - how many players like that do you expect them to get out of each class? And why aren't you counting Mata if you're counting Jimenez? And by the way, I have no idea what the following means. ————————- Chris: I have been reading sox prospect for YEARS and respect your posts and thoughts. So I decided to post a thought and get ripped for my theories. I did not realize this is a members only club to post so my apologies. So here is my thought again to repeat: During dombrowskis years zero impact players were signed accept gimenez. Now I can define impact by being regular contributor on team or trades directly as key piece for a player who is a regular contributor on team. I was giving devers as benefit of doubt, but since you pointed out that he was signed prior to dombrowski he can be taken off that list also. So 1. Period. And I don’t count mata because we all know international guys agree to deals the year before or many do. I don’t buy excuses. Sorry. He had bad circumstances. But the years since SO FAR anyways no impact players have been signed ( that fit the criteria above). And before you say some haven’t had time, there are some players in systems that could be traded for impact players right now who signed over past 1-3 years. It will be interesting to see if this changes over next 1-2 years. As for what you didn’t understand I was showing percentages of Venezuelan signings have seemed to go down ( in terms of high end signings and where they were from). Again I posed the question this could be because of the old Mets guy and where he did much of his talent acquisitions. ( Dominican). Again maybe neither theory pans out. I think we will see in next 1-2 years. Or maybe as poster above theorizes, maybe it’s because we have had such a crappy system so wanted more tickets to hit the lottery with rather than 1 or 2. And where I came up with theories were 1) talk with tigers scout, 2) article in Detroit newspaper talking about how he had same philosophy with tigers ( which didn’t produce results with them), 3). Results it seems so far with Red Sox, 4) percents from past signings and honestly what I haven’t brought up is how Tampa does things with their international team. ( higher end free agents are signed)
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Post by The Town Sports Cards on Apr 5, 2021 7:41:03 GMT -5
Yes I too can't believe the Red Sox haven't signed a single 18 year old who has turned into an impact MLB player in the last couple years. I mean you want to talk about inept, not a single guy they drafted last year has even played in the majors yet, I mean, what a failure of a front office!
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Post by James Dunne on Apr 5, 2021 8:45:20 GMT -5
I'll try to kick this through the moving goalposts as quickly as possible, but 1/4 of our Top 60 is international signings from 2017 to 2019:
Gilberto Jimenez Aldo Ramirez Brainer Bonaci Brayan Bello Jorge Rodriguez Eduardo Lopez Luis Perales Antoni Flores Ceddane Rafaela Darel Belen Bryan Gonzalez Eduardo Vaughn Wilkelman Gonzalez Nathanael Cruz Felix Cepeda
Despite the fact that almost none of the 2018 and 2019 classes have played stateside, there are a ton who have shown potentially impact talent. In large part, this is the group that has observers thinking the Red Sox system is primed for a jump in status once games resume. Bonaci and Lopez, in particular, are players who have Top-100 prospect type talent and are the two guys I'd peg as likely breakouts not just within the system but in the baseball community overall.
That also doesn't include the top-bonus prospect signed in that period, as he died.
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 5, 2021 9:09:06 GMT -5
Yes I too can't believe the Red Sox haven't signed a single 18 year old who has turned into an impact MLB player in the last couple years. I mean you want to talk about inept, not a single guy they drafted last year has even played in the majors yet, I mean, what a failure of a front office! —— Had you read what I mean by impact maybe your smart a$$ tone would change. I didn’t say impact major leaguer. I said impact which can be used for trade also .... Jason Dominguez, Christian Hernandez, Wilma Diaz, Eric pena, Maximo Acosta, Hedbert Perez, Robert puassan, Barton Lora, Marco Luciano, orelvis Martinez, noelvi marte, Kevin alcantara, Francisco Alvarez, just a few names who would garner an impact player at major league level via trade. All signed during past 1-2 international periods ( not counting dec. signings). And nobody said failure but I did question if their philosophy in who they target might change to target more impact players
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 5, 2021 9:13:42 GMT -5
I'll try to kick this through the moving goalposts as quickly as possible, but 1/4 of our Top 60 is international signings from 2017 to 2019: Gilberto Jimenez Aldo Ramirez Brainer Bonaci Brayan Bello Jorge Rodriguez Eduardo Lopez Luis Perales Antoni Flores Ceddane Rafaela Darel Belen Bryan Gonzalez Eduardo Vaughn Wilkelman Gonzalez Nathanael Cruz Felix Cepeda Despite the fact that almost none of the 2018 and 2019 classes have played stateside, there are a ton who have shown potentially impact talent. In large part, this is the group that has observers thinking the Red Sox system is primed for a jump in status once games resume. Bonaci and Lopez, in particular, are players who have Top-100 prospect type talent and are the two guys I'd peg as likely breakouts not just within the system but in the baseball community overall. That also doesn't include the top-bonus prospect signed in that period, as he died. ———- Let’s hope your correct. I agree many of them hold potential to possibly bring impact talent but as of right now they aren’t there yet. This year could be very interesting for many reasons.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Apr 5, 2021 9:24:14 GMT -5
I'm just going to say we agree to disagree on the points you've raised. Let's move on and keep this thread to a discussion of the 2021-2022 international signing period. Thanks!
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Post by 1toolplayer on Apr 5, 2021 11:11:09 GMT -5
Yes I too can't believe the Red Sox haven't signed a single 18 year old who has turned into an impact MLB player in the last couple years. I mean you want to talk about inept, not a single guy they drafted last year has even played in the majors yet, I mean, what a failure of a front office! —— Had you read what I mean by impact maybe your smart a$$ tone would change. I didn’t say impact major leaguer. I said impact which can be used for trade also .... Jason Dominguez, Christian Hernandez, Wilma Diaz, Eric pena, Maximo Acosta, Hedbert Perez, Robert puassan, Barton Lora, Marco Luciano, orelvis Martinez, noelvi marte, Kevin alcantara, Francisco Alvarez, just a few names who would garner an impact player at major league level via trade. All signed during past 1-2 international periods ( not counting dec. signings). And nobody said failure but I did question if their philosophy in who they target might change to target more impact players You seem like you really just sort of picked out the top 5 players from the last 3-4 periods and sort of say why can't they sign these guys, without really knowing much of the prospects. This is classic "heardahim" name salad to try and prove a point that isn't really there to be made? Luciano and Dominguez were probably outliers on the list because they were so special, but Hernandez and Diaz are what 16-17? How many GMs are going to give an impact MLB player for a player without a single professional AB that would be a junior in HS? Lora just almost died 2 weeks ago, and a passenger in his car did die, so who knows if he will be playing any time soon, that in itself should speak to the fragility of the international process. The Sox have plenty of players that can be considered as peers to some of the players here, and that's really the entire point that I think you are refusing to accept. If not for tragedy Flores could be right up on these lists, by end of the year Jimenez and Bonaci could have more national exposure, Bleis and Lopez, or Gonzalez, or someone else way off the radar could jump up. You are talking about players that agree w teams when they are 14-15 yrs old and making this into a sports radio type argument, deflecting context and changing your thesis half way through your paper.
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 5, 2021 17:07:48 GMT -5
—— Had you read what I mean by impact maybe your smart a$$ tone would change. I didn’t say impact major leaguer. I said impact which can be used for trade also .... Jason Dominguez, Christian Hernandez, Wilma Diaz, Eric pena, Maximo Acosta, Hedbert Perez, Robert puassan, Barton Lora, Marco Luciano, orelvis Martinez, noelvi marte, Kevin alcantara, Francisco Alvarez, just a few names who would garner an impact player at major league level via trade. All signed during past 1-2 international periods ( not counting dec. signings). And nobody said failure but I did question if their philosophy in who they target might change to target more impact players You seem like you really just sort of picked out the top 5 players from the last 3-4 periods and sort of say why can't they sign these guys, without really knowing much of the prospects. This is classic "heardahim" name salad to try and prove a point that isn't really there to be made? Luciano and Dominguez were probably outliers on the list because they were so special, but Hernandez and Diaz are what 16-17? How many GMs are going to give an impact MLB player for a player without a single professional AB that would be a junior in HS? Lora just almost died 2 weeks ago, and a passenger in his car did die, so who knows if he will be playing any time soon, that in itself should speak to the fragility of the international process. The Sox have plenty of players that can be considered as peers to some of the players here, and that's really the entire point that I think you are refusing to accept. If not for tragedy Flores could be right up on these lists, by end of the year Jimenez and Bonaci could have more national exposure, Bleis and Lopez, or Gonzalez, or someone else way off the radar could jump up. You are talking about players that agree w teams when they are 14-15 yrs old and making this into a sports radio type argument, deflecting context and changing your thesis half way through your paper. ——- wrong. I’ve had same thesis all way through. I wonder if a) Red Sox will sign more impact players by signing the higher end prospects and b) I wonder if they will continue to spend more in Dominican Republic which seems to be happening. You refuse to see they have no impact players and heck yes teams would trade someone of impact for those guys. They absolutely would. Pena was a refuse to move for benetendi which is proof they will. And cherry pick? Umm we are talking about higher end signings and showing that impact players can be found in recent signings which the previous post seemed to imply couldn’t be done. And sorry could be possibly maybe just doesn’t cut it. That’s not right now as we speak. Anyways. So I’m curious who we are rumored to have signed. I’m moving on. Time will tell what exactly will occur. We are all Red Sox fans. Let’s hope many more Xander boogarts are found or Rafael devers.
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Post by manfred on Apr 5, 2021 17:11:05 GMT -5
Not to prolong this, so take it as a general even unrelated question: was Xander a big international signing? I mean... I know the Sox liked him a lot, but if I recall they were originally looking at his brother. I just wonder if he was sorta under the radar.
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Post by ajs1994 on Apr 5, 2021 17:41:00 GMT -5
Not to prolong this, so take it as a general even unrelated question: was Xander a big international signing? I mean... I know the Sox liked him a lot, but if I recall they were originally looking at his brother. I just wonder if he was sorta under the radar. Xander signed for 410,000, Jair got 180,000. Think I recall what you're talking about from Homegrown (excellent book). I just don't think we can draw any kind of conclusions of 2017-2020 international free agent classes. With last year cancelled, there's not much data even on the earliest signings of Dombrowski era from 2017, and even so two from that class are in the top 10 (Gilberto/Aldo). 2018-2019 has some intriguing prospects, but with last season cancelled there's such a small track record for them to be ranked highly. For top 100s and such, players bonuses are still largely factoring into where they're being ranked from that class until we got to see more of them. Time will tell if Lopez/Vaughn/Gonzalez/Bonaci merit rising once we get see them more. I think if there is any criticism, it could be that the big bonus guys of 2017-18 aren't looking that promising. A large part of that is the Daniel Flores tragedy, but Diaz's k issues and Antoni Flores' regression are real concerns. But I think Gilberto/Aldo/Brayan Bello are good enough low bonus signs to offset that somewhat.
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Post by jl1947 on Apr 5, 2021 20:00:31 GMT -5
Like Vermont said/meant(?): Let's move on. These interminable discussions repeating the same themes get old fairly quickly and detract from the enjoyment we otherwise derive from this excellent forum.
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Post by dyoungteach on Apr 6, 2021 8:50:38 GMT -5
While we wait for signings to be announced or potential ones: curious who people rank ( as in what teams) over past 5-7 years have the best international team. ( sign best international players). Ranked from beat to 5th best
1). Chicago Cubs ( eloy, gleyboer, wilson Contreras, Miguel amaya, Christian Hernandez, braylain Marquez)
2). Dodgers. ( Ruiz, cartayga, pages, Diaz,)
3). Yankees. (Garcia, Dominguez, Pereza, Medina, Gomez, alcanta, Vargas)
4). Toronto. ( vlad, Martinez, hiraldo, Mirano, pardino, machado, beltre) 5). Tampa bay. ( Hernandez, Franco, brujan, colmenarez, pie) 6) Red Sox. ( devers, Xander, gimenez)
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Apr 6, 2021 8:53:24 GMT -5
To be clear, the 21-22 class is probably not going to be coming for a very long time. The 20-21 class only started on January 15.
I'd guess that this class either gets similarly delayed and/or becomes the first draft class
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