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Post by vermontsox1 on Apr 1, 2021 10:27:38 GMT -5
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Post by vermontsox1 on Apr 1, 2021 10:50:23 GMT -5
As expected, Houck will pitch on Saturday. E-Rod's IL stint was backdated, so he could potentially be back next week. E-Rod's IL stint was backdated to March 29, so he could be back by April 8 if he's ready.
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Post by cba82 on Apr 1, 2021 11:26:13 GMT -5
Time for my annual rant in favor of the common sense idea of starting all season-opening series in warm weather/indoor stadium cities.
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Post by johnsilver52 on Apr 1, 2021 11:43:57 GMT -5
Time for my annual rant in favor of the common sense idea of starting all season-opening series in warm weather/indoor stadium cities. Toronto is starting at Dunedin this year, tho they do have that roof if not for the virus. Odd thing.. Virus stopping all teams (except Rangers) from having more than think it's 25% most any of the other 29 teams are allowing in.. Why should teams in frozen NE play home games there with so few in attendance rather than warm ST locales? It's not going to be attendance figures.
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Post by DesignatedForAssignment on Apr 1, 2021 11:55:06 GMT -5
As expected, Houck will pitch on Saturday. E-Rod's IL stint was backdated, so he could potentially be back next week. E-Rod's IL stint was backdated to March 29, so he could be back by April 8 if he's ready. If Houck is replacing Brasier (recalled before 10 days), then they can't backdate Brasier. Or there's a change in the rule or something I haven't understood Edit: the rule forbidding recall during first 10 days of season doesn't apply until the season begins. Therefore, Houck didn't need the Brasier IL move to bring him back. Houck was optioned on 3/17
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Post by kjkramer on Apr 1, 2021 12:26:24 GMT -5
I think the Sox will be a lot better than many think. I believe they will battle for the ALE title and earn at least a WC and make a run in the playoffs.
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Post by Don Caballero on Apr 1, 2021 12:28:35 GMT -5
Alright bros, my 1 year sabbatical post Mookie trade is done! Join me for jolly celebration for the return of ultimate total dude Alex Cora. Let's kick ass!
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Post by congusgambler33 on Apr 1, 2021 13:09:49 GMT -5
Just looking at the Twins & Brewers game and noticed that JBJ is not in the starting lineup.
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Post by incandenza on Apr 1, 2021 13:15:09 GMT -5
The game was cancelled due to... cloudiness? Well that's annoying.
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Post by incandenza on Apr 1, 2021 13:53:44 GMT -5
Just looking at the Twins & Brewers game and noticed that JBJ is not in the starting lineup.
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Post by kjkramer on Apr 1, 2021 13:54:33 GMT -5
Might be an unpopular opinion, but at the end of 162 games, I feel our outfield production will be better than Betts/JBJ/Benni combo at a fraction of the price.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 1, 2021 14:08:53 GMT -5
Just looking at the Twins & Brewers game and noticed that JBJ is not in the starting lineup. Interesting that Milwaukee is paying JBJ $12 million and not playing him opening day....
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Post by manfred on Apr 1, 2021 14:14:17 GMT -5
Might be an unpopular opinion, but at the end of 162 games, I feel our outfield production will be better than Betts/JBJ/Benni combo at a fraction of the price. Or... Beni and JBJ could be combined negative, and Mookie might still beat them alone. Not likely, but certainly possible. Add: and I say that not to slam this outfield. But Mookie could always pull a 9-10 WAR season.
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Post by incandenza on Apr 1, 2021 14:33:52 GMT -5
Might be an unpopular opinion, but at the end of 162 games, I feel our outfield production will be better than Betts/JBJ/Benni combo at a fraction of the price. Or... Beni and JBJ could be combined negative, and Mookie might still beat them alone. Not likely, but certainly possible. Add: and I say that not to slam this outfield. But Mookie could always pull a 9-10 WAR season. An average of Steamer and ZIPS projects Mookie for 5.9 WAR and Verdugo + Renfroe + Franchy + Marwin + Duran for 5.2.
(That's pretty bearish on Verdugo at 2.3 WAR, though, imo.)
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Post by kevfc89 on Apr 1, 2021 15:57:00 GMT -5
Well despite the disappointing rainout, watching the Yankees strand a million runners in an eventual 3-2 brutal extra inning loss was a fun consolation prize.
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Post by cheers on Apr 1, 2021 18:02:49 GMT -5
Well despite the disappointing rainout, watching the Yankees strand a million runners in an eventual 3-2 brutal extra inning loss was a fun consolation prize. They seem well on their way to 0-162. Starting to pick over their roster to see what we scraps we can pick off the carcass...
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Post by fenwaydouble on Apr 1, 2021 18:15:16 GMT -5
Or... Beni and JBJ could be combined negative, and Mookie might still beat them alone. Not likely, but certainly possible. Add: and I say that not to slam this outfield. But Mookie could always pull a 9-10 WAR season. An average of Steamer and ZIPS projects Mookie for 5.9 WAR and Verdugo + Renfroe + Franchy + Marwin + Duran for 5.2.
(That's pretty bearish on Verdugo at 2.3 WAR, though, imo.) Has anyone around here dug into Verdugo's peripherals? The batted ball stats on baseball savant have me a little worried that last year was flukey good.
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Post by Canseco on Apr 1, 2021 19:45:22 GMT -5
Alright... my 1992 Wade Boggs BP jersey arrived in time for the opener. Good omen. Let's go, boys.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 1, 2021 23:43:11 GMT -5
Might be an unpopular opinion, but at the end of 162 games, I feel our outfield production will be better than Betts/JBJ/Benni combo at a fraction of the price. Or... Beni and JBJ could be combined negative, and Mookie might still beat them alone. Not likely, but certainly possible. Add: and I say that not to slam this outfield. But Mookie could always pull a 9-10 WAR season. If Mookie stays healthy he will be a sure Hall of Famer, but he was still never resigning with the Red Sox. That said, you would need Eric to add up all the different players who will be playing outfield (and subtract all the WAR from when they are playing infield to compare the mish mash of WARs to JBJ, Beni, and Betts. There may be 7-8 different players playing outfield this year for Boston even if no one gets hurt.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 1, 2021 23:46:16 GMT -5
Or... Beni and JBJ could be combined negative, and Mookie might still beat them alone. Not likely, but certainly possible. Add: and I say that not to slam this outfield. But Mookie could always pull a 9-10 WAR season. An average of Steamer and ZIPS projects Mookie for 5.9 WAR and Verdugo + Renfroe + Franchy + Marwin + Duran for 5.2.
(That's pretty bearish on Verdugo at 2.3 WAR, though, imo.) Projections are no better than WAGS (wild ass guesses), and usually nowhere close to reality!
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Apr 2, 2021 0:14:20 GMT -5
The thought of Bobby Dalbec hitting 9th against a LHP with a sizeable platoon split amused me, so I looked into some numbers.
Means actually had a reverse platoon split last year, but it turns out be a SSS fluke, according to Statcast.
OTOH, I had forgotten that Dalbec had a reverse platoon split until 2019, when he had a normal one in part because his RHP numbers went down.
And his numbers in 2020? All of his luck was against LHP. Statcast has him with a big reverse split, and a .314 xwOBA versus LHP.
However ...
As of his first PA on 9/6, Dalbec was .100 / .100 / .100 against LHP in 10 PA. His first PA was a bloop single fielded by the 2B with an xBA of .027. He fanned six times, all but once swinging, grounded back to the pitcher, popped to second, and popped to first (first time up against Robbie Ray in this game). He literally had not gotten the ball out of the infield. His EV's were 79.3, 76.4, 75.9, and 83.7. His xwOBA over these first 10 PA was .023.
An inning later he took Ray deep with 100.3 EV. He did strike out 8 times in the remaining PA (18 including this one), but his other EV's were 106.1 (HR with a 3.920 xSA), 78.3 (an incredibly cheap 2B), 101.6 fly out, 109.6 2B, 85.0 (cheap double), 93.3 (well-placed ground 1B), 109.2 bomb with a 4.000 xSA, and a 98.0 fly out.
His xwOBA in his last 18 PA's was .445 -- and that's not counting a Ks, WP as .700, which Statcast bizarrely does. His average EV was 97.9.
Conclusion: More evidence for two things we already knew: Dalbec makes adjustments, and the sample sizes in 2020 can be very misleading.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Apr 2, 2021 6:59:19 GMT -5
Did anyone else watch the new "Big Inning" feature on mlb.tv? It's kind of like their version of Red Zone. I kinda dug it. Alexa Datt, the host, is pretty good (she was working out a few kinks but based on her track record I'm sure she'll get more comfortable).
I guess it's going to start at 930 eastern every night, which makes sense - give games time to produce enough highlights and then be able to cut to close and late games.
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jimoh
Veteran
Posts: 3,947
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Post by jimoh on Apr 2, 2021 7:42:29 GMT -5
Not enough people talk about how the Book of Genesis begins with the words "In the Big Inning..."
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Post by johnsilver52 on Apr 2, 2021 7:48:45 GMT -5
How many Spring turnarounds for opening day starters were there? Watching the M's-G's game.. Gausman looked brutal 2 games saw him in. He's still throwing mid 90's after 6 innings with 1 hit given up. Maybe Eovaldi can do same today??
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Post by Addam603 on Apr 2, 2021 9:02:31 GMT -5
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