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Post by Guidas on Jun 19, 2021 16:35:31 GMT -5
Quick to the Balbec.
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Post by julyanmorley on Jun 19, 2021 16:41:03 GMT -5
I'm scared to say anything good about Bobby because I'm certain that will cause him to go 0 for his next 18.
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Post by julyanmorley on Jun 19, 2021 16:42:03 GMT -5
Feeling blessed that Kansas City is letting Keller pitch to the heart of the order a third time.
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Post by Guidas on Jun 19, 2021 16:42:56 GMT -5
JD Martinez getting back to doing JD Martinez things.
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Post by soxfaninnj on Jun 19, 2021 16:43:16 GMT -5
Good things happen when the offense takes walks!
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Post by soxinsf on Jun 19, 2021 16:47:01 GMT -5
It’s a lefty throwing, I don’t understand the outrage And of all people in that lineup you choose him to rag on over Santana? Against a lefty?? Bizarre EDIT: DAMN YOU GDT ITS A RIGHTY THROWING. My apologies. Yeah I don’t get this one either Santana should be sent down and Franchy up to see if his new plate discipline is real or if he’s better suited for the Nippon league. Kiké is, was and always will be a utility guy who should never bat higher than seventh in the order. Arroyo should have second and bat lead-off until he shows he can’t do either. There, I said ir. The definition of insanity is repeating the same actions over and over again and expecting different results. How many iterations of trash in the leadoff before Cora (and Bloom) go for something other than dull bladed Swiss Army knives?
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Post by manfred on Jun 19, 2021 17:24:33 GMT -5
Royals pitching is brutal. It is possible Ervin Santana is their best pitcher.
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Post by soxfansince67 on Jun 19, 2021 17:33:15 GMT -5
Wow...if .200 is the Mendoza line, what's the line Santana is approaching? .109! That's no leadoff hitter...or any other kind of hitter!
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Canseco
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Post by Canseco on Jun 19, 2021 17:58:55 GMT -5
Robert E. Bombs
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Post by Guidas on Jun 19, 2021 18:00:31 GMT -5
Short to the ball an he gets it all.
He still could hit 25+ if he stays in the zone and stays short to the ball.
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Post by manfred on Jun 19, 2021 18:02:12 GMT -5
I like going to Workman. Might give Dalbec the extra inning shot he needs to hit for the cycle.
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Post by julyanmorley on Jun 19, 2021 18:02:18 GMT -5
Bobby Dalbec Above Replacement Level For The Season Watch is officially on
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Post by patford on Jun 19, 2021 18:04:58 GMT -5
I'm scared to say anything good about Bobby because I'm certain that will cause him to go 0 for his next 18. SHHHH! Pretend it's a no hitter. I didn't see anything? Anyone???
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Post by Guidas on Jun 19, 2021 18:11:20 GMT -5
Great win!
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Post by soxfansince67 on Jun 19, 2021 18:12:16 GMT -5
Tied for 1st!
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Post by Don Caballero on Jun 19, 2021 18:12:20 GMT -5
Great stuff, go for the kill tomorrow.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Jun 19, 2021 19:27:26 GMT -5
Again, don't know how to look up the stats on this, but I would swear I've never seen a team that is more putrid in RISP/1 out situations or a team that's more magnificent when it's RISP/2 outs. It's easy to look up, but you need to add individual lines of data from b-Ref for 0 and 1 outs. Fortunately, I have a spreadsheet that adds or subtracts them ...
.301 / .362 / .493 (155 PA) 0 outs .200 / .258 / .310 (233 PA) 1 out .282 / .362 / .511 (320 PA) 2 outs
It is kind of silly, but they did the exact same thing in the 2018 post-season. I think it's real in part. I believe it's because pitchers are much predictable with RISP and 0 outs (OMG! Big inning looming, let's get an out here with my best pitch) and 2 outs (Yes sir, just gotta get one more guy, he's not beating me on other than my best pitch). While 1 out has no such special circumstances and becomes a playground for game theory: what can I throw that they won't expect?
AL this year:
.282 / .349 / .458 .265 / .330 / .423 .233 / .329 / .395
What does not make sense is that they're so bad with 1 out. Maybe they're concentrating on learning the 0-out and 2-out tendencies so much they are completely clueless about 1 out, whereas there are some general tendencies that other teams are learning that they're not?
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Post by manfred on Jun 19, 2021 20:05:27 GMT -5
Question: might it not be worth pushing Eovaldi back to Monday? The Royals are not an especially impressive offense, and it would be nice to jump on Tampa in the first game.
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Post by jimgosger on Jun 19, 2021 21:50:02 GMT -5
No game on Monday. Tampa is Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday.
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Post by foreverred9 on Jun 19, 2021 23:07:08 GMT -5
Again, don't know how to look up the stats on this, but I would swear I've never seen a team that is more putrid in RISP/1 out situations or a team that's more magnificent when it's RISP/2 outs. Looking at the numbers Eric linked to, it's looks to be more broadly an issue when it comes to RISP. 1 out with RISP is brutal in all situations, ranging between a 0.503 OPS and a 0.684 OPS and rolling up to a 0.586 OPS in total. 2 out with RISP rolls up to a 0.883 OPS in total. Said differently, they bat slightly below a JDM or Devers level with 2 outs and RISP and bat like Marwin with 1 out and RISP.
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Post by DesignatedForAssignment on Jun 19, 2021 23:14:27 GMT -5
Santana should be sent down and Franchy up to see if his new plate discipline is real or if he’s better suited for the Nippon league. Kiké is, was and always will be a utility guy who should never bat higher than seventh in the order. Arroyo should have second and bat lead-off until he shows he can’t do either. There, I said ir. Can Santana be sent down? I know he has 2 options, but is it possible he signed a contract that said that, after the initial rehab/ST games, he could not be sent down? Santana, more than 5 years MLB service time. Can't be optioned without his permission
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Post by voiceofreason on Jun 20, 2021 4:10:06 GMT -5
The first place Boston Red Sox have surprised a few people, not me though.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Jun 20, 2021 4:12:21 GMT -5
Can Santana be sent down? I know he has 2 options, but is it possible he signed a contract that said that, after the initial rehab/ST games, he could not be sent down? Santana, more than 5 years MLB service time. Can't be optioned without his permission He'll have $972K left on his contract if they DFA him on Monday. It's a prorated $1.75M, and will any team think he's worth that? So he might well clear.
Perhaps I should say when they DFA him. It's hard to see a role for him here. Granted, they're picking Arroyo's spots, sitting him against pitchers he doesn't project to hit, but he's still rocking a 4.0 WAR / 650, and that's without the 1.2 wins of clutch he's already produced. Using the rule of thumb that 10% of clutch is predictive, that's a 4.7 WAR / 650.
So there's no need at second, and Franchy and then Duran are ticketed for the OF. I think they DFA Santana and recall Franchy on Monday.
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Post by sarasoxer on Jun 20, 2021 7:06:02 GMT -5
I'm always riveted to Dalbec's at bats - I'm so curious to see whether we get Good Bobby or Bad Bobby. The same thing happened for me with JBJ. Streaky hitters are like slot machines - they pay out just enough to keep you feeding the coins. They hack my brain. Dalbec seems quicker/shorter to the ball and swinging in the zone more during the last two-three weeks. Anyone concur? Yes. And at least one reason is his choking up a bit. It makes sense that a shorter stick is quicker. It also may allow a little longer to judge a pitch....not commit early. If I haven't said it here, I've certainly thought this for some time with Dalbec. I think it would help a lot of guys especially with 2 strikes...old time ball. With guys throwing 100, it only makes sense. It's not unmanly to choke up.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Jun 20, 2021 9:13:54 GMT -5
Santana, more than 5 years MLB service time. Can't be optioned without his permission He'll have $972K left on his contract if they DFA him on Monday. It's a prorated $1.75M, and will any team think he's worth that? So he might well clear.
Perhaps I should say when they DFA him. It's hard to see a role for him here. Granted, they're picking Arroyo's spots, sitting him against pitchers he doesn't project to hit, but he's still rocking a 4.0 WAR / 650, and that's without the 1.2 wins of clutch he's already produced. Using the rule of thumb that 10% of clutch is predictive, that's a 4.7 WAR / 650.
So there's no need at second, and Franchy and then Duran are ticketed for the OF. I think they DFA Santana and recall Franchy on Monday.
When Franchy was struggling, it seemed hard to believe another player could do a worse job, but Santana has succeeded in making Franchy look good in comparison to himself. If Santana refused the demotion to AAA and became a FA, would whoever signs him only owe him a prorated mlb minimum with the Red Sox picking up the difference?
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