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Tanner Houck - bulk reliever?
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 6, 2021 19:06:42 GMT -5
We somehow didn't have a recent Houck thread? Anyway...
In his last 3 starts, Tanner Houck has been seemingly capped at 4 innings and 60-65 pitches, which doesn't feel like a player ramping up to make starts in MLB. He is barely throwing his splitter, if at all threw none two starts ago with Ian there, one with Mike there in his most recent start. Cora has said that the team is discussing using him in a Whitlock-like role after the break.
It's starting to feel like that role is going to be his best use going forward, and I think Whitlock has shown how valuable that kind of pitcher can be. At the same time I'm kind of flummoxed by the lack of any attempt to work on developing the splitter in-game (compare with Whitlock's documented work on his slider and Groome working on his changeup).
Not really sure I've got a point to make, but it felt like we should have a Houck thread where one can post these sort of observations.
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Post by carmenfanzone on Jul 6, 2021 19:24:19 GMT -5
I am disappointed they are seeming to cap his innings at 4 per outing. I was hoping they would stretch him out into a starter role and then phantom DL one of their starters for 10 days and let Houck fill that spot. When the DL'd starter was eligible to return he could come back and they could DL another starter. I am somewhat concerned letting our starters pitch the whole year without a break after last year's short season. The Tigers have already started limiting the workload for some of their young starters. I know are starters are not that young, but I want them to have some gas in the tank in case the Red Sox make the playoffs and thought using Houck as described above would be one way to do that.
The guy I would be tempted to use as a bulk reliever would be Sale. It might get him to the majors quicker if he doesn't have to work up to starter innings and it might limit the chance he reinjures himself if he doesn't try starting until next year. Isn't the fact that Whitlock is coming off an injury is one of the reasons they are using him in that role?
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Post by huskies15 on Jul 7, 2021 8:12:13 GMT -5
Just thinking out loud here, but combining Houck and Sale down the stretch seems like a nightmare for managers putting a lineup together. Cross-fire guys who are death on the opposite handedness? Intriguing combo while building up Sale's strength.
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steveofbradenton
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Post by steveofbradenton on Jul 7, 2021 8:44:56 GMT -5
Just thinking out loud here, but combining Houck and Sale down the stretch seems like a nightmare for managers putting a lineup together. Cross-fire guys who are death on the opposite handedness? Intriguing combo while building up Sale's strength. Like the idea! 4 or 5 innings at most and then turn it over.
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Post by patford on Jul 7, 2021 8:59:20 GMT -5
Is there a distinction between "bulk reliever" and mop up man? Slotting in Houck for Matt Andriese would have to be an upgrade but isn't that wasting him? Or does a bulk reliever follow an opener? In which case who is the opener? Assuming it's Sale I could see that working as Houck has a similar mix of pitches but is a RH. So if a lineup is loaded up with RH to face Sale and then Houck follows him does the opposing manager make wholesale changes to the lineup knowing that Houck might be followed by Taylor?
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 7, 2021 9:02:06 GMT -5
There is very much a distinction.
Just think of how they've used Whitlock this year, but without the kid gloves they've used with Whitlock.
Technically "bulk reliever" usually means the guy following an opener, but I feel like "long reliever" has a "mop-up guy" connotation to it. But he's a guy they could use in short stints or use in longer ones, and I think it'd be a really good fit for his stuff.
Guy who can come in and give you 3-ish innings when the starter can't go deep, or a guy who can get you 3 big outs against RHH late in the game.
It just feels like if they were ramping him up he'd be at 5 innings by now.
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Post by incandenza on Jul 7, 2021 9:08:00 GMT -5
Is there a distinction between "bulk reliever" and mop up man? Slotting in Houck for Matt Andriese would have to be an upgrade but isn't that wasting him? Or does a bulk reliever follow an opener? In which case who is the opener? Assuming it's Sale I could see that working as Houck has a similar mix of pitches but is a RH. So if a lineup is loaded up with RH to face Sale and then Houck follows him does the opposing manager make wholesale changes to the lineup knowing that Houck might be followed by Taylor? A mop-up man is brought in in low leverage; a bulk reliever is used in meaningful situations. Whitlock, rather than Andriese. In Bloom's soxprospects podcast interview he talked specifically about how some guys might be best used in 3-inning roles, as opposed to the traditional 5/6 inning starter role and 1 inning reliever role. Looks like they've decided Houck is one of those guys.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jul 7, 2021 9:12:25 GMT -5
There is very much a distinction. Just think of how they've used Whitlock this year, but without the kid gloves they've used with Whitlock. Technically "bulk reliever" usually means the guy following an opener, but I feel like "long reliever" has a "mop-up guy" connotation to it. But he's a guy they could use in short stints or use in longer ones, and I think it'd be a really good fit for his stuff. Guy who can come in and give you 3-ish innings when the starter can't go deep, or a guy who can get you 3 big outs against RHH late in the game. It just feels like if they were ramping him up he'd be at 5 innings by now. In April Cora had the luxury of using two guys out of his pen who could come in after the starter and provide 2 - 3 innings of relief and keep the team in the game. Whitlock and Andriese were very effective in those roles and it made life easier on the starters as Cora didn't have to push them, but Andriese has been very ineffective since May so he has in effect has become the mop-up man (and the last guy you want to see pitch in the 12th inning of an extra inning game your team has a good chance of winning). Having lost the luxury of having two of those guys, Houck provides Cora with that luxury again. Cora will push Eovaldi, E-Rod and possibly even Pivetta to provide starter innings and get into the 7th if possible, but he's still going to keep Perez's innings lesser and they'll take what they can get from Richards (who will become the long man at some point most likely) but handle Sale with kid gloves when he starts, so I can see Cora mapping out Houck coming in after Sale in the 6th inning and pitching two innings or Whitlock coming in after Perez and then mixing and matching when they need shorter appearances (like Whitlock's 8th inning appearance against Oakland). They should have some really good flexibility, multiple ways to win games in relief instead of having to rely on the same 2 or 3 guys like other teams usually have to do.
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jul 8, 2021 0:54:41 GMT -5
Look for Houck in the rotation after the All-Star break when the Sox have 18 games in a row. Lots of good stuff about his character in this Jen McCaffrey article. Also this from Abbott: “He didn’t really have that, that was the last ingredient he needed to get a hold of,” Abbott said. “Everything was going away from lefties, he didn’t have anything over there. Worked on a four-seamer to get some carry glove side and it’s been a game-changer. Now he’s got something for lefties. … He’s got that split to go with it now, the ability to cover that glove side has increased with the split action and just increases his total command with all his pitches being able to get over there.” theathletic.com/2690748/2021/07/06/as-red-sox-plan-to-reshuffle-rotation-post-all-star-break-tanner-houck-appears-ready/?source=dailyemailNo bulk here, he's ready. Article also had comments from Abbott about how he didn't miss a beat when he was injured.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Jul 8, 2021 1:18:52 GMT -5
Look for Houck in the rotation after the All-Star break when the Sox have 18 games in a row. Lots of good stuff about his character in this Jen McCaffrey article. Also this from Abbott: “ He didn’t really have that, that was the last ingredient he needed to get a hold of,” Abbott said. “Everything was going away from lefties, he didn’t have anything over there. Worked on a four-seamer to get some carry glove side and it’s been a game-changer. Now he’s got something for lefties. … He’s got that split to go with it now, the ability to cover that glove side has increased with the split action and just increases his total command with all his pitches being able to get over there.” theathletic.com/2690748/2021/07/06/as-red-sox-plan-to-reshuffle-rotation-post-all-star-break-tanner-houck-appears-ready/?source=dailyemailNo bulk here, he's ready. Article also had comments from Abbott about how he didn't miss a beat when he was injured. I love the way you left "that" unspecified ... walkup music? A supportive girlfriend?
The immediately preceding words in the article are "command to the glove side." Which is exactly the thing, in addition to the splitter, that Chris was saying he needed to develop.
----
Now, 4 innings is anything but arbitrary. It's facing the lineup just twice. And if you start the game, it's the opponent's best hitters that you're avoiding facing a third time. That he's not throwing his splitter in these games, even though he's made good progress with it (according to Abbot), suggests that he'll have at least one 4-inning start, very likely piggybacked by Whitlock.
A guess is that the splitter is not quite ready for MLB, if the goal is to go though the lineup twice with as little damage as possible. We might see him use it in some lower-lev relief situations.
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jul 8, 2021 5:38:40 GMT -5
Look for Houck in the rotation after the All-Star break when the Sox have 18 games in a row. Lots of good stuff about his character in this Jen McCaffrey article. Also this from Abbott: “ He didn’t really have that, that was the last ingredient he needed to get a hold of,” Abbott said. “Everything was going away from lefties, he didn’t have anything over there. Worked on a four-seamer to get some carry glove side and it’s been a game-changer. Now he’s got something for lefties. … He’s got that split to go with it now, the ability to cover that glove side has increased with the split action and just increases his total command with all his pitches being able to get over there.” theathletic.com/2690748/2021/07/06/as-red-sox-plan-to-reshuffle-rotation-post-all-star-break-tanner-houck-appears-ready/?source=dailyemailNo bulk here, he's ready. Article also had comments from Abbott about how he didn't miss a beat when he was injured. I love the way you left "that" unspecified ... walkup music? A supportive girlfriend? The immediately preceding words in the article are "command to the glove side." Which is exactly the thing, in addition to the splitter, that Chris was saying he needed to develop. ---- Now, 4 innings is anything but arbitrary. It's facing the lineup just twice. And if you start the game, it's the opponent's best hitters that you're avoiding facing a third time. That he's not throwing his splitter in these games, even though he's made good progress with it (according to Abbot), suggests that he'll have at least one 4-inning start, very likely piggybacked by Whitlock. A guess is that the splitter is not quite ready for MLB, if the goal is to go though the lineup twice with as little damage as possible. We might see him use it in some lower-lev relief situations.
Avoid redundancy..... “Everything was going away from lefties, he didn’t have anything over there.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 8, 2021 6:34:03 GMT -5
I mean, that's great that Abbott says all that, but Houck for whatever reason isn't throwing the splitter, practically at all. In the last 2 starts he's thrown one.
And again, if he's ramping up to start, you'd expect to see his workload increase, not plateau, right? I guess we'll learn more from his next start.
Is a great point about the 18-day stretch. You'd just think they'd make sure he's prepared to throw more than 4 innings.
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jul 8, 2021 9:54:15 GMT -5
I mean, that's great that Abbott says all that, but Houck for whatever reason isn't throwing the splitter, practically at all. In the last 2 starts he's thrown one. And again, if he's ramping up to start, you'd expect to see his workload increase, not plateau, right? I guess we'll learn more from his next start. Is a great point about the 18-day stretch. You'd just think they'd make sure he's prepared to throw more than 4 innings. In the article, there was mention that there was no real need to baby hi. They used Whitlock as the counter example.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 8, 2021 11:16:50 GMT -5
Abbott also specifically says he needs to build up arm strength though. There's also this:
So it's up in the air if he helps as a sixth starter or as a piggyback guy with Whitlock. If he gets capped at 4 IP again tomorrow, I would see it as a signal they're leaning towards the latter, although it's certainly not conclusive evidence - they also must be concerned about Houck's innings as well, so why waste bullets in Worcester, right?
It actually might be a lot easier on the pitching staff to have Houck and Whitlock working long relief outings behind planned short starts from the starters. Like I wonder which of the following they'd prefer. For reference, they're currently getting 5.3 IP per start.
5-man rotation in which Houck and Whitlock take 7 relief innings. Plan for starters to combine for 23 innings. Leaves 15ish innings (3/game) for the other 7 relievers.
6-man rotation in which you hope the starters combine for 32 IP. That leaves 3.2 IP per game for the 8 relievers including Whitlock.
I'm honestly not sure which option is better. Might be the latter if everything goes right but the former might allow for more flexibility?
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jul 9, 2021 11:07:28 GMT -5
If nothing else, it will be interesting to see how they handle the 18 game stretch. I'm leaning towards thinking they will go with a six man rotation to at least start the second half.
As a sum, Houck's injury aligns well with the pre-season banter on how many innings he will pitch for the year.
Next year should see a pretty dynamic rotation will several cost controlled starters in the mix. No need for the Perezes and Richards of the world.
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Post by bcsox on Jul 9, 2021 11:20:35 GMT -5
The two mid season story lines for me, have been the adaptation to the new baseball for pitchers, and the wear and tear on pitchers.
Any starting pitcher who has been healthy all year is going to be getting close to already matching or exceeding last years innings limit. there are going to be many many SP who are going to be flying over their usual year to year allowable innings increase as we come down to the last 6 weeks or so. How teams handle this stuff in backing off for health reasons vs going for the win will be an interesting follow. It seems that the overuse injuries dont manifest themselves until the following season, so I could see a lot of teams, closing their eyes, crossing their fingers and hope for the best while letting their pitchers go. The RS hopefully will have a fresh Houck and Sale to give them a boost to allow rest for the current starting pitchers. Most teams may not have that level of quality coming in fresh in the last 6 weeks, so you could see a lot of burning of arms.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 15, 2021 17:18:51 GMT -5
So this wound up being partially true. He's in the bullpen for the Yankees series and will make a start against Toronto.
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Post by incandenza on Jul 15, 2021 17:26:38 GMT -5
Is he replacing a starter or are they doing a 6-man rotation (at least once through)?
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 15, 2021 20:55:57 GMT -5
He was originally starting in Toronto on Tuesday after everyone else, so a 6th starter.
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Post by brendan98 on Jul 23, 2021 9:35:47 GMT -5
So after last night, you have to at least think about Houck's role for the rest of the season, right?
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Post by James Dunne on Jul 23, 2021 10:40:12 GMT -5
So after last night, you have to at least think about Houck's role for the rest of the season, right? He's making it hard to send him back down, that's for sure. Bulk reliever with spot starts against righty-heavy lineups is such a perfect niche right now, both for the player and the team.
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Jul 23, 2021 10:43:17 GMT -5
I don’t know if he can be a starter over a full season or not but I know he can be dominant in some capacity
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Post by ematz1423 on Jul 23, 2021 11:00:39 GMT -5
Looking at baseball reference numbers listed for him when he starts. 6 games 31 innings 1.74 ERA, 1.065 WHIP and 11.3 k/9. Small sample size for sure but I have a hard time saying he should go to the bullpen untill/unless that changes. The numbers are inevitably going to turn but how much will they turn? And will it be enough to say we have a better option to start over Houck as the 5th guy because I don't see one currently on the roster.
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Post by soxinsf on Jul 23, 2021 11:08:09 GMT -5
So after last night, you have to at least think about Houck's role for the rest of the season, right? He's making it hard to send him back down, that's for sure. Bulk reliever with spot starts against righty-heavy lineups is such a perfect niche right now, both for the player and the team. With the imminent return of Sale, it is hard to see Houck as a full time reliever for the rest of the season and into the playoffs. But he looks like he could be a starter for a long time based on his two plus pitches and the development of a third anything with a downward plane. I would rather have Houck in the rotation than Richards or Perez even now. Just do not see that kind of wholesale change happening now outside of injury or total loss of form by either of those guys.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jul 23, 2021 11:13:15 GMT -5
He's making it hard to send him back down, that's for sure. Bulk reliever with spot starts against righty-heavy lineups is such a perfect niche right now, both for the player and the team. With the imminent return of Sale, it is hard to see Houck as a full time reliever for the rest of the season and into the playoffs. But he looks like he could be a starter for a long time based on his two plus pitches and the development of a third anything with a downward plane. I would rather have Houck in the rotation than Richards or Perez even now. Just do not see that kind of wholesale change happening now outside of injury or total loss of form by either of those guys. At this stage he's kind of a 5 inning starter as his control isn't exactly pinpoint. I can see him giving good 5 innings and the Sox having to find a way to bridge the gap to 8th inning. They're already doing that plenty. This season I prefer Houck being the one to come in during the sixth inning and pitching 2 to 3 innings a clip two to three times per week. I think he can impact a lot of games for the good that way rather than throwing five good innings every fifth day. Next season I think Bloom will prioritize getting a couple of guys who can pitch effectively in those piggyback/multi-inning bulk relief roles that will free up Whitlock and Houck to become guys who can become consistent six inning starters.
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