|
Post by wildsox on May 21, 2024 20:39:07 GMT -5
Was it me or did Grissom have some better swings tonight?
|
|
mobaz
Veteran
Posts: 3,014
|
Post by mobaz on May 21, 2024 20:41:37 GMT -5
I'm feeling we take the series. No good reason, I'm just ready to get back up after heading down for a bit. Money! Now time for a sweep
|
|
|
Post by bosoxnation on May 21, 2024 22:23:02 GMT -5
Where would this team be without my guy Duran!
|
|
gerry
Veteran
Enter your message here...
Posts: 1,775
|
Post by gerry on May 22, 2024 1:17:00 GMT -5
O'Neil going through a very rough patch. Is it possible he is still working thru concussion related issues? Trying to play through something? It seems likely to me.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 9,016
|
Post by ericmvan on May 22, 2024 4:00:47 GMT -5
Sox have now won 15 straight games after being the first team to reach a 75% Win Probability.
Of course, they are also working on a 22-game streak of losing after the opponents got to 75%.
And they are now 1 for 23, or if you prefer (and I'm sure you do), one for their last one.
Combine that and winning a series in the Trop, and it seems as if things may well be changing nicely. And in fact there is a 3rd element that seems to be getting better.
The Sox' trouble RISP literall started at game one. They were 0 for their first 3 games in hitting better with RISP than the bases empty, then 2 out of 8, then 3 of 13, then 4 of 19 ... By the second Nats game they had had 4 streaks of 3 bad games and 4 streaks of 4 bad games, without ever having 3 good ones in a row. [1]
In the last Nats game and first three Rays games they actually were good 3 times in 4, and split the games ... but they rolled into the Trop with a five game bad streak. They were 13 out of 47 overall.
In all of that there was only one game where they just killed it with RISP, the last Twins game , when they had a .308 adjusted wOBA empty and a .725 RISP (a .417 difference.
So what happened in game 1 here? A .197 empty and .910 with RISP, a .713 difference.
They did it again in game 2 (numbers to be added when available).
They are still looking for their first 3-game good streak -- something to look for tomorrow now that Raffy has proven to be human.
[1] The league has a .302 wOBA empty and .320 with RISP, which makes perfect sense. So we add .018 to the former to get relative quality.
|
|
ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 9,016
|
Post by ericmvan on May 22, 2024 4:25:20 GMT -5
Grissom looking like a big leaguer tonight. Prior to this game he had 10 hart-hit balls with a total expected hits of 4.5. He was actually 1 for 10 with a double and GDP.
He comes up here with 2 outs and men on 1st and second, gets five sliders from Littel, and smokes the last 100.3 with a 67% hit probability. Some justice at last!
|
|
|
Post by scottysmalls on May 22, 2024 8:16:15 GMT -5
Just learned this is the first series the Red Sox have won at the Trop since 2019
|
|
|
Post by scottysmalls on May 22, 2024 8:23:16 GMT -5
The catching duo also deserves a shout out after McGuire’s homer last night. They are tied for fourth among all teams in catcher fWAR (guessing they rate higher in rWAR because Wong rates really poorly as a framer). They also lead all teams in base running value from catchers and are third in wRC+, the only teams leading them being manned by the Contrerases.
|
|
asm18
Veteran
Posts: 2,543
|
Post by asm18 on May 22, 2024 9:30:30 GMT -5
Liam Hendriks throwing at 120 feet from flat ground multiple times per week, but not from a mound yet. What’s a reasonable expectation for him if he joins the Sox this summer?
|
|
|
Post by bellhorndingers21 on May 22, 2024 10:12:19 GMT -5
Liam Hendriks throwing at 120 feet from flat ground multiple times per week, but not from a mound yet. What’s a reasonable expectation for him if he joins the Sox this summer? Quick Google of Andrew's UCL protocol and he still has 150 and 180ft thresholds to achieve. Looks like he has a bit further to go with long toss before he reaches a mound.
|
|
|
Post by bosoxnation on May 22, 2024 11:07:17 GMT -5
Idk where to put this but omg Benintendi. -1.9 WAR only 29 years old completely fallen off a cliff.
|
|
|
Post by cba82 on May 22, 2024 11:22:07 GMT -5
I love how speed is more relevant today Is it more relevant because the Red Sox now have sone really fast runners? Or are you referring to rule changes that have “unlocked” the running game? I like this team, by the way; they are fun to watch, and should be even more so when Casas gets back.
|
|
|
Post by Soxfansince1971 on May 22, 2024 13:14:33 GMT -5
I love how speed is more relevant today Is it more relevant because the Red Sox now have sone really fast runners? Or are you referring to rule changes that have “unlocked” the running game? I like this team, by the way; they are fun to watch, and should be even more so when Casas gets back. Speaking of Casas coming back….i wonder how many of those low scoring losses the Red Sox might have won if Casas had not gotten hurt…?
|
|
|
Post by dirtywaterinla on May 22, 2024 14:24:47 GMT -5
Is it more relevant because the Red Sox now have sone really fast runners? Or are you referring to rule changes that have “unlocked” the running game? I like this team, by the way; they are fun to watch, and should be even more so when Casas gets back. Speaking of Casas coming back….i wonder how many of those low scoring losses the Red Sox might have won if Casas had not gotten hurt…? Only God knows. But hey, if the team can stay 4-5 games over .500 by the time he comes back, I’ll feel pretty good about making the run at the 3rd WC.
|
|
|
Post by itinerantherb on May 22, 2024 15:06:24 GMT -5
For sure. With the biblical plague of injuries, the month of Bad News Bears defense, and the stretch of 0 for 143 with RISP, the fact that they're 1 game out of the 3rd WC is pretty wild. And really, none of the teams within spitting distance in either direction--Twins, Pirates, Rangers, Rays, Mariners--are clearly better. The Astros could make a legitimate run, I suppose, but beyond them, there really aren't any obvious obstacles.
|
|
|
Post by keninten on May 22, 2024 15:09:48 GMT -5
For sure. With the biblical plague of injuries, the month of Bad News Bears defense, and the stretch of 0 for 143 with RISP, the fact that they're 1 game out of the 3rd WC is pretty wild. And really, none of the teams within spitting distance in either direction--Twins, Pirates, Rangers, Rays, Mariners--are clearly better. The Astros could make a legitimate run, I suppose, but beyond them, there really aren't any obvious obstacles. ?
|
|
|
Post by soxin8 on May 22, 2024 15:19:07 GMT -5
Liam Hendriks throwing at 120 feet from flat ground multiple times per week, but not from a mound yet. What’s a reasonable expectation for him if he joins the Sox this summer? Quick Google of Andrew's UCL protocol and he still has 150 and 180ft thresholds to achieve. Looks like he has a bit further to go with long toss before he reaches a mound. I believe he was hoping for an August 1 return.
|
|
asm18
Veteran
Posts: 2,543
|
Post by asm18 on May 22, 2024 16:35:35 GMT -5
Garrett Cooper scratcher right shoulder discomfort - that explains a lot. Dom Smith instead
|
|
kevfc89
Veteran
Posts: 5,825
Member is Online
|
Post by kevfc89 on May 22, 2024 17:57:38 GMT -5
Pepiot has some really good early season numbers, and no one's been able to hit his 4-seam fastball. The Rays may have done it yet again, trading walk-year Glasnow for the young cost-controlled version.
|
|
|
Post by julyanmorley on May 22, 2024 18:10:05 GMT -5
Grissom can't buy a break
|
|
shagworthy
Veteran
My neckbeard game is on point.
Posts: 1,845
|
Post by shagworthy on May 22, 2024 18:12:49 GMT -5
two balls right at the knees that he watches for strikes and then swings at a mf ball in his eyes. harrumph.
|
|
kevfc89
Veteran
Posts: 5,825
Member is Online
|
Post by kevfc89 on May 22, 2024 18:18:08 GMT -5
Ahead in the count against the leadoff hitter, you don't challenge him and end up walking him and now there's a jam.
|
|
shagworthy
Veteran
My neckbeard game is on point.
Posts: 1,845
|
Post by shagworthy on May 22, 2024 18:18:40 GMT -5
two balls right at the knees that he watches for strikes and then swings at a mf ball in his eyes. harrumph. A squander and then an immediate choke.
|
|
|
Post by julyanmorley on May 22, 2024 18:22:05 GMT -5
Bello has not been pitching great this season
|
|
|
Post by incandenza on May 22, 2024 18:24:04 GMT -5
Hmm. Maybe the Red Sox could have used Jordan Montgomery after all.
|
|