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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 14, 2021 20:54:08 GMT -5
How does your OBP analysis change when you take into account platoons? For example, Renfroe's career OBP is 71 points higher against lefties. Cordero's is 83 points higher against righties. Cordero vs RHP .322 / .463 / .786 Renfroe vs LHP .339 / .573 / .912 The combination of the two feels like an above average left fielder. C Vazquez / Plawecki 1B Dalbec 2B Gonzalez SS Bogaerts 3B Devers LF Cordero / Renfroe CF Hernandez RF Verdugo DH Martinez With the exception of C and 1B, this seems like a lineup that can produce baserunners at an above average clip. I see Kiki at 2B Verdugo at least starting the year in CF I also don’t see a typical platoon in LF. Will be moving parts and rotations. But I’d say when Renfroe starts ( 75%plus ) it will be in RF. It’s much harder to predict Cordero as far as games but I agree he will be in LF. I think we can expect lots of different lineups. Potentially a different one most every night. May see JD in the field some. Especially if both Cs hit like last season.
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 14, 2021 19:24:00 GMT -5
162 games boys. Haha
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 14, 2021 17:46:53 GMT -5
91-81 Mvp Xman CY Erod ( hard pick) Breakout player Kiki (30hr) Come back player JD Prospects that advance Jimenez Groome Prospect that contributes Duran
Reliever Darwinzin Loose game 163 to jays
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 11, 2021 16:13:23 GMT -5
I smell having to tolerate another deluge of "now we can afford JBJ" posts about to erupt on the site.. And yeah.. What a pile on the return. Hopefully it was only about clearing more space, but for a Moreland, cheaper real backup OF etc.. Not a wasted expensive get. If JBJ is resigned then you get one of your favorite players back... Somehow a guy has to think of JBJ was to be signed it would have been announced already
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 10, 2021 23:34:15 GMT -5
This is the second offseason in a row that it feels like, as a fan, I’ve been traded to a low-revenue team which plays in a non-baseball market.... Sox have the 2nd highest payroll in baseball so I wouldn’t go that far. We all know DD sold out but we got a WS. I’m hoping to be competitive this year. Maybe surprise. As for the ptnl, they usually aren’t much. But considering the Mets got the royals 8th prospect I’m optimistic we may get something decent yet
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 9, 2021 20:40:24 GMT -5
Is this deal official?? $$?
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 8, 2021 18:07:23 GMT -5
Almost 100% the Sox are not going over the tax limit. There is simply more to loose than gain for a team that is projected to be middle of the pack. Sure if all goes right we could be right there but there is no one player that ensures that. As for Bradley, I’ve been dead set against bringing him back. As time goes though maybe the price comes down. Is it worth considering signing JBJ and trading Benny??? If a guy could do this and still be under the cap it may be advantageous???
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 5, 2021 13:42:24 GMT -5
I have to admit, as much as I hate to, that if the team is really high on Duran it doesn't make much sense to re-sign JBJ, especially on a 3-year deal. Of course it is a good sign that they're that high on Duran; him and Verdugo as exciting young outfielders would almost bring back the feeling when Mookie and JBJ were just that 5 years ago. I totally agree. And get ozuna in LF and we may even surprise
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 4, 2021 15:18:28 GMT -5
Was Ellsbury a great defender? I honestly don’t recall... I feel like I have conflicting memories. But generally, he is the Duran comp I come back to. Fast, good hitter, butst of surprising power. Not the strongest arm, but I thought by my eye he was a great defender. I'm not up to speed on analytics like a lot of you guys here. I’d say average at best. He could defiantly run and covered ground but his arm was honestly one of the worst I’ve ever saw.
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 1, 2021 17:58:18 GMT -5
I don't know this for a fact, but my guess is it's like when a legal contract includes a transfer of some property in exchange for $1 or $100 or something so that technically there's consideration. (Maybe that analogy will only work for the lawyer types in the room?) Anyway, you technically can't just give a player away. Consideration is anything of value--tangible or intangible. It can include assumption of obligations. The likely reason for the PTBNL goes back to une 15, 1976, when then-Oakland A's owner Charlie Finley sold (he called it a trade, but there were no players coming in other direction) closer Rollie Fingers and left fielder Joe Rudi to the Boston Red Sox for $1 million each and Vida Blue to the Yankees for $1.5 million. The Commissioner invalidated the deals because no players were involved. 1976 attempted selloffA guy in my hockey team got traded for 12 water bottles. For real. Now this was more than 1 level down from NHL. But Still a funny story
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 31, 2021 16:59:27 GMT -5
What does Ottavino get as a free agent? 1/7?? Put it this way - the delta between what he'd get as a FA and what he's making (minus 850k) is definitely not more than what buying German from the Yankees is worth. Subtracting the future considerations
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 31, 2021 13:32:47 GMT -5
What does Ottavino get as a free agent? 1/7??
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 28, 2021 20:47:25 GMT -5
MLB Pipeline is releasing their Top 100 tonight and there are 4 Red Sox on the list. I'm going to go ahead and guess it's Casas, Downs, Dalbec, and Duran. Just the first three but Casas and Downs inside the top 50 is awesome. Casas rose up like 20+ spots. I also saw 4. And yet it appears only 3???
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 28, 2021 20:45:59 GMT -5
So, sure it is only late January, but things seem to be settling in the AL East, given that the major remaining FA, Trevor Bauer, is not likely ending up in the division. Of course there could be and probably will be a few surprises, but I’m not sure we can expect anything beyond little touches. So: of the Jays, Yankees, and Sox, how do we rank off-season acquisitions? It seems obvious to me the Jays are #1 with Springer, Yates, Matz, resigning Ray, Semien, and Chatwood. The Yankees signing Kluber and getting Taillon is very high risk. They haven’t done a ton otherwise, but did resign LeMahieu. And the Sox get Renfroe, Hernandez, Richards, Andriese, resign Perez, and get Ottavino. It seems to me the Sox and Yankees are a tie — mostly because they are both sort of crapshoots. If Ottavino and Richards bounce back, the Sox have had a decent off season. If Kluber OR Taillon bounces back, the Yankees have too. But if all four of them bounce back, the Yankees did better. Add: this doesn’t factor but maybe should losses. Yanks trade away Ottavino. Sox look to be moving on from JBJ (but maybe not!!). Sox lose Rusney Castillo (I’m kidding). I wouldn’t say that any teams are down adding yet. In fact I’d say Yankees and Blue Jays are still both possible Bauer landing spots. Mets still make the most sense. But I’d say other than that blue jays, MFY, Dodgers.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 26, 2021 17:47:25 GMT -5
I think we can all agree that this is no super team. That said it has a chance to be very good and even compete for a World Series. Worst case the farm system should be getting deeper and the Sox should not be totally out of it so early. I honestly can’t go though another year like last year. Literally trying to loose games with starting those misfits. SO DEMORALIZING
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 22, 2021 22:18:06 GMT -5
He was -0.1 fWAR last year in 48 games, and 1.2 fWAR in 130 games the year before that. Had a strong 2018, but it's clear that's an outlier season in his career. I also get visions of him becoming Cora's new Eduardo Nunez (because energy or something!), overused and playing against every right handed pitcher despite struggling to hit against them. Mehhhh, rather have spent our limited money somewhere else. UZR has him too low on defense, DRS has him way too high. Using Statcast for plays made, I get the following WAR per 650 PA: 4.4, 1.4, 1.8.
That projects to 2.3, or 1.6 to 1.8 for the amount of PT he's likely to get.
So they paid about 4$M a win, maybe $5M at most, but that excludes the versatility, which has real value.
Of course, now that they've outbid everyone else to get the best guy of his type, people are complaining anyway.
In comparison JBJ in the last 4 years is about a 2fwar or 2.4bwar player. Basicly a full time player.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 22, 2021 21:04:11 GMT -5
He was -0.1 fWAR last year in 48 games, and 1.2 fWAR in 130 games the year before that. Had a strong 2018, but it's clear that's an outlier season in his career. I also get visions of him becoming Cora's new Eduardo Nunez (because energy or something!), overused and playing against every right handed pitcher despite struggling to hit against them. Mehhhh, rather have spent our limited money somewhere else. For what ever reason Fwar didn’t like his defence last year. Who’s BRwar 1.0. Still 29 years old
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 22, 2021 20:59:49 GMT -5
Wonder if this means we could see one of Arroyo/Chavis/Munoz being DFA'd or packaged in a trade in the coming weeks. Unless the plan is for Hernandez to primarily be CFer instead of 2B, which I hope is not the case (would mean no JBJ). I realy can’t see bringing JBJ back. Pretty much goes against what the FO is trying to accomplish. I’d say verdugo In CF and Kiki some late inning double switches outing Verdugo in RF
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 22, 2021 20:39:06 GMT -5
Fantastic signing. Payed market price but this is a baseball player. Has sneaky power and it opens up all kinds of options defensively.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 21, 2021 11:07:02 GMT -5
New poster with a question. I see spotrac list the Red Sox with approximately $30 million to spend while remaining under the tax threshold. Does that sound correct and does that explain some of the inactivity? They need a CF, 2B, and at least two more pitchers. You have to shop for bargains if you are trying to get all that done with that amount of money to spend. You got it, But that dosnt mean the team will spend all of that $$. Although I think most baseball people can agree it’s in the Sox best interest to continue to add talent. Also I’m dosnt gaurantee the Sox can’t spend more than that. But I think that ship has sailed. Expect at least 20$M more of contract for the 2021 season. 3 players would be my guess
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 20, 2021 15:10:05 GMT -5
Unless we see some last minute fireworks I think we can all agree Sox are looking for value signings. I still feel that that will come if we are patient. Let’s not overreact until it’s GO time. I don’t see any circumstance taht the ownership tanks on purpose like last season. They may not go over but they will spend to the limit. There will also be player additions to come. And quality ones. As for the east we are 4 going in, but I’m not one bit sold on the jays, MFYs have there ? Marks and the rays can only go one direction
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 18, 2021 23:17:49 GMT -5
Lester for one year to Nats, no options. Honestly, I’d rather have signed Lester for one-and-done than Odorizzi— if that even happens. Play out a mediocre season, enjoy JL in our uni again, start over next year without any money on the books. Im pretty sure at this point in his career Lester can’t be near the AL east. Sox screwed up 7 years ago but to late to fix that now.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 18, 2021 13:11:54 GMT -5
A testament to the improved Sox depth though. Still not where it needs to be but going the right way.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 18, 2021 0:28:20 GMT -5
Not sure if its deeper since they're bringing back the exact same starters. I guess because Erod is healthy the statement isn't a lie. Rotation is still bad and Barnes is still the closer... Do you mean the starters at the beginning of the year, or at the end? It looked a bit different after they brought in Houck and then Pivetta, certainly not the same group they started the season with. That was something I know I was thankful for, they were actually winning series against good teams.
There's not much comparison, and they'll be even less if Rodriguez returns to form. And that's before they add any additional starters.
Hall, Hart, Covey, Kickam, springs, Godley. That was the issue with the staff last year. From the time Erod got hurt until the last 15 games or so the Sox were literally giving 2 of 5 games away but using pitchers that had no business being on an MLB roster. It is already in much better shape now. That said, there is still much work to be done.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 16, 2021 18:25:25 GMT -5
Martin Perez
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