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Blake Swihart's Future in Boston
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Post by gregblossersbelly on May 13, 2016 6:57:18 GMT -5
Swihart is easily my favorite prospect. That being said I don't understand everyone. What do you mean you don't know why he's playing LF? CV obviously is Farrell's catcher so unless you want to trade him you move him into a position where he can start on the major league team. Well we have only 1 that's going to be available next season. LF. If you don't like it oh well you don't need to. Swihart is not built like a catcher and he sure as hell has the opportunity to focus on hitting if playing LF. Why would you want a switch hitting LF who can maybe bulk up and focus on his bat and hit .300 with 20 homers in the near future. Guess what guys!? Bryce Harper use to catch. good thing they didn't trade him huh. It's the best move for him. Move Brock back into the super utility role giving guys rest. Right now it seems we arnt resting players enough and at the end of the season it will show. Hanley is doing so well at 1st it's improving his hitting. Shaw is ecstatic he's getting the chance to play 3rd a position he wants to play. Unfortunately Sandoval will be our DH next year. I would love to see BS in LF!!! Good move Boston I love you guy! Benny will be in LF next year. And, I think Moncada will play 3b at some point next year. Shaw to 1b and Hanley to DH. Pablo will be in SD with us paying nearly his entire salary.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 13, 2016 8:34:59 GMT -5
Hanny are catching 60/40%. Hanny is becoming to be an automatic out. Hanigan has a 2000 PA track record of hitting in the majors but yeah the last 20 PAs obviously change everything. My god... Angry angry angry
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Post by sibbysisti on May 13, 2016 8:40:14 GMT -5
Swihart showing some D in LF with his assists. He's a good athlete, no doubt. Perhaps he can get a lot of time in playing PT in LF against lefties and C vs righties.
Doubt Moncada will advance to Boston all the way from Salem in one year, especially at a new position. His target should be 2018, as he's still young, and Pedey will be 35.
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Post by rjp313jr on May 13, 2016 8:40:43 GMT -5
How do people not understand that at this point in time, Swihart does not hit well enough to be anything but a catcher? He is a below average major league hitter. Give him time to improve as a catcher and as a hitter. I don't understand why people think he needs to be in the majors as the Red Sox LF now or as the catcher. He's not ready. You wait for him to develop. Nothing has to be decided now and they don't have to change his position. Let him stay in the minors all year and maybe next year as well. Just because get feel Vasquez is a better fit for this team doesn't mean Swithart isn't a major league caliber catcher right now. Does he have a lot to improve on? Yea he does. Does he have a ton of room for growth? Yup. Do I think he's a below average major league hitter over the course of season with regular ABs right now? No I don't. I don't mind him playing left field to get more ABs if it doesn't detract from his catching. Major league offense has changed. Take a look at the left fielders around baseball. This isn't 10 years ago. It's hardly a stretch to think he can hit enough to play there. The question becomes is that the best use of the asset? Right now, I don't think it matters he's still catching and they aren't trading him. Just increasing their depth. Right now if an outfielder goes down who's the Pawtucket call up? Castillo... They are just building depth options
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Post by mgoetze on May 13, 2016 9:07:29 GMT -5
Hanigan has a 2000 PA track record of hitting in the majors but yeah the last 20 PAs obviously change everything. My god... Angry angry angry Don't know where you get that feeling from, I'm just sarcastic by nature.
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Post by larrycook on May 14, 2016 20:33:24 GMT -5
Will Red Sox pitchers ever trust swihart again behind the plate after a rough April this year?
It's great that swihart is learning left field, but if he had any future at catcher, he needs innings at Pawtucket behind the plate.
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Post by Coreno on May 14, 2016 20:53:16 GMT -5
He's still getting innings behind the plate, more than in the outfield, in fact.
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Post by zimmerdown on May 14, 2016 23:36:31 GMT -5
Swihart is easily my favorite prospect. That being said I don't understand everyone. What do you mean you don't know why he's playing LF? CV obviously is Farrell's catcher so unless you want to trade him you move him into a position where he can start on the major league team. Well we have only 1 that's going to be available next season. LF. If you don't like it oh well you don't need to. Swihart is not built like a catcher and he sure as hell has the opportunity to focus on hitting if playing LF. Why would you want a switch hitting LF who can maybe bulk up and focus on his bat and hit .300 with 20 homers in the near future. Guess what guys!? Bryce Harper use to catch. good thing they didn't trade him huh. It's the best move for him. Move Brock back into the super utility role giving guys rest. Right now it seems we arnt resting players enough and at the end of the season it will show. Hanley is doing so well at 1st it's improving his hitting. Shaw is ecstatic he's getting the chance to play 3rd a position he wants to play. Unfortunately Sandoval will be our DH next year. I would love to see BS in LF!!! Good move Boston I love you guy! You can blame a lot of things on Farrell, but to blame him for CV being his everyday catcher? What would you do? Swihart is getting chances in LF, IMO, to improve his versatility with the Red Sox. If they wanted to trade him, they would keep him at catcher. He'll never be a full time LF, no doubt. But imagine a supersub position for him at backup catcher, OF, 1B. That's what I see in his future here. If they wanted to trade him he'd be gone by now, not in LF.
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Post by nerajya on May 15, 2016 5:29:57 GMT -5
Swihart is easily my favorite prospect. That being said I don't understand everyone. What do you mean you don't know why he's playing LF? CV obviously is Farrell's catcher so unless you want to trade him you move him into a position where he can start on the major league team. Well we have only 1 that's going to be available next season. LF. If you don't like it oh well you don't need to. Swihart is not built like a catcher and he sure as hell has the opportunity to focus on hitting if playing LF. Why would you want a switch hitting LF who can maybe bulk up and focus on his bat and hit .300 with 20 homers in the near future. Guess what guys!? Bryce Harper use to catch. good thing they didn't trade him huh. It's the best move for him. Move Brock back into the super utility role giving guys rest. Right now it seems we arnt resting players enough and at the end of the season it will show. Hanley is doing so well at 1st it's improving his hitting. Shaw is ecstatic he's getting the chance to play 3rd a position he wants to play. Unfortunately Sandoval will be our DH next year. I would love to see BS in LF!!! Good move Boston I love you guy! You can blame a lot of things on Farrell, but to blame him for CV being his everyday catcher? What would you do? Swihart is getting chances in LF, IMO, to improve his versatility with the Red Sox. If they wanted to trade him, they would keep him at catcher. He'll never be a full time LF, no doubt. But imagine a supersub position for him at backup catcher, OF, 1B. That's what I see in his future here. If they wanted to trade him he'd be gone by now, not in LF. But CV isn't the everyday catcher. He's being protected from having to catch the knuckler. If you dump Hanigan, who catches Wright? Butler? Leon?
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Post by bigpapismangosalsa on May 15, 2016 7:02:53 GMT -5
I think that the idea that Swihart's value is down across the rest of the league is at least over-stated among some here. If he were to be used in a trade, he could still be a very valuable trade chip. The closest comparison I can think of is the trade between Washington and Oakland for Gio Gonzalez with Derek Norris and AJ Cole as the center pieces. At that time, Norris' value as a prospect had taken a fairly significant hit, and Cole was somewhere in the 90-100 range across most decent publications. That got Washington a 26 year old Gonzalez coming off two very good seasons with, as best as I can tell 2 years of control left - possibly three depending on how his service time appearing in 10 games in 2008 was calculated.
In today's game, something like Swihart and Owens as the "Norris and Cole" pieces doesn't get you a guy like Dallas Keuchel or Corey Kluber, but it should get someone similar in value to guys like Danny Salazar, Drew Smyly or Jake Odorizzi (these are examples of value, I'm not saying actual players).
It's hard to find a similar trade because frankly good teams that have elite catching prospects just don't trade them that often, but then again, they also don't move that player to LF if his bat can't handle that position (I like Swihart a lot, but he's not Schwarber).
Ultimately, while I don't "want" to trade Swihart right now, if he could be used in a package to acquire the type of pitcher mentioned above - or better - I'd do it. If he can't, there is no chance you trade him.
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Post by zimmerdown on May 15, 2016 8:14:50 GMT -5
You can blame a lot of things on Farrell, but to blame him for CV being his everyday catcher? What would you do? Swihart is getting chances in LF, IMO, to improve his versatility with the Red Sox. If they wanted to trade him, they would keep him at catcher. He'll never be a full time LF, no doubt. But imagine a supersub position for him at backup catcher, OF, 1B. That's what I see in his future here. If they wanted to trade him he'd be gone by now, not in LF. But CV isn't the everyday catcher. He's being protected from having to catch the knuckler. If you dump Hanigan, who catches Wright? Butler? Leon? Swihart?
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Post by jmei on May 15, 2016 9:16:24 GMT -5
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Post by nerajya on May 15, 2016 17:51:48 GMT -5
But CV isn't the everyday catcher. He's being protected from having to catch the knuckler. If you dump Hanigan, who catches Wright? Butler? Leon? Swihart? Not if he's in Pawtucket learning how to be the left hand platoon of a left fielder.
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Post by nerajya on May 15, 2016 17:53:39 GMT -5
Not inevitable if one of them is in AAA learning left field and the other one is in the Red Sox rotation.
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Post by zimmerdown on May 15, 2016 21:15:02 GMT -5
Not if he's in Pawtucket learning how to be the left hand platoon of a left fielder. I'm not sure if you read what I wrote, and I'm not sure if what I wrote is what is going to happen, but I feel that Swihart is being groomed for a position of back-up catcher. To make his bat more available, he could also back up LF, 1B, etc. That is why I believe they sent him down to work on LF. If they wanted to trade him, it would probably be better if they kept him at C and not try him at LF. I definitely do not believe that his future is a left hand platoon of a LF. Do you?
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Post by sox fan in nc on May 16, 2016 11:13:49 GMT -5
I don't mind him being the primary back-up catcher in Boston next year. He gives some insurance in case CV goes down with an injury. We've all seen primary catchers go down with serious injuries (Yadier/Posey) & they had to throw a significant downgrade back there & basically punting their season. Not sure if that safety blanket is worth not having a Danny Salazar type instead.
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Post by nerajya on May 16, 2016 13:40:17 GMT -5
Not if he's in Pawtucket learning how to be the left hand platoon of a left fielder. I'm not sure if you read what I wrote, and I'm not sure if what I wrote is what is going to happen, but I feel that Swihart is being groomed for a position of back-up catcher. To make his bat more available, he could also back up LF, 1B, etc. That is why I believe they sent him down to work on LF. If they wanted to trade him, it would probably be better if they kept him at C and not try him at LF. I definitely do not believe that his future is a left hand platoon of a LF. Do you? It seems like only a few weeks coming out of Spring he was still regarded by many experts as the best catching prospect in MLB. Learning left field because they want his bat to play in another position seems sensible I guess particularly if you are planning to trade him. If he proves at Pawtucket that he is MLB capable of playing LF, in my view it will be to the detriment of his catching, making his overall trade value less. Of course at this point I'm willing to trust the brains in the FO over my limited knowledge and accept that he's being asked to become more flexible to get better value from his bat as a member of the Red Sox.
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Post by sox fan in nc on May 17, 2016 9:13:56 GMT -5
Defensively he can play LF or even 1B as he is extremely athletic. He is not Conforto or Schwarber who can do damage with the bat. I just don't see him @ even a platoon bat at those positions. I'm in the boat as he will be an above average bat @ catcher & that is about it.
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Post by brianthetaoist on May 30, 2016 7:50:05 GMT -5
Blake Swihart as catcher 2015: 2.7 fWAR/150 Christian Vazquez so far 2016: 0.5 fWAR/150
A couple of points of context: Vazquez has played less than 1/2 the games Swihart did last year and judging from his hitting, Swihart probably accrued a lot of that fWAR in the second half of the season. But still, that's a big difference. Also, I think the Sox have a minimally-acceptable level of catcher defense that they look for, and it's possible Swihart just doesn't reach that yet. So I'm not saying Swihart is better right now.
But, Vazquez has not been very good so far this year, that's clear. Certainly not good enough that you can discount Swihart's future importance to this organization as a catcher.
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Post by Guidas on May 30, 2016 8:38:21 GMT -5
Swihart's catching skills are unlikely to improve while he's playing left field. His offense is deficient for left field, as well. They are diminishing his value with this experiment.
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radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,345
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Post by radiohix on May 30, 2016 8:38:29 GMT -5
The defensive component of FG WAR is not accurate at all, just check Saltalamacchia page, so I won't put any weight on those projections. CV has a year off last year, he'll needs more reps/ABs to reach his true talent level. Honestly, from what I saw so far Swihart is not a very good hitter not even for a catcher.
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ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,935
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Post by ericmvan on May 30, 2016 10:37:55 GMT -5
The defensive component of FG WAR is not accurate at all, just check Saltalamacchia page, so I won't put any weight on those projections. CV has a year off last year, he'll needs more reps/ABs to reach his true talent level. Honestly, from what I saw so far Swihart is not a very good hitter not even for a catcher. fWAR bases defense on UZR, but UZR doesn't do catchers. What does fWAR use instead? It's a mystery. They had Swihart at 0.0 runs fielding in 2015, whereas DRS had him at -9, or -14 per 120 games. It's worth noting that CV's tough defensive game in Toronto was a day game after a night game, and that he wouldn't have caught them both ordinarily, let alone coming off the TJ surgery, unless Hanigan had been sick. Why Swihart didn't catch one of those games is a good question.
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Post by dnfl333 on May 30, 2016 12:41:34 GMT -5
Why Swihart didn't catch one of those games is a good question. Did you forget who the manager is?
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Post by thelavarnwayguy on May 30, 2016 14:44:02 GMT -5
The Swihart situation to me is complicated. Look at his historic passed ball and WP numbers and they are real bad. A lot of that is probably catching S. Wright but if they considered Vazquez as the starter it was probably unacceptable for Swihart to catch Wright any more defensively. Particularly when we have sinkerballs like Porcello on staff. So something had to be done if the back up catcher was going to be the guy catching Wright. They also saw the LF situation and the fact that Swihart is a young, very athletic player who could clearly develop into a good defensive outfielder. And they didn't know what they had in Bradley going into this year and Holt was the starter in LF so is it really that much of a surprise that they decided to give Swihart some development time in LF?
Jesus, the guy is just barely 24 years old and some people think he will never hit well enough to play the OF when he is probably at least average defensively out there? When he hit 300 over the last half of last year and has historically finished strong most of his years in the minors even as a catcher? The guy seems to be capable of making adjustments and keeping himself healthy. Swihart keeps getting better as a player. Isn't that clear by now after watching his development? He's still only 24 years old.
I think Swihart is a diamond in the rough still. I'm all for him adding some positional flexibility by giving him some PT in LF. He is a long term project and all the savants insisting that Vazquez blew him away as a player could well end up wrong before all this is through. Remove Wright from the equation and maybe Swihart is acceptable defensively at catcher eventually. I don't think it is pitch calling and pitch framing as much as it is passed balls and wild pitches allowed. He doesn't block pitches well. That's the biggest problem. But lots of catchers come up with that problem at first especially with Swihart having to catch Wright both some last year and this year ( I'm assuming, I haven't looked it up ).
I wouldn't trade Swihart. I'd actually make him the starter and Vazquez the back up and trade Hannigan, who still has value. Vasquez will never hit well enough to be the starter and his pitch framing is probably over rated. And I have no doubt lots of teams would consider Swihart a blue chip guy to trade for. This is what would make this team better. Win baby win.
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Post by wcsoxfan on May 30, 2016 15:01:02 GMT -5
fWAR bases defense on UZR, but UZR doesn't do catchers. What does fWAR use instead? It's a mystery. They had Swihart at 0.0 runs fielding in 2015, whereas DRS had him at -9, or -14 per 120 games. It's worth noting that CV's tough defensive game in Toronto was a day game after a night game, and that he wouldn't have caught them both ordinarily, let alone coming off the TJ surgery, unless Hanigan had been sick. Why Swihart didn't catch one of those games is a good question. www.fangraphs.com/library/defense/catcher-defense/
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