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4/30-5/2 Red Sox vs. Royals Series Thread
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Post by James Dunne on Apr 30, 2018 8:50:46 GMT -5
4/30 Red Sox (LHP Eduardo Rodriguez 3-0, 3.63, 22.1 IP, 23K:8BB) vs. Royals (RHP Jason Hammel 0-2, 3.38, 32.0 IP, 17K:9BB) 7:10 pm ET, NESN/WEEI 5/1 Red Sox (LHP Chris Sale 2-1, 2.31, 35.0 IP, 45K:8BB) vs. Royals (RHP Jakob Junis 3-2, 3.34, 25K:7BB) 7:10 pm ET, NESN/WEEI 5/2 Red Sox (LHP Drew Pomeranz 0-1, 7.27, 8.2 IP, 11K:4BB) vs. Royals (LHP Danny Duffy 0-3, 5.40, 31.2 IP, 28K:14BB) 1:05 pm ET, NESN/WEEI MLB StandingsRed Sox Hitting StatsRed Sox Pitching StatsMLB ScoreboardMLB TransactionsA note regarding moderating of the gameday threads in 2018:
As the disclaimer has always said, in the past, we have been very liberal in moderating the Gameday threads. They're meant to be a lot less formal than other threads on the forum, so to moderate them the same way would be silly. However, we do ask posters to maintain a certain level of decorum in these threads, and we plan on moderating the Gameday threads a little more actively this season. In particular, we ask that posters refrain from being overly repetitive with their posts (if you've made your point, let it go), refrain from monopolizing the discussion (if you are making more than a couple posts in a row, you probably need to slow down a little bit), and of course, follow the Ground Rules (link). The point is to make these threads worth participating in and fun for all posters, from our long-time fixtures to people just signing up today.
-The Management
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Post by James Dunne on Apr 30, 2018 9:51:48 GMT -5
The Red Sox have a .294/.365/.496 line against lefties and .198/.254/.293 against lefties. They have three players (Nunez, Bradley, Benintendi) with a sub .300 OPS(!) against lefties in at least 20 PA. Other than the catchers, nobody has an OPS lower than .762 against righties. Which, for context, only three American league teams have an OPS better than .762 against RHPs.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Apr 30, 2018 10:41:14 GMT -5
The Red Sox have a .294/.365/.496 line against lefties and .198/.254/.293 against lefties. They have three players (Nunez, Bradley, Benintendi) with a sub .300 OPS(!) against lefties in at least 20 PA. Other than the catchers, nobody has an OPS lower than .762 against righties. Which, for context, only three American league teams have an OPS better than .762 against RHPs. So it's a good thing that the Sox have hoarded all those lefties into their rotation - so they don't have to face them  Given that the Sox usually have only 3 lefties in their starting lineup on a given night it's weird that their righties struggle so badly against southpaws. You'd expect JDM, Hanley, Betts, Bogaerts, and Nunez to whack them around. Not shocking although disappointing that Benintendi is still struggling so badly against lefties. Maybe that will be another thing that Pedroia can help the Sox with when he returns. |
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Post by incandenza on Apr 30, 2018 10:46:27 GMT -5
The Red Sox have a .294/.365/.496 line against lefties and .198/.254/.293 against lefties. They have three players (Nunez, Bradley, Benintendi) with a sub .300 OPS(!) against lefties in at least 20 PA. Other than the catchers, nobody has an OPS lower than .762 against righties. Which, for context, only three American league teams have an OPS better than .762 against RHPs. In a lineup that includes Betts, Ramirez, Martinez, and Bogaerts, all of whom have hit well! And getting Pedroia back should help. Pedroia replacing Nunez is going to be like that first big breath you take when you step out in the woods on a cool summer day. |
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Post by fenwaythehardway on Apr 30, 2018 10:52:13 GMT -5
The Red Sox have a .294/.365/.496 line against lefties and .198/.254/.293 against lefties. They have three players (Nunez, Bradley, Benintendi) with a sub .300 OPS(!) against lefties in at least 20 PA. Other than the catchers, nobody has an OPS lower than .762 against righties. Which, for context, only three American league teams have an OPS better than .762 against RHPs. So it's a good thing that the Sox have hoarded all those lefties into their rotation - so they don't have to face them Given that the Sox usually have only 3 lefties in their starting lineup on a given night it's weird that their righties struggle so badly against southpaws. You'd expect JDM, Hanley, Betts, Bogaerts, and Nunez to whack them around. Not shocking although disappointing that Benintendi is still struggling so badly against lefties. Maybe that will be another thing that Pedroia can help the Sox with when he returns. True reverse hitter splits are rare, and the Red Sox were about ten percent better against lefties than righties in 2017 with most of the same players, so I highly doubt this is anything other than a reminder that the season is still young. |
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Apr 30, 2018 11:08:57 GMT -5
So it's a good thing that the Sox have hoarded all those lefties into their rotation - so they don't have to face them Given that the Sox usually have only 3 lefties in their starting lineup on a given night it's weird that their righties struggle so badly against southpaws. You'd expect JDM, Hanley, Betts, Bogaerts, and Nunez to whack them around. Not shocking although disappointing that Benintendi is still struggling so badly against lefties. Maybe that will be another thing that Pedroia can help the Sox with when he returns. True reverse hitter splits are rare, and the Red Sox were about ten percent better against lefties than righties in 2017 with most of the same players, so I highly doubt this is anything other than a reminder that the season is still young. Also, Betts, Bogaerts, Hanley, and Martinez are hitting LHP just fine taking sample size into account. The only one who's been awful against them is Nunez, who actually does have a career reverse split (.291/.331/.418 vs. RHP, .258/.291/.405 vs. LHP). Rk Name G GS PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+
1 Mookie Betts 12 27 23 6 2 0 2 6 0 0 4 2 .261 .370 .609 .979 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 .211 67 161
2 Xander Bogaerts 6 12 12 4 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 .333 .333 .500 .833 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 .400 54 123
3 Hanley Ramirez 11 24 23 8 1 0 0 4 0 0 1 6 .348 .375 .391 .766 9 0 0 0 0 0 1 .471 78 110
4 J.D. Martinez 11 22 21 6 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 10 .286 .318 .381 .699 8 0 0 0 0 0 1 .545 52 90
5 C. Vazquez 11 19 19 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 .211 .211 .316 .526 6 0 0 0 0 0 1 .250 118 41
6 Blake Swihart 6 7 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 .143 .143 .143 .286 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .200 47 -21
7 Eduardo Nunez 11 25 23 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 .087 .160 .087 .247 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 .105 -20 -29
8 Sandy Leon 6 12 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 -100 -10 |
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radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,321
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Post by radiohix on Apr 30, 2018 12:30:47 GMT -5
Texas in the coming series will have 3 LH pitchers starting.
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Post by James Dunne on Apr 30, 2018 12:33:48 GMT -5
Texas in the coming series will have 3 LH pitchers starting. If they can't hit Martin Perez then it's a real problem. |
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radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,321
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Post by radiohix on Apr 30, 2018 12:35:33 GMT -5
Texas in the coming series will have 3 LH pitchers starting. If they can't hit Martin Perez then it's a real problem. lol So true! |
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ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,931
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Post by ericmvan on Apr 30, 2018 13:13:47 GMT -5
With a 75 xFIP-, .167 BABIP, and no HR allowed yet, Matt Barnes now ranks 6th in MLB (of 212 relievers with 35+ TBF) in xWP- (Expected Relief Effectiveness). In comparison, Kimbrel is 70, .208, .100 HR/FB, and ranks 19th (but he ranks 6th in WP-, actual effectiveness a/k/a results). Barnes is now also 2nd on the team in average leverage, at 1.73.
Barnes' WP- (the results, so it includes clutch differential) has improved steadily and is now down to 62, where 51 to 70 is the standard range for final numbers for an 8th inning guy on a contender. Because of all the small sample sizes, he ranks just 62nd, which at this point in the season is average 7th inning results, but if he keeps pitching like this that ranking should continue to improve,
Meanwhile Joe Kelly still ranks 22 (expected) / 19 (actual), which a strong 8th inning guy. Hembree has dropped to 84 / 90, which are 6th inning numbers, but that's all he needs to be going forward.
When you factor in the possibility of Thornburg and, later Beeks as a LHR who can actually pitch at the end of the games (Johnson's ranks are down to 184 / 171, but he also ranks 206 in usage (TBF adjusted for leverage)), I think the odds of us not needing an 8th inning guy at the deadline are good.
Whether we can afford to keep both Johnson and Wright in the bullpen as long guys who probably aren't useful in high leverage (Wright has always been better as a starter) is another question. Johnson still seems like a guy who would have some trade value, so whether we keep both probably depends on the health of the 5 guys ahead of them (plus, to a lesser degree, the performance of Velazquez and Beeks).
That we can option Smith if he continues to struggle (something I'd been forgetting) is a plus.
If I had to guess who's in the pen down the pennant stretch, it would be Kimbrel, Barnes, Kelly, Beeks, Wright, but the last two spots could be any combination of Hembree, Johnson, Smith, Thornburg, Workman, et al. I really think either Hembree or Johnson goes so that the last spot can be shuttled in and out.
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Post by James Dunne on Apr 30, 2018 13:14:40 GMT -5
No such luck, it seems:
Since he's going on the DL with very vague dicomfort in his non-throwing elbow, I'm guessing the real reason is a serious case of ERA inflammation.
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Post by Guidas on Apr 30, 2018 16:15:41 GMT -5
No such luck, it seems: Since he's going on the DL with very vague dicomfort in his non-throwing elbow, I'm guessing the real reason is a serious case of ERA inflammation. I wish vague non-specific pain for Pomeranz would appear so he can go down to AAA and get right. |
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Apr 30, 2018 18:07:41 GMT -5
Probably a good idea to keep Mookie away from the wet grass tonight with a tight hamstring.
He's available to pinch hit though.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Apr 30, 2018 18:21:18 GMT -5
Edaurdo is falling apart here.
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Post by Guidas on Apr 30, 2018 18:28:26 GMT -5
Good Lord.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Apr 30, 2018 18:29:44 GMT -5
Losing 3 out of 4 to the Rays and Royals would be something.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Apr 30, 2018 18:30:02 GMT -5
Lol Nunez. This game is turning into a disaster already. This is Saturday reborn here.
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Post by 180054giant on Apr 30, 2018 18:30:11 GMT -5
This has been an all-time eye bleeder
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Post by jimed14 on Apr 30, 2018 18:31:21 GMT -5
Between the f'ing umpire who missed at least 3 strike 3's and Nunez, that was the most annoying inning ERod could have possibly pitched. How to get 3 runs without hitting the ball...
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Post by soxfansince67 on Apr 30, 2018 18:31:34 GMT -5
Whatever Nunez had pre-injury last year is long gone...he is simply killing them right now.
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Post by chrisfromnc on Apr 30, 2018 18:31:52 GMT -5
For whatever reason, I accepted ERod’s complete garbage. But watching Nunez butcher a fairly routine ground ball is about to make me turn this game off.
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Post by braziliansox on Apr 30, 2018 18:35:26 GMT -5
At this point we should just play Holt and Lin at 2B until Pedroia is back. Nunez would need to be a great hitter to make up for his awful defense, and he obviously isnt.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Apr 30, 2018 18:35:49 GMT -5
Go Astros.
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Post by jimed14 on Apr 30, 2018 18:35:49 GMT -5
That Nunez only has 1 error this season tells you what you need to know about how meaningless errors are when it comes to judging defensive ability.
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Post by Guidas on Apr 30, 2018 18:40:39 GMT -5
That Nunez only has 1 error this season tells you what you need to know about how meaningless errors are when it comes to judging defensive ability. But Cora says he’s a gamer and always ready. Pedroia can’t get back quick enough. |
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