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Post by pedey on Mar 14, 2019 14:20:34 GMT -5
Threads like these are always fun. I didn't see one created, so here we go...
Stat Predictions
Main Lineup:
Vazquez: .235 AVG 6 HR 35 RBIs 0 SB
Moreland: .248 AVG 13 HR 41 RBIs 1 SB
Pedroia: .274 AVG 12 HR 58 RBIs 8 SB
Bogaerts: .291 AVG 22 HR 101 RBIs 10 SB
Devers: .268 AVG 29 HR 91 RBIs 2 SB
Benny: .287 AVG 22 HR 64 RBIs 26 SB (low RBIs due to hitting leadoff)
Bradley: .258 AVG 16 HR 67 RBIs 15 SB
Mookie: .316 AVG 28 HR 102 RBIs 33 SB
JD: .310 AVG 37 HR 118 RBIs 3 SB
Bench:
Swihart: .241 AVG 5 HR 21 RBIs 1 SB
Holt: .268 AVG 7 HRs 36 RBIs 5 SB
Nunez: .251 AVG 8 HRs 30 RBIs 8 SB
Pearce: .270 AVG 12 HR 42 RBIs 0 SB
Rotation:
Sale: 18-5 2.67 ERA 198 IP 271 Ks
Price: 14-6 3.63 ERA 194 IP 190 Ks
Porcello: 14-9 4.24 ERA 210 IP 189 Ks
Eovaldi: 10-7 3.87 ERA 140 IP 130 Ks
Rodriguez: 15-5 3.38 ERA 182 IP 196 Ks
Bullpen:
Barnes: 2-7 3.52 ERA 64 IP 93 Ks 34 Saves
Velazquez: 8-4 3.78 ERA 98 IP 64 Ks (spot starter)
Brasier: 2-2 3.42 ERA 58 IP 52 Ks
Johnson: 7-3 4.26 ERA 94 IP 73 Ks (spot starter)
I'm sorry I don't really have further bullpen predictions until we know what it is...
More random predictions:
A Red Sox pitcher will throw the first no-hitter since Lester did in 2008.
Devers will earn his way to be the #5 hitter.
XB and Sale will be extended
The Sox will trade a prospect for a closer in July
Chavis will make his MLB debut
The Sox will win more games than they did in 2018
The Sox will win back-to-back WS titles for the first time since 1915 and 1916
A lot of wishful thinking, but it's easy to get excited about this year. The core is still here... for now
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Post by Deleted on Mar 31, 2019 12:50:33 GMT -5
3 games already under the belt, but I don't think that really will have a big effect, so...
Also I assume they trade for a closer and possibly 1 or 2 others, but since it would be hard to predict who at this point, I'm going to pretend no trades.
Rotation:
Chris Sale: 32 G, 19-6, 2.84 ERA, 5.4 WAR
David Price: 27 G, 12-10, 3.62 ERA, 3.6 WAR
Rick Porcello: 33 G, 17-11, 3.41 ERA, 3.9 WAR
Nathan Eovaldi: 28 G, 14-8, 3.92 ERA, 3.2 WAR
Eduardo Rodriguez: 29 G, 16-8, 3.64 ERA, 3.7 WAR
PB Starters:
Hector Velazquez: 36 G, 5 GS, 9-6, 3.92 ERA, 2.6 WAR
Brian Johnson: 38 G, 4 GS, 8-5, 3.87 ERA, 2.8 WAR
Steven Wright: 17 G, 2 GS, 5-2, 3.74 ERA, 1.4 WAR
Bullpen:
Matt Barnes: 57 G, 3-8, 4.12 ERA, 2.2 WAR
Ryan Brasier: 51 G, 3-4, 3.74 ERA, 2.7 WAR
Heath Hembree: 47 G, 2-5, 4.78 ERA, 1.6 WAR
Brandon Workman: 42 G, 4-4, 4.27 ERA, 1.9 WAR
Tyler Thornburg: 46 G, 3-5, 3.96 ERA, 2.3 WAR
Up and Down Starters:
Mike Shawaryn: 5 G, 1-3, 5.16 ERA, -0.2 WAR
Darwinzon Hernandez: 7 G, 2-3, 4.78 ERA, 0.1 WAR
Up and Down Relievers:
Colten Brewer, 17 G, 2-3, 4.17 ERA, 0.4 WAR
Chandler Shepherd: 2 G, 0-1, 6.25 ERA, -0.2 WAR
Travis Lakins: 3 G, 0-1, 5.64 ERA, -0.2 WAR
Bobby Poyner: 7 G, 2-1, 3.74 ERA, 0.3 WAR
Marcus Walden: 6 G, 1-2, 4.37 ERA, 0.0 WAR
Josh Taylor: 4 G, 1-1, 4.86 ERA, 0.0 WAR
Durbin Feltman: 6 G, 2-1, 4.06 ERA, 0.1 WAR
DH:
JD Martinez: 152 G, .314 AVG, 46 HR, 2 SB, 7.4 WAR
Catcher:
Christian Vazquez: 97 G, .228 AVG, 5 HR, 1 SB, 0.4 WAR
Blake Swihart: 64 G, .245 AVG, 3 HR, 6 SB, 0.5 WAR
Up and Down Catcher:
Sandy Leon: 12 G, .184 AVG, 1 HR, 0 SB, -0.1 WAR
First Base:
Mitch Moreland: 79 G, .261 AVG, 12 HR, 2 SB, 0.7 WAR
Steve Pearce: 72 G, .283 AVG, 9 HR, 2 SB, 1.0 WAR
Up and Down First Base:
Sam Travis: 22 G, .268 AVG, 2 HR, 2 SB, 0.2 WAR
Infield:
Eduardo Nunez: 62 G, .243 AVG, 9 HR, 11 SB, 0.7 WAR
Xander Bogaerts: 147 G, .287 AVG, 16 HR, 7 SB, 3.6 WAR
Rafael Devers: 117 G, .264 AVG, 24 HR, 4 SB, 3.2 WAR
Dustin Pedroia: 74 G, .288 AVG, 10 HR, 6 SB, 1.9 WAR
Brock Holt: 53 G, .235 AVG, 6 HR, 3 SB, 0.4 WAR
Up and Down Infield:
Marco Hernandez: 17 G, .258 AVG, 3 HR, 5 SB, 0.3 WAR
Tzu-Wei Lin: 15 G, .264 AVG, 1 HR, 1 SB, 0.2 WAR
Michael Chavis: 10 G, .238 AVG, 3 HR, 0 SB, 0.1 WAR
Outfield:
Mookie Betts: 156 G, .321 AVG, 35 HR, 38 SB, 8.2 WAR
Andrew Benintendi: 147 G, .304 AVG, 23 HR, 20 SB, 5.2 WAR
Jackie Bradley: 138 G, .271 AVG, 18 HR, 12 SB, 3.7 WAR
Up and Down Outfield:
Bryce Brentz: 12 G, .264 AVG, 5 HR, 0 SB, 0.3 WAR
Aneury Tavarez, 9 G, .214 AVG, 1 HR, 5 SB, 0.0 WAR
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Post by soxfansince67 on Mar 31, 2019 13:22:41 GMT -5
That's 126 wins!
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Post by soxfansince67 on Apr 1, 2019 9:49:11 GMT -5
I will play.
Rotation:
Chris Sale: 15-4, 2.76
David Price: 16-6, 3.44
Rick Porcello: 14-10, 3.98
Nathan Eovaldi: 12-7, 3.78
Eduardo Rodriguez: 12-8, 3.66
PB Starters:
Hector Velazquez: 6-4, 4.24
Brian Johnson: 5-3, 3.88
Bullpen:
Matt Barnes: 3-3, 36 saves, 2.45
Ryan Brasier: 4-2, 4 saves, 2.78
Heath Hembree: 3-4, 4.25
Brandon Workman: 6-2, 3 saves, 3.22
Tyler Thornburg: 3-3, 3.95
Colten Brewer: 2-1, 2 saves, 3.65
not going to speculate at the moment at who has to come up due to injuries, etc.
The above adds up to 101 wins
DH:
JD Martinez: .324 - 38 - 126
Catcher:
Christian Vazquez: .244 - 6 - 35
Blake Swihart: .267 - 7 - 40
First Base:
Mitch Moreland: .246 - 16 - 54
Steve Pearce: .268 - 15 - 45
Sam Travis: .267 - 3 - 18
Infield
Eduardo Nunez: .256 - 6 - 32
Xander Bogaerts: .292 - 22 - 94
Rafael Devers: .288 - 28 - 87
Dustin Pedroia: .277 - 5 - 40
Brock Holt: .268 - 4 - 28
Outfield:
Mookie Betts: .334 - 27 - 110
Andrew Benintendi: .296 - 18 - 75
Jackie Bradley: .254 - 18 - 72
That's 213 home runs.
Finger in the air!
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Post by dmaineah on Apr 11, 2019 12:58:27 GMT -5
I'm going to say they go 92 - 58 from here on and that will get them in the playoff's as division champs.
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Post by telson13 on Apr 11, 2019 14:46:26 GMT -5
Not going to do the whole team, but I’m becoming increasingly convinced Swihart finishes around .275/.345/.440 with at least 12 HR and 20 2b in roughly 400 PA. He’s been light years ahead of Vazquez so far offensively (Vazquez really looks lost...like he’s stuck in a loop in his head), and he’s arguably been better defensively as well. I think by late May, Swihart is getting the bulk of the catching duties. It’s possible it’s just a streak right now, and the sample size is pretty tiny. That said, Swihart’s been clearly more aggressive swinging (Sw% is up almost 10 points vs career), but his SwStr % is down from over 11 to under 8% (which is very good), and his contact rates are up a good amount, especially outside the zone (where he’s still swinging a bit too much, but...he’s over 80% contact rate). Again, with it being really early he might just be seeing the ball well and attacking, and he may be doing that thinking he has something to prove. He’s got 2 barrels of 13 batted balls, versus 7 in over 130 last year. His hard-hit % has doubled. baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/blake-swihart-596119?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb. The early indicators are quite good offensively; behind the dish he’s also done quite well. I think he’s gaining confidence and I honestly consider that my predicted line might be an underestimate. The team may be awful as a whole so far, but Blake Swihart has looked terrific, and I think he’ll end up being a major part of the turnaround in fortune that’s coming. We may see Vazquez traded mid-season, with Swihart catching 4 of 5 days and León back up as the backup (heh heh). Saves the team $3.5M, too. |
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