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Post by Underwater Johnson on Mar 14, 2022 22:09:34 GMT -5
I went through all of the current BOS starting options and calculated their average innings thrown from their last four full seasons. Obviously, 2020 didn't count as a full season and I skipped over seasons that guys missed entirely (Eovaldi had one that wasn't 2020).
For younger guys, I included all innings in the majors and minors and college from the last four full seasons.
Those averages are the over/under numbers in the above poll, except for Paxton, whose number is the IP that Sale had last season coming back from TJ.
The Red Sox were extremely fortunate last year in terms of starting pitcher health. Their top six starters accounted for 150 of the 162 starts and Sale accounted for 9 of the 12 remaining. We'd all love a repeat and don't want to predict injury but I thought this would be fun poll.
N.B. if all these numbers were right on the money, it would total 909.1 IP, or 5.2 IP per start, which is probably unrealistically high in 2022, so that's an interesting wrinkle.
Also, I calculated average IP for Crawford and Seabold, who picked up 2 of the 3 starts not thrown by the top 7 guys (bonus points if you remember who started the other game) and they came in at 108.2 and 101.2 IP, respectively. So if either or both are ready for primetime and are needed, they could make a real contribution.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 15, 2022 23:26:27 GMT -5
I went through all of the current BOS starting options and calculated their average innings thrown from their last four full seasons. Obviously, 2020 didn't count as a full season and I skipped over seasons that guys missed entirely (Eovaldi had one that wasn't 2020).
For younger guys, I included all innings in the majors and minors and college from the last four full seasons.
Those averages are the over/under numbers in the above poll, except for Paxton, whose number is the IP that Sale had last season coming back from TJ.
The Red Sox were extremely fortunate last year in terms of starting pitcher health. Their top six starters accounted for 150 of the 162 starts and Sale accounted for 9 of the 12 remaining. We'd all love a repeat and don't want to predict injury but I thought this would be fun poll.
N.B. if all these numbers were right on the money, it would total 909.1 IP, or 5.2 IP per start, which is probably unrealistically high in 2022, so that's an interesting wrinkle.
Also, I calculated average IP for Crawford and Seabold, who picked up 2 of the 3 starts not thrown by the top 7 guys (bonus points if you remember who started the other game) and they came in at 108.2 and 101.2 IP, respectively. So if either or both are ready for primetime and are needed, they could make a real contribution.
Bead Peacock …. Badly |
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Post by Underwater Johnson on Mar 16, 2022 17:12:52 GMT -5
I went through all of the current BOS starting options and calculated their average innings thrown from their last four full seasons. Obviously, 2020 didn't count as a full season and I skipped over seasons that guys missed entirely (Eovaldi had one that wasn't 2020).
For younger guys, I included all innings in the majors and minors and college from the last four full seasons.
Those averages are the over/under numbers in the above poll, except for Paxton, whose number is the IP that Sale had last season coming back from TJ.
The Red Sox were extremely fortunate last year in terms of starting pitcher health. Their top six starters accounted for 150 of the 162 starts and Sale accounted for 9 of the 12 remaining. We'd all love a repeat and don't want to predict injury but I thought this would be fun poll.
N.B. if all these numbers were right on the money, it would total 909.1 IP, or 5.2 IP per start, which is probably unrealistically high in 2022, so that's an interesting wrinkle.
Also, I calculated average IP for Crawford and Seabold, who picked up 2 of the 3 starts not thrown by the top 7 guys (bonus points if you remember who started the other game) and they came in at 108.2 and 101.2 IP, respectively. So if either or both are ready for primetime and are needed, they could make a real contribution.
Bead Peacock …. Badly You are correct, sir! EDIT: Bad Peacock! (Great name for a band...) |
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Post by Underwater Johnson on Mar 16, 2022 17:22:43 GMT -5
Um, anyone want to rethink their "Chris Sale over" picks...?
His situation will ultimately bump others higher too, depending on how long it drags out.
EDIT: It looks like you can actually change your picks, which I didn't know. Part of the idea was to be able to look at these votes next off-season and see how they compare to the actual results, so I hope people aren't changing every time there's news about a pitcher's health or the team's plans for him.
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Post by taiwansox on Mar 16, 2022 17:24:45 GMT -5
Um, anyone want to rethink their "Chris Sale over" picks...? His situation will ultimately bump others higher too, depending on how long it drags out. I didn’t know that Clay Buchholz still pitched for us, but it looks like we’re paying him $30M/year |
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Post by Underwater Johnson on Mar 18, 2022 16:42:05 GMT -5
Will people need to revise their Paxton picks?
Went back to listen to the radio feed of the first two ST games and Bradford mentioned that he talked to Big Maple (not sure why he didn't report this in an article but maybe I missed it). Paxton threw off a mound for the first time this week and is planning to do so again every few days over the coming weeks. Says he's aiming for a June return, which would put him two months before Sale came back last year (and maybe before Sale pitches this season...).
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Post by manfred on Mar 18, 2022 16:43:26 GMT -5
Will people need to revise their Paxton picks? Went back to listen to the radio feed of the first two ST games and Bradford mentioned that he talked to Big Maple (not sure why he didn't report this in an article but maybe I missed it). Paxton threw off a mound for the first time this week and is planning to do so again every few days over the coming weeks. Says he's aiming for a June return, which would put him two months before Sale came back last year (and maybe before Sale pitches this season...). I went under not just based on when I think he gets back, but also when I think he gets hurt again. |
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Post by jimed14 on Mar 19, 2022 6:13:52 GMT -5
I was a little annoyed with that Bradford tweet where he assumed all Red Sox fans knew who Big Maple was without mentioning his name.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Mar 19, 2022 13:48:41 GMT -5
Over on Eovaldi, Paxton and Whitlock.
Under on everyone else.
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