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A Logical Look at Giancarlo Stanton
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Post by wcsoxfan on Dec 16, 2013 2:52:23 GMT -5
How does this look? Red Sox In: Giancarlo Stanton (Mia) Mariners In: John Lackey (Bos), Allen Webster (Bos) Pirates In: Mike Carp (Bos), Drake Britton (Bos) Marlins In: DJ Peterson (Sea), Anthony Ranaudo (Bos), Wendell Rijo (Bos) , Ryan Lavarnway (Bos), Reese McGuire (Pitt) Peterson, Ranaudo and McGuire are all top 100 prospects. My 2 cents: Mariners: Why are they loading up on starting pitching? From what I can tell, their current needs are OF, RP and C. I think the Red Sox would be giving up too much for Peterson while at the same time not giving the Mariners anything they need. Working Franklin and/or Ackley into the deal going to Miami may make sense. Pirates: Makes some sense - no idea if this is enough. Marlins: From a PR standpoint, they would probably be looking for a major-league-ready top 50 player to hang their hat on.
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Post by bmitchsox on Jan 8, 2014 20:44:59 GMT -5
How do you guys feel about these deals for each team? Personally I think they're realistic and make definite sense for each team involved. The Sox give up good players, but they can still keep most of their core chips and would still have a deep farm. Their lineup would look scary, and they'd have to look like world series favorites.
Sox: Giancarlo Stanton Miami: Jackie Bradley Jr, SS Orlando Arcia, Allen Webster (or Ranaudo), Wendell Rijo, Brian Johnson, Sean Coyle Brewers: Mike Carp, CL Steve Cishek, Ryan Dempster (@8mil)
Sox: Carlos Gonzales Dodgers: Lackey, Lavarnway Rockies: LF Joc Pederson, SP Tom Windle, Will Middlebrooks, Bryce Brentz
CarGo/Pedroia/Stanton/Ortiz/Napoli/Bogaerts/Pierzynski/Victorino/Young Lester - Buccholz - Peavy - Doubront - Workman Ross - Gomes - Nava - Herrera Uehara - Mujica - Tazawa - Breslow - Miller - Britton - Badenhop (I'd love to see Bailey as depth)
We could then sign Michael Young or Placido Polanco for 1yr at 3rd, considering Cecchini will be ready next year barring a set back. We would still have Vazquez to take over next year, and Swihart the following year. Barnes and Ranaudo would be ready to step in if needed, not to mention Hinojosa might not be too far off. We also keep our high cieling guys like Owens, Ball, Ruby, Stank, Diaz, Callahan, Littrell. Betts could be moved to CF this year at AAA and take over after Victorino is gone. Hassan, Margot and Marrero would still provide depth, not to mention the plethora of relievers we have waiting in line.
I really don't think trading some of our farm to upgrade necessarily has to be a bad idea. I know we had the whole Crawford fiasco, so most people seem afraid of tying up money, but this could actually work. Just because it didn't work once doesn't mean it never will. We could move Stanton off of LF to 1B when Napoli's deal is up to lessen the chance of injury and keep his legs fresh. CarGo has been producing steadily, and has shown he could handle RF at Fenway. This also sets us up to still really compete in a couple years. The lineup could look very special for '16, and the farm would still be very deep-
LF Gonzales 2B Pedroia SS Bogaerts 1B Stanton 3B Cecchini DH Nava or Nap CF Betts C Swihart / Vazquez RF Margot
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jan 8, 2014 22:02:59 GMT -5
How do you guys feel about these deals for each team? Personally I think they're realistic and make definite sense for each team involved. The Sox give up good players, but they can still keep most of their core chips and would still have a deep farm. Their lineup would look scary, and they'd have to look like world series favorites. Sox: Giancarlo Stanton Miami: Jackie Bradley Jr, SS Orlando Arcia, Allen Webster (or Ranaudo), Wendell Rijo, Brian Johnson, Sean Coyle Brewers: Mike Carp, CL Steve Cishek, Ryan Dempster (@8mil) Sox: Carlos Gonzales Dodgers: Lackey, Lavarnway Rockies: LF Joc Pederson, SP Tom Windle, Will Middlebrooks, Bryce Brentz CarGo/Pedroia/Stanton/Ortiz/Napoli/Bogaerts/Pierzynski/Victorino/Young Lester - Buccholz - Peavy - Doubront - Workman Ross - Gomes - Nava - Herrera Uehara - Mujica - Tazawa - Breslow - Miller - Britton - Badenhop (I'd love to see Bailey as depth) We could then sign Michael Young or Placido Polanco for 1yr at 3rd, considering Cecchini will be ready next year barring a set back. We would still have Vazquez to take over next year, and Swihart the following year. Barnes and Ranaudo would be ready to step in if needed, not to mention Hinojosa might not be too far off. We also keep our high cieling guys like Owens, Ball, Ruby, Stank, Diaz, Callahan, Littrell. Betts could be moved to CF this year at AAA and take over after Victorino is gone. Hassan, Margot and Marrero would still provide depth, not to mention the plethora of relievers we have waiting in line. I really don't think trading some of our farm to upgrade necessarily has to be a bad idea. I know we had the whole Crawford fiasco, so most people seem afraid of tying up money, but this could actually work. Just because it didn't work once doesn't mean it never will. We could move Stanton off of LF to 1B when Napoli's deal is up to lessen the chance of injury and keep his legs fresh. CarGo has been producing steadily, and has shown he could handle RF at Fenway. This also sets us up to still really compete in a couple years. The lineup could look very special for '16, and the farm would still be very deep- LF Gonzales 2B Pedroia SS Bogaerts 1B Stanton 3B Cecchini DH Nava or Nap CF Betts C Swihart / Vazquez RF Margot If you don't mind my asking, what's the point of these deals? The Marlins are not dealing Stanton this season. They want to try to win. The Rockies are not dealing Gonzalez. Stanton would cost the Sox Owens and Cecchini to start with and I'm sure Miami would be asking for Bogaerts as well although that wouldn't go anywhere. I'm sure Swihart would be part of the package too and there would be a bunch of others, too. I'd just as soon try to sign him as a free agent rather than get one or two years out of him, wreck the farm system, and watch him bolt to the Yanks as a free agent.
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Post by bmitchsox on Jan 9, 2014 0:43:08 GMT -5
I think they might be able to get him at a fair price at the deadline, or maybe earlier knowing there's no way he's re signing long term in Miami. They'd probably have to throw in Owens into that deal, which could work. Why would he bolt to the Yankees? We would offer him the same money and a better chance of winning. We could negotiate an extension before a trade/FA is complete as well.
The rockies aren't really going anywhere, finishing 18 back and can't catch both the Dodgers and D Backs. They should be looking at the possibilities of moving Gonzo and/or Tulo at some point to get younger talent. I really don't think we necessarily have to wreck the system to make the deal either, as we have the deepest system. If we can still acquire both these guys and make out with X, Cecchini, Swi, Barnes, Betts, Vazq, Ball, Ranaudo, Margot, Devers, Workman etc .. aren't we still considered extremely loaded? I'd rather see us unload some veteran pitching to flip prospects, but throwing a couple in doesn't really drain us.
Just some thoughts, personally I'd absolutely love to see that lineup. I think Stanton would crush the wall at Fenway, and CarGo could help fill the void from Ells.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jan 9, 2014 8:59:50 GMT -5
Colorado may not compete this year or even in the next 3, but Cargo is still young and signed longterm on a favorable deal for a superstar. There is zero reason to deal him unless you get overwhelmed with great young players and you haven't come close to doing that. Even in 4 years Cargo will still be in him prime or close to it.
I'm done talking about Stanton
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Post by brendan98 on Jan 9, 2014 10:28:59 GMT -5
Acquiring Stanton is going to cost the Sox either:
1)Xander and at least 2 more of our top 10 prospects or 2)4 to 6 of our prospects 2-10
This will be the case regardless of whether or not we get another team involved. We are not getting Stanton anytime soon, I say this because I don’t think BC is interested in trading away that much young talent, but if we did make a trade the names wouldn’t be Rijo, Lavarnway, Coyle, Brentz, Lackey, Dempster, Johnson. The names that would have to be in the mix would be: Xander, Cecchini, Swihart, Owens, Barnes, Webster, Betts, Doubront, Middlebrooks
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Post by jimed14 on Jan 9, 2014 11:01:24 GMT -5
Colorado may not compete this year or even in the next 3, but Cargo is still young and signed longterm on a favorable deal for a superstar. There is zero reason to deal him unless you get overwhelmed with great young players and you haven't come close to doing that. Even in 4 years Cargo will still be in him prime or close to it. I'm done talking about Stanton And we aren't getting Cargo for Lackey, Lavarnway, Brentz and WMB.
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Post by jimed14 on Jan 9, 2014 11:02:45 GMT -5
I don't see Stanton coming either. We just don't seem to be into those kind of deals anymore. Not only are we stockpiling prospects, but we're also not handing out huge long-term deals. It would be way bigger than the AGon deal.
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Post by jdb on Feb 13, 2014 14:44:07 GMT -5
I'm starting to think we need to keep an eye on Atlanta and their corner OFers too. Heyward and Upton each have two years left and they are strapped for cash and likely can't sign them. I could see them listening after the season. I think we match up pretty well with them too. They dont seem to have any 3B depth behind Chris Johnson (can he repeat 2013 or is it the guy who was traded twice in a year) or a 2B prospect as high as Betts. Throw in our young SPs and maybe Lackey for a year on the league minimum and I think it would be cheaper than the Stanton acquisition cost.
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Post by rjp313jr on Feb 14, 2014 10:05:06 GMT -5
The only logical look at Stanton, is to look away. It's not because BC is adverse to these kinds of deals so they won't happen anymore, it's because it's not the time to do it.
First, it's not a huge need at this point.
Second, it's a greater priority to see how this wave, at this time, starts to fit into the roster to give the team years of salary flexibility.
Third, Stanton is way over-rated and not the player you should both pay a kings ransom and pay huge dollars for. Everyone is in love with what they hope he is versus what he has been. The power is phenomenal, but the rest of the package including durability hasn't been. I'd take him in a heartbeat, but not at the price.
Forth, Miami isn't trading him.
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Post by redsoxfan2 on May 7, 2014 7:55:27 GMT -5
Ownes, Betts, Vazquez, Brentz, and one of Margot, Rijo, Devers, or Mercedes gets it done.
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Post by jimed14 on May 7, 2014 8:31:17 GMT -5
It's kinda funny, but looking at the original trade offer already looks like we lost horribly if it were made. It'll be interesting to read this in 6-7 years.
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Post by WayBackWasdin on Jul 5, 2014 15:59:43 GMT -5
I perked up a little when I read this article by Jon Heyman. I know the majority of the talk right now is about how we should be selling, but this poses an interesting opportunity. We're severely lacking power from the outfield and Stanton may be available. I know, especially on this site, we love to keep our prospects and watch them develop. However, Stanton is not just some guy. The kid is 24 years old hitting over .300 with 20+ bombs- with no protection in the lineup (sorry Salty). Pitching will always win championships, but I think the way the league is trending there are more clubs with more quality pitching than I can ever remember. Disclaimer I'm only 24. I think that if you have the opportunity to acquire young power that hits for a decent average, and in the case of Stanton you're getting plus-plus, you have to go get it. Even if it depletes the strong farm we currently have. Thoughts?
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Post by johnsilver52 on Jul 5, 2014 18:24:07 GMT -5
Moran is the 3b of the future at Miami. Sure, he's 1 1/2-2y away, but they just need someone to tide them over until then and not a biggie. Whoever they get to do that will not be a big piece and WMB at this stage is a "throw in", who has done little to nothing the last season and a half, not the kind of piece in a Stanton trade that would make any kind of difference one way or the other.
I don't see any interest now anyway. McGehee has done a tremendous job with the Fish, clutch hits have been his forte. They even have him under team control for next season. Why would they want to acquire someone with an OBP .100 less when they already are have issues at other positions with people that can't hit?
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Post by larrycook on Jul 5, 2014 20:49:55 GMT -5
I still can't see the marlins trading Stanton.
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Post by jimed14 on Jul 5, 2014 21:20:03 GMT -5
The entire story is based on "If he can look like the guy who posted an .835 OPS in his rookie season, that scenario might not be quite as far-fetched as it seems."
Which is ridiculously far-fetched at this point.
Let's start with "If he can stay healthy for 2 months in a row".
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jul 5, 2014 21:40:03 GMT -5
I doubt WMB can stay healthy or hit consistently enough that Miami would even want him as anything other than a 3rd or 4th piece of a deal for Stanton.
The Sox have a catcher between Swihart and Vazquez that can contain a lot of value for Miami. I have no doubt the Miami would want a young and up and coming power hitter in the deal and the only guy that may fit that description, particularly in the winter of 2015-2016 could be Devers as the Red Sox system is pretty devoid of power. I'm sure they'd want the one guy likely to make an impact in a starting rotation and that is Owens. I figure that by 2015-2016, Vazquez, Devers, Owens, and Rijo could be a deal that the Marlins consider for Stanton. Don't think that package would do the Sox much good in the winter of 2014/2015 though.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jul 6, 2014 7:32:26 GMT -5
If we're talking a realistic trade scenario for the Marlins to trade Stanton to the Red Sox this upcoming offseason, I think this is what the Marlins demand in a trade for Stanton.
I'd think they'd make a deal if it was a four for one that included Mookie Betts, Christian Vazquez, Henry Owens, and Rafael Devers. I believe that package would get the Red Sox Stanton.
I don't think I'd make that deal if I were the Red Sox, as much as I would love to see them get Stanton.
Perhaps others think differently and I wouldn't blame them if they did, but I think this is closer to a realistic type of deal for Stanton.
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Post by rider on Jul 6, 2014 21:54:59 GMT -5
I think the Marlins would trade him to us at the deadline for 2 of Swihart, Owens, and Mookie but I wouldn't trade 2 of those 3. I'd consider trading Owens or Mookie but only one of them as a headliner for Stanton. I'd probably offer Owens, Vasquez, Coyle, Barnes/Johnson, and a lottery ticket for Stanton. Wouldn't go much over that though.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jul 6, 2014 22:03:19 GMT -5
I think the Marlins would trade him to us at the deadline for 2 of Swihart, Owens, and Mookie but I wouldn't trade 2 of those 3. I'd consider trading Owens or Mookie but only one of them as a headliner for Stanton. I'd probably offer Owens, Vasquez, Coyle, Barnes/Johnson, and a lottery ticket for Stanton. Wouldn't go much over that though. Don't think the Marlins have any thoughts of dealing him at the deadline. They're still in it. However you did bring up some interesting names in Coyle and Johnson. Coyle could very well be a power hitting 2b/3b if he continues upon what he's done this year and Johnson looks like he'll be a big league starter at some point. And you brought up "lottery ticket". Does that potentially mean Devers? If I were the Marlins and wanted a lottery ticket, that's the guy I'd want.
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Post by bmitchsox on Jul 6, 2014 22:04:16 GMT -5
I hear that. I'd offer Betts, Vazquez, Webster, Shaw. Definitely not giving up Cecchini, Devers or Swihart.
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Jul 6, 2014 23:53:15 GMT -5
Cecchini is not a guy I make untouchable in any trade talks.
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Post by ctfisher on Jul 7, 2014 0:34:29 GMT -5
Don't know if he has much value now anyway. I think you wait for the offseason and see what the asking price is, because it'll probably be lower. I think mookie/swihart, coyle, ranaudo/barnes/webster/whoever, margot and maybe brian johnson and/or marrero? I'm not sure that would be enough for them, I think they probably ask for at least 2 of mookie, swihart and owens plus some others. It seems like teams are valuing prospects extremely highly right now, so I think with the depth and quality of the system, we could put together a competitive offer. But it wold probably have to include owens or mookie and swihart, along with some of our putting depth and possibly a high upside guy like Devers or Margot. I don't think it's worth that much to trade for him now, I would much rather try to sign him as a free agent. They're pretty financially flexible right now, they have no long term contracts on the books but pedroia and the young guys, they should really be able to re-sign Lester and make a run at Stanton in free agency as well in a couple years. I doubt that he'll sign an extension in Miami, cause if he keeps hitting like this, he'll get a huge contract from somewhere, and hopefully it will be us. But I don't think it's a good time to gut the farm for him or anyone else really. The season is pretty much lost, most of the young guys aren't performing, we should give them time to develop and boost their stock. But I don't think it happens till the offseason if it does happen, and I think free agency makes more sense for us
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Post by burythehammer on Jul 7, 2014 5:57:25 GMT -5
If we're talking a realistic trade scenario for the Marlins to trade Stanton to the Red Sox this upcoming offseason, I think this is what the Marlins demand in a trade for Stanton. I'd think they'd make a deal if it was a four for one that included Mookie Betts, Christian Vazquez, Henry Owens, and Rafael Devers. I believe that package would get the Red Sox Stanton. It would, and I agree that it's a bit too much. If you build it around Betts and Owens as the centerpieces and lesser secondary pieces than Vazquez and Devers, that might still keep you in the realm of realistic. If it was say, Mookie, Owens, and Margot? I would do that and I think the Marlins would have to think about it.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jul 7, 2014 12:40:45 GMT -5
If we're talking a realistic trade scenario for the Marlins to trade Stanton to the Red Sox this upcoming offseason, I think this is what the Marlins demand in a trade for Stanton. I'd think they'd make a deal if it was a four for one that included Mookie Betts, Christian Vazquez, Henry Owens, and Rafael Devers. I believe that package would get the Red Sox Stanton. It would, and I agree that it's a bit too much. If you build it around Betts and Owens as the centerpieces and lesser secondary pieces than Vazquez and Devers, that might still keep you in the realm of realistic. If it was say, Mookie, Owens, and Margot? I would do that and I think the Marlins would have to think about it. I think the Marlins would need a catcher back, especially one that is a good catcher. They have Salty for another couple of years, but he's a terrible defensive catcher and he does have a tradable contract or perhaps could be moved to 1b. Sooner or later the Sox have to decide who their catcher of the future is. Yes, Vazquez gets the first shot given that he's a level above Swihart, but ultimately the only was those two play together on the Red Sox is if Swihart changes positions. More likely one will be dealt and I think it would be in a deal with the Marlins for Stanton. I think timing is an issue as far as Betts goes. If the trade was to happen in the upcoming offseason, then I can see Betts being a part of the deal. If it's another year down the road and Betts is established as part of the core, then perhaps it's the next up and comer that establishes himself in 2015 (perhaps Cecchini) and Betts would be off the table. Either way I think you're looking at Vazquez/Swihart plus Betts plus Owens (obviously I'd prefer Johnson but that doesn't matter) plus fourth piece and I'd hope it would be WMB, or perhaps you're looking at Coyle. I know Devers is a lottery ticket at this point, but what a lottery ticket he is. I'm really looking forward to tracking his career and hope he's somebody the Sox hang onto.
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