ericmvan
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Supposed to be working on something more important
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Post by ericmvan on Jun 20, 2014 6:38:40 GMT -5
Really, Jake Peavy in next year's rotation may be the single silliest thing I've ever seen on this, otherwise one of the most awesome sites on the Internet. If I ever hear that's likely to happen, it'll be from The Onion. Meanwhile, the best pitcher on the team has been labeled a trade candidate. Just swap Lackey and Peavy. The bullpen looks good, but I'd turn Britton blue and insert an Acquisition. They always pick up one or more guys they find interesting. Since you often list 8 relievers at this time of year, I'd give serious thought to listing Ranaudo as the 5th starter, Workman in the pen, and Hernandez in the PawSox rotation. It's probably premature, but if Ranaudo with his new cleaner windup continues excelling, it's hard to see him pitching in AAA next year. I might simply list Acquisition as next year's catcher, rather than AJP specifically. That will make some people happy. You want to make them excited, just list Carlos Ruiz. There's going to be no room on the roster for Carp when he gets off the DL, so I'd list him green and replace him on the bench with Nava, who projects to be plenty decent as a backup OF / 1B. You want to get folks talking, swap Betts and Bradley. If I had to bet right now, that's how I'd see it. Finally, I'd put Herrera on the Pawtucket bench, since he has options left.
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Post by mgoetze on Jun 20, 2014 8:55:23 GMT -5
Acquisition J. Placeholder, C
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ericmvan
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Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 9,027
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Post by ericmvan on Oct 11, 2014 7:08:37 GMT -5
It's tough right now, but (as always!) I see a few things that don't make sense.
I just can't see Ranaudo ahead of De La Rosa as the 5th starter -- or, for that matter, ahead of Webster or Wright. De La Rosa, despite hitting a massive wall at 117 innings, blew Ranaudo away in every metric, and has always been better liked by scouts. Webster, despite not getting his act together till his last few starts, trumps Ranaudo in every metric but ERA. Rubby may well end up in the pen by year's end, having been passed by someone from Pawtucket, but I think he's very likely to be in the rotation at the start of the season.
I'd actually list Ranaudo as a trade candidate because he has nothing to prove in AAA (where there's no room for him anyway) and no role for him with the MLB team, since he's been passed by similar pitchers with higher upsides who are nevertheless less finished products. If that seems too bold, just list him as a 6th starter with the implication that the surplus will work itself out somehow.
Speaking of which, you have 9 relievers listed. I don't see any chance of Barnes being converted to relief so quickly, when both his curve and change have shown so much progress but still need some further work to gain consistency. There's no way he'd be ranked as high as he was by the community, etc., if his future was in relief, and he still needs innings to work on his starter potential. Wright, OTOH, has nothing to learn in AAA, and thus seems much more likely to be the long man in the pen. So you can simply swap the two.
Send Wilson back to the PawSox pen (where he can continue to work on his new cutter) and you're down to 7 for MLB. That gives you 13 pitchers if you list 6 starters, and that's usually the right number because someone gets hurt. If listing Ranaudo in green, I'd add a 3rd relief acquisition, which would be an under-the-radar cheapo pickup like Badenhop ... Theo used to do that almost every year, with mixed success: David Aardsma, Wes Littleton, Boof Bonser, Matt Albers. Ben, having succeeded on his first try with Badenhop, might well do so again, and may even re-sign him.
Oh, and I think you can change the "RP" next to the relief acquisition to "LH."
Re the MLB bench, there is at best a zero chance that they trade both Craig and Victorino at the nadir of their value in order to carry Jemile Weeks as a second reserve MI. I'm going to chalk that one up to the use of powerful hallucinogens by staff members. I don't think there's any projecting how they'll solve the OF logjam, so I'd just move Weeks to the Pawtucket bench (changing Herrera to green, since I think they'll need the space on the 40-man) and list five guys instead of four for the big club.
Finally, I'd keep Cecchini at 3B at Pawtucket, and Brentz in LF, and list WMB as the DH. He doesn't need to work on his 3B defense, and Cecchini does.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Oct 11, 2014 7:31:10 GMT -5
Eric,
A) we always list extra relievers. Every year guys start the year on the DL.
B) I can see your point on Ranaudo and agree myself, but I think the idea, which I can sort of buy, is Rubby as potential lights-out reliever, not Ranaudo being a better starter necessarily.
C) I don't really think there's any reason to worry about positions in the Triple-A lineup at this point. It's meaningless at times DURING the season, nevermind in projections.
D) I don't think the projection is that both of those guys are getting traded, but that they're candidates. To the degree that leaves extra guys on the bench, we usually project extras there too.
We do like the feedback, though. Just letting you know where we're coming from on most of those.
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Post by Mike Andrews on Oct 11, 2014 9:41:02 GMT -5
As always, I appreciate the feedback from a content perspective, and not a fan of the dickishness.
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dd
Veteran
Posts: 979
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Post by dd on Oct 11, 2014 21:29:12 GMT -5
As always, I appreciate the feedback from a content perspective, and not a fan of the dickishness. Me too. - Dick
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