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Post by jmei on Sept 8, 2014 16:05:33 GMT -5
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Post by johnsilver52 on Sept 8, 2014 16:50:38 GMT -5
This guy absolutely crushed 2 balls for HR in the 3 game GCL finals. 1 in G1 to DEEP C-RC and another to RF, where the pitcher was bringing it and he got around on him just fine.
Seemed to have pretty good range out there also and covered for Devers well when he was at 3rd, who in the game he played 3rd, doesn't.. Or didn't.. Seem to have a lot of range at 3b covering to the SS side.
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steveofbradenton
Veteran
Watching Spring Training, the FCL, and the Florida State League
Posts: 1,827
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Post by steveofbradenton on Sept 8, 2014 18:20:02 GMT -5
Readily agree on Guerra. I mentioned in July how much I liked this kid. Solid body with room to fill out, this kid has a nice game in the field and at the bat. Love what we have been doing in the Caribbean.
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Post by slumpbuster on May 12, 2015 7:54:46 GMT -5
What a start to 2015 for Guerra. Another home run for last night. His extra-base ability is quite remarkable given his age and slender physique.
Has he now leapfrogged Chavis as a prospect? He has a superior glove, plays a premium defensive position, has similar power numbers, has posted a far better batting average, and his main (only?) weakness is his k/bb %'s - a weakness he shares with Chavis.
No matter whom you prefer, Guerra is proving to be a valuable commodity.
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Post by wskeleton76 on May 12, 2015 8:10:50 GMT -5
He is hitting hard. LD 25.9% and FB 31.5%, which is really impressive. His future depends on how much he will improve pitch recognition skills.
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Post by greatscottcooper on May 12, 2015 9:50:04 GMT -5
J G is also striking out 30% of the time; that's a bit concerning to me. Not trying to be a Donny downer as I'm starting to become more and more intrigued with Guerra his plate approach is something I'd like to see him work on. He's young and young for his level so it's not too concerning to me and it does help that he seems to have elite defensive potential at a premium defensive position.
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Post by sibbysisti on May 12, 2015 10:21:41 GMT -5
His success thus far could prompt BC to make Deven Marrero available in trade discussions. Marrero seems blocked at SS in Boston for quite a while. While Guerra is years behind Marrero in terms of development, it gives confidence that the position will be covered by another outstanding prospect who may be ready when Bogaerts is ready to move.
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Post by jimed14 on May 12, 2015 10:30:04 GMT -5
His success thus far could prompt BC to make Deven Marrero available in trade discussions. Marrero seems blocked at SS in Boston for quite a while. While Guerra is years behind Marrero in terms of development, it gives confidence that the position will be covered by another outstanding prospect who may be ready when Bogaerts is ready to move. I find that unlikely because they would need Marrero this season if Xander got hurt. They wouldn't want to use Holt full time there.
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Post by sibbysisti on May 12, 2015 10:40:42 GMT -5
His success thus far could prompt BC to make Deven Marrero available in trade discussions. Marrero seems blocked at SS in Boston for quite a while. While Guerra is years behind Marrero in terms of development, it gives confidence that the position will be covered by another outstanding prospect who may be ready when Bogaerts is ready to move. I find that unlikely because they would need Marrero this season if Xander got hurt. They wouldn't want to use Holt full time there. I was impressed with Jeff Bianchi in the games I saw in Ft. Myers. He's on the DL now, but he could fill in for Bogey once he's healed. Would need to be added to the 40 man, but so would Marrero.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 12, 2015 10:43:09 GMT -5
FWIW, no Major League GM in his right mind makes any roster move, even one involving a minor leaguer, based on players below Double-A. Potential exception would be an increased willingness to deal from depth at a certain level where playing time is a concern (thinking more on the margins here, like trading Myles Smith when he's not getting the chance to start or Cleuluis Rondon when he's not getting the chance to play SS, rather than, say, Devers/Chavis).
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Post by benjaminbuttons on May 12, 2015 10:44:42 GMT -5
Greenville is gonna have an excess amount of middle infielders whenever Moncada gets there. Guerra AB's are more of a priority then Mauricio Dubon's but id still like to see him get regular AB's. Who knows though Moncada could come in rake, and then get promoted to Salem quickly.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on May 12, 2015 11:21:13 GMT -5
He's improved his BB% a lot which is good. His ISO is outstanding, I wish I could see recent video of him to find out where he generates power from.
I think it's a good idea to keep him in Greenville the whole year so he has time to figure out how to cut his Ks and work on his approach in an environment where he's proven he can hit.
Dubon should be promoted when Moncada is ready.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on May 12, 2015 11:46:38 GMT -5
I don't think the plan would be for Moncada to stay in Greenville for long, which I think is why he's been in Extended for so long. Disrupting Guerra and Dubon's at-bats for a month while Moncada passes through won't kill them.
Dubon has been fine, but I did not see a player who should be moved up a level. He and Guerra should spend the year in Greenville.
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Post by jmei on May 12, 2015 13:36:32 GMT -5
BP's Tucker Blair with a scouting report on Guerra: www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=26319He praises his defense but is notably down on his power potential ("might run into five home runs a year"). A 50/55 projection is nothing to sneeze at, but Blair seems much less enthusiastic about his ceiling that most.
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Post by jimed14 on May 12, 2015 14:01:34 GMT -5
BP's Tucker Blair with a scouting report on Guerra: www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=26319He praises his defense but is notably down on his power potential ("might run into five home runs a year"). A 50/55 projection is nothing to sneeze at, but Blair seems much less enthusiastic about his ceiling that most. That doesn't seem quite fair regarding his surprising power. If a 155 pound 19 year old already has 3 HR this year with a .216 ISO, he probably has more than 'possibly running into 5 HR' potential in MLB. For a comparison, Iglesias hit 3 HR in 3 full seasons when he was older and bigger than that and finished the minors with a .049 ISO and .294 slugging percentage. I can't imagine any non pitcher in the majors with less power potential than 'might run into 5 home runs a year'. It sounds like he's not ready to update an old scouting report.
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Post by jmei on May 12, 2015 14:14:52 GMT -5
I think it's more just small sample size stuff (which, contrary to some claims, applies to scouting as well). Guerra is a smallish/skinny kid who generates bat speed more with quick wrists than with a strong core/lower body, and just looking at him, you wouldn't project a lot of power. If Blair caught him during a couple days when he was focused more on hitting line drives in BP and didn't flash any in-game power, he could easily (and reasonably) walk away thinking that Guerra's not a real power threat.
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Post by jimed14 on May 12, 2015 14:24:14 GMT -5
12 of 26 hits he has this year are XBH in 97 plate appearences. Iglesias had 10 XBH in 2010 and 11 in 2012 in about 4 times as many plate appearances each season.
I guess it's small sample, but isn't "running into 5 HR a year" about as low as it gets for any major league position prospect? And his .139 ISO as an 18 year old in the GCL is not a complete absence of power either. That was higher than Cecchini's at that level.
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Post by James Dunne on May 12, 2015 14:57:06 GMT -5
Cecchini never played in the GCL.
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Post by jimed14 on May 12, 2015 15:03:04 GMT -5
Cecchini never played in the GCL. My bad, I always confuse Greenville with GCL for some dumb reason.
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Post by James Dunne on May 12, 2015 15:37:16 GMT -5
Ah, ok. Anyhow, Cecchini had a wrist injury with Lowell, so his power was sapped then. And since his lack of power is the biggest reason he's not a more serious prospect, hitting for more power than Cecchini isn't really anything to put on a resume. Of course, Guerra is likely going to stick at shortstop while Cecchini isn't a very good third baseman.
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Post by jmei on May 30, 2015 14:50:51 GMT -5
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Post by iakovos11 on May 30, 2015 18:52:27 GMT -5
Wouldn't that be unusual, especially if he's not hitting in hitter friendly parks most of the time?
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Post by Nick Rabasco2 on Jun 2, 2015 19:25:29 GMT -5
More good defense from Guerra tonight:
Greenville Drive @greenvilledrive · 12m12 minutes ago Javier Guerra with a #WebGem to start a 6-3 double play in T-3rd! Chavis, Monge and Miller coming to bat next.
T. N. Longhi @tommypro25 · 15m15 minutes ago Holy Guerra!
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jun 3, 2015 10:41:13 GMT -5
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Post by jimed14 on Jun 3, 2015 10:43:51 GMT -5
Wow, was that Rick Burleson? I kid.
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