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May 2015 Pitcher of the Month voting
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 1, 2015 17:58:23 GMT -5
Please vote above for the player you felt had the best month. You may use almost any criteria you wish in judging each player's month. The one exception is that we ask that voters ignore a player's prospect status - in other words, please don't vote for a player based on the fact that you think he will be a better major league player down the road. However, to be clear, you may use other criteria in judging the candidates relative to one another that go beyond stats, such as age relative to level and the like. Just don't pick, say, a top 10 prospect over an org guy based solely on that. Voting for this poll will close Wednesday at 2:00 pm. SP Jalen Beeks (GRE): 5 GS, 4-1, 32.0 IP, 2.81 ERA, 30 H, 14 R/10 ER, 1 HR, 3 BB, 15 K, 1.39 G/F, 1.03 WHIP, .238 BAA, .593 OPSa, 5.00 K/BB, 4.22 K/9 SP Ty Buttrey (SAL): 5 GS, 4-0, 30.0 IP, 2.40 ERA, 26 H, 10 R/8 ER, 0 HR, 12 BB, 24 K, 1.96 G/F, 1.27 WHIP, .243 BAA, .600 OPSa, 2.00 K/BB, 7.20 K/9 SP William Cuevas (POR): 6 GS, 4-1, 34.1 IP, 2.36 ERA, 23 H, 10 R/9 ER, 0 HR, 12 BB, 33 K, 1.48 G/F, 1.02 WHIP, .192 BAA, .505 OPSa, 2.75 K/BB, 8.65 K/9 RP Williams Jerez (GRE): 7 G, 1-0, 3 SV, 21.0 IP, 0.86 ERA, 19 H, 4 R/2 ER, 1 HR, 3 BB, 21 K, 1.59 G/F, 1.05 WHIP, .241 BAA, .632 OPSa, 7.00 K/BB, 9.00 K/9 SP/RP Aaron Wilkerson (SAL): 5 G/4 GS, 2-0, 25.1 IP, 0.71 ERA, 11 H, 3 R/2 ER, 0 HR, 6 BB, 34 K, 2.64 G/F, 0.67 WHIP, .133 BAA, .372 OPSa, 5.67 K/BB, 12.08 K/9 Full May Stats
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Post by soxfan06 on Jun 1, 2015 18:26:09 GMT -5
I wanted to give it to Buttrey, but impressive month by Wilkerson earns him the vote.
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Post by rafael on Jun 1, 2015 18:31:24 GMT -5
Nice to see Jerez, Buttrey and Wilkerson pitching well enough to be candidates.
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ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 9,027
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Post by ericmvan on Jun 1, 2015 19:34:10 GMT -5
BFP ERA FIP BABIP LOB% K% BB% Beeks 132 3.27 3.27 .259 .614 .114 .023 Buttrey 120 2.40 2.91 .310 .737 .200 .100 Cuevas 137 2.36 2.64 .256 .730 .241 .088 Jerez 83 0.86 2.39 .316 .253 .036 Wilker. 89 0.71 1.33 .225 .824 .382 .067 Jerez is from b-Ref and my own calculations, as his FG Game Log is broken.
Cuevas is a year older relative to his league than Buttrey (and Beeks), but he clearly pitched better. There's no correct answer to how much weight you should give to his less impressive ARL versus his more impressive performance.
Wilkerson is even tougher. But the first question we can answer objectively. To match Cuevas by facing 48 more batters, he would have had to have had just a 5.42 ERA, 5.07 FIP, .313 BABIP, struck out less than nobody, and walked 6. (To match Buttery by facing 31 more batters, a 7.25 ERA, 7.45 FIP, a .554 BABIP, strick out way less than nobody, and walked 6.) So he was clearly the best pitcher in the system, even with the smaller sample size.
He was also four years older than Buttrey, pitching for the same team. Again, no correct answer between him, Cuevas, and Buttrey, who are very clearly the three best pitchers here, in that order, and are in reverse order by age relative to league. That's up to you.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 2, 2015 12:32:44 GMT -5
For me, while things like ERA and hits allowed may not be predictive, when giving an award, I'm looking at results and not what the player's performance tells us about his future. Games aren't won by the team that should've scored the most runs.
Wilkerson is certainly old for the league, but I think he's at a point now where we can't ignore him for things like this. (For what it's worth, I think we're going to ignore Bautista until he's in Pawtucket. When you've got >200 MLB innings over 7 years, frankly, I'd expect him to be even better than he has been in A ball.) He's still not on my radar as a prospect by any stretch - we'll talk if he does this in Portland - but hey, good for him for parlaying what could have been a couple-month replacement gig out of the indy leagues into some success in affiliated ball, at the very least.
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Post by jmei on Jun 2, 2015 12:47:23 GMT -5
For me, while things like ERA and hits allowed may not be predictive, when giving an award, I'm looking at results and not what the player's performance tells us about his future. Games aren't won by the team that should've scored the most runs. It's not just about predictiveness. It's the fact that a pitcher who gave up fewer-than-usual hits could well have been picked up by his defense, while I know that all (or virtually all-- think framing) of the credit for his strikeouts and walks go to him and only him.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 2, 2015 12:57:18 GMT -5
Yeah, it's tough to parse. I understand that. To be clear, I wasn't saying that all of that's a waste. Here, I think Cuevas merits consideration a bit higher than just looking at the respective ERAs might have you believe. Still an easy choice, imo, though.
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