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Post by rivenp on Jun 15, 2015 23:20:45 GMT -5
so you're basically projecting him to be pedro??? i would think he would've gotten more than 1.5 if that was his projection... Well first off he's a better prosoect today than he was a year ago. No one knew that he could throw 100. Plus there is a ton of risk in that projection. Anyone who is 17 and throws that hard has a chance to be special. ...is there a general consensus that he can sit ~95 and top out at 100? jmei seems pretty dubious about it... not saying he can't, but there doesn't seem to be any reason to rush and jump on the hype-train so early when there's relatively little reliable data on him. put it another way, if he was in the just completed draft, where would he have gone? |
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Post by jimed14 on Jun 16, 2015 5:42:26 GMT -5
Well first off he's a better prosoect today than he was a year ago. No one knew that he could throw 100. Plus there is a ton of risk in that projection. Anyone who is 17 and throws that hard has a chance to be special. ...is there a general consensus that he can sit ~95 and top out at 100? jmei seems pretty dubious about it... not saying he can't, but there doesn't seem to be any reason to rush and jump on the hype-train so early when there's relatively little reliable data on him. put it another way, if he was in the just completed draft, where would he have gone? He's barely 17 so he's not even comparable yet. In this draft, he'd probably be the top pitcher if anything is true about him. But that's not saying a lot. |
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jun 19, 2015 10:13:12 GMT -5
The more I think about it, I want to put him in my top 15 (tough to say because there's going to be a lot of shakeup in my like, 14-30 rankings this month), but it's so hard to do anything with DSL stats. I REALLY hope he comes to the GCL, not like those stats are a whole lot better, but we'll get better scouting reports.
I could foresee him being top 10 if we liked what we saw out of him in Instructs.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Mar 24, 2016 7:54:43 GMT -5
Espinoza projects to be a 7, not a 6. Easy logic: he's in BA's top 20 because he projects to be a 7. If he projected to be a 6 after half of half of a season stateside, he wouldn't be sniffing the top 20. And of course he had one of the best tools projections on the list. His downside risk because of his youth and distance from MLB is already reflected in his 2 floor (which I think is also wrong, but not worth arguing about).
The one other time time I complained about a projection, it was Vazquez's "4." He ended up being a 6, as in, 6+ WAR per 125 games in his rookie season.
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