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2018 Red Sox roster building
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Post by telson13 on Jan 12, 2018 12:29:17 GMT -5
If you don’t want Harper you’re a psychopath. The kid is 25 and has a career 141 wRC+. He’s one of the few guys you can give a 10 year contract to without worrying about the back end of it. I’d love to get him just to keep him away from that short RF porch in NY alone. He’d terrorize us for a decade. In fairness, I think “psychotic” (delusional) is the term you’re looking for.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jan 12, 2018 12:44:00 GMT -5
So none of you have any concerns with his ability to handle the spot light in Boston?
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Post by artfuldodger on Jan 12, 2018 12:49:29 GMT -5
If you look at Houston last year and the Cubs the year before, one commonality is that the players seemed to want to play for the team so they were willing to sacrifice for the sake of the team. The core of the current team seems to be similarly minded. JDM does not seem to want to commit to any team if he is willing to drag the negotiations into spring training. I would explore signing another starter who would want to pitch in Boston and either Nunez or Reed which may provide the depth to pull a trade for another hitter at the trade deadline.
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Post by brendan98 on Jan 12, 2018 12:50:09 GMT -5
So none of you have any concerns with his ability to handle the spot light in Boston? Not even a little bit.
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Post by James Dunne on Jan 12, 2018 12:52:10 GMT -5
I can't think of a single player I'd be less concerned about handling Boston.
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Post by artfuldodger on Jan 12, 2018 13:02:38 GMT -5
Based on prior comments, Harper is more comfortable when others are leaders on the team. As long as he is comfortable with who he feels are the team leaders, Harper should perform in Boston.
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Post by jimed14 on Jan 12, 2018 13:06:52 GMT -5
I'm concerned with giving any player $400 million, especially one who seems to be hurt every other season.
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Post by James Dunne on Jan 12, 2018 13:11:50 GMT -5
I'm concerned with giving any player $400 million, especially one who seems to be hurt every other season. He was a $40 million player in 110 games last year. I'd give him 10/$400 and not think twice.
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Post by soxjim on Jan 12, 2018 13:17:31 GMT -5
If you look at Houston last year and the Cubs the year before, one commonality is that the players seemed to want to play for the team so they were willing to sacrifice for the sake of the team. The core of the current team seems to be similarly minded. JDM does not seem to want to commit to any team if he is willing to drag the negotiations into spring training. I would explore signing another starter who would want to pitch in Boston and either Nunez or Reed which may provide the depth to pull a trade for another hitter at the trade deadline. I disagree with the context of "want to to play in Boston." The guy wanst his money. I'm okay with that. Though I wouldn't mind the sox not signing JDM while getting another quality bat or two. I also like your thinking of Reed.
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Post by jimed14 on Jan 12, 2018 13:17:31 GMT -5
I'm concerned with giving any player $400 million, especially one who seems to be hurt every other season. He was a $40 million player in 110 games last year. I'd give him 10/$400 and not think twice. At age 24 yeah. How about ages 28-35?
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Post by ramireja on Jan 12, 2018 13:20:00 GMT -5
I'm concerned with giving any player $400 million, especially one who seems to be hurt every other season. He was a $40 million player in 110 games last year. I'd give him 10/$400 and not think twice. You wouldn't be concerned about dedicating that much % of payroll to a single player over a decade though?
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Post by James Dunne on Jan 12, 2018 13:25:33 GMT -5
When he's 35? In 2029? $40 million is going to be like a 2.5 WAR player by then.
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Post by telson13 on Jan 12, 2018 13:34:39 GMT -5
So none of you have any concerns with his ability to handle the spot light in Boston? Tbh, his whole “The game should be fun” battle with old-school thinking suggests he’d be the kind of character who might do well here. I think he craves, and thrives on, the spotlight. Tough to say. Fwiw, I don’t think you’re psychotic for thinking he might be a bad fit, I just thought “psychopathic” was improper terminology. Personally, my sense is that a high-profile market wouldn’t be an issue, and it might actually feed his drive.
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Post by telson13 on Jan 12, 2018 13:38:41 GMT -5
As far as the 10/$400M thing, yeah, my issue is more about the general terms of the contract and the risk for ANY player, not to mention the long-term salary structure ramifications. But I do think Harper is about as close as it gets to warranting that sort of deal. Trout...I’d probably say yes.
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Post by jimed14 on Jan 12, 2018 13:38:54 GMT -5
When he's 35? In 2029? $40 million is going to be like a 2.5 WAR player by then. If you think cable money is never going to dry up, maybe.
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Post by jimed14 on Jan 12, 2018 13:41:06 GMT -5
As far as the 10/$400M thing, yeah, my issue is more about the general terms of the contract and the risk for ANY player, not to mention the long-term salary structure ramifications. But I do think Harper is about as close as it gets to warranting that sort of deal. Trout...I’d probably say yes. Obviously, Trout is more than worth it. He has about double the fWAR that Harper has in the same time period.
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Post by Guidas on Jan 12, 2018 13:49:15 GMT -5
So none of you have any concerns with his ability to handle the spot light in Boston? I actually think he'd love it.
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Post by Guidas on Jan 12, 2018 13:53:13 GMT -5
Random thoughts: JDM seems like an imperfect fit in Boston, no doubt he is a big time hitter, but his entire value is due to his bat. JDM wants $30M a year over 6 years, and based upon track record it seems likely Boras will get it for him (or at least get very close), I hope it’s not with the Sox. Big Papi was the best DH ever and never made more than $16M a year, and that was not a decade ago, it was 2015 & 2016. If Price is ineffective as a starter in the first half of 2018, should the Sox put him back in the bullpen role that he finished the 2017 season pitching so well in? Might not be the reason you paid him $30M a year, but at some point don’t you have to try to maximize a players value to the team? Besides, if Porcello, Wright and E Rod bounce back, the Sox rotation might not miss a beat with Price in the pen. Would anyone be surprised to see Pedey at 2B on Opening Day? If he’s not, I’m rooting for Swihart to win that spot in Spring Training, the idea of Swihart able to be a backup C, play OF, and play all the IF positions other than SS is intriguing, this year may very well be his last shot with the Red Sox, I hope he can finally break through. Speaking of Pedey, I’d love to see the Sox bring his buddy Andre Ethier in to platoon with Hanley, the guy has always hit RHP, and even if Hanley has a bounce back year, the Sox would be smart to keep his 2019 option from vesting, with Ethier taking a good number of his at-bats vs RHP Hanley’s money could go towards extending Xander or Mookie or Sale, or it could………….. Go to Bryce Harper next year, if the Sox are going to pay a free agent $30M+ on a long term deal, this is the guy to go after, I’d much rather see the Sox pay Harper $35M a year for 10 years for his ages 26-35 seasons, than pay JDM $30M a year for 6 years for his ages 30-35 seasons.As big a deal as the press has made about the Sox needing to add an impact power bat, I’m comfortable with the Sox as they stand. I believe Cora will have a great influence on this young ballclub. Other than Benintendi, I don’t think any other batter in the Red Sox lineup when the season started, really performed to expectations. For one reason or another, and to one extent or another, I’d expect for Mookie, Xander, JBJ, Moreland, Hanley and Pedroia to be more productive in 2018, Benintendi could be better with a year under his belt, and the huge addition is, of course, a full season of Devers, honestly would anyone be surprised if the kid hit 30 HR’s and knocked in 100? I am all in with this, however, if you could get Machado for the same deal as has been proposed (10y/$400M), I'd rather go there, even though I think he's a bit of a jerk. To get that production out of a SS who you know can transition to 3rd and then perhaps 2nd, is a better use of obscene funds. But I wouldn't complain for a second if Harper ended up with the Sox, though I would play him in LF.
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Post by 07redsox on Jan 12, 2018 14:00:59 GMT -5
I understand from reading your posts that you want a top of the rotation starter instead of a top flight hitter, which is an understandable request. But using postseason stats does not show how imperative a hitter is to this team, nor does it show that they would be better off with another ace. In face, if we want to cherry pick post season stats I could do the same thing with Sale this postseason to show why we don't need a top of the rotation pitcher. But that wouldn't make much sense to do.
Not true. My contention has always been that this team is short with respect to pitching. This team won a post season game last year with a "mediocre" Moreland in the line up. This team also surrendered 8 runs twice and could not hold a late inning lead. Of course a JDM or an Ortiz would stand to help, but it is doubtful that either guy would account for 6 runs, not once, but twice in last years playoffs. And the presence of Ortiz did not help enough to win the season series against NY in 2016. It's about match ups. This team does not match up well against Houston or NY. There is a problem with that though because it goes both ways. You are using those stats to justify why we don't absolutely need someone like Ortiz/JDM by showing that they didn't contribute much in the postseason. If you understand that the post season numbers don't mean much at all in such a small sample, then you can't possibly use it to justify why an Ortiz/JDM type hitter isn't required.
I am not opposed to a top of the line bat. I like JDM. He has a career .337 BA against the NYY. I used the post season stats to illustrate the incongruity of labeling Moreland as mediocre. I just think that our top two pitchers (however good their numbers are in the regular season) show a tendency (much like Pedro did) to run out of gas somewhere around the 3200 pitch mark. These guys are not built like Clemens or Verlander. And they are lefties. The Yanks and the Astros' are predominately right hand line ups. This is not a good recipe for a Price or Sale that are not at 100%. FWIW I have more faith, or expectation, with Sale then I have for Price. That said even if one of the two is at the top of his game we still need another top of the line pitcher (preferably a righty) at the top of his game to get to the WS. The difference between standing pat and signing JDM would be negligible come October. The road to a deeper run in the post season lies in rotation management and a quality RHSP in the rotation. Unless Porcello steps up big time (which I have serious doubt, due to the match ups with NY and Hstn) then this team will not advance. Keep in mind both the Astros' and the NYYs' will be adding a front line SP. Most likely a RHSP.
I guess part of my point (which i admittedly did not get across as well as I was trying to) is that using post season stats for any reason jsut doesn't work. I agree with you that Moreland, in my opinion, is not mediocre (this then goes into a who other discussion of what mediocre actually means to each person, considering everyone could view it a little differently). However, showing that he hit well last post season does not prove that he isn't mediocre. Anyone who is good enough to make it to the majors can hit like that in a few game sample. Hell, I believe Marrero hit very well with a few HRs in a couple game stretch in the second half of the season if I remember correctly. That can't be used to make the case that he is anything other than a bad hitter though. I also don't think its 100% that the Astros and NYYs add a front line SP. I could definitely see if happening, but its not set in stone yet. NYY were trying to acquire Cole, but I wouldn't consider him in the same conversation of other TOR SPs like Sale, Kershaw, and Kluber. The way I view it is I would rather add a JDM now and then trade for a SP closer to the trade deadline if one truly seems to be needed. This would allow you to see for a few months if A.) Price is healthy, able to pitch regularly and to the effectiveness that he can and B.) if Porcello is his 2016 or 2017 self. Either way though, I could see the offense being much better than last year even without adding JDM. Too many hitters were struggling through injuries for a long time during the course of the season, some more than others. Would not be surprised to be better and more consistent years out of Bogaerts, Bradly, and Betts for this reason (and Benintendi adjusting better in his second year).
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Post by jimed14 on Jan 12, 2018 14:03:58 GMT -5
I have no idea who is saying what with these posts that don't use the quote function. Can we please use it?
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jan 12, 2018 14:06:42 GMT -5
Random thoughts: JDM seems like an imperfect fit in Boston, no doubt he is a big time hitter, but his entire value is due to his bat. JDM wants $30M a year over 6 years, and based upon track record it seems likely Boras will get it for him (or at least get very close), I hope it’s not with the Sox. Big Papi was the best DH ever and never made more than $16M a year, and that was not a decade ago, it was 2015 & 2016. If Price is ineffective as a starter in the first half of 2018, should the Sox put him back in the bullpen role that he finished the 2017 season pitching so well in? Might not be the reason you paid him $30M a year, but at some point don’t you have to try to maximize a players value to the team? Besides, if Porcello, Wright and E Rod bounce back, the Sox rotation might not miss a beat with Price in the pen. Would anyone be surprised to see Pedey at 2B on Opening Day? If he’s not, I’m rooting for Swihart to win that spot in Spring Training, the idea of Swihart able to be a backup C, play OF, and play all the IF positions other than SS is intriguing, this year may very well be his last shot with the Red Sox, I hope he can finally break through. Speaking of Pedey, I’d love to see the Sox bring his buddy Andre Ethier in to platoon with Hanley, the guy has always hit RHP, and even if Hanley has a bounce back year, the Sox would be smart to keep his 2019 option from vesting, with Ethier taking a good number of his at-bats vs RHP Hanley’s money could go towards extending Xander or Mookie or Sale, or it could………….. Go to Bryce Harper next year, if the Sox are going to pay a free agent $30M+ on a long term deal, this is the guy to go after, I’d much rather see the Sox pay Harper $35M a year for 10 years for his ages 26-35 seasons, than pay JDM $30M a year for 6 years for his ages 30-35 seasons. As big a deal as the press has made about the Sox needing to add an impact power bat, I’m comfortable with the Sox as they stand. I believe Cora will have a great influence on this young ballclub. Other than Benintendi, I don’t think any other batter in the Red Sox lineup when the season started, really performed to expectations. For one reason or another, and to one extent or another, I’d expect for Mookie, Xander, JBJ, Moreland, Hanley and Pedroia to be more productive in 2018, Benintendi could be better with a year under his belt, and the huge addition is, of course, a full season of Devers, honestly would anyone be surprised if the kid hit 30 HR’s and knocked in 100? I would say that David Ortiz was pretty loyal to the Red Sox. I think he could have made more elsewhere. I think at one point Texas offered more but I don't think Ortiz, for all of his salary complaining, ever took playing elsewhere seriously. He was married to Boston. He was Mr. Boston as a matter of fact. I don't anticipate a player, even a DH, to make less than Ortiz if he performs in the same ballpark of productivity as Ortiz. Basically the Red Sox got great value out of Ortiz for an awfully long time. I don't think the fact that he was a DH should be a killer to his value. Where would the Sox have been without Ortiz's bat all those years? The Sox were fortunate not to have to pay him $20 something million, but he sure performed like a guy worthy of more than $20 something million regardless of the fact that he didn't play defense. In a way DH is a position even though you don't play defense. Every AL team has that position in their lineup and Ortiz for a lot of years was head and shoulders above the other DHs. Martinez can be that type of guy, too - not to the extreme of Ortiz of course, but very valuable. So I personally wouldn't balk too hard if the Sox offered 6 years $150 million. I think that's reasonably fair. If he's looking for 6 years $180 million, good luck. A NL team would be stupid to do that because he'd be required to play defense unlike an AL team. So other than the Sox, what AL team would pony up that kind of cash? I personally think if the Sox don't raise their offer they could lose him to Arizona. The Sox can offer a longer deal because of the fact that he has a DH to fall back onto and the DBacks would have to be concerned about sticking him in the OF for that long a time. I think it's the 6th year that seals it. Unless the Sox are guaranteed to get Bryce Harper next year then you have to get JDM when you get a legit chance to.
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Jan 12, 2018 14:16:28 GMT -5
I don't think Harper is a good fit for the Sox. He has shown a very temperamental personality that would have a hard time existing in Boston. I'm not a huge fan of Harper but I think he'd be fine in Boston. Like others have said, Ted Williams was as temperamental as they came and he performed just fine. While it's an exhilarating to think of an outfield of Benintendi/Betts/Harper (or Harper/Benintendi/Betts) and the side benefit of being able to extract some solid value for JBJ in a trade in this scenario it's hard to imagine doing nothing in 2018 on the hopes that you outbid the Yankees, Cubs, or Dodgers, or Giants or Nats even to get Harper. Oh, he's probably worth the money in a baseball sense (unless he has a cure for cancer I can't see how he's worth that kind of money, but that's just my own feeling about it), but it's hard for me to see the Red Sox basically trot out the same roster in 2018 minus Reed and Nunez and expect them to be better than Houston (who could wind up with Cole in their rotation) or New York (who added Stanton and might add Darvish, too) or even Cleveland. The Sox lineup will probably be better anyway, even without JDM, but the pitching staff might not pitch as well and they might not go 15-2 in extra innings or whatever it was. Of course anything in a post-season can happen, but I'd rather be the better team facing an inferior team in the playoffs even though that doesn't always work out. If a legit opportunity (giving JDM $30 million/year or a 7 or 8 year deal doesn't qualify as that) comes along to get a JDM they can't turn that down in the hopes they sign Harper. That said.....imagine that lineup: Since I'm fantasizing anyways why not have JDM as well? Betts CF Benintendi LF Bogaerts SS Harper RF JDM DH Devers 3b Pedroia 2b Moreland 1b Vazquez/Swihart DH
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Post by MLBDreams on Jan 12, 2018 14:21:27 GMT -5
Stick your gun, DD. JDM doesn't worth 30 mil since he's not good enough to be Houston Astros starter from only 4 seasons ago. He hit mere 24 HR in his 3 seasons for Houston in their hitter park as "4th OF". He have 2 best seasons out of 7 MLB seasons which he hit 38 & 45 HR. It's silly to call him as "KING KONG HR hitter" by Scott Boras. He played in less than 123 games during 6 out of 7 seasons.
JDM would be BOO out of Boston right away by fans if he don't live up with monster contract (6/180 or 7/210). Josh Donaldson hit more HR than he does in same 7 MLB seasons and he agreed to makes 23 mil this season for Toronto. So, STICK YOUR GUN by negotiate with Scott Boras. DD will find 2nd choice DH after JDM if he/Boras wastes their time by hold out.
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Post by soxjim on Jan 12, 2018 14:29:09 GMT -5
I'm concerned with giving any player $400 million, especially one who seems to be hurt every other season. He was a $40 million player in 110 games last year. I'd give him 10/$400 and not think twice.I'd pass on this. Way too much for 1 player.
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nomar
Veteran
Posts: 11,532
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Post by nomar on Jan 12, 2018 14:41:07 GMT -5
No I won’t use it!
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