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2017-18 Celtics Season Thread
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 15, 2018 15:04:57 GMT -5
Huge win for a young team. Rozier went from bad game to very good game rather quickly. Overall great win.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Apr 15, 2018 15:05:17 GMT -5
I’m so, so happy that we get to watch Tatum and Brown for the next decade. Unless Danny trades one of them....
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ianrs
Veteran
Posts: 2,451
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Post by ianrs on Apr 15, 2018 15:09:30 GMT -5
Wait, anyone see that its 28-10 Pacers in Cleveland right now? I knew Cleveland wasn't that strong, but wow. What a start for Indiana.
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wcp3
Veteran
Posts: 3,862
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Post by wcp3 on Apr 15, 2018 15:11:53 GMT -5
I’m so, so happy that we get to watch Tatum and Brown for the next decade. Unless Danny trades one of them.... It’s a possibility, but I think the odds are relatively low at this point.
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Post by voiceofreason on Apr 15, 2018 16:39:20 GMT -5
Unless Danny trades one of them.... It’s a possibility, but I think the odds are relatively low at this point. Well if he does we can take solace in the fact it will be to get someone like Davis or Leonard. Either way the future is looking very good!
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 16, 2018 10:44:28 GMT -5
Danny can't be in a rush to do anything right now. Tatum, Brown and Rozier just lead the team to a playoff vistory with Horford. You get Irving, Hayward, Smart and Theiss back most likely next year. You get another draft pick, then what should be 2-3 high picks, plus more of our draft picks in following years.
My only worry right now is how much will ownership pay in luxury taxes to keep this team together.
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Post by rjp313jr on Apr 16, 2018 11:17:17 GMT -5
Danny can't be in a rush to do anything right now. Tatum, Brown and Rozier just lead the team to a playoff vistory with Horford. You get Irving, Hayward, Smart and Theiss back most likely next year. You get another draft pick, then what should be 2-3 high picks, plus more of our draft picks in following years. My only worry right now is how much will ownership pay in luxury taxes to keep this team together. They’ve talked the big game so they better step up as well. You can’t expect them to keep both Smart and Rozier though.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 16, 2018 12:35:39 GMT -5
Danny can't be in a rush to do anything right now. Tatum, Brown and Rozier just lead the team to a playoff vistory with Horford. You get Irving, Hayward, Smart and Theiss back most likely next year. You get another draft pick, then what should be 2-3 high picks, plus more of our draft picks in following years. My only worry right now is how much will ownership pay in luxury taxes to keep this team together. They’ve talked the big game so they better step up as well. You can’t expect them to keep both Smart and Rozier though. You can next year, after that Smarts likely gone. The debate is over, Rozier is the guy to keep long-term. His upside is 10 times higher than Smart and he's already a better player. I have to say a lot of you guys are still spleeping on Rozier. That's not directed at you Rip, just in general. Because even yesterday people were bringing up Rozier mistakes and not other players. He's not perfect, he's not close to a finished product, but his upside is through the roof. He has no fear and just makes clutch plays. His athletic ability allows him to do things most players can't.
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Post by rjp313jr on Apr 16, 2018 12:54:30 GMT -5
I’ve always liked his upside; just hasn’t put it all together. It’s hard to peg where his game will go to. Lots to like about it.
Smart is a completely different guy. Numbers will never measure how good he is or how much he impacts a game. They just don’t make stats for the outlier guys like him. He could be a better fit than Terry in certain situations but Rozier has scoring ability that’s on another level. It’d be much better if he ever learns to finish at the rim, but as long as his 3pt % is 38+ he’s going to be fine. Not sure you want either starting at point guard for you.
But yea, if I had to choose one to keep right now, it would be Rozier. I prefer his scoring and his defense is pretty good even though it’s no where near as good as Marcus.
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Post by voiceofreason on Apr 16, 2018 13:10:03 GMT -5
Danny can't be in a rush to do anything right now. Tatum, Brown and Rozier just lead the team to a playoff vistory with Horford. You get Irving, Hayward, Smart and Theiss back most likely next year. You get another draft pick, then what should be 2-3 high picks, plus more of our draft picks in following years. My only worry right now is how much will ownership pay in luxury taxes to keep this team together. They’ve talked the big game so they better step up as well. You can’t expect them to keep both Smart and Rozier though. Don't get me wrong I am really looking forward to seeing what this team will look like next year and for years to come with Brown and Tatum and now maybe even Rozier. But I trust that if a move is made Danny will come out the victor, he is on a roll. How much the owners are willing to pay along with hopefully 10M in cap growth over the next few years would help. I think the owners will go as high as Cleveland and GS are now so I think that is close to 20M. It doesn't begin to be a problem until Kyries deal is up. That leads to the Rozier and Smart question, they can afford them for 2 years but then Kyrie is due. Can you have that much wrapped up in 3 guards, maybe but it hurts the other positions. Horfords deal is up at the same time as Kyrie also throw Brown into that mix and it is prohibitive to have those 4 as guards. At this point I would prefer they keep Rozier long term over Smart. I do believe Smart is going to be disappointed in what he is worth on the open market, not a great year for him and their might be 6,7,8 other RFA out there who will get more interest. So do the C's make him happy with a big 1 yr deal to max out his trade value, as RJP has suggested or do they try to get him for longer on short money, Smart doesn't hold the keys to this deal. It will be interesting.
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Post by rjp313jr on Apr 16, 2018 14:31:05 GMT -5
Don’t overlook that a huge post season from Terry skyrockets his trade value this offseason.
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Post by voiceofreason on Apr 16, 2018 15:02:09 GMT -5
Don’t overlook that a huge post season from Terry skyrockets his trade value this offseason. That is a really good thought. His value blows up and the C's can take advantage of it. Danny has sold high very effectively in the past. Garnett, Pierce, Rondo, IT, JC.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 17, 2018 11:36:49 GMT -5
Don’t overlook that a huge post season from Terry skyrockets his trade value this offseason. That is a really good thought. His value blows up and the C's can take advantage of it. Danny has sold high very effectively in the past. Garnett, Pierce, Rondo, IT, JC. Danny has, but he's also never traded a guy that just broke out at 23 that has Roziers upside. A guy that has only started 16 games and just keeps getting better and better each year. Trading Rozier right now is like trading Zizic and the Nets picks. An asset that could make you look stupid down the road. Kinda reminds me of the Thunder trading Harden. Not that I'm saying Rozier is Harden, but they traded him after 3 years. He never really started for them and they traded him because they didn't want to pay him. Literally destroying any chance the Thunder had of being a Warrior like team for a decade. You need to be very careful trading young players that keep getting better that have huge upsides. The second issue Rozier will make 3 million next year. You don't have many players with contracts that are big to match salaries. So even if you wanted to trade him, for who? If you want to use Smart as salary filler you'd have to wait like 3 months after signing him. At the same time I can't imagine they want to move both players. You could look at moving him for a draft pick, if you can get a high enough pick and you love a certain player. This draft is loaded with bigs, but that is risky. I guess it would depend how high of a pick you can get.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Apr 17, 2018 12:01:05 GMT -5
Al Jefferson was twice the player Rozier is now and he traded him when he broke out. Al was also just as young.
Danny. Isn't. Afraid. Of. Trading. Anyone.
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Post by rjp313jr on Apr 17, 2018 12:20:39 GMT -5
I’d agree on the Al Jefferson comment. The problem wasn’t so much trading Harden is they traded him for guys who weren’t star players. If Rozier is traded it’s part of a package for a stud.
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Post by rjp313jr on Apr 17, 2018 12:25:59 GMT -5
Also, does that 90 days apply to Smart since he’s on the Celtics roster and will have a QO?
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 17, 2018 12:50:26 GMT -5
How was Jefferson twice the player? If you compare Rozier numbers as a starter no way was Jefferson twice the player. Looking at advanced stats like win share and WS/48 they were about equal and Jefferson was a full-time starter, Rozier wasn't. The way you look at Rozier was my main point, you are criminally under valuing him.
Jefferson was the main peice to get one of the better bigs basketball has ever seen in KG. So yea if Rozier is the main piece to get Davis or someone like him ok, that makes sense. I never said Danny won't trade him. Just a trade is going to be hard and you need to be very careful.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 17, 2018 12:53:43 GMT -5
Also, does that 90 days apply to Smart since he’s on the Celtics roster and will have a QO? I don't know how it works if he just signs the QO, you might be able to just trade him. To give him 10-15 million would take bird rights and I think that means you have to wait.
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Post by jmei on Apr 17, 2018 13:40:00 GMT -5
I don’t know that I see realistic All-Star level upside for Rozier. Becoming a plus three point shooter and improving his handle made him a good rotation player. But he still struggles with decision-making, court vision and finishing at the rim, and those are skills that can be tough to improve. The vast majority of athletic but raw players never get there.
I think he tops out as a good tertiary option on a team with another ball-dominant star or two (think Jrue Holiday or George Hill or old friend Avery Bradley). That’s still a really good player, just not a guy I’d tout as a high-ceiling type, and a type of player that often gets overpaid in free agency.
Also, he’s the same age as Marcus Smart, and to characterize him as having high upside while dismissing Smart as a known quantity seems disingenuous. It’s effectively giving Rozier credit for not being good enough to get more minutes early in his career. Going from a total zero his rookie year to hitting game-winning step back threes as the lead scorer on a playoff team two years later is impressive, but you can’t reasonably expect him to continue to improve at that rate.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Apr 17, 2018 14:02:15 GMT -5
Al Jefferson was packaged for a big time player in Garnett because he was viewed in the league as a potential big time player with extremely high upside.
Wake me up when the league views Rozier like a main piece to a deal like that.
I could see him being the second piece in a Leonard deal possibly (think Brown or Tatum as the first piece), but I don't see how the league views him as huge upside.
Edit-I agree fully with Jmie's post above me in Rozier's ceiling as a ballplayer.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Apr 17, 2018 15:08:43 GMT -5
Terry Rozier is an elite athlete, something Holiday, Hill and Bradley aren't. He has only started 17 games in his career. He was playing behind Thomas, Irving and Smart. Still made his first impact in the playoffs as a rookie when given a chance and hasn't stopped getting better. He didn't start playing PG till halfway through his second college year when a player was dismissed. He's far from a finished product, but you can't just overlook the level with which he just keeps improving. That's what you want from young players.
He has massive upside because of what he can do. He makes winning plays, he wants the ball with the game on the line and he's been a rather clutch player since he started starting games. It's one thing to put up stats, it's another to make winning plays at the end of games. He can do things not a lot of players can. He's a complete player that can score and defend. He has only started 17 games, you are just scratching the surface of what he can do. Given the strides he's made already running a team, why can't he keep improving? He'll never be close to an elite passer, but he doesn't have to be. I certainly think he can improve finishing at the rim. He gets great looks and misses some really easy layups. That can be fixed easily with more playing time.
Anyone that thinks Smart has Rozier type upside is being a homer. Smart is not close to an elite athlete like Rozier. Could Smart improve? Sure. Is it likely we see some massive improvement? Nope. While Rozier has improved drastically over the last 3 years, Smart hasn't. So I really don't get the argument they are the same age. You want to bet on upside give me the guy that just keeps getting better, not the guy thats basically been the same player for 4 years.
I have to say bringing Smart into this is basically my point. A bunch of you just think Smarts better and can't seem to overlook that. You seem to have this predetermined notion that Rozier is something lesser than he is. Look at what he's done in his first 17 NBA starts. You don't call out every mistake, just like you haven't called out Tatum making dumb TO's at the end of the game. Don't look at the few bad plays, look at the whole package. There are many more clutch plays like our PG getting a huge rebound that fouled out their star player. Man if Smart did that there would be 5 or more posts on how Smart just makes winning plays. Rozier does the same thing, yet lets focus on his mistakes.
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Post by Don Caballero on Apr 17, 2018 15:29:10 GMT -5
While Rozier has improved drastically over the last 3 years, Smart hasn't. So I really don't get the argument they are the same age. You want to bet on upside give me the guy that just keeps getting better, not the guy thats basically been the same player for 4 years. I can see your point, but IMO Rozier still isn't as good as Smart. He's been improving and he hasn't reached Smart's level. Could he? Probably, but that's like trading your car for a mystery box. Rozier doesn't have anything in his game that is elite like Smart's defense is (Marcus is easily a top 5 defensive player in the league), he's more athletic but his game is not as well-rounded and he can't realistically guard any position outside of PG or SG, which is not a knock on him but rather a compliment to Smart's crazy versatility. Marcus is also 11 days older. Eleven. Their age is important because if you think Rozier hasn't reached his upside, it's unfair to say Smart has. His numbers got a little bit better last year when compared to the 2 years prior and he had some bad luck with injury this year. It is very possible that he comes back better next season.
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Post by rjp313jr on Apr 17, 2018 15:44:16 GMT -5
Smart and Rozier both play for the same team. You can’t be a homer for liking one more than the other.
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Post by rjp313jr on Apr 17, 2018 15:46:25 GMT -5
It’s very hard to be an all-star in the NBA. I don’t think Rozier is a future all-star nor is Marcus Smart and the likelihood Jaylen Brown is really isn’t that high.
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Post by voiceofreason on Apr 17, 2018 16:16:46 GMT -5
BUT... if Rozier has a great playoff and his value skyrockets you can now package him with Brown for someone like Leonard, as Pedro said. Brown, Rozier and a first for Leonard could be a possibility with Leonards value being a little down. I would do that deal in a heartbeat. That is a lot of value for him but he is top 10 player in the NBA and some would say top 5. The Spurs are obviously a well run organization but they could feel themselves in a tough position when it comes to Leonard. Brown, Rozier and a 1st is a solid package especially if Rozier shines.
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