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Post by scottysmalls on Apr 6, 2023 17:49:01 GMT -5
Also improved today: Sale/McGuire's ability to limit steals. They gave up none which is a huge improvement from 4 in 3 innings last time. Detroit's maybe middle of the pack stealing wise, but the Orioles are going to be around the top of the league. McGuire somehow has negative defensive value per WAR right now because of all the stolen bases (which personally I blame more on the pitchers).
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Post by backwardsk on Apr 6, 2023 20:37:54 GMT -5
That's misleading. He had one pitch at 95, but only six pitches above 93. He averaged 91-92 all game. Honestly I think Sale intentionally cranked it down on the speed today because he has been overthrowing. He's simply getting a better feel for his pitches, so I don't see cause for concern especially seeing he was much more effective today. I can see both sides of it. Sale's days of averaging 96 mph all season might be over. He can still be a really good pitcher regardless. The problem is the Sox are depending on him to be the top of the rotation guy, unless Whitlock or Bello steps up. Which might be a team flaw in itself. Sale might be a good number 2 starterish. Some starts dominant, other starts giving up a ton of home runs and command is off.
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Post by backwardsk on Apr 6, 2023 20:43:33 GMT -5
I'm glad Duvall is still hot with the power right now. Good win. Yoshida looked better.
I thought Kiké could be decent at short stop, but he's probably just a second base/CF guy. Need Mondesi back as soon as his 60 day IL stint is done.
Keeping Devers is a relief. I still don't know how he's so good at taking pitches on the inner half of the plate and regularly driving it out to LF with ease.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 6, 2023 21:54:24 GMT -5
Man, people are crushing Sale, but this is not that bad a performance. Give him a bit of time. Opening day was brutal, but this is a promising step. It doesn’t give me reason to doubt he might still be very good after some innings this season. Agree, Manfred, Sale has barely pitched in three years. He may need a few starts to get the old mechanics working again.
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Post by soxfanatic on Apr 7, 2023 3:50:03 GMT -5
Jansen is averaging 95.4 on his cutter and 95.8 on his sinker so far, which is.... the highest of his career
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Post by julyanmorley on Apr 7, 2023 9:23:44 GMT -5
Pitch modeling says Sale was average yesterday, with the fastball being a pretty bad pitch
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Apr 7, 2023 9:32:24 GMT -5
Fangraphs has Duvall worth $6.8M so far this season. Only 200K more until we’re in surplus mode.
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Post by nomar on Apr 7, 2023 9:35:38 GMT -5
The UZR/150 of all 3 of our OFs are hysterical right now
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Post by incandenza on Apr 7, 2023 9:45:57 GMT -5
The UZR/150 of all 3 of our OFs are hysterical right now How does Yoshida have a 0.1 UZR but a -28.8 UZR/150? It's hard to multiply a positive number by a positive number and get a negative...
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Apr 7, 2023 9:58:23 GMT -5
The UZR/150 of all 3 of our OFs are hysterical right now How does Yoshida have a 0.1 UZR but a -28.8 UZR/150? It's hard to multiply a positive number by a positive number and get a negative... I had the same thought and it beats me. Savant’s OOA Percentile: Verdugo: 83 Yoshida: 61 Duvall: 15 Kiké: 3
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Post by scottysmalls on Apr 7, 2023 10:02:38 GMT -5
The UZR/150 of all 3 of our OFs are hysterical right now How does Yoshida have a 0.1 UZR but a -28.8 UZR/150? It's hard to multiply a positive number by a positive number and get a negative... Interestingly he also has the most Def WAR value on the team so far because his OAA is zero but he has positive run value added from his arm. Verdugo despite having positive OAA has negative Def value because of a poor arm rating so far. McGuire's reported value is getting killed because of the stolen bases. I say reported because I blame the pitchers.
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Post by benogliviesbrother on Apr 7, 2023 12:02:33 GMT -5
Glad they won and liked seeing Sale at least be able to battle despite the poor outting. He limited the damage and kept them in the game. Tigers are atrocious and the Sox should sweep. This wasn't a feel good win, but it's at least a win. It'll be a few weeks before we start getting any real answers on guys. If the "best" teams typically win about 60% of the time overall (while performing better at home, worse on the road) and the "worst" teams typically win about 40% of the time (while ditto above), how should any team be "expected" to sweep a three game series on the road? It seems entirely mathematically unreasonable.
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Post by redsoxfan2 on Apr 7, 2023 12:10:11 GMT -5
Glad they won and liked seeing Sale at least be able to battle despite the poor outting. He limited the damage and kept them in the game. Tigers are atrocious and the Sox should sweep. This wasn't a feel good win, but it's at least a win. It'll be a few weeks before we start getting any real answers on guys. If the "best" teams typically win about 60% of the time overall (while performing better at home, worse on the road) and the "worst" teams typically win about 40% of the time (while ditto above), how should any team be "expected" to sweep a three game series on the road? It seems entirely mathematically unreasonable. That's fair, but it's also fair to say the Red Sox are the vastly better team in all 3 games. A pitcher can get ridiculously hot or lucky, BABIP luck, errors, a .183 hitter is going to connect on a couple over the course of a season. They're still a very bad team and I think should is still an acceptable term, but you at least should expect 2 out of 3.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Apr 7, 2023 15:09:09 GMT -5
Anyone else’s NESN 360 app make you log in every single time you use it this year?
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Post by Coreno on Apr 7, 2023 15:24:41 GMT -5
Anyone else’s NESN 360 app make you log in every single time you use it this year? Yes. It is atrocious.
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Apr 7, 2023 15:58:27 GMT -5
Anyone else’s NESN 360 app make you log in every single time you use it this year? Yes. It is atrocious. Ok good to have a friend to share the pain with
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Post by jbuttah on Apr 7, 2023 17:00:12 GMT -5
Anyone else’s NESN 360 app make you log in every single time you use it this year? Yes. It is atrocious. It doesn't even have dvr capability. How in the world does a streaming service not have the ability to play back a program?
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Apr 7, 2023 17:13:27 GMT -5
Kinda messed up to have a random off day mid series
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Post by reasonabledoubt on Apr 7, 2023 17:17:40 GMT -5
Should be illegal for Franchy to hit 3-run bombs for the MFYs. Orioles hung on to win though.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 7, 2023 17:46:56 GMT -5
Kinda messed up to have a random off day mid series It is Detroit opening series, so just like the Red Sox, there is an off day in case of a rain out. I guess people who buy opening day tickets can go the next day in case of a rain out…?
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Post by Coreno on Apr 7, 2023 20:32:17 GMT -5
It doesn't even have dvr capability. How in the world does a streaming service not have the ability to play back a program? Hey I'm just glad it finally has chromecast capability.
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Post by backwardsk on Apr 7, 2023 23:56:55 GMT -5
Some interesting batted ball data from Brian Barret about important parts of the offense.
Devers looks like he's finding a whole new level. Yoshida looks like a ground ball machine so far. Casas hasn't been barreling much of anything.
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Post by DesignatedForAssignment on Apr 8, 2023 11:53:48 GMT -5
1. With a 3-run lead in the 9th, Cora doesn't do any defensive replacements. Refsnyder is not enough of an upgrade, apparently.
2. With Refsnyder in today's lineup, he's in LF. Guess he's not an upgrade in CF or RF.
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Post by scottysmalls on Apr 8, 2023 12:22:44 GMT -5
1. With a 3-run lead in the 9th, Cora doesn't do any defensive replacements. Refsnyder is not enough of an upgrade, apparently. 2. With Refsnyder in today's lineup, he's in LF. Guess he's not an upgrade in CF or RF. Verdugo said before the year he prefers to play one spot consistently. Maybe Duvall is similar. But even if not I don’t think it’s obvious that Refsnyder is a defensive upgrade over any of the outfielders.
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Post by Foulke_In_Athol on Apr 8, 2023 13:17:07 GMT -5
They're facing a lefty, they aren't sitting Duvall, Verdugo's going very well in RF and like was said already it's not clear REF is an upgrade defensively over either. You're not moving your regulars all over to minimally upgrade (not clear upgrade) the defense and give Yoshi a break Vs. a lefty. I wouldn't read anything into it.
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