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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 12, 2023 16:55:17 GMT -5
Didn't even know there was a double header today. I am not gonna get too worked up over whether we finish ahead or behind the MFY's. Or even if we finish last place. What is done is done and time to focus on other things. This team has driven all of us mad for about 5 and half months, time to take back daily ownership of my emotions.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 12, 2023 16:49:31 GMT -5
Jeez, we got some sad people around here. It's like the time someone asked John Kerry, "What's with the long face?"
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 10, 2023 12:49:22 GMT -5
i was watching some football, I'm sorry, what time does this game start ?
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 10, 2023 9:39:55 GMT -5
this is bound to be taken the wrong way, but some research on the guy says that he throws 94-95 ? He is also listed as 5' 10" and 176 lbs, which is concerning to me (apologies in advance on that before all the commentary begins). And somehow the market is going to be 200 million for him ? Is that what I understand ? Pedro was 5'11 170 referencing the GOAT isn't usually the best way to counter. I was thinking more along the lines of Roy Oswalt, Tim Lincecum or Sonny Gray. I was all considering it would likely be a 5-7 year contract to sign him, which could carry similar risks to those pitchers. Be wonderful to get the early years of them, though, but i don't think pointing out that he is a smallish starting pitcher is too controversial.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 10, 2023 6:55:06 GMT -5
this is bound to be taken the wrong way, but some research on the guy says that he throws 94-95 ? He is also listed as 5' 10" and 176 lbs, which is concerning to me (apologies in advance on that before all the commentary begins). And somehow the market is going to be 200 million for him ? Is that what I understand ?
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 10, 2023 5:38:36 GMT -5
I don't like Yoshi as full time DH. he doesn't hit enough HR's. Probably a lot of bias on my part, but I want that position to have 30 HR potential. Why be so arbitrary on a single counting stat as opposed to a range based on SLG%? Based even on your own line of thought it would be alot more to the point but widening the parameters of who they'd apply to. The Sox are 15th in the majors in HR's. IMO, that is part of the reason we have had prolonged periods of run scoring issues. Fenway is a doubles park, we all know that. The Sox always score runs. But scoring is this game is easier with guys who hit bombs, Earl Weaver said it years ago, and it really hasn't changed. Masa is slugging .458, that doesn't scream run producer to me. Maybe I am thinking to traditionally, but I like the DH still to be a power first guy, if he is a substandard fielder / baserunner, as is the case here. It sounds very harsh, but physically, he doesn't fit the role for prototypical body type as well. That may not count for some, but those sought out measurables don't happen by accident. I like his bat, just think the Sox need to hit more HR's in general and I don't think him being DH would solve that problem. One thing also about Masa and fatigue, he will likely play around 140-145 games this year. That isn't a full season, and would be the top end of what is too be expected as it is next year (assuming some degree of DH rotation). I will grant the WBC and first year acclimation points, but there is also a possibility that has had no real affect as well. It isn't really provable. Lastly, I don't think people are being harsh on the guy and his season or his projection going forward. this is a bottom line business. It hasn't measured up this year like it was envisioned. That isn't being harsh. We all want him to succeed. Add: i remember that his OBP projection was listed as like .390 or something close. i posted i thought that was crazy as it would have put him in the top 10 before he ever had a ML at bat. Well, his OBP is .345, which is entirely acceptable in my book, but speaks to how he was perceived and what has actually occurred.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:54:12 GMT -5
Random thought: I kind of think they have to trade one of the three OFs. I’m a believer that Masa will be better next year but don’t hate dumping him if they can get someone to take the whole contract. Otherwise either a Duran or Verdugo deal is fine but I prefer to keep Duran. Basically I think they have three lefty outfielders who are in the same vicinity talent wise and all should play in a corner. Verdugo/Duran/Abreu starting, Ref/Rafaela back ups, Yoshida full time DH looks acceptable to me
I don't like Yoshi as full time DH. he doesn't hit enough HR's. Probably a lot of bias on my part, but I want that position to have 30 HR potential.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:48:17 GMT -5
no. he was probably a 1 in 10 chance of scoring at best. and I don't really buy into those odds. You don’t think there was a 20% chance or so Valdez would get a hit or get on base and then Wong would get a hit or get on base? Your take on his odds of scoring is totally fair though, I only saw the play once, I’m not sure there honestly, i think the way they were contacting Cano, i think there was a 30% chance Valdez could get a hit. he made good contact, just right at him. Very non-scientific, but he was on the ropes and i was fine with giving him the chance.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:36:12 GMT -5
Question on the Story send is basically did he have a better than 1/4.5 chance of making it home (roughly the odds Valdez would get a hit or error or walk and if walk then Wong would then get a hit or walk or error). Personally I think they should have sent him but it’s pretty close no. he was probably a 1 in 10 chance of scoring at best. and I don't really buy into those odds.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:32:10 GMT -5
Weird spot in that I think Story should have been sent because it's two outs and you want to force a good play, but I also think he would have been cooked. That was an entertaining game and I think that this young lineup will be a monster next year and win a ton of games when Bloom gets some front line starters and reinforces the middle relief. i can respect this take and it is shared by others, but finding front line starters isn't easy and the team needs major upgrades on defense. He is likely going to have to trade hitting to fill those voids. There is no evidence he is going to fish heavily in FA waters. He hasn't done that at all.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:29:40 GMT -5
didn't give up, appreciate that. a mini win streak, followed by a mini losing streak. Been the case all year. not enough prolonged win streaks.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:26:32 GMT -5
rewound the abreau hit. Story was just irght on the bag when the guy fielded it, which I think is the point where dont send. also it was right at the LF'er, didn't have to move.
I don't think that was the time to send and with the pitcher on the ropes, i am ok with the hold.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:21:28 GMT -5
Yes ! we are getting screwed on all these singles right to the LF'er
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:19:47 GMT -5
Yes. Great hit by Story !!
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:16:58 GMT -5
BUST !! LOL.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:15:29 GMT -5
ohhhh...that was the 1 !! come on Masa
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:14:26 GMT -5
it is up to the bidding war guy ! (just joking chaimtime)
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:12:06 GMT -5
stay within your swing Tristan !
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 20:11:14 GMT -5
that is a bad miss by the obviously not 20/20 vision umpire.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 19:54:41 GMT -5
yet, most of what i read was that the league, in general, thought it was an overpay and were surprised (which lends credence to that theory). But we know you cant trust the media, so i guess there's that. That does seem to be the theme, but at the same time, even if you talk to a dozen executives there are still 18 you’ve missed. It doesn’t take many to make it a bidding war. not to sure about that, even at 15 mill a year, that disqualifies well over half of the teams to begin with. Also, if you been around long enough, that would have been reported. The people involved with these things, GM's, agents, reps...etc...etc., there is one thing to remember, they leak info. They want to feel important or advocate for their client, so they leak info. Being that no reporting has occurred saying as much, i am much more confident a bidding war didn't happen. It is more likely that the Sox had the best offer and they took it, which is fine, in and of itself.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 19:48:43 GMT -5
how can we have 19 hits and be losing ? just a cursed team.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 19:41:06 GMT -5
I agree. Casas is the winner ! I got my own vote, i was just hoping he could influence the others.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 19:31:11 GMT -5
ROY votes at stake here.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 19:27:42 GMT -5
Wont get fooled again. Excited about Abreu but want to see how the league responds. Gonna give it 600 at bats or so before i get fully on bandwagon.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Sept 9, 2023 19:22:57 GMT -5
I certainly think the .7 fWAR addition at $18 mill that might have been bidding against himself would be a pretty good place to start if you are in a firing mood. Yoshida was a bad signing. He looks bad in the field, so now, what, you don’t sign Turner, your most productive bat? Matsui was worth 0.2 fWAR his first season. Adjusting to the MLB travel schedule—not to mention the speed of the game on defense—is a real challenge, I think he’s shown enough to give him another year before calling it a bad signing. Also I’ve seen some cold water thrown on the “bidding against themselves” narrative, which I buy. It just seems unlikely to me that a model-driven team like the Red Sox would be such huge outliers. yet, most of what i read was that the league, in general, thought it was an overpay and were surprised (which lends credence to that theory). But we know you cant trust the media, so i guess there's that.
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