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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 10, 2024 0:00:06 GMT -5
Disagree with that they gave a ton if bullpen depth. Right now 1 of Whitlock, Houck, or Winckowski are penciled into the rotation. Odds are there would be 1 or 2 injuries and suddenly Houck and/or Winckowski are pressed into starting pitching duty, that thins the one, so what do you have? Martin, who has very little experience closing, Schreiber who noticeably regressed last year and was quite shaky, maybe one of Winckowski or Houck m, and then what? I'll say Campbell who I do like, but after that slim pickings. They have just one lefty that was effective in Bernardino, but whi knows if hes that good again? I wouldn't count on Slaten or Mata. Criswell is fringy. Jacques wasnt overly impressive. I don't think the pen is as good or deep if Kenley is dealt. If the Sox arent planning on really contending anyways then fine, trade Kenley but don't be surprised if the pen doesn't function as well. I guess I'm just a lot higher on the bullpen sans Jansen. I cant see nit adding a starters. Might be ckevenger or lorenzon. But a starter is coming. Im all for Houck as closer. Hes a bad ass. Would fit that role.
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Post by blizzards39 on Feb 6, 2024 18:55:34 GMT -5
Dodgers resigning Kershaw WTF?? I didn't hear a single report about Breslow being in on Kershaw!! Do they even care?? The guy is a first-ballot HOFer and still had enough in the tank to clock 4 WAR last year!! Reports say that LAD only gave him a year and a player option -- Breslow couldn't do better than that?? I bet Henry wouldn't open his wallet!! What a joke!! This is an insult to RSN!!Why would kershaw sign with sox? He was always going back to Dodgers. Only other team with a sniff would have been rangers
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 30, 2024 20:41:31 GMT -5
I cracked myself up with this thought and had to share. Sox have the potential to do something hilarious and go out and get Snell and Montgomery and just decide to compete this year. Just trying to be happy that spring training is approaching. And maybe still be under tax if they trade kenley
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 30, 2024 19:40:28 GMT -5
The Angelo’s are under agreement with David Rubenstein to sell the team. They will be a threat now if these billionaires are willing to spend. This is not good. Angelos has been one of the worst owners in sports for decades. This is good then. Always better to have healthy opposition
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 27, 2024 21:22:34 GMT -5
You stated, "when the likes of Max Fried, Walker Buehler, Corbin Burnes, Zach Wheeler, Zac Gallen, Framber Valdez, Dylan Cease, Mitch Keller, and Zach Eflin are gonna be free agents in the next year or two?" we all know that they will not be free agents by the time it reaches that point. It's not a valid arguement it is speculative at best if I'm being generous. Buehler and maybe Gallen are really the only ones I see as likely to sign an extension. Rosenthal has already said there’s a mutual understanding that Fried is leaving next offseason, for example. Burnes definitely isn’t re-signing. Rumors are that Houston doesn’t have the money for Valdez, either, and I’d imagine guys like Cease and Keller aren’t exactly raring to extend with their current teams. Tampa is Tampa, so I’d be surprised if they pay Eflin. And of course, those aren’t the only guys who would be hitting free agency over the next two years. Curious what it would be if you’re not being generous. If you can get Monty for 22-4M per why would that have any bearing on signing a 1 next year?
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 27, 2024 15:54:58 GMT -5
The more i think about it the more convenient i am sox get monty. I just feel if the door was closed they would have Junis or Clevenger or X signed by now.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 27, 2024 15:52:18 GMT -5
I dont necessarily want Merrifield but it's getting to the point where I think he could be had for a season and as a RHH who can play 2nd and OF he could be a good fit. Insurance for grissom and he's probably better than refsnyder as a 5th OF. Refsynder had a .365 OBP last year, .384 the year before. Zero power. And protected by only ever facing LHP
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 25, 2024 15:57:15 GMT -5
Tim Britton who was pretty accurate on most of his predictions so far (minus shohei but who was) had Monty getting 5 years for 105. I like Monty but to me he’s much more of a very good 3 then a true 1 or 2 that 150 million would represent. I could see slightly more than that but not much imo. I agree at this point in time, if you look at Montgomery's track record pre 2023 and really pre 2nd half and playoff run of 2023 it doesn't look the part of a $25M+AAV guy at least to me. He did a great job getting hot at the perfect time for his free agency but I have a hard time buying his 2nd half as his likely production going forward. He's a good SP no doubt but as you said he's more #3 than #1 or #2 to me. That being said I'd still take him in a heartbeat on 4/100. I think its less about what Monty is as far as 1/2/3/4 ect and more about the fact that he fills a glaring hole as a reliable inning eating healthy LH starter. Will he be worth $25!in 5 years? Good chance no, but for the next 2-3 he should pretty much be a fixture innthe Sox rotation.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 25, 2024 15:11:50 GMT -5
Feels like at this point a two horse race between the Rangers who have questions about money left in the budget vs the Sox who have questions if they want to be cheap-os or not. I have a hard time seeing Montgomery making it to $150M. I'm confident the Red Sox would be willing to offer Montgomery a decent amount of cash even if it's well below his expectations - 4/80 or something like that. I'm not confident the Rangers would even do that.
At some point the bidding is low enough that teams that don't really make sense like the Phillies jump in. Not a chance it falls to 4/80. 4/100 maybe. 5/130 more likely the low. Im all in. Take snell to. And i think the FO would do this. As of for now id say 6/180 still the asking price.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 23, 2024 22:55:50 GMT -5
I’d go right now if Duvall comes back CF Durran SS Story 3B Devers RF Duvall 1B Casas DH Yoshida LF Abreu 2B Grissom C Wong I want Devers 2 or 3. I want Casas 3 or 4 Don’t realy care how the rest plays out. Lots of options have Merritt
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 23, 2024 13:03:22 GMT -5
If the team holds tight and dosnt spend then it might make sence for a couple extensions??? Would this help settle the fan base? Does anybody even makes sence to extend at this point??
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 22, 2024 23:27:54 GMT -5
Sounds like paxton to dodgers. 12 million red sox dollars. 23M dodger dollars
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 22, 2024 9:24:10 GMT -5
I'm in at 70. I think the season-starting team will, on paper, be a little better than the team that finished last last year (much as last year's season-starting team was, on paper, better than the team that finished last), but that instead of bringing in people to try to plug holes that develop, the team is left to its own and falls apart harder. I predict it doesn't sink lower by the strength of the kids they promote doing yeoman's work and performing commendably. If this group wins only 70 we are in alot of trouble. I don’t see any reason that as of now compared to last season we are better at SS 2B 1B C. Could easy be better at 3B and OF. The bullpen should be starting deeper and the SP looks similar to better and we wont have to put up with Klubur. There could be regressions and most likely injuries. But we also have a few guys poised for massive break out seasons. On top of all this there is still pay role flexibility. The only way this team finishes under 80 wins is a-lot goes wrong and they clean house. Possible yes. But, just as likely it could go rhe other way and we win 90 plus.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 21, 2024 16:32:41 GMT -5
2023 Budget $225M 2024 Budget said to be less than 2023 Please quit talking about Montgomery and Snell....pipedream. Whitlock should be given another chance to start. My concern #1 is his health. If he breaks down then it's to the bullpen. The poster that suggested Houck and Whitlock work their arm in AAA to start. Are you nuts? Breslow has spoken. It's Bello, Giolito, Kutter, Pivetta and Houck/Crawford. Move on. Id be shocked if another starer wasnt added. Might not be Monty. Could be Ryu, Paxton Lorenzon or still may also see some sort of trade fir a controllable pitcher. Yhere is alot of season left. Even if the FO dosn t want to expand payrole they are still only at 190.4M$. Last year was 225$m. 237 is the tax line. In think it's safe to say the sox will not go over the tax line. And more than likely keep the payroll closer to last season. Still leaves 30M$ to go.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 12, 2024 23:19:44 GMT -5
Here's a deal for Montgomery: 2 years, $40m; first year $30m, second year $10m; player option after first year, club option for $20m after second year if player option exercised. Pillow contract that allows Monty to re-enter the market next year (after changing agents -- it's starting to look like he would've gotten his best payday right before the YY decision), albeit with a lot more SPs on the market. In the event of injury, he gets $10m in 2025 while he rehabs and Sox may elect to recoup that year in 2026 if his rehab goes well. He'd only accept it if the market completely collapses. Sox get a chance to compete in 2024 and are protected from being tied to him into his late 30s. If all goes well and he's a A student in the Breslow-Bailey Pitching Academy, they can weigh extending him next year vs. signing another FA SP. No way monty will ever have more value than now. He is taking guaranteed cash. Maybe they have overplayed there hand a bit or maybe this is classic Boras. Cant see any way its not 100M plus
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 9, 2024 19:09:55 GMT -5
Probably a dodged bullet but still. This is getting frustrating
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 9, 2024 13:03:17 GMT -5
Imanga Paxton Go 6 man rotation Sign whatever RH bat is cheap Trade jansen if you have to to make this happen.
Or sign Monty / snell With same RH cheap bat. Trade jansen if needed
Or Trade for a pitcher with at least 3 years of control. Sign solar Teade jansen if needed.
Seems like 3 paths to be compatative this year, not mortgage to much future value and keep payrole reasonable.
Its bad that we are hoping for 1 of these 3 outcomes. Very bad.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 8, 2024 13:20:47 GMT -5
MLB Trade Rumors says the Rays are shopping Harold Ramirez. He would actually be a pretty good fit. RHH 1B/OF/DH who mashes lefties. He could play somewhere against every lefty and even spell casas sometimes at 1st. Not sure what the asking price would be, but he would be a pretty good guy to get. I was thinking the sane thing. Could maybe turn kenley ot yoshida and cash into ramirez. And be able to sign snell/ monty. Keep duran and raffaella. Still be under 225. And maybe be competitive playoff team
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 8, 2024 13:16:05 GMT -5
What about Harold Rameriz for RH bat? Rays shopping him supposably. He would fit nice as backup 1b, LF , DH
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 6, 2024 12:30:43 GMT -5
1/6 Prediction Highlights- Trade for a RHH middle-of-the-order bat in Ward instead of overpaying for a free agent outfielder
- Attempt to address deficiencies at C by swapping Wong (and Schreiber) for Fermin
- Bolster the bullpen by signing Stephenson
- Acquire young, controllable SP in Cabrera and add Puk to fix bullpen imbalance in a "blockbuster" of sorts
- Trade Kenley for a pitching prospect
Position PlayersC: Fermin* 1B: Casas 2B/SS: Grissom SS/2B: Story 3B: Devers LF/DH: Yoshida RF/CF/LF: O'Neill LF/DH: Ward* RF: Abreu CF/SS: Rafaela 1B/3B/DH: Dalbec C: McGuire 2B/DH: Valdez Lineup vs RHP
1B Casas (L) 2B Grissom (R) 3B Devers (L) LF Ward (R) DH Yoshida (L) SS Story (R) RF Abreu (L) CF Rafaela (R) C McGuire (L) O'Neill (R) Valdez (L) Fermin (R) Dalbec (R) Lineup vs LHP2B Grissom (R) SS Story (R) 3B Devers (L) LF Ward (R) 1B Casas (L) RF O'Neill (R) DH Yoshida (L) CF Rafaela (R) C Fermin (R) Abreu (L) Valdez (L) McGuire (L) Dalbec (R) Starters
SP: Imanaga (5/$90MM) SP: Bello SP: Giolito SP: Pivetta SP: Cabrera* Relievers
CL: Martin SU: Puk* RP: Stephenson (2/$14MM) RP: Bernardino RP: Campbell LRP: Crawford LRP: Winckowski LRP: Whitlock Trades- Connor Wong + John Schreiber for Freddy Fermin (KCR) -> sheds $1.3MM
- Kenley Jansen + $8MM for Christian Scott (NYM) -> sheds $8.0MM
- Jarren Duran + Nick Yorke + Bryan Mata for Edward Cabrera + AJ Puk (MIA) -> adds $1.2MM
- Tanner Houck for Taylor Ward (LAA) -> adds $4.6MM
Notes: This would leave the payroll at roughly $223MM. Given recent reporting, I think it's reasonable to assume the team will be below the first CBT threshold again (and possibly close to the "mandated" $225MM in 2023).
I think this plan is giving ip to many cost controled years without bringing in grade A talent. Alrhough it seems this type of rout is what the FO is looking at doing.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 5, 2024 18:43:49 GMT -5
I think Cease would make a great addition to this team whether you think he's an "ace" or not. Tons of whiffs, weak contact and throws lots of innings. I would absolutely take that. Considering this team needs a legit starting pitcher and a right handed power hitter, a trade I would love to see would be getting Cease and Jimenez. If the price is right I would love to see Breslow pull the trigger on that. I think Jimenez is a great buy low candidate. Is it worth Anthony or Meyer plus plus llus
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 4, 2024 23:27:53 GMT -5
Why not Trevor Bauer. Could be ace. Shouldn't be crazy $. Will be short term.
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 4, 2024 15:03:36 GMT -5
The team just dealt chris sale with 17M to the braves to buy grissom. That doesn't really feel like a strapped for cash move. You can't tell me the dodgers or someone wouldn't have taken sale and his contract for a proverbial bucket of balls. Not saying they're gonna spend with the top 5 payrolls every year but they have plenty of money for 1 year deals on guys like Bader If they wanted to or at least that's my belief. On the surface I agree. But you do have reports (granted not from Heyman or Rosenthal) that state they're looking to get rid of Jansen's deal at 1/16 because they can't make an offer to a FA without it. That kind of tells me that they "can't afford" to spend 10 million on a 4th outfielder. Or is this smoke. How bout trade jansen and pay 8$ and use Houck to close. Already in the roster for 1M$. Then take that 8 M and get soem RH power. Or put towards a top pitcher
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 4, 2024 14:59:26 GMT -5
Would rather play Rafaela than pay Bader $10 mill Exactly. And have oneil at 5M and RR at 1.5. Maybe the Teo banter is all smoke. Drive up price on MFY. We are also doing alot of speculation on the FO and there intentions. What we do know "Full throttle" " going starting pitching " " may have to trade from depth to controlable starters" "Have singed one mid lever starter" "Have made some trades" " were at least somewhatbserrious about yamamoto" What we don’t know / total speculation. "!trading vets to cut costs " " cutting payrole"
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Post by blizzards39 on Jan 4, 2024 12:44:27 GMT -5
Mets are signing Harrison Bader for 1/10 mil. If the team was looking for a defense first CF to make Rafaela expendable in a trade (not that it seems like that's what they're thinking), Michael A Taylor is all that's really left in that category. If he's getting 10 million for being an absolute bum at the plate, but providing elite defense, Teoscar is getting almost double per year. That might be why the Sox need to trade Jansen so Teoscar can essentially replace Jansen on the books. Sucks that the Sox need to figure out a way to trim payroll but its what it is. Or they can give Story away as a dump but no one in their right mind is touching him. He's a bad year away from being the worst current contract in baseball since I'm sure Wander's will be voided. I just can't understand all rhe hate dor Story. In his 137 game swith the Sox he is worth 2.7 War. Alsways a slow starter one would hope that a regular spring ( hasnt had in 2) one would hope would be a bit more consistant. On top of that the fixed arm should only improve the defence . 4/100 or whatever is left isnt even that bad realy. And if he stays heakthy should be worth all the 100M$ left
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