|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 30, 2024 8:10:38 GMT -5
That number was on the original Fangraph projections. It's now changed. If these systems are iterative, re-estimating over time, all well and good. We all need to understand that's how it works rather than give them significance they don't deserve.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 30, 2024 0:55:03 GMT -5
ZiPS thinks O'Neill is all the way back to his 2021 self offensively, projecting 143 the rest of the way. Not to pick on you but... The set of projections originally listed on Fangraphs for Crawford, Houck, O'Neill, Abreu and Wong - to name a handful - were off by so much as to suggest pure guesswork. To give one really egregious example: Steamer projected Wong at .1 WAR for the year. Pro-rated, he should have accumulated less than 2 hundredths of a win at this juncture. The site currently has has him at .7 and Steamer (grudgingly?) upped his guesstimated production to .5 for the year. So he'd better get cracking and lose some value, right?? The same sort of analysis shows large undervaluation for the other names, and via the other projection systems as well. My point is simple: the systems are more useful for the sort of change analysis SoxStats highlights than they are as reliable projections of performance. Caveat emptor. There were posts throwing those numbers around as if they were some sort of ceiling and they are not.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 29, 2024 13:53:44 GMT -5
How serious is this injury. Honestly so upset with how he was benched then comes back has a good game then gets hurt and is treated like he's the worst OFer in baseball yet SS gets a pass on putting absolute trash there defensively at the most important defensive pos. Have you been watching the games at all?
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 28, 2024 14:07:28 GMT -5
Yes and no. I mean, it was absolutely ridiculous how long it took for him to DFA Braiser. or does the fact that he was good immediately upon going to the Dodgers suggest the FO was right about him and the coaches were failing ...or that relievers, given their usage patterns, are extremely volatile creatures. Brasier is currently at negative WAR, with a 4.63 ERA and an even higher FIP.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 24, 2024 22:46:45 GMT -5
The combination of speed, glove, and arm are not that common. As an above average SS - and that's his floor to my mind - if he gets to .250/.300/.450 which I think he can, he's a 4-5 WAR player. That'll work.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 24, 2024 21:25:07 GMT -5
Is that supposed to be 2023 & 2024?
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 24, 2024 20:50:50 GMT -5
Well that was insane. Starting to think Rafaela might be able to handle the infield after all. I don't think he was waiting for you to punch that ticket. There were a few bizarre takes on the board about his defense when he'd played two games at the position. That's a play only a handful of shortstops could make, and one of them is out for the year.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 22, 2024 16:32:09 GMT -5
On that final high strike to Soto, one of the best hitters in the game looked completely over-matched. Won't see that very often.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 22, 2024 14:50:20 GMT -5
Just watched the end of the NY - Oakland game. A lunchtime treat! The Athletics are by no means a dead letter. Mason Miller, for one, is just about the most fearsome reliever I've watched this year. After they went ahead on a 2-run HR in the 9th, he wasted no time K-ing the side: Volpe, Soto, and Judge went down swinging.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 21, 2024 13:59:17 GMT -5
He's been nothing but "sick". Off of the limited number of games so far he appears to be a phenomenal outfielder. He's got his timing down at the plate also.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 20, 2024 23:40:47 GMT -5
The “front office isn’t trying to win” Red Sox are an inning or so away from having a better record than the Dodgers. Early I know, and I wouldn’t bet on that continuing by any means, but that’s not the point I’m trying to make anyway. The Dodgers shelled out over $1,200,000,000 in contracts in the offseason and have a 12-11 record (1/2 game worse than the Red Sox 12-10). Lmao Very early of course, and it will change, but right now every team in the AL East has a better record than all the teams in the NL West.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 20, 2024 22:19:30 GMT -5
The report at MLB.com is about pain in the left ribcage. MRI comes next.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 20, 2024 10:09:24 GMT -5
There were posts on the board suggesting that the endless search for passable, mediocre, or just plain bad talent to fill out the staff was not a great idea. And there were posters eager to see what the existing talent might bring. They are for the most part younger and they needed a chance. Plow through the archives if you need a refresher.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 19, 2024 20:24:37 GMT -5
RIP Dickey Betts. His solo on “One Way Out” from At Fillmore East was probably my favorite guitar solo of all time. Duane Allman:
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 10, 2024 0:38:00 GMT -5
I've read through a few of the comments and my take from some is that people may need to reassess their relationship to social media. I know I wasn't expecting them to win all their games or to compete in every one of them - which they'd done up to now - and I hope you weren't either. It's one loss, an ugly one it's true, and there will be others. As always, there was some good. Bello was on, though the defense betrayed him.
For this team, any team, it's how you respond. I'm glad Duran cares. Everyone's different in how they express frustration. He got steamed and let it out. Since the message from the Internet is that there are no secrets anymore, we all get to live with the insiders view. And our reactions will be just as varied as those of the players. That is the way it works.
As others have said, let's see what they take from it.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 8, 2024 14:06:20 GMT -5
People were wondering what the team was doing with its budget. I think we're starting to see where this is all going.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 8, 2024 14:03:35 GMT -5
I see the problem, if there is one, as short term. Once Refsnyder and Grissom are back there are a number of possible platoon positioning scenarios (we'll call this p3). It becomes easy to imagine a primarily right-handed or left-handed lineup.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 8, 2024 8:56:56 GMT -5
... and that includes 3 one-run losses.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 7, 2024 21:10:34 GMT -5
This sounds as if it's at your end, not MLB's. Might want to run a speedtest on your ISP.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 7, 2024 17:42:38 GMT -5
The team will need another right-handed bat. Maybe Grissom can provide that.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 7, 2024 17:39:23 GMT -5
That is not what you implied. The team is not weird at all. It looks to be constructed with some thought.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 7, 2024 17:12:15 GMT -5
I wasn’t implying much of anything other than saying we have a weird team after a Reese bomb yea between the elite pitching, McGuire mashing, the Story injury it's been a weird, if overall very good, start to the year. The pitchers needed a chance since they had numbers at least as good as much of what was on the market. It's still not everything you'd want, but it's pretty damned good so far. O'Neill was and is that bat people were clamoring for - again if he can stay healthy. Some on the board were looking for a player they already had. The injury to Story is difficult, no doubt about it. But that's why you stock the minors, to prep for the unforeseen. It's not weird, it's baseball.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 7, 2024 16:53:48 GMT -5
Houck has really warmed to the task.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 7, 2024 16:49:47 GMT -5
What a weird team we have this year Your kidding! Right? The offense is not a problem: a split in Seattle, a sweep in Oakland, and it looks like 2 out of 3 in LAA. The team is not weird at all. People may need to reexamine a few of the bizarrely pessimistic predictions that were floating around.
|
|
|
Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 6, 2024 19:28:32 GMT -5
Moved the Gausman critique to the non-Sox thread.
|
|