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Post by burythehammer on Jan 28, 2016 23:48:09 GMT -5
"The story might have started with the most unique of pursuits last winter, but has morphed into something just as challenging for the guy who's previous primary stresses revolved around tax season."
Good lord. Bradford is a fine reporter but his writing is abominable.
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 26, 2016 15:47:53 GMT -5
Trying saying "Ace-pinoza" out loud without feeling like a jackass.
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 25, 2016 12:59:59 GMT -5
Thank you for not calling him by that nickname from that movie. yeah let's give him a really creative nickname like "King"
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 19, 2016 6:40:43 GMT -5
Amazing what happens when you don't have Bud Selig in charge.
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 13, 2016 10:52:06 GMT -5
Not saying we shouldn't try to extend him, but Mookie is exactly the kind of player who gets vastly underpaid in arbitration. Something to take into account.
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 8, 2016 17:45:44 GMT -5
Are they? Isn't this guy sort of taking the bullet for them?
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 5, 2016 20:35:32 GMT -5
At least they put her in a cheerleader outfit so girls won't get the wrong idea about their place in athletics. A skirt is a "cheerleader outfit" now?
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 1, 2016 20:28:24 GMT -5
And a 6% walk rate, 24% strikeout rate, which were basically the same as his first half. He hit for more power and had a .391 BABIP. And just because a guy is a young player doesn't mean we can automatically assume that a 2-3 month split like that signifies some kind of actual improvement/adjustment, especially when his underlying performance was essentially the same.
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Post by burythehammer on Jan 1, 2016 19:56:19 GMT -5
Automated projection systems struggle with players without an established major league track record, and I agree that for prospects/young players, they're not super useful. I dunno. They loved Mookie going into last year (and the year before prior to his first callup). I think the problem with Swihart is less an issue with projection systems and more the fact that he's never really put up outstanding offensive numbers at any level. He's a very good prospect (and a decent player right now) because he's a legit catcher with the tools to be a good hitter, but why would anyone project him to be anything close to an average MLB hitter in 2016?
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FIP
Jan 1, 2016 19:35:00 GMT -5
Post by burythehammer on Jan 1, 2016 19:35:00 GMT -5
Seeing as there is a lot of FIP talk in here, what does everyone think about the legitimacy of FIP? Tomase on the Hot Stove Show remarked how even extremely analytical front offices (dodgers/former Rays execs) kinda laugh at all the FIP talk. I'm gonna give Tomase the benefit of the doubt here because I didn't actually hear what he said specifically, but if he's implying that progressive front offices "laugh" at FIP in favor of ERA or other traditional metrics, he's being completely disingenuous. They may laugh at it because they consider FIP rudimentary compared to their internal metrics (metrics that neither we nor John Tomase has access to), but that's an entirely different discussion.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 22, 2015 13:01:13 GMT -5
Yeah because Boston is on the other side of the world.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 22, 2015 7:52:15 GMT -5
Wow. So by midseason we could easily have 3 top 10 prospects (and Benintendi not far behind). Exciting.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 18, 2015 19:14:01 GMT -5
Somebody should tell the Dodgers that Carrasco and Salazar are not available before they get their hopes up.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 16, 2015 12:52:53 GMT -5
Is there any concern that Espinoza ends up as a reliever? I'm afraid we're getting way ahead of ourselves here. Any pitching prospect could end up as a reliever. Right now there's still a greater chance that Espinoza never even gets to the big leagues. That doesn't mean he's not one of the best prospects in baseball.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 14, 2015 6:39:53 GMT -5
Giles will be paid for 5 years as much as Kimbrel for one. No question, Giles is the better value even if you consider Kimbrel the better pitcher And? If you told me I could trade the same prospects for Kimbrel or for Giles, I'd trade for Kimbrel every time. Teams like the Astros trade for value because they can't afford to go for the best players. Teams like the Red Sox can afford to pay the price to get the better player, especially when they cost the same. You're funny. You say, "It's a huge overpay, more so than the Kimbrel deal!" A few of us point out that it's not, and you say, "Screw value, that's for teams like Houston!" Which is it?
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 14, 2015 6:33:40 GMT -5
It's not remotely hard, unless one has been under a rock for the last two years and still thinks Mark Appel is an elite prospect. The Astros gave up an inferior package for 5 years of Giles (who had a lower FIP last year than Kimbrel, mind you, not that I actually think he's better) at way less money than we will pay Kimbrel for 3 years of control. Try again. I'd argue there is far more security in the Astros package They got five pitchers. That's the exact opposite of security.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 12, 2015 17:02:32 GMT -5
Wow, hard to argue the Kimbrel trade was an overpay after this one. It's not remotely hard, unless one has been under a rock for the last two years and still thinks Mark Appel is an elite prospect. The Astros gave up an inferior package for 5 years of Giles (who had a lower FIP last year than Kimbrel, mind you, not that I actually think he's better) at way less money than we will pay Kimbrel for 3 years of control. Try again.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 12, 2015 14:09:37 GMT -5
The whole "suspend him long enough to delay his free agency a year" thing would send the union into nuclear meltdown mode. Not gonna happen, imo.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 10, 2015 7:27:55 GMT -5
Steamer projections:
wRC+ Chris Davis: 116 Hanley Ramirez: 120
Davis is the biggest free agent landmine out there.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 9, 2015 16:43:15 GMT -5
Let him go out and win a gold glove, prove he can hit for a full season and then trade him for even more value when Benintendi is ready.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 9, 2015 16:41:42 GMT -5
He'll be the #1 prospect in baseball by midseason, if he isn't already. He's not getting traded.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 9, 2015 16:33:41 GMT -5
I know there's a roughly 0% chance of him winning the grievance but it is fun to think about what he would get as a free agent (until you realize he'd undoubtedly end up a Yankee).
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 9, 2015 7:54:26 GMT -5
I would do Erod, Devers, Swihart, Johnson for Jose F. The Marlins probably wouldn't which is ok, that's why you deal from a position of power. The Marlins don't have to trade him but they would not get a better deal than this from anybody. That's way too much, IMO. By this time next year, Devers could be a top 5 prospect and ERod and Swihart could both have 3+ WAR major league seasons under their belt, easily.
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 9, 2015 7:31:45 GMT -5
clarkspencer @clarkspencer 7m7 minutes ago Hearing that #Marlins had deal working with D-Backs: Jose Fernandez for Corbin, Swanson and 3 others -- until Zona landed Shelby Miller. Correct me if I'm wrong but the Dbacks don't really have guys that compare to our top 3/4 (beyond Swanson), so just for the sake of argument, we'll assume the "3 others" were the guys in the ATL deal. So the Red Sox comp would be ERod, Benintendi, JBJ, Owens and a 5th piece. That's....a ton, but not totally insane (assuming the 5th piece is a 5th piece and not a stud). Then again I'm assuming it didn't happen because MIA was asking for a bit more. edit: Frisaro says as much: "Corbin, Inciarte, Blair, Swanson, Drury". Who's our equivalent of Drury? Marrero?
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 9, 2015 7:06:02 GMT -5
I can't believe it took less than three weeks for someone to make a worse trade than the Kimbrel deal.
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