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Post by Guidas on Apr 16, 2018 19:26:49 GMT -5
I just hope DDo doesn't trade Lin for the next hurt setup man. He seems like a player who is going to pull a Travis Shaw and be way better in the majors than he ever was in the minors. Agreed. I’m all in on Lin sanity.
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Post by Oregon Norm on Apr 16, 2018 20:41:40 GMT -5
Along with the startling improvement in GB% and the hard hit liners, his plate approach to me is incredibly advanced. He's not afraid to watch pitches go by to see what's being thrown, and he's very good at fouling off balls he can't handle. He has a plan and he executes it.
My conjecture, but watching him lace pitches up the middle convinced me he knew what was coming and how to handle it. He'd figured it out.
I do know this. Losing your hottest hitter, a guy OPSing 1.111 and replacing him with a player who starts out at 1.268 ... that's either dumb luck or stone genius. The result is the same, the team barely misses a beat
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Post by telson13 on Apr 16, 2018 22:13:48 GMT -5
One thing that is terrific to see is that MLB walk rate of 14% over 80 PA. There’s a great discussion of sampling here www.fangraphs.com/library/principles/sample-size/The takeaway for me is that, while K rate is the most correlative from one grouping to another, walk rate is close behind. And these curves don’t address early development, i.e, that early in a player’s career, their K rate can probably be expected to drop as they adjust, before leveling off. Walk rate, on the other hand, would more likely be expected to rise early on, as the player adjusts, or at least stay flat. So I think it’s becoming more and more apparent that Lin’s IsoD will remain outstanding, and may approach or become elite, depending on his productivity (dangerousness as a hitter) and adjustments (willingness to take pitches, pitch recognition, etc.). And his K rate will probably drop, but at the very least it’s unlikely to rise (he’s in the range of r=0.65, and since it’s correlation, it might drop, stay flat, or rise, but most rationales point away from the latter). It’s nice to see, SSS aside, that his contact quality has been excellent so far, too: 30% hard-hit vs 48% medium and only 22% soft; again, taken in light of EV readings, that’s good to see.. Lots of encouraging data on this young man so far.
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ericmvan
Veteran
Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,931
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Post by ericmvan on Apr 17, 2018 2:00:57 GMT -5
With 15 line drives in 48 times making contact, Lin has a career 31.25% LD%. Now, FanGraphs only has LD% starting in 2002, but there's precisely zero MLB position players with a higher rate in as many or more PA (80). Ryan Adams matches him with 20 LD in 64 contacts for the O's in 2011, but he had 25 SO and 6 BB, versus Lin's 19 and 11.
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Post by michael on Apr 17, 2018 11:56:08 GMT -5
Along with the startling improvement in GB% and the hard hit liners, his plate approach to me is incredibly advanced. He's not afraid to watch pitches go by to see what's being thrown, and he's very good at fouling off balls he can't handle. He has a plan and he executes it. My conjecture, but watching him lace pitches up the middle convinced me he knew what was coming and how to handle it. He'd figured it out. I do know this. Losing your hottest hitter, a guy OPSing 1.111 and replacing him with a player who starts out at 1.268 ... that's either dumb luck or stone genius. The result is the same, the team barely misses a beat Norm, if this was the Patriots we'd just be repeating"next man up."
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radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,321
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Post by radiohix on Apr 19, 2018 16:49:24 GMT -5
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