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What if the Red Sox went all-in? (tfka Dombrowskied)
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Post by tyler3 on Feb 1, 2022 9:30:55 GMT -5
I know this thread won’t go anywhere but it occurred to me the other day that the RedSox farm system has really come a long way so it got me thinking. What if Chaim suddenly freaky Fridayed into Dombrowski and John Henry said you have 2 years to get a ring, nothing else matters, to hell with sustainable winning after that. Rules of the game, Henry will give any free agent you want left from this year or next year, but just 1. Also any trade must be a consensus overpay from Red Sox perspective, no Dalbec for Matt Olson rubbish. Everyone generally has to agree the other team would accept so also no contending team. Final rule…year 3 to infinity doesn’t matter….forget the farm. I’ll go first and will be overly extreme just to make a point.
1. Sign Correa 2. Devers, Casas, Yorke, Mata, and Duran for Olson, Chapman, and Frankie Montas (Xander moves to 2b) 3. Mayer, Wiklemen, and Downs for Cedric Mullins. 4. Blaze Jordan, Jay Groome, Binales, Bello for Hader.
Hitting:
Hernandez Mullins Xander Olson Correa J.D Martinez Chapman Verdugo Vazquez
Pitching: Sale Eovoldi Montas Pivetta Hill Wacha Paxton Houck Whitlock
Potentially best offense in the league. Almost certainly the best defense . Deep pitching staff. Relief corp after Hader is suspect but hey, this is a Dombrowski team.
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ematz1423
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Post by ematz1423 on Feb 1, 2022 10:43:25 GMT -5
I get the thought and appreciate the idea to give us something to talk about during this lockout. But how would trade 2 even help the Red sox this season? Devers is equal to Olson with the bat if not better. Chapman is turning into a defense only type of guy, his stock is down. Maybe he turns it around but I wouldn't do Devers for olson/Chapman at all. I'll play along a bit. Seems to me if the sox signed Correa, move Xander to 3rd. Move Devers to first and then use that package of prospects to go get a stud pitcher and a 2nd baseman.
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Post by taiwansox on Feb 1, 2022 10:48:15 GMT -5
How about Cherington’d: trade your best trade chips and take on bad contracts and fringe prospects? (Lackey/Lester) or miss out on a international free agent (Abreu) and overreact and sign a lemon (Rusney)
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nomar
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Post by nomar on Feb 1, 2022 12:14:54 GMT -5
Really need this lockout to end
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Post by incandenza on Feb 1, 2022 12:43:56 GMT -5
What would be the Dombrowskian logic for trading Devers? That would be like if the actual Dombrowski had traded Bogaerts in 2016. Instead he extended him.
For that matter, Dombrowski also held onto Devers himself, and in this analogy you'd figure to hold onto one of the current top prospects, either Mayer or Casas.
I also don't see why Oakland would be looking to add Devers two years away from free agency, and I don't think that would be enough to get Mullins.
Overall this turns the Sox' farm system into the worst in the majors, while making the team older and failing to land an ace starter.
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Post by tyler3 on Feb 1, 2022 14:15:38 GMT -5
Well Chapmen and Devers had the exact same WAR last year. Devers is also included to help get an all star 1b and a young good pitcher with 2 years of control. Might be light for Mullins.
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Post by soxfaninnj on Feb 1, 2022 15:24:53 GMT -5
How about Cherington’d: trade your best trade chips and take on bad contracts and fringe prospects? (Lackey/Lester) or miss out on a international free agent (Abreu) and overreact and sign a lemon (Rusney) This made me laugh, it was a sad laugh cause it’s true
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Post by prospectlove on Feb 1, 2022 15:40:42 GMT -5
Really need this lockout to end Sadly you will be waiting awhile I think. As will we all.
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Post by prospectlove on Feb 1, 2022 15:43:12 GMT -5
How about Cherington’d: trade your best trade chips and take on bad contracts and fringe prospects? (Lackey/Lester) or miss out on a international free agent (Abreu) and overreact and sign a lemon (Rusney) This made me laugh, it was a sad laugh cause it’s true I think he will do a lot better in Pittsburg where the pressure to win every year won't be there and he can just build build build build the farm system. Some people are cut out for the major markets and others are cut out for the small markets. Gotta give him credit for the farm system he had when he left or young players ready to step in and play but I wasn't a Cherington fan.
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Post by bosox904 on Feb 1, 2022 16:03:56 GMT -5
I hate all those trades. The last one is interesting because the Brewers get Binelas back after the traded him for a 2 WAR RF and salary relief.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Feb 1, 2022 16:22:52 GMT -5
nevermind. literary freedom is more important.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Feb 1, 2022 16:45:42 GMT -5
Knowing what the CBT would be going forward would help. Otherwise it's probably something like this, assuming you keep the existing, definitely against-Dombrowski-type offseason they've had so far:
Extend Devers Approach Xander about an extension and determine whether that would be better or whether trading him and signing Correa or Story would be better Trade Winckowski, Bleis, and Paulino for Trivino Sign one of Suzuki or Schwarber or Castellanos
The one problem I'm having is reconciling the state of the rotation. I guess you just roll with it at this point. But I don't think a Dombrowski plan would be much different than what they're going to do, save that he'd definitely give up too much in a trade for relief pitching.
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Feb 1, 2022 16:56:22 GMT -5
Knowing what the CBT would be going forward would help. Otherwise it's probably something like this, assuming you keep the existing, definitely against-Dombrowski-type offseason they've had so far: Extend Devers Approach Xander about an extension and determine whether that would be better or whether trading him and signing Correa or Story would be better Trade Winckowski, Bleis, and Paulino for Trivino Sign one of Suzuki or Schwarber or Castellanos The one problem I'm having is reconciling the state of the rotation. I guess you just roll with it at this point. But I don't think a Dombrowski plan would be much different than what they're going to do, save that he'd definitely give up too much in a trade for relief pitching. Maybe he can trade 4 prospects for Craig Kimbrel....and we can spend the next 6 years dissecting the trade.
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Post by tyler3 on Feb 1, 2022 16:58:36 GMT -5
Ok fair enough guys, the points was I guess. There is literally nothing left to talk about until the next move and for the first time in a long time, the Red Sox could be the presumptive number 1 if they wanted to be. Just an exercise. Just curious if you had to win the next 2 years what moves would you make. A lot of chirping but didn’t see many proposals. Or we can talk about the pros and cons of the Mookie trade.
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Post by taiwansox on Feb 2, 2022 10:36:17 GMT -5
This made me laugh, it was a sad laugh cause it’s true I think he will do a lot better in Pittsburg where the pressure to win every year won't be there and he can just build build build build the farm system. Some people are cut out for the major markets and others are cut out for the small markets. Gotta give him credit for the farm system he had when he left or young players ready to step in and play but I wasn't a Cherington fan. I agree that he’ll probably do better in Pittsburgh, but look at his 2012-2015 drafts. They were soooo bad, basically only Benintendi and Kopech. (Even traded Chavis back to him for a cherry on top). We didn’t get any good bench players out of those drafts either. Dombrowski miraculously turned Deven Marrero into Josh Taylor. Our second round picks were also terrible. I won’t even bring up the he who shall not be named 7th overall pick of the 2013 draft. Cherington would have fit better with the Mets or some other incompetent organization honestly 😂
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Post by jimed14 on Feb 2, 2022 10:54:29 GMT -5
With expanded playoffs, there is even less of a reason to build a super team at the expense of the future. Having the best team is absolutely no guarantee of winning a championship.
The goal is to make the playoffs every year and that's it.
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Post by incandenza on Feb 2, 2022 10:56:38 GMT -5
I think he will do a lot better in Pittsburg where the pressure to win every year won't be there and he can just build build build build the farm system. Some people are cut out for the major markets and others are cut out for the small markets. Gotta give him credit for the farm system he had when he left or young players ready to step in and play but I wasn't a Cherington fan. I agree that he’ll probably do better in Pittsburgh, but look at his 2012-2015 drafts. They were soooo bad, basically only Benintendi and Kopech. (Even traded Chavis back to him for a cherry on top). We didn’t get any good bench players out of those drafts either. Dombrowski miraculously turned Deven Marrero into Josh Taylor. Our second round picks were also terrible. I won’t even bring up the he who shall not be named 7th overall pick of the 2013 draft. Cherington would have fit better with the Mets or some other incompetent organization honestly 😂 Yeah, Cherington has a reputation of a guy who puts the farm system first, but he hardly added any real prospects throughout his tenure - not just through the draft but even with the Lester and Lackey trades.
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Post by incandenza on Feb 2, 2022 11:14:28 GMT -5
I think if we're following the Dombrowski analogy, the key facets would be:
1. Trade prospects for stars. 2. Don't sweat the margins of the roster. 3. Protect the top young talent in the organization. 4. Keep the stars that are already here.
I think that would mean extending Devers, not trading him. Possibly extending Bogaerts past 2022 as well, though Bogaerts might not be into it.
I don't really see an ace being available in a trade the way Sale was in 2016. I think he might would do something like Yorke + a couple other top-20 guys for Luis Castillo.
I actually think he'd hold onto Mayer and Casas, much as he held onto Devers in 2016.
Bring back Schwarber.
Maybe he'd try to trade for Olson? But unless he was willing to give up Mayer or Casas I don't think he could land him. Maybe with like a 5-for-1 deal. But I think he'd be content to just roll with Dalbec.
In general the team doesn't have the ridiculous young core it had in 2018 with Betts, Bogaerts, Bradley, and Benintendi, and without the ability to add a Sale type there's not as much of an opportunity to build a 2018-style juggernaut.
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Feb 2, 2022 11:42:52 GMT -5
I think if we're following the Dombrowski analogy, the key facets would be: 1. Trade prospects for stars. 2. Don't sweat the margins of the roster. 3. Protect the top young talent in the organization. 4. Keep the stars that are already here.
I think that would mean extending Devers, not trading him. Possibly extending Bogaerts past 2022 as well, though Bogaerts might not be into it. I don't really see an ace being available in a trade the way Sale was in 2016. I think he might would do something like Yorke + a couple other top-20 guys for Luis Castillo. I actually think he'd hold onto Mayer and Casas, much as he held onto Devers in 2016. Bring back Schwarber. Maybe he'd try to trade for Olson? But unless he was willing to give up Mayer or Casas I don't think he could land him. Maybe with like a 5-for-1 deal. But I think he'd be content to just roll with Dalbec.
In general the team doesn't have the ridiculous young core it had in 2018 with Betts, Bogaerts, Bradley, and Benintendi, and without the ability to add a Sale type there's not as much of an opportunity to build a 2018-style juggernaut.
I think the Dombrowski thing is overplayed. He was more likely to give up quantity than quality in his trades of minor leaguers. In his time with the Sox he gave up one top notch prospect, Moncada, and that was in a deal for a young pitching ace in his prime on a steal of a locked in contract. Is Manny Margot the second biggest prospect he gave up during his tenure with the Sox? If so, that's hardly giving up the next Jeff Bagwell. I did balk when he dealt Espinoza, but it turned out Espinoza would have worse injury issues than Pomeranz had so the deal didn't bite him. What got Dombrowski in some trouble was trading too many players in a deal, those 4 for 1s with the exception of the Pomeranz/Espinoza deal. So he'd thin out the system with these deals, but it's not like these were irreplaceable talents. Another problem is that the Sox didn't do a great job of replacing these marginal talents in the system so the system suffered. As you pointed out Dombrowski usually protected his top talent. I think he was pretty good at sorting out talent. He held onto Benintendi. He held onto Devers. I'm sure he could have dealt JBJ but he didn't. Dombrowski might have offered Mookie the big bucks, who knows. He has a track record of huge extensions as Miguel Cabrera can testify to. I think the point of the thread is: what if the Sox went all in - no holds barred? Which I think overinflates what Dombrowski did. It can be an interesting thought exercise but we all know that Chaim Bloom shouldn't and wouldn't operate that way. I think the San Diego Padres kind of tried to do that in 2021 and it didn't work out too well. A part of me will wonder how the Padres would have done had they left their system intact and let these guys develop (or not). Either way, it sucks that there's nothing current in baseball to actually talk about unless we start some sort of prediction thread as to what Bloom will do when the lockout ends, what moves, but not even knowing what the luxury tax limit looks like, etc, that's even hard to do.
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Post by jimed14 on Feb 2, 2022 11:56:44 GMT -5
I think if we're following the Dombrowski analogy, the key facets would be: 1. Trade prospects for stars. 2. Don't sweat the margins of the roster. 3. Protect the top young talent in the organization. 4. Keep the stars that are already here.
I think that would mean extending Devers, not trading him. Possibly extending Bogaerts past 2022 as well, though Bogaerts might not be into it. I don't really see an ace being available in a trade the way Sale was in 2016. I think he might would do something like Yorke + a couple other top-20 guys for Luis Castillo. I actually think he'd hold onto Mayer and Casas, much as he held onto Devers in 2016. Bring back Schwarber. Maybe he'd try to trade for Olson? But unless he was willing to give up Mayer or Casas I don't think he could land him. Maybe with like a 5-for-1 deal. But I think he'd be content to just roll with Dalbec.
In general the team doesn't have the ridiculous young core it had in 2018 with Betts, Bogaerts, Bradley, and Benintendi, and without the ability to add a Sale type there's not as much of an opportunity to build a 2018-style juggernaut.
I think the Dombrowski thing is overplayed. He was more likely to give up quantity than quality in his trades of minor leaguers. In his time with the Sox he gave up one top notch prospect, Moncada, and that was in a deal for a young pitching ace in his prime on a steal of a locked in contract. Is Manny Margot the second biggest prospect he gave up during his tenure with the Sox? If so, that's hardly giving up the next Jeff Bagwell. I did balk when he dealt Espinoza, but it turned out Espinoza would have worse injury issues than Pomeranz had so the deal didn't bite him. What got Dombrowski in some trouble was trading too many players in a deal, those 4 for 1s with the exception of the Pomeranz/Espinoza deal. So he'd thin out the system with these deals, but it's not like these were irreplaceable talents. Another problem is that the Sox didn't do a great job of replacing these marginal talents in the system so the system suffered. As you pointed out Dombrowski usually protected his top talent. I think he was pretty good at sorting out talent. He held onto Benintendi. He held onto Devers. I'm sure he could have dealt JBJ but he didn't. Dombrowski might have offered Mookie the big bucks, who knows. He has a track record of huge extensions as Miguel Cabrera can testify to. I think the point of the thread is: what if the Sox went all in - no holds barred? Which I think overinflates what Dombrowski did. It can be an interesting thought exercise but we all know that Chaim Bloom shouldn't and wouldn't operate that way. I think the San Diego Padres kind of tried to do that in 2021 and it didn't work out too well. A part of me will wonder how the Padres would have done had they left their system intact and let these guys develop (or not). Either way, it sucks that there's nothing current in baseball to actually talk about unless we start some sort of prediction thread as to what Bloom will do when the lockout ends, what moves, but not even knowing what the luxury tax limit looks like, etc, that's even hard to do. Kopech was a way bigger prospect than Margot.
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Post by incandenza on Feb 2, 2022 12:08:18 GMT -5
I think if we're following the Dombrowski analogy, the key facets would be: 1. Trade prospects for stars. 2. Don't sweat the margins of the roster. 3. Protect the top young talent in the organization. 4. Keep the stars that are already here.
I think that would mean extending Devers, not trading him. Possibly extending Bogaerts past 2022 as well, though Bogaerts might not be into it. I don't really see an ace being available in a trade the way Sale was in 2016. I think he might would do something like Yorke + a couple other top-20 guys for Luis Castillo. I actually think he'd hold onto Mayer and Casas, much as he held onto Devers in 2016. Bring back Schwarber. Maybe he'd try to trade for Olson? But unless he was willing to give up Mayer or Casas I don't think he could land him. Maybe with like a 5-for-1 deal. But I think he'd be content to just roll with Dalbec.
In general the team doesn't have the ridiculous young core it had in 2018 with Betts, Bogaerts, Bradley, and Benintendi, and without the ability to add a Sale type there's not as much of an opportunity to build a 2018-style juggernaut.
I think the point of the thread is: what if the Sox went all in - no holds barred? Which I think overinflates what Dombrowski did. I don't want to enter the Great Dombrowski Debate yet again, but I do agree with this: 1) What would Dombrowski do if he were the current GM of the Red Sox, and 2) What would the Red Sox do if they went full go-for-it-now mode? are two different questions.
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mobaz
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Post by mobaz on Feb 2, 2022 12:18:12 GMT -5
I think if we're following the Dombrowski analogy, the key facets would be:
1. Trade prospects for stars. 2. Don't sweat the margins of the roster. 3. Protect the top young talent in the organization. 4. Keep the stars that are already here.
I think that would mean extending Devers, not trading him. Possibly extending Bogaerts past 2022 as well, though Bogaerts might not be into it.
I don't really see an ace being available in a trade the way Sale was in 2016. I think he might would do something like Yorke + a couple other top-20 guys for Luis Castillo.
I actually think he'd hold onto Mayer and Casas, much as he held onto Devers in 2016.
Bring back Schwarber.
Maybe he'd try to trade for Olson? But unless he was willing to give up Mayer or Casas I don't think he could land him. Maybe with like a 5-for-1 deal. But I think he'd be content to just roll with Dalbec.
In general the team doesn't have the ridiculous young core it had in 2018 with Betts, Bogaerts, Bradley, and Benintendi, and without the ability to add a Sale type there's not as much of an opportunity to build a 2018-style juggernaut.
I think you have it pegged pretty well.
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Feb 2, 2022 15:52:04 GMT -5
I think the Dombrowski thing is overplayed. He was more likely to give up quantity than quality in his trades of minor leaguers. In his time with the Sox he gave up one top notch prospect, Moncada, and that was in a deal for a young pitching ace in his prime on a steal of a locked in contract. Is Manny Margot the second biggest prospect he gave up during his tenure with the Sox? If so, that's hardly giving up the next Jeff Bagwell. I did balk when he dealt Espinoza, but it turned out Espinoza would have worse injury issues than Pomeranz had so the deal didn't bite him. What got Dombrowski in some trouble was trading too many players in a deal, those 4 for 1s with the exception of the Pomeranz/Espinoza deal. So he'd thin out the system with these deals, but it's not like these were irreplaceable talents. Another problem is that the Sox didn't do a great job of replacing these marginal talents in the system so the system suffered. As you pointed out Dombrowski usually protected his top talent. I think he was pretty good at sorting out talent. He held onto Benintendi. He held onto Devers. I'm sure he could have dealt JBJ but he didn't. Dombrowski might have offered Mookie the big bucks, who knows. He has a track record of huge extensions as Miguel Cabrera can testify to. I think the point of the thread is: what if the Sox went all in - no holds barred? Which I think overinflates what Dombrowski did. It can be an interesting thought exercise but we all know that Chaim Bloom shouldn't and wouldn't operate that way. I think the San Diego Padres kind of tried to do that in 2021 and it didn't work out too well. A part of me will wonder how the Padres would have done had they left their system intact and let these guys develop (or not). Either way, it sucks that there's nothing current in baseball to actually talk about unless we start some sort of prediction thread as to what Bloom will do when the lockout ends, what moves, but not even knowing what the luxury tax limit looks like, etc, that's even hard to do. Kopech was a way bigger prospect than Margot. Yes he was. Frankly I was so hung up on remembering Moncada and not including Devers, I forgot all about Kopech. Still a worthwhile deal, though, even though I remembering thinking that the deal will bite the Red Sox at some point. I guess that point would be if Kopech develops into a top notch starter which he does have the ability to be if he's not a top notch closer.
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Post by jimed14 on Feb 2, 2022 16:56:12 GMT -5
Kopech was a way bigger prospect than Margot. Yes he was. Frankly I was so hung up on remembering Moncada and not including Devers, I forgot all about Kopech. Still a worthwhile deal, though, even though I remembering thinking that the deal will bite the Red Sox at some point. I guess that point would be if Kopech develops into a top notch starter which he does have the ability to be if he's not a top notch closer. I never liked the Kimbrel deal but always liked the Sale deal. And we all remember who was on the mound to close out the 2018 World Series.
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Feb 2, 2022 17:10:51 GMT -5
Yes he was. Frankly I was so hung up on remembering Moncada and not including Devers, I forgot all about Kopech. Still a worthwhile deal, though, even though I remembering thinking that the deal will bite the Red Sox at some point. I guess that point would be if Kopech develops into a top notch starter which he does have the ability to be if he's not a top notch closer. I never liked the Kimbrel deal but always liked the Sale deal. And we all remember who was on the mound to close out the 2018 World Series. I was cool with both deals. I was never enamored with anybody the Sox gave up in the Kimbrel deal. However I pissed and moaned a lot about losing Espinoza for injury prone Pomeranz, even calling it their worst trade since Bagwell. Whoops.
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