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Post by philsbosoxfan on Apr 14, 2023 21:19:37 GMT -5
Also of note, Chang is making all the plays at SS and Kiké's BA is better at CF. Maybe the pressure of SS was affecting him at the plate, trying to make up for erors. People have postulated this for Duran in CF instead of his natural position at 2nd. Sox seem determined to round peg him into that square hole. That seems like a stretch, he been a CFer for quite a while now including his best season at high A.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Apr 14, 2023 21:21:26 GMT -5
Is there a better option? Yeah, there is a guy playing 1B for the Cubbies at league min... The most “hindsight is 20/20” post I’ve seen in a while
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Post by scottysmalls on Apr 14, 2023 21:22:02 GMT -5
Also of note, Chang is making all the plays at SS and Kiké's BA is better at CF. Maybe the pressure of SS was affecting him at the plate, trying to make up for erors. People have postulated this for Duran in CF instead of his natural position at 2nd. Sox seem determined to round peg him into that square hole. Duran hasn’t played second in years and hit well in the minors in the outfield.
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Post by patford on Apr 14, 2023 21:22:25 GMT -5
Also of note, Chang is making all the plays at SS and Kiké's BA is better at CF. Maybe the pressure of SS was affecting him at the plate, trying to make up for erors. People have postulated this for Duran in CF instead of his natural position at 2nd. Sox seem determined to round peg him into that square hole. My prediction was the Sox aren't playoff caliber but right now they are playing like they have the weight of the world on their shoulders. No way most of the lineup is a collection of sub-.200 hitters. The negativity that has been ongoing for over a year and being stoked by local and national media is ridiculous. What the team needs is for a couple of guys to just bust out and carry the load.
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manfred
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Post by manfred on Apr 14, 2023 21:28:33 GMT -5
People have postulated this for Duran in CF instead of his natural position at 2nd. Sox seem determined to round peg him into that square hole. My prediction was the Sox aren't playoff caliber but right now they are playing like they have the weight of the world on their shoulders. No way most of the lineup is a collection of sub-.200 hitters. The negativity that has been ongoing for over a year and being stoked by local and national media is ridiculous. What the team needs is for a couple of guys to just bust out and carry the load. You think this is because of bad vibes?
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TearsIn04
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Post by TearsIn04 on Apr 14, 2023 21:31:31 GMT -5
Yeah, there is a guy playing 1B for the Cubbies at league min... The most “hindsight is 20/20” post I’ve seen in a while Hosmer? He's got a 91 wRC+ and .1 WAR. Paying him league minimum might be a lousy deal for the Cubbies.
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TearsIn04
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Post by TearsIn04 on Apr 14, 2023 21:40:27 GMT -5
People have postulated this for Duran in CF instead of his natural position at 2nd. Sox seem determined to round peg him into that square hole. My prediction was the Sox aren't playoff caliber but right now they are playing like they have the weight of the world on their shoulders. No way most of the lineup is a collection of sub-.200 hitters. The negativity that has been ongoing for over a year and being stoked by local and national media is ridiculous. What the team needs is for a couple of guys to just bust out and carry the load. They have a 97 wRC+ as a team and a disproportionate of that came from Duvall's absurd hot streak and luck (.458 BABIP.) I don't see them improving significantly on their offense to date. Their talent level should place them a bit better or a bit worse than league average offensively - within the range where they are now, in other words. I'm not sure what the press has do with them losing or what the press has done to stoke negativity. The stories that said they finished last in '22 were due to the fact that they did in fact finish last. That how the world works.
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Post by blizzards39 on Apr 14, 2023 21:44:37 GMT -5
My prediction was the Sox aren't playoff caliber but right now they are playing like they have the weight of the world on their shoulders. No way most of the lineup is a collection of sub-.200 hitters. The negativity that has been ongoing for over a year and being stoked by local and national media is ridiculous. What the team needs is for a couple of guys to just bust out and carry the load. They have a 97 wRC+ as a team and a disproportionate of that came from Duvall's absurd hot streak and luck (.458 BABIP.) I don't see them improving significantly on their offense to date. Their talent level should place them a bit better or a bit worse than league average offensively - within the range where they are now, in other words. I'm not sure what the press has do with them losing or what the press has done to stoke negativity. The stories that said they finished last in '22 were due to the fact that they did in fact finish last. That how the world works. You obviously havnt spent that much time in competitive locker rooms.
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Post by Montana Lemonious-Craig on Apr 14, 2023 21:45:28 GMT -5
For all the team’s flaws, the pen appears to be a strength. Well done Wink and Kenley. Thinking Houck will be a good swing man once Bello and/or Paxton are back
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Post by blizzards39 on Apr 14, 2023 21:45:38 GMT -5
My prediction was the Sox aren't playoff caliber but right now they are playing like they have the weight of the world on their shoulders. No way most of the lineup is a collection of sub-.200 hitters. The negativity that has been ongoing for over a year and being stoked by local and national media is ridiculous. What the team needs is for a couple of guys to just bust out and carry the load. They have a 97 wRC+ as a team and a disproportionate of that came from Duvall's absurd hot streak and luck (.458 BABIP.) I don't see them improving significantly on their offense to date. Their talent level should place them a bit better or a bit worse than league average offensively - within the range where they are now, in other words. I'm not sure what the press has do with them losing or what the press has done to stoke negativity. The stories that said they finished last in '22 were due to the fact that they did in fact finish last. That how the world works. You obviously havnt spent that much time in competitive locker rooms.
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TearsIn04
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Post by TearsIn04 on Apr 14, 2023 21:56:53 GMT -5
They have a 97 wRC+ as a team and a disproportionate of that came from Duvall's absurd hot streak and luck (.458 BABIP.) I don't see them improving significantly on their offense to date. Their talent level should place them a bit better or a bit worse than league average offensively - within the range where they are now, in other words. I'm not sure what the press has do with them losing or what the press has done to stoke negativity. The stories that said they finished last in '22 were due to the fact that they did in fact finish last. That how the world works. You obviously havnt spent that much time in competitive locker rooms. Not since HS. But I work in media relations for a large company in NYC, a pretty intense business media environment. No reporter has ever caused me to write a lousy press release or run a bad internal meeting. If I screw up (and the next time won't be the first, I can assure you), it's my responsibility. I just don't see what the press has done to the Red Sox that's so egregious.
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Post by wkdbigsoxfan on Apr 14, 2023 22:00:50 GMT -5
Can tell the Sox won because there's only 5 pages on the thread so far
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TearsIn04
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Post by TearsIn04 on Apr 14, 2023 22:13:01 GMT -5
Can tell the Sox won because there's only 5 pages on the thread so far Well, I think it's also because the game was only on Apple TV, or whatever it's called. But yeah, it's pretty quiet on here right now.
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Post by soxfansince67 on Apr 14, 2023 22:14:38 GMT -5
Can tell the Sox won because there's only 5 pages on the thread so far I suspect it is because quite a few couldn't watch it, due to it being limited to Apple TV. Hard to comment on something you can't see. By the way - team batting average now stands at .235.
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Post by bosoxnation on Apr 14, 2023 22:43:36 GMT -5
5 hits 5 runs. Lucky win but i’ll take it. Chang needs to be DFA idc if he’s the best defensive SS on the ML roster he can’t hit the baseball. Our offense is not good enough to carry anyone that literally can’t hit. 5 runs and 2 rbis. Crazy
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 14, 2023 22:45:50 GMT -5
At least Chang looks like a passable SS, he’s hitting like he’s constipated but the defense isn’t bad I like having Hernandez in CF and Chang at SS defensively. Hernandez also seems to hit better when he is not playing SS. Hernandez, and his 5 errors is not the answer at SS, nor is Dalbec, so if you DFA Chang who are you going to use? I do not think David Hamilton is ready despite his hot start at AAA, so until Mondesi or Story return Chang will see a lot of time at SS whether he hit or not, and I am fine with that as long as he plays good defense (and unless another SS falls in their lap).
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Post by bosoxnation on Apr 14, 2023 22:52:18 GMT -5
At least Chang looks like a passable SS, he’s hitting like he’s constipated but the defense isn’t bad I like having Hernandez in CF and Chang at SS defensively. Hernandez also seems to hit better when he is not playing SS. I was saying this days ago. I think the same happened to Franchy. Please please don’t ever say you like Chang playing on the ML team. Wong i can understand but he actually makes contact.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Apr 14, 2023 23:02:09 GMT -5
This could conceivably be very big.
Kiké's xBA the previous 11 games. No typos!
.166 .057 .011 .017 .180 .115 .000 .030 .086 .158 .185
That's 44 PA, with a .103 xBA.
(Yeah, but what was his actual BA? Also .103.)
Tonight he hit two balls with an EV of 99+ and had a .525 xBA.
If he just puts up a .235 tomorrow, to get to .380 for the two games -- that improvement happens 1 in 1 thousand times randomly. [1]
More fun with numbers: Kiké's .428 in his first two games had a one in 142 chance of being random, compared to the next 11. I remember thinking he looked great at the plate in game 2, so I do think the slump started after it.
As I have mentioned often, my best guess at the typical duration of an elite hitter's slump is 12 games, which Manny did (give or take a game) fairly predictably.
Two years ago Kiké was one of the best hitters in MLB for the bulk of the season (mid-late May on).
So we can dream a little starting now ...
[1] Technically, 1 in 1044 -- T-test with two samples, assuming equal variances, p=.00096.
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Post by bosoxnation on Apr 14, 2023 23:03:57 GMT -5
You guys ever look at run differential. Our division is all positive and we’re even 76 runs and 76 given up. TB is +68. Next best is 2 teams tied with +25. That’s CRAZY. Even more crazy Arizona is in first place with a -6. Scored 62 and gave up 68. Dodgers are +24 and behind them. Never seen that before. Crazy month so far.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 14, 2023 23:09:07 GMT -5
I like having Hernandez in CF and Chang at SS defensively. Hernandez also seems to hit better when he is not playing SS. I was saying this days ago. I think the same happened to Franchy. Please please don’t ever say you like Chang playing on the ML team. Wong i can understand but he actually makes contact. Chang’s better defensively at SS than Hernandez, so in a vacuum of these two players….yes IMO I would rather have Chang at SS and Hernandez in CF as Duval is not available. Under the current circumstances IMO this is a better alignment. When circumstances change and other alternatives come off the IL and onto the diamond, then preference will change…
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Post by yuchangclan on Apr 15, 2023 2:04:45 GMT -5
People have postulated this for Duran in CF instead of his natural position at 2nd. Sox seem determined to round peg him into that square hole. Duran hasn’t played second in years and hit well in the minors in the outfield. Sox sure could use some help at 2B, though…
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Post by briam on Apr 15, 2023 5:27:44 GMT -5
Kenley is absolutely filthy so far this year
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Post by redsoxfan2 on Apr 15, 2023 7:08:00 GMT -5
Yeah, there is a guy playing 1B for the Cubbies at league min... The most “hindsight is 20/20” post I’ve seen in a while I don't think so. I think a lot of people (myself included) were stunned when Hosmer was cut and now they could use his bat in the lineup. Which is sad because he still only has a .666 OPS.
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Post by cdj on Apr 15, 2023 7:08:43 GMT -5
Kenley is throwing his cutter almost 3 mph faster and his 4 seamer is averaging 96.2 after being 93ish his whole career- never reaching 94 for an average
The fountain of youth is somewhere in the city of Boston
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Post by sarasoxer on Apr 15, 2023 8:14:53 GMT -5
Kenley is throwing his cutter almost 3 mph faster and his 4 seamer is averaging 96.2 after being 93ish his whole career- never reaching 94 for an average The fountain of youth is somewhere in the city of Boston Now let's get Sale, Kluber and Whitlock to quaff from that same Fountain. Kluber is going to have to paint like da Vinci...I suspect that will lead to repeatedly getting him out early with high pitch counts fostered by nibbling. With fatigue come more misses And, when he misfires on location...high exit velos...probably a high number of home runs given up. Kenley said that he worked hard in the off-season to increase his strength and flexibility while watching vids when he was going well. It looks like it paid off. I hope that he doesn't waste it with this version of the Sox. We are the ONLY MLB team without a quality start to date
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