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Boston Celtics 2016-17 Season Discussion
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 12, 2017 16:19:40 GMT -5
Not that I'm refuting much of what you said, but Smart's love for the 3 is a team thing, isn't it? I don't have the numbers right in front of me but it sure seems like they are building their offense from the outside in. Celtics rank 14th in 3 point attempts, so no I don't think it's a team thing. Also Thomas gets to line 8.8 times a game.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 12, 2017 16:26:58 GMT -5
Smart doesn't have the athleticism, creativity with the dribble and finishing ability to consistently get into and score in the paint at the NBA level. I'd bet more on him becoming an average-or-better three point shooter than I would on him learning the nuances of scoring at the rim against NBA defenders. I don't think it's his athleticism. I do think it's all about his dribbling skills and because they aren't great he can't get by pro level defenders.
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Post by jmei on Jan 12, 2017 16:36:35 GMT -5
It's an either-or kind of thing. You either need the kind of handle and patience to dribble around defenders (Isiah Thomas) or the kind of lightning-quick first step to just blow by them (John Wall), or some combination of the two. Smart is not exactly a plodder, but I'd say he has averagish athleticism for the position, and he's not a creative enough dribbler to get to the rim if there's a guy in front of him.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 12, 2017 17:45:37 GMT -5
I get what your saying, but these are guards we are talking about. For one I think Thomas has both traits, which is why he's so special. He might be small but he's an explosive athlete and a very creative dribbler. Second Walls great first step wouldn't mean anything without the dribbling skills needed to keep up with his body. Remember Gerald Green in the early days? He was an explosive athlete but had very poor dribbling skills. I can still remember him blowing by guys and the ball not going with him. PF and Centers playing on the box, can get to basket with just a good first step, but guards need dribbling skills.
I would say Smart is a slightly above average athlete, with average dribbling skills. So he's not going to blow by anyone for easy layups. He needs to learn to use his strong body to fight through contact. That's what he did in College, he wasn't blowing by everyone in College. In the pros he's had guards strip the ball from him or lose control and seems to have given up on going to the basket with no fear. Smart should want contact when going to basket. He's strong enough with long arms that he should be able to get a shot off.
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Post by texs31 on Jan 13, 2017 6:50:54 GMT -5
Not that I'm refuting much of what you said, but Smart's love for the 3 is a team thing, isn't it? I don't have the numbers right in front of me but it sure seems like they are building their offense from the outside in. Celtics rank 14th in 3 point attempts, so no I don't think it's a team thing. Also Thomas gets to line 8.8 times a game. Recency bias on my part. Watched a couple of games (or stretches within the games) where they seemed to be gunning. Thanks for providing the facts.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jan 13, 2017 9:06:53 GMT -5
Smart is getting into the paint a lot better. He may not be getting to the line as a result yet but the improvement is there. He's kicking the ball out very nicely as he draws defenders. He's actually turning into a very good point guard.
My comparison to Bradley at a similar age was not to compare players tit for tat. They are different players hence the reason I'm making an argument that Smart may be a better fit on a team with IT.
You make a good point that both IT and Smart are most effective when they are handling the ball. But Smarts ball handling is also a pro. The fact he's becoming a good spot up shooter from the corner on catch and shoot also makes him helpful off the ball. Having 2 ball handlers on the court stresses the defense in certain ways as well that's good.
The major problem I have is I don't think it's possible to win in the playoffs with IT and Bradley playing 30 minutes a night. They are way too weak defensively together. It just doesn't work and it won't work. Thomas is certainly the weak link but Bradleys defensive abilities do nothing to compliment Thomas and it's not his fault he's too weak to effectively cover most SG or wings. Thomas is already going to get shredded by the opposing PG; they just can't afford to have Bradley as the other guard. I supposed you should never say never but there better be unbelievable low post defense and that hard to find with Ainge and/or Stevens seem allergic to players who rebound and play low post defense. They seem to like soft three point shooters.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jan 13, 2017 9:09:55 GMT -5
Btw regarding Fultz etc... all my talk was post draft stuff, pretty sure I mentioned that. It's more if an if they are looking at him or another guard they think is potentially better than what they have then they need to go for that.
I don't think they should be doing anything right now on the trade front unless it's a steal that won't eat cap room for next year or give away any of their elite assets. Nothing they can do will win them a championship this year. That's not to say you don't try but I'd rather this group develop together than get some veteran to take minutes from someone we need long term. Like someone to take minutes from Brown would be bad.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jan 13, 2017 9:13:07 GMT -5
Kyrie Irving is an atrocious defender even when he feels he needs to defend well. He isn't a Curry stopper just because Steph choked it. I disagree. I wasn't even thinking about that one play anyways. He may not be all NBA defense but he certainly steps up the effort and constantly comes up with big steals and makes it a lot harder on his guy than he does the rest of the time.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 13, 2017 13:45:10 GMT -5
Btw regarding Fultz etc... all my talk was post draft stuff, pretty sure I mentioned that. It's more if an if they are looking at him or another guard they think is potentially better than what they have then they need to go for that. I don't think they should be doing anything right now on the trade front unless it's a steal that won't eat cap room for next year or give away any of their elite assets. Nothing they can do will win them a championship this year. That's not to say you don't try but I'd rather this group develop together than get some veteran to take minutes from someone we need long term. Like someone to take minutes from Brown would be bad. If I was GM I'm going after young bigs in the offseason. Players like Noel and Len. They fill a big need and are young enough to grow with team. So if I can get them now I go for it. This year's free agent group just isn't that good. I think we have no chance at Griffin, new CBA took away the slim chance we might have had. I know people have been high on getting Hayward, but again new CBA means he would have to turn down a ton of money. Also let's be honest the Jazz look to have just as good or maybe even a better long-term outlook than we do. You also confuse me by talking about trading Bradley, but saying we could use Reddick. That just makes no sense in my book. You also talked about Bogut, who I'm OK with on a short small money deal. I don't see the point in cap space if we are talking about players like Reddick and Bogut.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 13, 2017 14:14:27 GMT -5
Developing 19 year olds into NBA stars takes time, just take a look at Minnesota. They have some great young players who are going to be stars but at the moment don't know how to win yet. The C's are pretty good and should be for a while but the really good team that we are all hoping for could be years down the road unless Danny can get lucky. And as has been said before, the new CBA is going to make that difficult. Does anybody know the ramifications of trading for Cousins now that he has signed the big deal? There is a decent chance this is a long term build towards a championship. Meaning there isn't a good trade to be had so the next core is drafted and developed. It's not a bad situation. Brown and Smart are already here developing and they can add a couple more high end picks. The advantage they will have over the teams like Philly and Minny are they have a winning environment and good veterans to learn from. Plus, veterans like IT and Crowder (Bradley if not traded) can still be around in 3-6 years. Horford will be at the tail end but could age well and his presence has a leader could be huge. I for one at ready for a longer road. The chances that Danny is thinking that way is like zero %. Danny is just being smart with the Nets picks. He didn't want to trade them away for Butler and watch the Bulls get a superstar to go along with a couple starters. Danny will make a move, most likely this offseason so this current core has a better chance at winning a title. You don't just waste the prime years of Thomas, Crowder, Horford and Bradley hoping draft picks pan out. After this offseason your cap space will be gone, as you"ll have to start re-signing players and we will only have one big asset left that is unknown. I'm not saying Danny trades all the young guys, I don't think he does. He will though make moves to win now and most likely that will mean young guys will be moved. Like you said like at Minny, they have great young players, but aren't even close to a good team.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jan 13, 2017 14:45:47 GMT -5
There is a decent chance this is a long term build towards a championship. Meaning there isn't a good trade to be had so the next core is drafted and developed. It's not a bad situation. Brown and Smart are already here developing and they can add a couple more high end picks. The advantage they will have over the teams like Philly and Minny are they have a winning environment and good veterans to learn from. Plus, veterans like IT and Crowder (Bradley if not traded) can still be around in 3-6 years. Horford will be at the tail end but could age well and his presence has a leader could be huge. I for one at ready for a longer road. The chances that Danny is thinking that way is like zero %. Danny is just being smart with the Nets picks. He didn't want to trade them away for Butler and watch the Bulls get a superstar to go along with a couple starters. Danny will make a move, most likely this offseason so this current core has a better chance at winning a title. You don't just waste the prime years of Thomas, Crowder, Horford and Bradley hoping draft picks pan out. After this offseason your cap space will be gone, as you"ll have to start re-signing players and we will only have one big asset left that is unknown. I'm not saying Danny trades all the young guys, I don't think he does. He will though make moves to win now and most likely that will mean young guys will be moved. Like you said like at Minny, they have great young players, but aren't even close to a good team. The core of IT, Crowder, Horford and Bradley isn't going to get you passed the Cavs unless you add a Cousins without losing any of that core. And that isn't even a guarantee, highly unlikely. As I said before, I fully expect Danny to keep some of the core together while adding the young talent and letting it develop. The C's may trade one of the Nets picks but only if they get back something substantial. We are looking at a good not great team while the picks mature. Might as well considering the chances of beating Lebron in the next few years are slim.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 13, 2017 15:54:47 GMT -5
The chances that Danny is thinking that way is like zero %. Danny is just being smart with the Nets picks. He didn't want to trade them away for Butler and watch the Bulls get a superstar to go along with a couple starters. Danny will make a move, most likely this offseason so this current core has a better chance at winning a title. You don't just waste the prime years of Thomas, Crowder, Horford and Bradley hoping draft picks pan out. After this offseason your cap space will be gone, as you"ll have to start re-signing players and we will only have one big asset left that is unknown. I'm not saying Danny trades all the young guys, I don't think he does. He will though make moves to win now and most likely that will mean young guys will be moved. Like you said like at Minny, they have great young players, but aren't even close to a good team. The core of IT, Crowder, Horford and Bradley isn't going to get you passed the Cavs unless you add a Cousins without losing any of that core. And that isn't even a guarantee, highly unlikely. As I said before, I fully expect Danny to keep some of the core together while adding the young talent and letting it develop. The C's may trade one of the Nets picks but only if they get back something substantial. We are looking at a good not great team while the picks mature. Might as well considering the chances of beating Lebron in the next few years are slim. I just don't agree. Add Cousins and we can beat any team in game. There are no guarantees in the NBA. I just don't see Cleveland as an MJ Bulls team that can't be stopped. Right now we don't have any young players that are going to mature and make us a title contender. That might change after up coming draft, but right now we don't. Smart has a looong way to go. Brown also has a loooong way to go. I just don't get the let's wait for young guys to develop like we have a Durant, Westbrook and Harden on our team. It's like you want to wait years to develop a core that's not going to be even as good as we currently have.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jan 14, 2017 13:16:18 GMT -5
The core of IT, Crowder, Horford and Bradley isn't going to get you passed the Cavs unless you add a Cousins without losing any of that core. And that isn't even a guarantee, highly unlikely. As I said before, I fully expect Danny to keep some of the core together while adding the young talent and letting it develop. The C's may trade one of the Nets picks but only if they get back something substantial. We are looking at a good not great team while the picks mature. Might as well considering the chances of beating Lebron in the next few years are slim. I just don't agree. Add Cousins and we can beat any team in game. There are no guarantees in the NBA. I just don't see Cleveland as an MJ Bulls team that can't be stopped. Right now we don't have any young players that are going to mature and make us a title contender. That might change after up coming draft, but right now we don't. Smart has a looong way to go. Brown also has a loooong way to go. I just don't get the let's wait for young guys to develop like we have a Durant, Westbrook and Harden on our team. It's like you want to wait years to develop a core that's not going to be even as good as we currently have. I agree that with Cousins and that core they could compete with anyone. Just saying IMO that's not happening, between what it would take in a trade and a trade even happening given the dynamics of the CBA. As far as Lebron/Cavs not being MJ, well he has been in the finals for 6 years running and won 3 of the last 5. I don't see that run ending anytime soon. As long he is healthy he will be there for a few more.
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Post by rjp313jr on Jan 15, 2017 10:37:48 GMT -5
No one is saying they want to wait. Not even a little bit. However, that is one possibility and I guaranty you Danny had thought about it. He's supposed to think about it. Does that mean he wants to go that route? Hell no... BUT they have have to.
I love Cousins but he's no more available than Anthony Davis at this point. Any talk otherwise is just pure fanboy rose colored glasses hope. The team might make the playoffs this year and they are giving him a 200m extension this summer per multiple reports.
There is a possibility that both these Nets picks are drafted and play for the Celtics with other trades being made to make the team competitive now while those players develop for you.
Even if he could be had... You say adding Cousins to this team makes them a contender, but it's impossible to add Cousins to this team since you need to trade a lot of it to get him. They could trade Smart, Crowder and Johnson plus the Nets picks for him. Of course now you lose your two best chess pieces on defense so you will greatly suffer there. No way you can contend now with wings destroying you.... maybe you can try Smart, Bradley and Brown plus Johnson and the picks... but now we are short on guards. Danny hasn't made the super star trade because it would hurt the roster, kill the cap and lose the future picks for a team that might be a little better but still won't be a real contender and it's hands will be tied. The new CBA has made it harder to get that star player but if one comes available at a reasonable value then Danny can pounce. So far that guy doesn't exist.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 16, 2017 14:40:46 GMT -5
You expected that we are in for another 3-6 years build towards title contender, those are your words. My point is Danny is not thinking that way. He just wants to know what the Nets picks are going to produce before making his move. After this offseason he will have no cap space and only one pick will be unknown. That 2018 pick and you will know what the 2017 recruiting class looks like. So you will know the strength of that draft. This offseason is when he's going to make a move to contend.
Cousins might not be available right now, but the earlier reports seems to be team reports. Cousins was joking with reporters about if he should sign extension, his way of saying he has not agreed to sign new deal like reports said. So a Cousins trade after season is not dead like earlier report made it seem. It just makes sense. The Kings have no good young players to build around Cousins and zero chance to rebuild team without trading Cousins.
Your Cousins trades sure seem like you made them up trying to prove a point. Sure most teams would have to gut team to get Cousins, but not us. Brown, Smart, Rozzier, two euro stashed players, Mickey and Nets picks. You can't tell me that you can't make a trade using those assets. I can't see a team beating an offer of Smart, Brown, filler, and the two Nets picks. In that case Rozzier takes over for Smart and you would need a backup small forward. The core is not destroyed.
Danny has been looking for that good deal, while knowing he had a ton of different options going forward. After this offseason those options are almost gone. So he'll make a move even if he has to pay market rate. Maybe he can't get a star, so he'll move onto the notch below star like the Heats good young center. Danny isn't thinking like you that if I can't get a great deal I'm just going to wait on young guys to develop and waste the prime years of Thomas, Crowder, Bradley and Horford.
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Post by voiceofreason on Jan 16, 2017 18:12:52 GMT -5
You expected that we are in for another 3-6 years build towards title contender, those are your words. My point is Danny is not thinking that way. He just wants to know what the Nets picks are going to produce before making his move. After this offseason he will have no cap space and only one pick will be unknown. That 2018 pick and you will know what the 2017 recruiting class looks like. So you will know the strength of that draft. This offseason is when he's going to make a move to contend. Cousins might not be available right now, but the earlier reports seems to be team reports. Cousins was joking with reporters about if he should sign extension, his way of saying he has not agreed to sign new deal like reports said. So a Cousins trade after season is not dead like earlier report made it seem. It just makes sense. The Kings have no good young players to build around Cousins and zero chance to rebuild team without trading Cousins. Your Cousins trades sure seem like you made them up trying to prove a point. Sure most teams would have to gut team to get Cousins, but not us. Brown, Smart, Rozzier, two euro stashed players, Mickey and Nets picks. You can't tell me that you can't make a trade using those assets. I can't see a team beating an offer of Smart, Brown, filler, and the two Nets picks. In that case Rozzier takes over for Smart and you would need a backup small forward. The core is not destroyed. Danny has been looking for that good deal, while knowing he had a ton of different options going forward. After this offseason those options are almost gone. So he'll make a move even if he has to pay market rate. Maybe he can't get a star, so he'll move onto the notch below star like the Heats good young center. Danny isn't thinking like you that if I can't get a great deal I'm just going to wait on young guys to develop and waste the prime years of Thomas, Crowder, Bradley and Horford. You really think trading 4 lottery picks for Cousins is a good idea? I hope Danny doesn't agree, I know I don't. The C's have an opportunity to be very competitive for a long time. It will take some wise moves, trading away all the picks isn't wise for the future.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 16, 2017 19:04:15 GMT -5
It all depends on where the Nets pick lands, who we can get and what other moves Danny might be able to make. If the next two lottery picks are like Smart and Brown I would absolutely trade all 4 for Cousins. If we land #1 pick and Danny thinks Fultz is a star, then no.
Would you rather a 4-5 year window as a true title contender or 8-10 years of being good, but not a title contender like the Hawks?
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Post by voiceofreason on Jan 17, 2017 10:02:08 GMT -5
"It all depends"
That says it all! We are just prognosticating! We don't know who the picks will be. We don't know how they will develop. We don't know if a reasonable trade is even out there. We don't know if a 4-5 yr window of competing for a title or 8-10 yrs of being good is the future. We don't know if Lebron will get injured or just plain bored. All we have is our opinions. Of course if a deal or series of deals were out there that would make them title contenders for the next 5 years that would be preferable. Danny would have to pull off some great trades that worked out perfectly. Is that possible? Sure. Is it likely? Most likely not but you never know. What we do know is the NBA just agreed on a CBA that rewards players and teams to stay together. Making it more difficult to make such deals and rewards a team in keeping their picks and developing them long term.
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Post by texs31 on Jan 18, 2017 15:46:55 GMT -5
Not that I'm refuting much of what you said, but Smart's love for the 3 is a team thing, isn't it? I don't have the numbers right in front of me but it sure seems like they are building their offense from the outside in. Celtics rank 14th in 3 point attempts, so no I don't think it's a team thing. Also Thomas gets to line 8.8 times a game. www.csnne.com/boston-celtics/celtics-are-living-3-pointer-historic-level
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 18, 2017 23:15:43 GMT -5
Yea that's my bad looked at wrong column at Basketball reference, Celtics oppents rank 14th in 3 point attempts, Celtics are #3 and 8th in 3 point FG %.
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Post by tb2mosstd23 on Jan 19, 2017 18:58:32 GMT -5
I'm not too familiar with the CBA but what is the issue with the Kings being the only team able to give Cousins the 5 yr/219m? contract? If the celtics traded for him say this offseason wouldn't they then be able to offer him that contract? The way it sounds to me is that Cousins isn't jumping at the bit to sign an extension just yet (hes jokingly asking reporters if he should re-sign with them) and once this offseason begins and the Kings aren't any closer to being able to legitimately compete he will effectively be able to choose where he wants to go by informing the Kings he won't sign an extension with them and the only team he will is the team of his choosing. Maybe I'm being too optimistic but it sounds like a spot where the Celtics would be one of the very few teams that could offer the Kings the picks/players they would be looking for in a return and Cousins a team that is set up for long term success. Unless I'm misunderstanding the new CBA I don't see the fact that the Kings are currently the team that can offer the most money being a huge roadblock. Personally, I don't want them to do anything like this unless it comes with another deal/signing to get them Butler, Griffin etc as I think adding just Cousins puts them in position to compete with but probably still lose to the Cavs and very unlikely to make it through both the Cavs and Warriors.
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Post by texs31 on Jan 19, 2017 20:51:18 GMT -5
There is a Designated Player Extension for certain players who meet specific criteria. I believe it's only those with a specific number of years in the league and they have very specific accomplishments (All NBA, All Defense, etc).
If a player meets those, they are eligible. The rights are not transferable at this point (I think they can be traded during their rookie contract, but not a subsequent 1).
Anyway, I don't have the specifics, but Cousins should meet the criteria and would walk away from a significant amount of money to sign elsewhere.
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Post by tb2mosstd23 on Jan 19, 2017 21:17:42 GMT -5
There is a Designated Player Extension for certain players who meet specific criteria. I believe it's only those with a specific number of years in the league and they have very specific accomplishments (All NBA, All Defense, etc). If a player meets those, they are eligible. The rights are not transferable at this point (I think they can be traded during their rookie contract, but not a subsequent 1). Anyway, I don't have the specifics, but Cousins should meet the criteria and would walk away from a significant amount of money to sign elsewhere. So if the celtics traded for him this offseason they wouldn't be able to extend him for the same amount the kings can, or alternately, the Kings couldn't sign him to that extension then trade him to the Celtics this offseason?
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jan 19, 2017 23:41:00 GMT -5
Only players on rookie deals would still have those rights after being traded or if they are with team that drafted them. So no Celtics wouldn't be able to offer the same contract Kings could. Kings can give him 35% of cap for 5 years, Celtics could do what 4 years at 30% of cap or could they go 5 years? Not sure, but they can't give him the 35%.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Jan 20, 2017 8:00:05 GMT -5
Only players on rookie deals would still have those rights after being traded or if they are with team that drafted them. So no Celtics wouldn't be able to offer the same contract Kings could. Kings can give him 35% of cap for 5 years, Celtics could do what 4 years at 30% of cap or could they go 5 years? Not sure, but they can't give him the 35%. I'm sure anyone would take 5% less to get the heck out of Sacramento. I just don't know why he would stay there at this point. He's proven himself and he's getting a max deal regardless, he minus well try to win. Unless he doesn't care about winning and values the money more, in which case I wouldn't want him anyways.
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