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2017 Trade Deadline Thread (Red Sox discussion)
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Post by Guidas on Jul 19, 2017 10:14:13 GMT -5
Tampa is 4-4 vs Boston this year NYY is 6-3 vs Boston head to head so far this year and just got better. And since head-to-head record over nine games definitively shows who the better team is, the Red Sox are obviously screwed. Come on. So far they've beat the Sox and they got better. They also have 9 more head to head with NYY having 6 home games. If that's not a concern on some level then you're ignoring reality. Personally I worry about TB more as they seem like a better overall right now.
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Post by jmei on Jul 19, 2017 10:22:19 GMT -5
There's a big, big difference between "the Yankees are, on some level, a concern" (fair statement) and "the Yankees are better than the Red Sox" (disagree) or, god forbid, the Yankees are a starter away from being "a playoff juggernaut" (nope).
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Post by James Dunne on Jul 19, 2017 10:24:35 GMT -5
I'm concerned that the Yankees, who are 3.5 games behind the Red Sox, got better. That would be true if the Red Sox were 9-0 or 0-9 head-to-head. It's a number that has no bearing on anything. It's reasonable to think that the Red Sox are better than the Yankees, and their head-to-head record doesn't refute that.
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Post by Guidas on Jul 19, 2017 10:25:55 GMT -5
There's a big, big difference between "the Yankees are a concern" and "the Yankees will be a playoff juggernaut" or even "the Yankees are better than the Red Sox." I agree with this. Perhaps mistating my point. I still think NYY starting pitching is suspect, but they have bats and now have a better pen, which was above average to begin with. I am also hoping the HR deby destroyed Judge's swing.
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nomar
Veteran
Posts: 11,533
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Post by nomar on Jul 19, 2017 10:26:22 GMT -5
The Yankees offense is certain to be worse in the second half, so they can deplete their farm to rent Darvish for a shot at the playoffs, but I don't think Cashman will want to put all their eggs in that basket. Even as a rental, Darvish will cost some combination of Frazier, Florial, and Mateo as a headliner. Darvish could put them past Boston, or could hurt their farm and still leave them in the wild card game or worse.
I think what they did yesterday was smart because they got a few useful pieces, giving them a better shot this year, while keeping their farm stacked. If they don't get far this year, they still have the two relievers next year and the only significant loss was Rutherford, who while good, is far from the majors.
And we haven't played the Yankees enough (let alone the fact that we have been missing Price and ERod for much of the year) for that sample to be relevant at all.
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Post by jerrygarciaparra on Jul 19, 2017 10:39:20 GMT -5
The Yankee fear around here is interesting. It reeks of Stockholm syndrome. We have been the better franchise for years now. They had a helluva first half and are a good team. I would be very hesitant to be quoting 2017 team totals without at least mentioning that half of their lineup was playing out of it's mind before the ASB. We can only guess as to why, but regression has already sunk in. They are a good team among a lot of good teams in the division. We got our work cut out, but let's not act like we have to start trembling when we see their ridiculous logo.
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nomar
Veteran
Posts: 11,533
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Post by nomar on Jul 19, 2017 10:57:18 GMT -5
Another relatively cheap option for 3B could be Matt Chapman. Huge swing and miss guy, but monster power, a flyball heavy pull RHB, and a fantastic glove at 3B. Tons of control too, but is his K% is such a red flag that he's not really much of a prospect. I could see him as one of those fringe guys who makes it if he can limit his K% to 30%.
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ericmvan
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Supposed to be working on something more important
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Post by ericmvan on Jul 19, 2017 11:01:23 GMT -5
I don't know why people are buying into the Pete Abraham / Nick Cafardo nonsense that we badly need an 8th inning guy. No, we do not have the obvious one guy you can just pencil into the inning and not think about. We have had, however, the most valuable setup relief in baseball.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jul 19, 2017 11:05:20 GMT -5
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Post by grandsalami on Jul 19, 2017 11:14:31 GMT -5
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Post by grandsalami on Jul 19, 2017 11:29:47 GMT -5
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Post by ramireja on Jul 19, 2017 11:39:55 GMT -5
I'm not going to buy into this 'fear the Yankees' sentiment, but I will say I think Cashman made a damn good trade yesterday. It drives me insane, but I'm consistently feeling like the Yankees win trades based on the value of players at the time of the trades themselves.
He essentially traded one legit top 100 prospect in Rutherford, threw in Clarkin and a semi-interesting 3rd piece and was able to get back not 1, not 2, but 3 above average MLB pieces while shedding the contract of Clippard. Thats pretty unbelievable. How does the package of Kahnle, Robertson, and Frazier not cost 4 prospects (probably 2 Top 100s, and 2 other reasonable pieces). In a system with Frazier, Torres, Mateo, Sheffield, Kaprielian, Fowler, Andujar, Chance Adams, and Dillon Tate.....I have no idea how Cashman was able to get back that talent and drop all the way to Clarkin as your 2nd piece in the package.
Put another way, is there a big difference at the time of the trades between Tyler Thornburg and Tommy Kahnle? I'd argue that their value should be pretty comparable, yet look what Thornburg cost on his own (even if we're treating Shaw as a role 45/50 player instead of the 65 he is playing like this year) and look at what Kahnle cost as part of a package that also includes 1.5 years of an above average closer and a rental of Frazier. Thats pretty discrepant.
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Post by jimed14 on Jul 19, 2017 11:41:34 GMT -5
The inclusion of Robertson's salary probably brought the prospect cost down a little.
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Post by GyIantosca on Jul 19, 2017 11:48:09 GMT -5
So happy we stayed away from White Sox deal. I don't know if true but if Pirates make Harrison available that would be interesting. He has term left plays multiple positions. Because next year Moreland and Young are up. Even though we split with the MFY our pitching was unreal.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 19, 2017 12:00:00 GMT -5
Thornburg had two season of being an elite reliever using fangraphs idea of what an elite reliever is. Kahnle has a little over a half season. That's the difference. White Sox think they are selling high, Yankees buying before peak value. Time will tell.
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Post by ramireja on Jul 19, 2017 12:03:42 GMT -5
The inclusion of Robertson's salary probably brought the prospect cost down a little. ...and allowed them to ditch Clippard's salary too? Seems like a big win for Cashman. Its not like Robertson's salary is unfair. Put another regarding the trade.....we've typically seen pretty legit prospect packages of 3-4 guys to acquire above average MLB talent. Cashman essentially acquired a package of 3 above average major leaguers for 1 legit prospect.
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Post by ramireja on Jul 19, 2017 12:10:00 GMT -5
Thornburg had two season of being an elite reliever using fangraphs idea of what an elite reliever is. Kahnle has a little over a half season. That's the difference. White Sox think they are selling high, Yankees buying before peak value. Time will tell. Thornburg's two seasons weren't even consecutive....hell they were separated by two mediocre (at best) years. There was plenty of volatility in that profile at the time of the trade. I'll concede that Thornburg was coming off a full season of elite performance while Kahnle's elite performance is in 60% of the season. We're talking about 30 additional innings though and I'm not convinced that should make a significant difference in trade value. Taking into account the other pieces of the trades -- Yanks also received Robertson and Frazier while shedding Clippard, Sox only received Thornburg while giving up more players including an MLB talent -- and those two trades look wildly discrepant.
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Post by James Dunne on Jul 19, 2017 12:17:17 GMT -5
The inclusion of Robertson's salary probably brought the prospect cost down a little. My guess is that taking on Clippard was the mitigation for Robertson's salary. Just looking at what the White Sox are doing, I'd imagine they'd have hung onto Robertson if it meant a better prospect return. Another relatively cheap option for 3B could be Matt Chapman. Huge swing and miss guy, but monster power, a flyball heavy pull RHB, and a fantastic glove at 3B. Tons of control too, but is his K% is such a red flag that he's not really much of a prospect. I could see him as one of those fringe guys who makes it if he can limit his K% to 30%. I'm not sure that's really a fit. The A's would be selling low at a time when there's no reason for them to be impatient. The Red Sox would be paying for those years of control that they don't really need for a player who isn't going to move off of the position that their best prospect plays. The 3B solution for the Sox, if it isn't Devers, is a rental who can hit.
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Post by pedrosdaddy on Jul 19, 2017 12:25:14 GMT -5
I know this isnt close to happening but we need to start a call to either fire dombrowski or reign him in. He mortgaged a huge portion of the future to go for it all this year and they are a decent but not great team that will be looking at some difficult decisions in the not so distant future due to his decisions.kimbrel and sale are both doing great but dombrowski paid a fortune for them both. Im pretty sure anyone capable of using a telephone couldve pulled that trade off. He also traded travis shaw from a position of need for us, who while not great for us, was serviceable, young and cheap. He did this counting on a fat, aging and hurt 3rd baseman to fill in w.o any true back up. The guy isnt good at what he does. He slides into prime jobs, uses everything he has at his disposal up, then moves on to bleed the next fool dry.
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Post by grandsalami on Jul 19, 2017 12:28:24 GMT -5
I know this isnt close to happening but we need to start a call to either fire dombrowski or reign him in. He mortgaged a huge portion of the future to go for it all this year and they are a decent but not great team that will be looking at some difficult decisions in the not so distant future due to his decisions.kimbrel and sale are both doing great but dombrowski paid a fortune for them both. Im pretty sure anyone capable of using a telephone couldve pulled that trade off. He also traded travis shaw from a position of need for us, who while not great for us, was serviceable, young and cheap. He did this counting on a fat, aging and hurt 3rd baseman to fill in w.o any true back up. The guy isnt good at what he does. He slides into prime jobs, uses everything he has at his disposal up, then moves on to bleed the next fool dry. This would put WEEI hot takes to shame
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nomar
Veteran
Posts: 11,533
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Post by nomar on Jul 19, 2017 12:44:26 GMT -5
The inclusion of Robertson's salary probably brought the prospect cost down a little. My guess is that taking on Clippard was the mitigation for Robertson's salary. Just looking at what the White Sox are doing, I'd imagine they'd have hung onto Robertson if it meant a better prospect return. Another relatively cheap option for 3B could be Matt Chapman. Huge swing and miss guy, but monster power, a flyball heavy pull RHB, and a fantastic glove at 3B. Tons of control too, but is his K% is such a red flag that he's not really much of a prospect. I could see him as one of those fringe guys who makes it if he can limit his K% to 30%. I'm not sure that's really a fit. The A's would be selling low at a time when there's no reason for them to be impatient. The Red Sox would be paying for those years of control that they don't really need for a player who isn't going to move off of the position that their best prospect plays. The 3B solution for the Sox, if it isn't Devers, is a rental who can hit. Yeah no argument there. It would be more of a "flip him if his stock picks up" type of situation, which is more complicated.
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Post by pedrosdaddy on Jul 19, 2017 13:07:30 GMT -5
This would put WEEI hot takes to shame Care to expand?
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Post by grandsalami on Jul 19, 2017 13:11:57 GMT -5
Most specifically "anyone capable of using a telephone could pull it off" you realize that the white Sox originally asked for Betts or AB in SALE talks last year right? And DD said no?
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Post by philsbosoxfan on Jul 19, 2017 13:12:35 GMT -5
I think he means you sound like an idiot.
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Post by ematz1423 on Jul 19, 2017 13:13:51 GMT -5
I know this isnt close to happening but we need to start a call to either fire dombrowski or reign him in. He mortgaged a huge portion of the future to go for it all this year and they are a decent but not great team that will be looking at some difficult decisions in the not so distant future due to his decisions.kimbrel and sale are both doing great but dombrowski paid a fortune for them both. Im pretty sure anyone capable of using a telephone couldve pulled that trade off. He also traded travis shaw from a position of need for us, who while not great for us, was serviceable, young and cheap. He did this counting on a fat, aging and hurt 3rd baseman to fill in w.o any true back up. The guy isnt good at what he does. He slides into prime jobs, uses everything he has at his disposal up, then moves on to bleed the next fool dry. Dombrowski was brought in to win now back at the end of 2015. That is exactly what has done, they won the division last year and are leading the division right now. To say that he isn't good at what he does is a little ridiculous. To start saying he needs to be fired or "reigned in" is an absurd take in my mind.
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