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2017 Trade Deadline Thread (Red Sox discussion)
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Jul 24, 2017 14:46:43 GMT -5
Not interested in any of those names outside of maybe Alonso.
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jdb
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Post by jdb on Jul 24, 2017 14:54:45 GMT -5
I don't know what's happened to Matt Adams but he's starting to become that power hitter most thought he would 3-4 years ago. I don't think he'd cost a ton bc Freeman will be their 1B. Adams would essentially platoon with Young now that Hanley is playing some 1B.
Kevin McAlpin @kevinmcalpin · 21h
Matt Adams since joining the #Braves on May 21:
53 games 14 doubles 1 triple 15 homers 40 RBI
Dude's good.
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Post by wcsoxfan on Jul 24, 2017 15:08:12 GMT -5
Again, I understand what you are saying, but I think the problem is more who they’ve given the big contracts to, rather than the contracts themselves. Panda and Crawford come to mind immediately, and it’s beginning to look like Price could become another bad deal. If Panda’s money had gone to Adrian Beltre, nobody would be worried about the contract. While I agree about the poorly spent money, its hindsight. Nobody would've thought Pablo Sandavol wouldn't have been at the very least a good Dh who could play 1B. Furthermore if we had reallocated that money to beltre then we wouldn't have gotten the compensation picks that netted us JBJ a gold glove caliber CF, and Blake Swihart who has been dogged by injuries. I think you are mis-remembering. The problem with signing Sandoval was that his bat (118, 117, 110 wRC+ for previous 3 seasons) would be average at best at either 1b or DH. Also, they had just signed Hanley who many (myself included) thought would be a strong 3b option. This was discussed at length as many were concerned he wouldn't age well given his weight.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Jul 24, 2017 15:23:06 GMT -5
I don't know what's happened to Matt Adams but he's starting to become that power hitter most thought he would 3-4 years ago. I don't think he'd cost a ton bc Freeman will be their 1B. Adams would essentially platoon with Young now that Hanley is playing some 1B. Kevin McAlpin @kevinmcalpin · 21h Matt Adams since joining the #Braves on May 21: 53 games 14 doubles 1 triple 15 homers 40 RBI Dude's good. Adams on paper projects to be a decent upgrade to Moreland (you'd want to look at lots more data than just his ROS projections) ... but if Moreland's decline is because of the broken toe, and that's going to be healed soon, maybe it's a sideways move. Per my tagline, I'll leave it at that! How would Adams fit in Fenway? That's the first thing I'm not going to look up. But it's true that 1B is the obvious place to add a bat, and it doesn't have to be a rental. The bullpen could use a LHR capable of pitching in the 7th and 8th instead of Hembree. If DD can upgrade those two roster spots at a fair cots, I'll be satisfied.
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Post by wcsoxfan on Jul 24, 2017 15:34:40 GMT -5
It's funny that the Red Sox decided to let their top left handed reliever leave and traded a 1b/3b for a relief pitcher before using the 5.5m they saved on Mitch Moreland. If they had simply resigned Uehara instead of going after Thornburg they wouldn't need a bat or a reliever.
Uehara and Shaw have combined for 3.8 fWAR this season vs 0.3 from Moreland.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Jul 24, 2017 16:53:26 GMT -5
I'll throw a realistic big name that no one has thrown out yet and a name I'm surprised no one has named yet on the losing Marlins.
J.T. Realmuto.
I'd be okay with trading big name prospects for him (anyone not names Devers). J.T. would be this team's leading hitter in OPS while being a catcher. He is making peanuts too so the luxury tax threshold isn't a issue.
Massive upgrade over what the Sox have for at the catching position all year.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 24, 2017 17:08:10 GMT -5
Ton of reports that the Marlins will not have a fire sale. Why would they trade him?
Alonso is a guy that interests me if you want a big bat. Whats the cost? I'm not giving a big offer for him, but would be willing to make good offer.
We shouldn't be draining the system in a big way after just re-stocking it.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Jul 24, 2017 17:22:00 GMT -5
You don't need to consider it a fire sale if you're selling off pieces to get high end prospects. It's a fire sale if you sell off everything.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Jul 24, 2017 17:33:04 GMT -5
J.T. Realmuto is a guy that's about to enter his first year of arbration next year. The Marlins are trying to reconfigure payroll for the new ownership when they buy the team. Selling off a player who is due for a bigger raise could be beneficial to payroll. That's why they could sell off J.T.
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Post by jimed14 on Jul 24, 2017 17:34:20 GMT -5
I can't see the Red Sox remaking the entire roster so there's no point in talking about someone replacing Hanley at this point in the season. They also aren't going to do anything with their catchers. The only possible place for a bat is replacing Moreland, but it would have to be significantly better to be worth doing. They're extremely limited by money and could use another LHP for the bullpen. I think people will be disappointed. They pretty much spent their wad when trading for Sale. There aren't many obvious fits and this deadline pretty much sucks for what is realistically available.
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jdb
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Post by jdb on Jul 24, 2017 17:34:33 GMT -5
Reports had the Marlins willing to sell some rentals and Dee Gordon but will let the new ownership determine the others in the offseason. Not sure if anything has changed though.
Eric, how would you feel about adding Aliva as a LHH C to pair with Vaz? I know it would be risky adding a new catcher to the mix to a pitching staff that's been good with the current situation.
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Post by larrycook on Jul 24, 2017 19:49:37 GMT -5
It's funny that the Red Sox decided to let their top left handed reliever leave and traded a 1b/3b for a relief pitcher before using the 5.5m they saved on Mitch Moreland. If they had simply resigned Uehara instead of going after Thornburg they wouldn't need a bat or a reliever. Uehara and Shaw have combined for 3.8 fWAR this season vs 0.3 from Moreland. Another reason Dave needs to go. The man is a menace!
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Jul 24, 2017 20:07:08 GMT -5
Reports had the Marlins willing to sell some rentals and Dee Gordon but will let the new ownership determine the others in the offseason. Not sure if anything has changed though. Eric, how would you feel about adding Aliva as a LHH C to pair with Vaz? I know it would be risky adding a new catcher to the mix to a pitching staff that's been good with the current situation. Damn, you made me crunch some numbers! When you combine catchers' offensive value as measured by b-Ref, and defensive value as measured by BP (which excludes pitch-calling but includes framing, blocking, and throwing), the Sox rank 17th in MLB. If you buy that some of the tremendous success of the pitching staff is due to pitch-calling, then Vazquez and Leon have been a mild asset. They rank 5th to last in offense but 4th in BP's defense. It's not broken, so you don't fix it. You hope that the pair hits better, as they've shown the capacity to do so in the past.
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ericmvan
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Post by ericmvan on Jul 24, 2017 20:43:35 GMT -5
Mitch Moreland before and after breaking his toe on June 13.
What GdToe BdToe PA 249 124 BA .285 .162 OBP .382 .234 SA .495 .252 wRC+ 127 24 K .229 .242 BB .124 .073 BABIP .349 .188 HR/FB .158 .100 Hard .456 .337 LD .217 .217 GB .420 .422 PU .019 .012 Pull .430 .325 Opp .253 .277 His vertical batted ball profile is unchanged, but his plate discipline has fallen off and his hardness of contact has cratered.
Trade for a new 1B and put him on the DL until he's not playing in pain. He could be a great bench piece in September. Or not, but he's not useful as a trade piece.
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Post by benogliviesbrother on Jul 24, 2017 20:51:13 GMT -5
Again, I understand what you are saying, but I think the problem is more who they’ve given the big contracts to, rather than the contracts themselves. Panda and Crawford come to mind immediately, and it’s beginning to look like Price could become another bad deal. If Panda’s money had gone to Adrian Beltre, nobody would be worried about the contract. While I agree about the poorly spent money, its hindsight. Nobody would've thought Pablo Sandavol wouldn't have been at the very least a good Dh who could play 1B. Furthermore if we had reallocated that money to beltre then we wouldn't have gotten the compensation picks that netted us JBJ a gold glove caliber CF, and Blake Swihart who has been dogged by injuries. Nope.
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Post by sparkygian on Jul 24, 2017 22:26:26 GMT -5
I totally understand all the realistic concerns about going over the cap -- therefore no big fish in a trade.
If I wanted to go for a championship, and I mortgaged off an awful lot of the future for my team, so that it could go for it right now, building around a good young nucleus by putting the finishing pieces around it now, rather than waiting for talent to come up a YEAR OR TWO OR THREE down the line from the farm system. I would absolutely not let a budget constraint that the league has instituted, but that the owner could afford, than I would absolutely not let that league imposed team salary limit before penalties, keep me from putting the right finishing pieces to the work that I have already done. The work that has obviously made a huge improvement on the team, but is one final piece from completing the work. I can't imagine that Henry would say 'no, I don't want to go over the limits by 10 million, otherwise I'll be punished by having to pay a few million more to get that championship'. It just doesn't make sense.....for me, anyways. Finish what you started!! Otherwise you're looking at punting away this year, and potentially looking at future All Stars in Moncada, and Margot, etc. putting stress on why the moves were made in the first place to trade them, if it didn't result in a championship quickly. This is DD's team, and he has put an incredible impression on this team, and farm system. I have a hard time believing that going over a league imposed salary number would put the finishing piece that DD needs to bed, unless of course, Henry was adamant about a hard salary cap.
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Post by sparkygian on Jul 24, 2017 22:34:15 GMT -5
An example of what I'm thinking, that has happened in another sports league, is the Oklahoma City Thunder letting Harden go for salary constraints, rather than letting him, Durant, and Westbrook go get the championship. Is this now the Red Sox? I believe the Yankees are an incredibly successful business because of all the championships, and all the times they paid the money to get those championships, rather than shying away from that big move that would cost them a substantial amount of money to do. Those championships are the main selling point of the Yankees, rather than the Mets. I hope the Sox aren't going down the path of being frugal, all of a sudden.
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Post by sparkygian on Jul 24, 2017 22:36:54 GMT -5
If a hard team salary number is the absolute mandate of this teams management. Than DD has screwed up big time. He's at the limit, and has his hands tied to finish the task, while Astros, Dodgers, etc. go over those league mandated numbers to get that championship.
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Post by sparkygian on Jul 24, 2017 22:44:53 GMT -5
Error, blurted that last line out; I have no idea what the Astros team salary is. For some reason I just assumed it was over the max.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 24, 2017 23:11:39 GMT -5
Astros are closer to Bottom than top in spending at 18th.
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Post by sparkygian on Jul 24, 2017 23:42:15 GMT -5
Astros are closer to Bottom than top in spending at 18th. Yikes!! In that case, DD has really painted this team into a corner! The Sox are out of serious moves, other than pinning their hopes on a 20 year old who's never even played in the Big Leagues, let alone the playoffs. I pray that he doesn't feel like he needs to be the one to bail this team out. That could possibly be devastating to his development. If ownership and management are more focused on avoiding financial penalties, and the potential loss of signing long-shot IFAs by going over the salary structure, than we're forced to punt the season away, unless a couple of players get red-hot offensively, and somebody else besides Sale steps up to be a shut-down starting pitcher.
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Post by wcsoxfan on Jul 25, 2017 0:07:34 GMT -5
An example of what I'm thinking, that has happened in another sports league, is the Oklahoma City Thunder letting Harden go for salary constraints, rather than letting him, Durant, and Westbrook go get the championship. Is this now the Red Sox? I believe the Yankees are an incredibly successful business because of all the championships, and all the times they paid the money to get those championships, rather than shying away from that big move that would cost them a substantial amount of money to do. Those championships are the main selling point of the Yankees, rather than the Mets. I hope the Sox aren't going down the path of being frugal, all of a sudden. This is not similar. The Red Sox would like to get under the luxury tax this year so that they can spend big the next 2-4 years since they won't have to spend as high on the repeat offender taxes. It's the smart way to maximize their funds long term, but they have made it clear that they would go over this year if the right deal presented itself. If anything this is the exact opposite of the OKC situation since staying under the tax this year should allow them to extend their young star players.
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Post by oilcan73 on Jul 25, 2017 4:25:39 GMT -5
There hasn't been one name mentioned yet as a trade candidate who is going to be the answer to the offensive woes. DD might as well stand pat and finish off the season with what they have. How much better is Nunez or Lowrie really going to make them, when you still have a lineup full of guys struggling. Even if they are able to make the playoffs they are going to get shut down every game when they have to face top starters each game. Going into 2018, they better hope for some significant improvement out of their young hitters and pray the Devers/Travis are the real deal.
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Guidas
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Post by Guidas on Jul 25, 2017 8:13:32 GMT -5
Astros are closer to Bottom than top in spending at 18th. Yikes!! In that case, DD has really painted this team into a corner! The Sox are out of serious moves, other than pinning their hopes on a 20 year old who's never even played in the Big Leagues, let alone the playoffs. I pray that he doesn't feel like he needs to be the one to bail this team out. That could possibly be devastating to his development. If ownership and management are more focused on avoiding financial penalties, and the potential loss of signing long-shot IFAs by going over the salary structure, than we're forced to punt the season away, unless a couple of players get red-hot offensively, and somebody else besides Sale steps up to be a shut-down starting pitcher. Cherinton did most of the painting with Pablo and Hanley (and a few other gems). Dombrowski just did the trim work and got rid of most of the doors (prospects) that get you outof the corner.
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Post by Guidas on Jul 25, 2017 8:16:14 GMT -5
There hasn't been one name mentioned yet as a trade candidate who is going to be the answer to the offensive woes. DD might as well stand pat and finish off the season with what they have. How much better is Nunez or Lowrie really going to make them, when you still have a lineup full of guys struggling. Even if they are able to make the playoffs they are going to get shut down every game when they have to face top starters each game. Going into 2018, they better hope for some significant improvement out of their young hitters and pray the Devers/Travis are the real deal. Devers may be the real deal, but it could take 2-3 years for him to get to that level. Travis doesn't profile to have the pop to be an MLB first baseman, unless you like James Loney types.
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