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2018 Red Sox roster building
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Post by Guidas on Dec 30, 2017 13:16:02 GMT -5
I can think of very few players that make less sense to the Red Sox than Machado considering their history. I know these things change, but I don't want to play a hefty price to bet on that. Only potentially worth it if you get the 72 hour window to negotiate an extension, with the deal dissolving if the negotiations fall through. Then you are probably looking at a 10-year, max market value deal with an opt-out after 3 or 4. You could then trade Xander if he's not in the deal to potentially reload positions of need at AA AAA. But that's a lot of moving parts, and would likely cost you - if Xander is not in the deal - ERod, Mata and Groome and maybe another guy (Chavis?). Xander, when healthy, is not Machado but he's an above average offensive SS.
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Post by jimed14 on Dec 30, 2017 13:34:44 GMT -5
The fact that Angelos won't allow a negotiating window with Machado to complete a trade is either indicative that he knows Machado is testing the market so it's a waste of time or that he's just stupid for not trying to maximize his return.
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Post by Guidas on Dec 30, 2017 13:51:53 GMT -5
The fact that Angelos won't allow a negotiating window with Machado to complete a trade is either indicative that he knows Machado is testing the market so it's a waste of time or that he's just stupid for not trying to maximize his return.Well, it is Angelos, so I'll go with an adjustment on stupid to delusion, in that he may be deluded enough to think he can buy Machado back in free agency after he trades him for assets.
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Post by grandsalami on Dec 30, 2017 16:27:03 GMT -5
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Dec 30, 2017 16:40:29 GMT -5
Well for just one year of Machado that would complete the destruction of the farm system.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Dec 30, 2017 17:03:01 GMT -5
I would hate to trade Groome. That would be a kick in the nuts.
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Post by Addam603 on Dec 30, 2017 17:36:32 GMT -5
Hard pass. The hardest pass in the history of hard passes.
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Post by Don Caballero on Dec 30, 2017 17:46:10 GMT -5
This doesn't even make sense, I have to believe they're working out another trade out and are using this for leverage.
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radiohix
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Post by radiohix on Dec 30, 2017 17:50:59 GMT -5
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Post by burythehammer on Dec 30, 2017 17:55:20 GMT -5
Machado's worth about 30m in surplus value. It will suck to have no farm system to speak of, but I'd probably do it, even for one year. It's a bit steep if you like both of those guys, but if you think they're both as overrated as I do, it's an easier call.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Dec 30, 2017 18:04:57 GMT -5
Machado's worth about 30m in surplus value. It will suck to have no farm system to speak of, but I'd probably do it, even for one year. It's a bit steep if you like both of those guys, but if you think they're both as overrated as I do, it's an easier call. It might be worth more if he plays short stop for the Red Sox. He might be one of the 3 or 5 best players in baseball at short stop. It's a tough call, but I'd probably do it with every intention of getting this guy extended ASAP.
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bosox
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Post by bosox on Dec 30, 2017 18:14:17 GMT -5
This doesn't even make sense, I have to believe they're working out another trade out and are using this for leverage. I agree. Rumors of a potential deal helps both teams. The O's can use it as leverage in trade talks with other teams and it doesn't hurt for Boras to think the Sox are going some where else for a bat.
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Post by jiant2520 on Dec 30, 2017 18:22:05 GMT -5
If Machado does get traded to Boston, and Bogaerts does not get moved in the deal, where does everyone play?
Devers at 1B, Pedey/backup at 2B, Bogey at SS and Machado at 3B, Moreland on the bench.
Moreland/Ramirez at 1B, Bogey at 2B, Machado at SS and Devers at 3B with Pedey coming back in July and filling in at 2B.
Bogey at 1B? Not likely.... loses value there.
Do you then have to trade Bogey to make it work? Too much congestion....
If Bogey gets traded, but not in the Machado deal, who would yall target, what position?
For the record, I like Bogey and want to keep him, also, I don't think this trade happens.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Dec 30, 2017 18:34:00 GMT -5
Xander would probably have to go in a trade. Manny loses value at third base.
I don't know how much sense it makes to put your best defender at third base and a way worse defender at short stop.
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Post by jiant2520 on Dec 30, 2017 18:53:46 GMT -5
I would agree with that
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Post by soxfanatic on Dec 30, 2017 19:47:30 GMT -5
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Post by fenwaythehardway on Dec 30, 2017 19:52:13 GMT -5
This doesn't even make sense, I have to believe they're working out another trade out and are using this for leverage. I mean, it's Dombrowski going after a superstar so it makes at least a little sense. My guess is that they are talking about it in earnest, but they won't actually get close to a deal.
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Dec 30, 2017 20:21:53 GMT -5
If Machado does get traded to Boston, and Bogaerts does not get moved in the deal, where does everyone play? Devers at 1B, Pedey/backup at 2B, Bogey at SS and Machado at 3B, Moreland on the bench. Moreland/Ramirez at 1B, Bogey at 2B, Machado at SS and Devers at 3B with Pedey coming back in July and filling in at 2B. Bogey at 1B? Not likely.... loses value there. Do you then have to trade Bogey to make it work? Too much congestion.... If Bogey gets traded, but not in the Machado deal, who would yall target, what position? For the record, I like Bogey and want to keep him, also, I don't think this trade happens. I'm at the same place. And it's already so congested with just about everybody in the infield out of position, this configuration would also probably eliminate the Sox from signing Martinez, who at this point might wind up being a reasonable contract, unless they flat-out release Hanley, which would be a total waste of money. I guess in your scenario, assuming no JDM, Devers would be at 3b, Bogaerts at 2b, with Machado at 2b. Can't imagine they'd want Hanley at 1b for that, so it would be Moreland, but when Pedroia comes back, Bogaerts would shift to 3b, and Devers would have to DH, rendering Hanley useless unless he platoons with Moreland at 1b. That's a little crazy, but it would get crazier with JDM as he'd DH to start with Moreland platooning with Hanley at 1b (in this scenario Hanley at 1b would be totally scary), but with Pedroia returning, Devers would have to play 1b if Martinez is in the DH spot or an outfielder like JBJ would have to sit or be injured for Devers to DH and the Moreland/Ramirez platoon to stay intact, but with Devers at 1b, Pedroia at 2b, Machado at SS, and Bogaerts at 3b, that would still be some scary defense. And in all this, Devers would be the 2nd young Red Sox player in need of honing his defensive skills who would lose valuable time - Swihart says hello. If the Sox get Machado but let Martinez slip for reasonable money, that would be terrible because the Sox would have to commit 300 plus million versus half or less than half of that for Martinez to make this work, because otherwise Machado walks and the Sox would have no impact bat in 2019 unless they went after Harper who would cost more than Machado. Martinez to the Sox to DH is a little messy but Machado would be very messy on the Sox unless Bogaerts was part of the deal, and I honestly think the Sox most likely to improve dramatically this season is Bogaerts. And the thought of losing Groome would bother me. That would mean four great young pitching talents have left the organization in Kopech, Espinoza, Groome, and Allen - and yes the Sox got talent for those guys, but eventually this organization needs to develop their own starting pitchers. Otherwise the best they can do is pay a lot in a trade for two or three years of service time for an established pitcher or overpay long-term in free agency. I would also agree that while it's interesting to talk about this type of deal - wow something interesting to talk about involving the Red Sox - imagine that! - this deal is not going to happen. It just doesn't make a ton of sense.
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Post by Don Caballero on Dec 30, 2017 21:53:39 GMT -5
I mean, it's Dombrowski going after a superstar so it makes at least a little sense. My guess is that they are talking about it in earnest, but they won't actually get close to a deal. I guess... Any player other than Machado would totally make sense, maybe I'm overplaying the mutual resentment between him and the "city", but this just feels all kinds of weird and a kind of gamble that DD doesn't seem to take very often.
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Post by jiant2520 on Dec 30, 2017 22:35:18 GMT -5
If Machado does get traded to Boston, and Bogaerts does not get moved in the deal, where does everyone play? Devers at 1B, Pedey/backup at 2B, Bogey at SS and Machado at 3B, Moreland on the bench. Moreland/Ramirez at 1B, Bogey at 2B, Machado at SS and Devers at 3B with Pedey coming back in July and filling in at 2B. Bogey at 1B? Not likely.... loses value there. Do you then have to trade Bogey to make it work? Too much congestion.... If Bogey gets traded, but not in the Machado deal, who would yall target, what position? For the record, I like Bogey and want to keep him, also, I don't think this trade happens. I'm at the same place. And it's already so congested with just about everybody in the infield out of position, this configuration would also probably eliminate the Sox from signing Martinez, who at this point might wind up being a reasonable contract, unless they flat-out release Hanley, which would be a total waste of money. I guess in your scenario, assuming no JDM, Devers would be at 3b, Bogaerts at 2b, with Machado at 2b. Can't imagine they'd want Hanley at 1b for that, so it would be Moreland, but when Pedroia comes back, Bogaerts would shift to 3b, and Devers would have to DH, rendering Hanley useless unless he platoons with Moreland at 1b. That's a little crazy, but it would get crazier with JDM as he'd DH to start with Moreland platooning with Hanley at 1b (in this scenario Hanley at 1b would be totally scary), but with Pedroia returning, Devers would have to play 1b if Martinez is in the DH spot or an outfielder like JBJ would have to sit or be injured for Devers to DH and the Moreland/Ramirez platoon to stay intact, but with Devers at 1b, Pedroia at 2b, Machado at SS, and Bogaerts at 3b, that would still be some scary defense. And in all this, Devers would be the 2nd young Red Sox player in need of honing his defensive skills who would lose valuable time - Swihart says hello. If the Sox get Machado but let Martinez slip for reasonable money, that would be terrible because the Sox would have to commit 300 plus million versus half or less than half of that for Martinez to make this work, because otherwise Machado walks and the Sox would have no impact bat in 2019 unless they went after Harper who would cost more than Machado. Martinez to the Sox to DH is a little messy but Machado would be very messy on the Sox unless Bogaerts was part of the deal, and I honestly think the Sox most likely to improve dramatically this season is Bogaerts. And the thought of losing Groome would bother me. That would mean four great young pitching talents have left the organization in Kopech, Espinoza, Groome, and Allen - and yes the Sox got talent for those guys, but eventually this organization needs to develop their own starting pitchers. Otherwise the best they can do is pay a lot in a trade for two or three years of service time for an established pitcher or overpay long-term in free agency. I would also agree that while it's interesting to talk about this type of deal - wow something interesting to talk about involving the Red Sox - imagine that! - this deal is not going to happen. It just doesn't make a ton of sense. Signing JD for half the price and keeping the prospects makes way more sense. I think that is still choice #1. If JD goes somewhere else.... who knows what direction the Sox end up going. Many free agents still on the board.
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Post by nomar on Dec 30, 2017 23:19:48 GMT -5
Refuse to believe this Machado garbage especially if it involves two people more valuable than him.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Dec 31, 2017 3:29:32 GMT -5
It's January almost. Does anyone think that Boras is still being unreasonable?
What is Dombrowski supposed to do here?
Boras is being Boras and won't come off of the mantle and the Sox are here forced to make tough decisions.
Yeap it stinks, but it is what it is. If the Sox are going to pay a guy 200 plus million, it minus well be Machado at the short stop position.
J.D. isn't signing for less than 200 million or he isn't taking a job it sounds like.
Edit-
Someone please tell me a more valuable player in baseball than Machado at the short stop position. The Sox can offer it. Maybe Seager? Trout? Lindor?
Manny was born to play short stop at a elite level and hasn't had the chance yet. Baseball deserves to see that chance, whether it's in Baltimore, Boston, or somewhere else.
Honestly, the third base position is a disservice to Machado defensively. I felt that way for years. I feel that way now. We are talking CLOSE to Arod type of value at the short stop position in Texas or Seattle (in the case of Machado) if he's healthy. That is a risk with his knees but I'd take that risk if I was Dombrowski.
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Post by pedrofanforever45 on Dec 31, 2017 4:34:24 GMT -5
I'd like to also add in a separate post that a extension could be more feasible if you offer Macahado the short stop position right away.
It's the position he desires to play, and it's the position he was born to play in (once again, sorry to repeat).
If the Sox were able to offer this position over the Yankees, I'd feel REALLY good about resigning him. We can all agree that Manny would NEVER play short stop in Yankees uniform, right?!!
Playing a position that Machado wants to play in is a risk that can also pay off in your benefit. If you show Manny that you'd be willing to pay top dollar for his service and to play him in a position he WANTS to play in, then that works in your favor.
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Dec 31, 2017 7:33:45 GMT -5
I'd like to also add in a separate post that a extension could be more feasible if you offer Macahado the short stop position right away. It's the position he desires to play, and it's the position he was born to play in (once again, sorry to repeat). If the Sox were able to offer this position over the Yankees, I'd feel REALLY good about resigning him. We can all agree that Manny would NEVER play short stop in Yankees uniform, right?!! Playing a position that Machado wants to play in is a risk that can also pay off in your benefit. If you show Manny that you'd be willing to pay top dollar for his service and to play him in a position he WANTS to play in, then that works in your favor. I'd be very surprised if Machado agreed to an extension instead of just playing things out. His agent has to know that the Yankees are flush with cash (among other teams) and that there will be a huge demand for his services. Doubt they'd want to lock into the first big offer they see. And no I don't agree that Machado would NEVER play SS in a Yankee uniform. Why couldn't he? Because of Gregorius? Between Machado, Gregorius, and Torres I'm sure they could figure out an alignment that works for everybody. It's not like they have the team captain Jeter refusing to step aside for A-Rod. Anything can happen, but the most likely scenario is that Machado does get dealt, does play out the year with his new team, and then signs a massive contract with another team, most likely the Yankees. The Red Sox are a possibility, but it's hard to see the Sox signing Machado to that kind of money and then trying to be able to extend Sale and/or Betts - especially if Price doesn't opt out.
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redsox04071318champs
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Dec 31, 2017 7:40:44 GMT -5
It's January almost. Does anyone think that Boras is still being unreasonable? What is Dombrowski supposed to do here? Boras is being Boras and won't come off of the mantle and the Sox are here forced to make tough decisions. Yeap it stinks, but it is what it is. If the Sox are going to pay a guy 200 plus million, it minus well be Machado at the short stop position. J.D. isn't signing for less than 200 million or he isn't taking a job it sounds like. Edit- Someone please tell me a more valuable player in baseball than Machado at the short stop position. The Sox can offer it. Maybe Seager? Trout? Lindor? Manny was born to play short stop at a elite level and hasn't had the chance yet. Baseball deserves to see that chance, whether it's in Baltimore, Boston, or somewhere else. Honestly, the third base position is a disservice to Machado defensively. I felt that way for years. I feel that way now. We are talking CLOSE to Arod type of value at the short stop position in Texas or Seattle (in the case of Machado) if he's healthy. That is a risk with his knees but I'd take that risk if I was Dombrowski. Thus far I think Dombrowski is playing it correctly - he's waiting out Boras. Martinez is an excellent impact middle of the order hitter that they do need, and the longer this goes, the more likelier the price comes down for Martinez, so that a 7 year $200 million demand becomes a 5 year $115 million deal if there's no real competition out there. Likely it's a six year $150 million deal, but the lower it becomes the more money for other needs the Red Sox get to keep. At this point the only real need is help in the bullpen, particularly from the left side and none of the guys left will command anything that huge. Watson is the best guy left. Duensing could get a look. Saving $3 to $4 million/year off of a potential JDM contract could help with that. The danger of course is that the longer this drags on the quicker somebody snaps these lesser guys up, but again these are lesser guys. Most of these relievers left are fungible types anyways. They could bring back Nunez, but again, same thing. And it's not only Boras. Very little else has happened elsewhere. It's almost like everybody is waiting for Boras so everything below can trickle down. Really at this point only the relief market has moved. The starters aren't getting signed nor are hitters. Other than the relievers, we've seen the Marlins dismantle and Ohtani and Santana sign. That's it. No sense making a move you'd prefer not to make because things aren't happening fast enough. At some point JDM is going to sign. He makes $0 if he sits out the season and Boras knows what his commission is on $0, so it will happen. They'll just bore us until it does happen. And frankly, there is practically no move in which the the Sox acquire Machado and don't get ripped off. Odds are Machado isn't signing an extension until the year is over and he can choose on the open market. The only way that's incorrect is if the Red Sox make him an offer that makes him the highest paid player in baseball. That's how the Sox got your namesake. Anything short of that I don't see it. And even if they do, it's no guarantee he'd take it (unlike a pitcher there's less injury risk) and he'd might be more prone to see what's out there after the season.
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