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Post by philsbosoxfan on Aug 3, 2023 19:01:32 GMT -5
click on the picture to see Triston's name.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Aug 3, 2023 23:39:33 GMT -5
The "bring up Dalbec" posts have stopped as well... Nice. Bring up Dalbec in a green and yellow uniform with an A’s on the cap…
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radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,370
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Post by radiohix on Aug 4, 2023 16:09:02 GMT -5
The comment of Alex is hilarious 😂 Dude’s a cerebral hitter in the same mold of JDM…That’s the type of talent you try to lock in for long term contract… I hope he spends winter working on his flexibility and defense.
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Post by wcsoxfan on Aug 9, 2023 10:31:01 GMT -5
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ericmvan
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Supposed to be working on something more important
Posts: 8,936
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Post by ericmvan on Aug 11, 2023 11:32:02 GMT -5
Eight players have an xwOBA of .400 or better against RHP, beginning May 7. That's out of 143 guys with 200+ PA.
Second number is wOBA.
.459 / .496 Ohtani .443 / .425 Acuna Jr. .424 / .430 Olson .419 / .413 Casas .415 / .417 Soto .412 / .414 Freeman .409 / .403 Betts .406 / .422 Yelich
Pretty decent company.
He does rank 239 out of 281 guys with 40+ PA vs. LHP, with .261 / .280. And he has 40 on the nose. So there is still work to be done.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Aug 15, 2023 14:36:28 GMT -5
Players drafted before Triston Casas in 2018: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Major_League_Baseball_draftDid not remember until someone pointed it out on Twitter that Kyler Murray (yes - THAT Kyler Murray) was picked by Oakland with the 8th pick of the draft, and then went on to get picked #1 by the Arizona Cardinals and play in the NFL... and the A's didn't get a comp pick because he technically signed with them. How many on this list would you want over Casas? Shane McClanahan arguably the best player from this draft, but now hurt. Logan Gilbert? You probably wouldn't trade Casas for Gilbert if the Mariners asked for him. Joe Ryan? In a redraft he might be top 5 instead of pick 26?
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Aug 15, 2023 14:58:06 GMT -5
Players drafted before Triston Casas in 2018: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Major_League_Baseball_draftDid not remember until someone pointed it out on Twitter that Kyler Murray (yes - THAT Kyler Murray) was picked by Oakland with the 8th pick of the draft, and then went on to get picked #1 by the Arizona Cardinals and play in the NFL... and the A's didn't get a comp pick because he technically signed with them. How many on this list would you want over Casas? Shane McClanahan arguably the best player from this draft, but now hurt. Logan Gilbert? You probably wouldn't trade Casas for Gilbert if the Mariners asked for him. Joe Ryan? In a redraft he might be top 5 instead of pick 26? I love Casas a LOT but I'm probably trading him 1 for 1 for Gilbert if given the chance
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Post by natesp4 on Aug 15, 2023 16:22:42 GMT -5
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Post by bluechip on Aug 15, 2023 16:29:20 GMT -5
Players drafted before Triston Casas in 2018: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Major_League_Baseball_draftDid not remember until someone pointed it out on Twitter that Kyler Murray (yes - THAT Kyler Murray) was picked by Oakland with the 8th pick of the draft, and then went on to get picked #1 by the Arizona Cardinals and play in the NFL... and the A's didn't get a comp pick because he technically signed with them. How many on this list would you want over Casas? Shane McClanahan arguably the best player from this draft, but now hurt. Logan Gilbert? You probably wouldn't trade Casas for Gilbert if the Mariners asked for him. Joe Ryan? In a redraft he might be top 5 instead of pick 26? There are five guys who I would take over Casas: Gilbert, Nico Hoerner (his amazing defense at middle infieldwould make the Red Sox a better team), Shane McClanahan, Matt McClain, and Joe Ryan. I’d take everyone of them over Casas. And I like Casas.
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Post by scottysmalls on Aug 15, 2023 16:36:48 GMT -5
Players drafted before Triston Casas in 2018: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Major_League_Baseball_draftDid not remember until someone pointed it out on Twitter that Kyler Murray (yes - THAT Kyler Murray) was picked by Oakland with the 8th pick of the draft, and then went on to get picked #1 by the Arizona Cardinals and play in the NFL... and the A's didn't get a comp pick because he technically signed with them. How many on this list would you want over Casas? Shane McClanahan arguably the best player from this draft, but now hurt. Logan Gilbert? You probably wouldn't trade Casas for Gilbert if the Mariners asked for him. Joe Ryan? In a redraft he might be top 5 instead of pick 26? There are five guys who I would take over Casas: Gilbert, Nico Hoerner (his amazing defense at middle infieldwould make the Red Sox a better team), Shane McClanahan, Matt McClain, and Joe Ryan. I’d take everyone of them over Casas. And I like Casas. Not a first rounder but Cal Raleigh is awesome too and Brady Singer would have to be a consideration
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Post by benogliviesbrother on Aug 15, 2023 17:01:17 GMT -5
Indeed. Complete with Triston breaking out a Yogi quote! Thanks for the link.
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Post by notstarboard on Aug 15, 2023 17:22:33 GMT -5
I am so impressed by him. I mean, I already was, but he is spot on and so smart about his hitting.
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Post by bluechip on Aug 15, 2023 19:46:38 GMT -5
There are five guys who I would take over Casas: Gilbert, Nico Hoerner (his amazing defense at middle infieldwould make the Red Sox a better team), Shane McClanahan, Matt McClain, and Joe Ryan. I’d take everyone of them over Casas. And I like Casas. Not a first rounder but Cal Raleigh is awesome too and Brady Singer would have to be a consideration Agreed.
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cdj
Veteran
Posts: 14,121
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Post by cdj on Aug 15, 2023 22:43:31 GMT -5
Players drafted before Triston Casas in 2018: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Major_League_Baseball_draftDid not remember until someone pointed it out on Twitter that Kyler Murray (yes - THAT Kyler Murray) was picked by Oakland with the 8th pick of the draft, and then went on to get picked #1 by the Arizona Cardinals and play in the NFL... and the A's didn't get a comp pick because he technically signed with them. How many on this list would you want over Casas? Shane McClanahan arguably the best player from this draft, but now hurt. Logan Gilbert? You probably wouldn't trade Casas for Gilbert if the Mariners asked for him. Joe Ryan? In a redraft he might be top 5 instead of pick 26? There are five guys who I would take over Casas: Gilbert, Nico Hoerner (his amazing defense at middle infieldwould make the Red Sox a better team), Shane McClanahan, Matt McClain, and Joe Ryan. I’d take everyone of them over Casas. And I like Casas. Shane don’t have no arm tho
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ericmvan
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Supposed to be working on something more important
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Post by ericmvan on Aug 16, 2023 4:31:10 GMT -5
Three bits, newest to oldest, and in increasingly tasty.
1) I disagree with my old friend David Laurila that Estaban's Rivera's FG piece on Casas is "worth your time." Breaking down a hitter's progress by month can often be a god-awful idea. Guys do make discrete alterations in approach and when they do, they do not do so on the first of the f-ingf month. The first thing you do when a guy has improved is try to identify, by evidence, any dates when he seems to have done something new or different.
Casas' 2023 game log just screams "changes of approach." I mean, 2 walks in his first 38 PA, then 15 in his next 58? You know, your typical 391% increase in walk rate, not worth noticing. Or, lets lump his July together because, you know, calendar, when he had a 216% increase in HR / Contact after the ASB ... i.e., in mid-July. *
How you could write an analysis of a player's season without looking at the game log (and the game-by-game statcast numbers) baffles me. I would guess that in this case, doing it by months adds as much noise as there is signal. I couldn't read it.
* .048 to .152. Comparison begins after May 3 when he became more aggressive and started hitting better.
Parts 2 and 3 later.
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Post by trajanacc on Aug 16, 2023 7:13:13 GMT -5
isn’t there a risk of outcome bias doing it that way, even if you’re an expert who can identify these approach changes?
Knowing the hitting stats have improved and then looking back to ”spot” when the improvement was made is a lot different than seeing an improvement, hypothesizing that hitting will improve in the future, and then it does.
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tedf
Rookie
Posts: 79
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Post by tedf on Aug 16, 2023 8:57:19 GMT -5
ericmvan, any time you break down a partial season you are looking at very small sample sizes. If you also cherry-pick the start of a hot streak, this aspect gets exaggerated. Even a fair coin flipped 500 times will have distinct "hot" and "cold" streaks if analyzed that way. So I do much as you do - but also appreciate chunking the data in ways that are somewhat arbitrary (e.g. calendar months). A meaningful change in approach will still show through the numbers, if less dramatically.
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Post by ephus on Aug 18, 2023 14:06:16 GMT -5
Quick check in on Tristan Casas on key offensive stats verses other AL Rookies:
Stat Rank OPS 1 SLG 2 HR 2 BA 3 OBP 1 2B 9 3B 6
If he stays hot we're gonna have to spend all of September on a social media campaign to get him ROY.
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Post by ematz1423 on Aug 18, 2023 14:41:49 GMT -5
Well we can hope there are still enough old school baseball voters who don't pay attention to the SABR stats and just look at things like slash line to make their votes. I don't think it's completely outside the realm of possibilities here but I certainly wouldn't bet on it.
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Post by manfred on Aug 18, 2023 14:47:43 GMT -5
Quick check in on Tristan Casas on key offensive stats verses other AL Rookies: Stat Rank OPS 1 SLG 2 HR 2 BA 3 OBP 1 2B 9 3B 6 If he stays hot we're gonna have to spend all of September on a social media campaign to get him ROY. Oh, sir, my campaigning has already begun. Down with Gumball Hairdressing!
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Post by incandenza on Aug 18, 2023 14:48:31 GMT -5
Well we can hope there are still enough old school baseball voters who don't pay attention to the SABR stats and just look at things like slash line to make their votes. I don't think it's completely outside the realm of possibilities here but I certainly wouldn't bet on it. We need a coalition between the traditional stats guys and the uber-sabermetricists who see that he's #1 by xwOBA. It's the mid-brain WAR-heads that could give us trouble.
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Post by ephus on Aug 18, 2023 14:56:25 GMT -5
Well we can hope there are still enough old school baseball voters who don't pay attention to the SABR stats and just look at things like slash line to make their votes. I don't think it's completely outside the realm of possibilities here but I certainly wouldn't bet on it. Oh, it's real. Especially when Gunnar is in the lead and you compare his "normal" stats to Casas.
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Post by summer08 on Aug 18, 2023 15:10:03 GMT -5
Enough batting in lower half of the lineup. He the Sox best hitter right now and its not even close. The margin for error ion the season is getting real small.
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radiohix
Veteran
'At the end of the day, we bang. We bang. We're going to swing.' Alex Verdugo
Posts: 6,370
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Post by radiohix on Aug 19, 2023 6:51:20 GMT -5
Kid’s a GOAT 😂
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Aug 19, 2023 7:47:54 GMT -5
Can we retire his number now?
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