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2019 Patriots Regular season thread
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Post by voiceofreason on Dec 2, 2019 17:06:26 GMT -5
Confidence plays a very big part playing a sport, all sports, all positions. How many of you guys golf? Have you ever played the same course often enough to have a hole that you just own even if it is rated as a hard hole? Once you have success on a hole you end up having more success.
Tom not having confidence in the Wr's is effecting his confidence in his throws and it shows in his play. He has made a lot of guys look good in the past so he is just not that good right now. He looked all of his 42 years last night.
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Post by ryan24 on Dec 3, 2019 6:36:16 GMT -5
What do you all think? The pats are in the playoffs. Who is going to beat them before the super bowl? It appears because they have no deep threat that the good teams will crowd them preventing spacing needed. Will the offensive score enough to beat the chiefs? What receivers were on the opening day roster that are still on the team? Better yet of the ones who were on how much have they played this season?
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Post by costpet on Dec 3, 2019 7:46:47 GMT -5
I know this is a kick in the stomach, but this is not a Super Bowl team. Their one-receiver offense makes it almost impossible to think it is. It seems that they depend on their defense to not only stop the other team, but score points, too. That's not a formula to succeed.
Meyer and Harry are rookies. Sanu has been here a month. Watson is 38. Dorsett is just okay. That leaves 2 receivers you can count on...Endelman and White. You think other teams don't notice that? They dropped Gordon for Brown. How did that work out?
Tommy is highly frustrated, it seems, like on every play. Body language is not good. If he decides to move to another team next year, I wouldn't be surprised. And I wouldn't blame him. He can't do it all by himself, but that's what he's being asked to do. That's not fair to him or to the rest of the team.
Is there one team out there that is just a quarterback away from being a good team? Brady might be theirs next year. And the Patriots did that to themselves.
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wcp3
Veteran
Posts: 3,861
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Post by wcp3 on Dec 3, 2019 7:57:02 GMT -5
I know this is a kick in the stomach, but this is not a Super Bowl team. Their one-receiver offense makes it almost impossible to think it is. It seems that they depend on their defense to not only stop the other team, but score points, too. That's not a formula to succeed. Meyer and Harry are rookies. Sanu has been here a month. Watson is 38. Dorsett is just okay. That leaves 2 receivers you can count on...Endelman and White. You think other teams don't notice that? They dropped Gordon for Brown. How did that work out? Tommy is highly frustrated, it seems, like on every play. Body language is not good. If he decides to move to another team next year, I wouldn't be surprised. And I wouldn't blame him. He can't do it all by himself, but that's what he's being asked to do. That's not fair to him or to the rest of the team. Is there one team out there that is just a quarterback away from being a good team? Brady might be theirs next year. And the Patriots did that to themselves. I’m not overly high on this team’s chances, but was their offense really much better last year? Was Denver’s or Seattle’s the years they won the Super Bowl? The margin for error is smaller, especially in a year when there are so many good teams, but these types of teams can still win it. The biggest difference from last year is the blocking - losing Andrews, Devlin, and of course Gronk has prevented this team from dominating on the ground the way they were built to. This receiving corps is not great, but they’ve made deep playoff runs before with Reche Caldwell so I still think there’s time for them to turn things around (and I also think you’re underrating Dorsett - he’s a lot better than “just okay”).
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Post by voiceofreason on Dec 3, 2019 9:48:33 GMT -5
On 12/16/18 the Pats had just lost for the 3rd time in 5 games and where 9-5. At that point they certainly didn't look like they were going to do much in the playoffs did they. The D was just ok and the offense hadn't found an identity yet.
Not to disagree with everyone as I am watching the same games you are and am thinking much the same way, TBs body language and performance at this point is not good. But their is still time to improve in all areas of the game, obviously much needs to happen on the offensive side for them to contend. And they still have an excellent defense so that is a little bit more than they had last year at this point. Establish the running game, which looked much better this past week, then the passing game gets a little more room to operate. Tom needs to distribute the ball better and the guys he is throwing to need to do a better job of being where they are supposed to be. But it isn't all on them as Tom has not been very accurate. I still think they can contend, they have a month still which is more than they had last year.
How about they come up with a play action pass with Elandon and Sony on the field... How about throwing a few more of those TE seam routes...
Do you guys think that int was on Harry? Not sure that I do, trust the kid.
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Post by voiceofreason on Dec 3, 2019 9:59:34 GMT -5
Also might not want to discount the effects the flu might have had overall but Houston is not a bad team. If you look at the stats and not the score you might be surprised.
Ran for 5 yds/carry and 145 yards. 29 to 16 1st downs time of possession 34.5 to 25.5 Out gained them by 150
Their are things to take away from that game, positively.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Dec 3, 2019 16:16:47 GMT -5
Brady has looked off all year and missed a ton of throws all game. Sure the WRs aren't the greatest, but they aren't horrible either. I think the point stands if the best you can come up with is "they're not horrible." There isn't one playmaker outside of Edelman. Take him away, then the Pats offense is a mess like yesterday. I like the current group of WR over what we had last year when we won the Superbowl. I'd take Sanu over Hogan. Brady has to trust his WRs. Throws that interception going to Harry and he's not targeted again in the game. Throws to Meyers in the endzone and Roby was closer to the ball. Meyers is a big WR, throw it up and let him make a play on it. Brady bounced another ball on the ground going to Meyers when he was open. He's just off all year, we've seen him play very well with less at WR. It's why I would have kept Gordon, teams would double team him. Which meant you couldn't double Edlemen. Brady also put in a bunch of time and trusted Gordon. He'd throw him those 50-50 balls. The bigger issue is the lack of a running game. Teams are just playing the pass and that makes rushing the passer easier. It also means more nickel D on the field. We have to start being able to run the ball effectively.
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Post by FenwayFanatic on Dec 3, 2019 18:55:09 GMT -5
At least we know they traded their second round pick so they won’t be using it on some shitty safety who is a projected sixth rounder. Umm go look up the past picks, guys like Light, Vollmer, Chung, Gronk, Vereen, Spikes, etc. They have been above league average. Every team has busts. You have to go back 7+ years for these picks. The light pick was almost 20 years ago. The more recent second rounders are guys like Jordan Richards, Cyrus Jones, Joejuan Williams, Duke Dawson.
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Post by texs31 on Dec 3, 2019 22:25:54 GMT -5
Story isnt complete on Williams and Dawson.
I'd also argue that there are guys that were ranked as early rd picks, were taken in the early rounds and played less than Jordan Richards.
Not saying he was a great pick but how much of a bust he was has been overstated.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Dec 3, 2019 23:30:52 GMT -5
Umm go look up the past picks, guys like Light, Vollmer, Chung, Gronk, Vereen, Spikes, etc. They have been above league average. Every team has busts. You have to go back 7+ years for these picks. The light pick was almost 20 years ago. The more recent second rounders are guys like Jordan Richards, Cyrus Jones, Joejuan Williams, Duke Dawson. You are talking about taking 6th round rated safeties, so your going back to Wilson in 2012 no? Him and Richards are those guys. 2013 Jamie Collins 2014 Jimmy Garoppolo Bills history with us is like 20 years and he's had some very good to great second round picks.
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Post by voiceofreason on Dec 4, 2019 9:47:17 GMT -5
Just a thought.
How about the Pats scale back the read option route running for the WR's and just stick to patterns that are coordinated together to create openings? I know it is a step back but WTF what they are doing isn't working. This whole thing has got to be getting into the guys heads and they are thinking too much which leads to mistakes. Let them get some confidence in just running the route they are supposed to run, get some success and then expand the playbook. Anything has got to be better than what we have been watching. These guys don't suck as bad as they have looked. This on the coaching staff and Tom.
Realize what you have right now and adjust to it, isn't that what they are supposed to be the best at?
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Post by voiceofreason on Dec 4, 2019 10:14:52 GMT -5
And
I know these guys aren't AB but with a matter of days to learn the O he was great. Was he running option routes or just running routes?
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Post by jimed14 on Dec 4, 2019 10:23:22 GMT -5
And I know these guys aren't AB but with a matter of days to learn the O he was great. Was he running option routes or just running routes? AB uses his entire brain for football and has nothing left when he opens his mouth or uses social media. He's a very smart football player.
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mobaz
Veteran
Posts: 3,044
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Post by mobaz on Dec 4, 2019 12:26:50 GMT -5
I expected Sanu to have more of an impact.
The Patriots have been the most aggressive they've been ever (even more than 2007) in trying to upgrade at WR but it's been a dumpster fire. The money/picks/time invested in D-Thomas/Gordon/AB/Harry/Sanu has yielded literally NOTHING 12 games in.
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Post by jimed14 on Dec 4, 2019 12:38:16 GMT -5
I expected Sanu to have more of an impact. The Patriots have been the most aggressive they've been ever (even more than 2007) in trying to upgrade at WR but it's been a dumpster fire. The money/picks/time invested in D-Thomas/Gordon/AB/Harry/Sanu has yielded literally NOTHING 12 games in. Very few WR could be an impact player after getting traded mid-season. It just takes a lot more time than they have to learn the reads and gain chemistry, especially in such a complicated offense like the Patriots have. Brown would have been great by now if he were a normal human being, but he's also an elite athlete and extremely hard working and intelligent football player. Even Edleman wasn't an impact player until his 5th season.
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Post by texs31 on Dec 4, 2019 13:03:31 GMT -5
He was pretty good in Game 9. Got hurt in Game 10. Missed Game 11 and was a limited participant prior to Game 12. Unfortunately, things happen.
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Post by voiceofreason on Dec 4, 2019 13:27:56 GMT -5
I expected Sanu to have more of an impact. The Patriots have been the most aggressive they've been ever (even more than 2007) in trying to upgrade at WR but it's been a dumpster fire. The money/picks/time invested in D-Thomas/Gordon/AB/Harry/Sanu has yielded literally NOTHING 12 games in. I expected more also but as Tex said he did get hurt. On top of all the WR's they brought in how about all the TE"s they brought in that have been even worse. Sure they didn't go high end with any but I think they really tried but failed on anybody they thought could be available. Maybe they should have drafted one but that is a crap shoot year 1 also. I'm not going to try and list them all but I think their was 6,7. Considering the Pats are 10-2 it sure feels like it has been a tough year to watch. Any other fan base would be celebrating a historic D.
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Post by texs31 on Dec 4, 2019 13:39:16 GMT -5
Was just about to bring up the TEs, Voice.
Haven't dug into comps to previous yrs but, on average THIS year, the WRs have had 15 catches for 173 yards per game (would be better if there wasn't an absolute clunker on that front in Game 4). Seems okay. Meanwhile, they continue to get solid production from the RB position (in the passing game with 8/74 per game including a Game 11 clunker - 3/8 from RBs).
But for a team that has had significant production at the TE position to yield only 2 catches and 29 yards per game from that position?? Woof. And that's not even addressing the impact the TE's have on the worse-than-expected rushing attack.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Dec 4, 2019 15:23:45 GMT -5
For me the Killer at TE is 100% that aren't great blockers. You could live with that production if they were great blockers giving Brady extra time and really helping the running game. They basically give you nothing.
At the same time plenty of the TEs drafted this year have made impacts. Seems like a massive mistake not taking at minimum a chance on a TE in the draft.
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Post by texs31 on Dec 4, 2019 15:39:39 GMT -5
Fair on the blocking vs receiving part. I would just add that when their offense is built on a highly productive TE, it's tough to transition in an offseason (especially if you're QB isn't fully participating in said offseason).
As to the draft, I just don't think BB approaches the draft looking to fill needs. If you believe all of the pieces that have been written about his approach, it seems like he just racks guys up based on how successful he believes they can be in their system (starters, backups, development, etc). The position they play may be 3rd or 4th on the list. Now WE may think that's not the right way to approach things but it sure seems like he does.
I'd also question whether those TEs would definitely have similar production here. It's not a guarantee. I haven't watched enough of the games but, as an example, was Hockenstein getting the production largely bc there are few if any other weapons in Det? Did Stafford gain an affinity/trust for him early? Those aren't locks with Brady/NE so neither would be the production.
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Post by umassgrad2005 on Dec 4, 2019 17:16:53 GMT -5
I'm not talking about making a big move to get an elite TE or day one starter. Just a depth guy that could develop into more down the road. The only drafted TE going into spring training was Ryan Izzo a 7th round pick a year earlier. At the minimum it seemed smart to add another guy for depth and competition.
A guy like Foster Moreau who went in the 4th. Known as a very good blocker and he tested as a top TE at the combine. Not huge numbers 22 targets, 18 receptions and 4 TDs. Yet he's a very good blocker and can be an option in the Red Zone. Something we don't have.
We had a ton of picks and needed a TE. I would have been happy if they took any number of guys. I don't get not picking up a guy in a very deep TE class. Just like I don't get at minimum trading for a good blocking TE at the deadline.
I know we shouldn't question Bill, but it didn't make sense on draft day and still doesn't make sense now.
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Post by texs31 on Dec 4, 2019 23:12:56 GMT -5
I wanted Moreau pre-draft
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Post by dirtywater43 on Dec 5, 2019 4:17:26 GMT -5
I expected Sanu to have more of an impact. The Patriots have been the most aggressive they've been ever (even more than 2007) in trying to upgrade at WR but it's been a dumpster fire. The money/picks/time invested in D-Thomas/Gordon/AB/Harry/Sanu has yielded literally NOTHING 12 games in. Very few WR could be an impact player after getting traded mid-season. It just takes a lot more time than they have to learn the reads and gain chemistry, especially in such a complicated offense like the Patriots have. Brown would have been great by now if he were a normal human being, but he's also an elite athlete and extremely hard working and intelligent football player. Even Edleman wasn't an impact player until his 5th season. I don't buy the part about the midseason part. Brown was a force in the one game he played in and barely practiced at all with the Patriots. It's more like, Sanu isn't on that level when it comes to talent. Good number two wide receiver in a good offense. Wes Welker, Randy Moss, and Gronk were all impact players the minute they were paired with Brady.
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Post by voiceofreason on Dec 5, 2019 7:37:33 GMT -5
I guess they should just do away with training camp if it doesn't matter, players would love that.
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Post by texs31 on Dec 5, 2019 7:52:09 GMT -5
Did anyone make attempts at comparing the talents of Brown and Sanu? Despite his behavior, I don't think it takes much knowledge to understand why Brown and Sanu might have performed differently (though, again, I'll note that the latter had a pretty big day in just his 2nd game before being hampered by injuries since part way through his 3rd).
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