SoxProspects News
|
|
|
|
Legal
Forum Ground Rules
The views expressed by the members of this Forum do not necessarily reflect the views of SoxProspects, LLC.
© 2003-2024 SoxProspects, LLC
|
|
|
|
|
Forum Home | Search | My Profile | Messages | Members | Help |
Welcome Guest. Please Login or Register.
Patriots 2023 Offseason Thread
cdj
Veteran
Posts: 15,894
Member is Online
|
Post by cdj on Jul 26, 2023 13:14:30 GMT -5
OurLads projects the Patriots OL #1 in AFCE and 10th in NFL. Trent Brown had an erratic year in 2022 due to missed assignments and penalties (we can't put some of that on the coaching?) but he was never physically outmatched. He is still a very good tackle. The Riley Reiff signing has gotten some criticism, perhaps rightfully so. I haven't seen much of his play. But former NFL QB Jim Miller -- a sort of Chicago Bears equivalent of Scott Zolak (he's been the analyst on the postgame show for several years) -- said Wednesday on his SirusXM show that Reiff had a good year last year for the Bears. Maybe the criticism of the OL is a bit overstated? I know The Doom & Gloom Crowd -- local Patriots media -- have portrayed the OL as a MAJOR area of concern, yet here is another national opinion (1st one film study, this one analytics) that sees it differently. Note the other 3 teams in the AFC East: /photo/1 I think 90% of fans think their teams OL sucks tbh
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 26, 2023 14:31:57 GMT -5
Well that's a projection that shows Brown bouncing back and Strange taking a big leap forward. They both got abused in a bunch of games last year. Projections said Hernandez would bounce back and he was worse than ever. That doesn't happen, you're right back to last year with 3 holes on your OL. Everyone thought last years line was going to be darn near elite.
Also run blocking was also a huge issue last year, Stevenson was a miracle worker in many games. A good running games helps open up things for Mac in the passing game. You can't do good play action in games you can't run the ball.
That being said it could certainly turn out that way. I'll believe it when the reports from training camp start conforming it.
|
|
|
Post by benogliviesbrother on Jul 26, 2023 16:13:06 GMT -5
Well that's a projection that shows Brown bouncing back and Strange taking a big leap forward. They both got abused in a bunch of games last year. Projections said Hernandez would bounce back and he was worse than ever. That doesn't happen, you're right back to last year with 3 holes on your OL. Everyone thought last years line was going to be darn near elite. Also run blocking was also a huge issue last year, Stevenson was a miracle worker in many games. A good running games helps open up things for Mac in the passing game. You can't do good play action in games you can't run the ball. That being said it could certainly turn out that way. I'll believe it when the reports from training camp start conforming it. It is a projection. It might not come through as projected. Naturally. That said, it is from one who has studied the data and previously I posted a similar projection from one who has studied the tape. I have to disagree with the assertion Brown & Strange regularly got "abused." Strange had a tough stretch late in the year when he might have been dealing with a medical issue. Or maybe it was just a bad matchup or two, or he met the rookie wall. But after seeing how he dominated his matchup with Cameron Heyward -- one of the better at his interior position -- I have zero concerns about him going forward. And as I argued earlier in this thread I don't think I ever saw Trent "exposed" in any matchup. He holds up physically in any matchup. That doesn't mean he played great. He didn't. At least not consistently great. His performance was marred by penalties and line call miscommunications. It was up and down. I truly doubt any of these top DEs are licking their chops to line up against Trent Brown. * Early Trent Training Camp Notes: @ LT 1st team; has been in camp for 4 days already with the other early arrivers; looks good physically (handled post practice runs "easily" according to Curran; Trent says he "loves" Billy O & the energy he brings. In the past he's said he likes/needs tough coaching (Scarnecchia) -- time will tell if he likes Billy O's version.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 27, 2023 10:25:33 GMT -5
Well that's a projection that shows Brown bouncing back and Strange taking a big leap forward. They both got abused in a bunch of games last year. Projections said Hernandez would bounce back and he was worse than ever. That doesn't happen, you're right back to last year with 3 holes on your OL. Everyone thought last years line was going to be darn near elite. Also run blocking was also a huge issue last year, Stevenson was a miracle worker in many games. A good running games helps open up things for Mac in the passing game. You can't do good play action in games you can't run the ball. That being said it could certainly turn out that way. I'll believe it when the reports from training camp start conforming it. It is a projection. It might not come through as projected. Naturally. That said, it is from one who has studied the data and previously I posted a similar projection from one who has studied the tape. I have to disagree with the assertion Brown & Strange regularly got "abused." Strange had a tough stretch late in the year when he might have been dealing with a medical issue. Or maybe it was just a bad matchup or two, or he met the rookie wall. But after seeing how he dominated his matchup with Cameron Heyward -- one of the better at his interior position -- I have zero concerns about him going forward. And as I argued earlier in this thread I don't think I ever saw Trent "exposed" in any matchup. He holds up physically in any matchup. That doesn't mean he played great. He didn't. At least not consistently great. His performance was marred by penalties and line call miscommunications. It was up and down. I truly doubt any of these top DEs are licking their chops to line up against Trent Brown. * Early Trent Training Camp Notes: @ LT 1st team; has been in camp for 4 days already with the other early arrivers; looks good physically (handled post practice runs "easily" according to Curran; Trent says he "loves" Billy O & the energy he brings. In the past he's said he likes/needs tough coaching (Scarnecchia) -- time will tell if he likes Billy O's version. Do you watch the games? For example I remember Strange getting abused middle of the year, not end of the year. Bears game, both jets games and Colts game, he got pulled from multi games. PFF grades players by watching tape and grading each play, his grade is in the 50s. He had his moments, yet he also got abused. I don't know if you don't like the word, yet when you get pulled from multiple games what do you call it? It wasn't he was injured either. 5th most sacks allowed at his position and many more hurries and QB hits. Why I had him rated 3rd round even though I listed him as best fit in draft for LG, small time college guy who didn't see athletes like those in NFL. He's likely better, the question is how much better. Just remember his issues weren't just pass blocking either, also run blocking, same goes for Brown. Trent Brown certainly got abused, 8 sacks, then tons more hurries and QB hits. He would have also been pulled if they actually had anyone to take his place. I have no idea what you mean by holds up physically in any match up, if you watched him last year that just seems like a crazy statement. Again run blocking also was an issue. He looked slow and out of shape, which lead to a ton of penalties also as he tried to compensate for that. I'd also point out Brown had a bad finish the year before in pass blocking at RT, no sacks yet tons of hurries and QB hits. LIke I said both could certainly improve, it's just not a given. I'm more worried about Brown than Strange. It's not my imagination either, it's backed up by PFF grades who watched every play those two took last year.
|
|
|
Post by beasleyrockah on Jul 27, 2023 13:10:32 GMT -5
I'm perfectly fine with this, I'm more worried about OT and backup RB. The OL was a mess last year, so far Brown basically waited to after mini camp to start training and Reiff was with backups. We also missed Harris when he went down. We could use a true power runner. Depending how camp starts I'm watching the Bengals LT they want to trade, I'm just not trading Dugger. More like Brown, Reiff or Bourne, yet let's see what happens in training camp first. I wouldn't be against getting Elliott, he's a tough runner. He's also been a better receiver than Harris was. FWIW Jonah Williams has worse PFF grades than Brown each of the last two years.
|
|
|
Post by benogliviesbrother on Jul 27, 2023 13:36:49 GMT -5
Like many here I watch every snap of every game (sometimes more than once). Unlike many here I take PFF grades with a grain of salt, for many reasons, some of which I've previously catalogue and have no desire to revisit.
But: "who watched every play" /= "knows what happened/should have happened on every play."
I consider PFF a useful, sometimes instructive tool. Not an endpoint of discussion. Not a weapon to enforce my point of view.
PFF ranks Jalen Ramsey #9 -- did they watch him play every snap? Every snap I watched he was giving up completions (his passer rating against was 99 something). He ranked 40th in man to man snaps (and middlin' in many others) yet he's #9th best? I'd take Jon Jones over him in a second.
But I don't have sufficient knowledge or data to determine how to accurately assess Jalen Ramsey's 2022 performance. I just wonder about the devout reliance on theirs.
As to Trent: how many of those 8 sacks allowed was he flat beaten (overpowered or out-finessed) and how many were "team sacks" (Mac or Bailey scrambling left & being stopped short of the LoS) or line call screw-ups? I can count on one hand the number of times I recall TB getting blown up or overpowered.
As to Cole Strange getting "pulled from multiple games":
Week 1 he played 49 snaps (86%); Weeks 2-7 he played 100% of snaps; Week 8 he played 66 snaps (85%); Week 9 he played 15 snaps (24%); Week 10-17 he played 100% of snaps.
One of the beat guys did a Felger for Richard Seymour & suggested a medical issue in week 8 or 9 -- I don't recall which reporter and I'm unsure which week (regrettably, I consume a LOT of content). His snap counts support that inference, although certainly not definitively.
I'm not worried about either Strange or Brown performing adequately or better. Some matchups will be more favorable than others. Matt Light wasn't perfect every week, every matchup either. But as a group, assuming RT gets settled satisfactorily, the OL should be a strength relative to other teams in our division. (and I'm very optimistic about the depth)
|
|
|
Post by benogliviesbrother on Jul 27, 2023 13:48:37 GMT -5
FWIW Jonah Williams has worse PFF grades than Brown each of the last two years. What's funny about these moving "solutions": my son-in-law is a diehard Chiefs Fan (he did NOT enjoy the outcome of the 2018 AFC Championship Game we went to together). He hated all year on the OT they lost to the Bengals who used him to replace one of their weak links, the OT who signed for a big payday in KC. Most pundits claimed CIN's problems were their terrible OL, but then KC & CIN both improved their OLs by swapping out problem tackles? Listening to pundits discuss Miami's "improved OL" & I hear about them adding "experienced 1st round draft pick" OT Isaiah Wynn who many considered the worst OL on the Patriots. I think sometimes it's okay to not have an opinion ("better to remain silent and thought the fool then to open one's mouth and remove all doubt") & just wait and see what happens. I am optimistic for 2023 and am considering a jaunt to LV to get some of that 66-1 SB odds. (I need to act fast because once they get a look at us that number will plummet)
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 28, 2023 11:12:33 GMT -5
nesn.com/2022/11/how-patriots-bill-belichick-handled-question-cole-strange-benching/Strange was benched 3 times last year and you can clearly see no talk of injuries, it was his play. Which did improve as the season went on. Just like in senior bowl, big huge guys with speed were an issue. He's never played against guys like that. I've got the Jets games circled as a benchmark for him I'm so confused, if you watch every snap why are we even having this discussion? This isn't I just made stuff up, it's been well talked about in Boston media for a long-time. So far there's been one person who thinks Trent Brown was good last year! The line got so bad they kept changing the offense to multiple types of quick release dink and dunk passes to protect Mac Jones. Which then caused him to go crazy and act like a teenager. They had no choice because at that point both tackles were playing like garbage and Strange was struggling. It was the worst OL play I've seen in likely 20 years. Early Brady years or even back to the Bledsoe days. It was horrible pass protection and run blocking. We had a whole debate why Zappe looked better and a huge part was his ability to move around when pressured to make throws. Where last year Mac Jones basically just took off and ran with the ball. It's why they brought in another LT who started games last year, yet he's on the non football list for something and not yet practicing. As to Wynn, as an example why people get confused. As a LT he was darn good for years, injuries being his biggest issues. He can't play on the other side, just like Onwenu can't play LG, yet is an all pro level RG. It’s rather common for a lot of players. If he plays LT for Dolphins that's a very good signing, he plays RT then it's not.
|
|
|
Post by benogliviesbrother on Jul 28, 2023 11:36:11 GMT -5
nesn.com/2022/11/how-patriots-bill-belichick-handled-question-cole-strange-benching/Strange was benched 3 times last year and you can clearly see no talk of injuries, it was his play. Which did improve as the season went on. Just like in senior bowl, big huge guys with speed were an issue. He's never played against guys like that. I've got the Jets games circled as a benchmark for him I'm so confused, if you watch every snap why are we even having this discussion? This isn't I just made stuff up, it's been well talked about in Boston media for a long-time. So far there's been one person who thinks Trent Brown was good last year!
The line got so bad they kept changing the offense to multiple types of quick release dink and dunk passes to protect Mac Jones. Which then caused him to go crazy and act like a teenager. They had no choice because at that point both tackles were playing like garbage and Strange was struggling. It was the worst OL play I've seen in likely 20 years. Early Brady years or even back to the Bledsoe days. It was horrible pass protection and run blocking. We had a whole debate why Zappe looked better and a huge part was his ability to move around when pressured to make throws. Where last year Mac Jones basically just took off and ran with the ball. It's why they brought in another LT who started games last year, yet he's on the non football list for something and not yet practicing. As to Wynn, as an example why people get confused. As a LT he was darn good for years, injuries being his biggest issues. He can't play on the other side, just like Onwenu can't play LG, yet is an all pro level RG. It’s rather common for a lot of players. If he plays LT for Dolphins that's a very good signing, he plays RT then it's not. I'd guess so far there has been zero. If you need you misconstrue another's position to argue your own ... For those not keeping score: I claimed Trent Brown IS a good LT and that as poor as last year was I didn't feel like he was a bad player, just one who too often played badly in 2022. Physically he was not overmatched by the opposition. NESN is one media outlet. I promise you another beat guy suggested Strange was "dealing with something physically." As the snap counts show -- after Week 1 he only missed snaps in two games, one of which he played 66 snaps, a normal workload. Hardly a "benching." I've seen BB do benching before and it doesn't look like this.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 28, 2023 13:39:00 GMT -5
nesn.com/2022/11/how-patriots-bill-belichick-handled-question-cole-strange-benching/Strange was benched 3 times last year and you can clearly see no talk of injuries, it was his play. Which did improve as the season went on. Just like in senior bowl, big huge guys with speed were an issue. He's never played against guys like that. I've got the Jets games circled as a benchmark for him I'm so confused, if you watch every snap why are we even having this discussion? This isn't I just made stuff up, it's been well talked about in Boston media for a long-time. So far there's been one person who thinks Trent Brown was good last year!
The line got so bad they kept changing the offense to multiple types of quick release dink and dunk passes to protect Mac Jones. Which then caused him to go crazy and act like a teenager. They had no choice because at that point both tackles were playing like garbage and Strange was struggling. It was the worst OL play I've seen in likely 20 years. Early Brady years or even back to the Bledsoe days. It was horrible pass protection and run blocking. We had a whole debate why Zappe looked better and a huge part was his ability to move around when pressured to make throws. Where last year Mac Jones basically just took off and ran with the ball. It's why they brought in another LT who started games last year, yet he's on the non football list for something and not yet practicing. As to Wynn, as an example why people get confused. As a LT he was darn good for years, injuries being his biggest issues. He can't play on the other side, just like Onwenu can't play LG, yet is an all pro level RG. It’s rather common for a lot of players. If he plays LT for Dolphins that's a very good signing, he plays RT then it's not. I'd guess so far there has been zero. If you need you misconstrue another's position to argue your own ... For those not keeping score: I claimed Trent Brown IS a good LT and that as poor as last year was I didn't feel like he was a bad player, just one who too often played badly in 2022. Physically he was not overmatched by the opposition. NESN is one media outlet. I promise you another beat guy suggested Strange was "dealing with something physically." As the snap counts show -- after Week 1 he only missed snaps in two games, one of which he played 66 snaps, a normal workload. Hardly a "benching." I've seen BB do benching before and it doesn't look like this. nesn.com/2022/11/patriots-trent-brown-reveals-message-struggling-cole-strange/They all say the same thing, he's benched for his play and it's the games and stretch I remember. I find no listings of injuries and I don't remember any talk about them either. You make my point, you didn't think he was a bad player. You question his PFF grade, you question his sacks wanting to blame it on something else. The truth is, if they didn't switch up the offense he would have given up many more sacks! He was a bad player that was helped by running an offense that ran tons of short plays to protect the OL. Like I keep saying doesn't mean they'll be bad again this year, yet let's stop trying to rewrite history on last year. Last year is why most Patriots fans are worried, we've never seen Trent Brown look like that. We haven't seen OL play that bad in a long-time.
|
|
|
Post by texs31 on Jul 29, 2023 10:29:23 GMT -5
Zeke visiting the Pats today, per sources.
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 29, 2023 10:49:58 GMT -5
He was my top choice, get it done.
|
|
cdj
Veteran
Posts: 15,894
Member is Online
|
Post by cdj on Jul 29, 2023 11:05:04 GMT -5
Elliott is a good pass blocker too. You know they’ll like that.
Stevenson/Elliott/Strong is pretty dynamic
|
|
|
Post by benogliviesbrother on Jul 29, 2023 15:34:55 GMT -5
Zeke visiting the Pats today, per sources. Vet min + signing bonus + PT incentives = Lovely!
|
|
|
Post by benogliviesbrother on Jul 29, 2023 17:03:45 GMT -5
ZEKE UPDATE:
|
|
|
Post by benogliviesbrother on Jul 29, 2023 17:04:59 GMT -5
Zeke visiting the Pats today, per sources. Vet min + signing bonus + PT incentives = Lovely! Alas.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Jul 29, 2023 18:25:24 GMT -5
Translation, Pats won’t pay anything for him.
|
|
cdj
Veteran
Posts: 15,894
Member is Online
|
Post by cdj on Jul 29, 2023 21:00:38 GMT -5
Zeke and Mac got dinner together in the seaport tonight
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 30, 2023 0:00:34 GMT -5
It's not the Patriots that are the issue, it's RB thinking playing hardball will somehow get them paid. Zeke is coming off a down year, he needs the right opportunity more than more money or his career could be over rather quick. Just ask Bell how quickly it can happen. The Patriots are a great fit and way to go Mac Jones going the extra mile to make it happen.
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Jul 30, 2023 6:45:30 GMT -5
It's not the Patriots that are the issue, it's RB thinking playing hardball will somehow get them paid. Zeke is coming off a down year, he needs the right opportunity more than more money or his career could be over rather quick. Just ask Bell how quickly it can happen. The Patriots are a great fit and way to go Mac Jones going the extra mile to make it happen. Elliott has made over $70m in his career. If he’s been relatively smart with his money then may he doesn’t want his brains to get beat in for relatively short money. Normally, I’d agree but he’s a high draft pick who also got a lucrative second contract already so it add another possible layer for him than maybe some other RB.
|
|
cdj
Veteran
Posts: 15,894
Member is Online
|
Post by cdj on Jul 30, 2023 8:51:51 GMT -5
It's not the Patriots that are the issue, it's RB thinking playing hardball will somehow get them paid. Zeke is coming off a down year, he needs the right opportunity more than more money or his career could be over rather quick. Just ask Bell how quickly it can happen. The Patriots are a great fit and way to go Mac Jones going the extra mile to make it happen. They certainly seemed to play hardball with Nuke, although I will say I think they want and need another RB more than they needed another receiver that doesn’t separate
|
|
|
Post by rjp313jr on Jul 30, 2023 9:19:09 GMT -5
It's not the Patriots that are the issue, it's RB thinking playing hardball will somehow get them paid. Zeke is coming off a down year, he needs the right opportunity more than more money or his career could be over rather quick. Just ask Bell how quickly it can happen. The Patriots are a great fit and way to go Mac Jones going the extra mile to make it happen. They certainly seemed to play hardball with Nuke, although I will say I think they want and need another RB more than they needed another receiver that doesn’t separate They just have ri be careful how much they spend since Rhomandre will be a FA.
|
|
|
Post by jodyreidnichols on Jul 30, 2023 9:22:59 GMT -5
It's not the Patriots that are the issue, it's RB thinking playing hardball will somehow get them paid. Zeke is coming off a down year, he needs the right opportunity more than more money or his career could be over rather quick. Just ask Bell how quickly it can happen. The Patriots are a great fit and way to go Mac Jones going the extra mile to make it happen. At 3.8 y/c last year and over 8K total yards on his odometer, how much tread is left on the tires? I'd think there is cheaper alternates that can provide the same.
|
|
|
Post by rasimon on Jul 30, 2023 9:30:50 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by umassgrad2005 on Jul 30, 2023 10:30:21 GMT -5
Well he could retire, he's not doing that. I get it, but the RB are going crazy! Calling to redo the CBA, complaining all day long. Zeke in modern times has made more money than almost anyone. If he's not retiring, I would be focusing on fit and legacy.
Why I like Zeke is because he's not getting much money. I'd expect a low base salary and incentives. Dallas offensive line was messed up last year and I feel Zeke combo of short yardage running and ability in passing downs is perfect.
I'm perfectly fine with the Hopkins offer, frankly they went higher than I expected. Yes RB is a bigger need.
|
|
|