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Post by rickasadoorian on Jul 15, 2024 14:33:00 GMT -5
I searched for a thread and looked back 5 pages and didn't see one. Feel free to merge if there is another Arias thread.
He's done nothing but hit since signing with the Redsox and this year he has shown surprising power to date. He's also stolen a bunch of bases. Not bad for a guy who's calling card was his glove.
Since June 1st, he's OPSing over 1.100 including today's DH. He also jumped into the Sox top 20 earlier this year on SP. I think there may be a case for him being in the top 10. Either way, it looks like he is headed there.
19.3% K rate, 15.9% BB rate. He also has 24 sb out of 27 attempts. Unless something has changed, he's not a burner, so it looks like he has good instincts on the base. I think it's fair to say his baserunning is advanced for the FCL, anyway.
He also doesn't turn 19 until November. Between him and Cespededs, the 2023 class is shaping up nicely.
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mobaz
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Post by mobaz on Jul 15, 2024 14:42:14 GMT -5
I searched for a thread and looked back 5 pages and didn't see one. Feel free to merge if there is another Arias thread. He's done nothing but hit since signing with the Redsox and this year he has shown surprising power to date. He's also stolen a bunch of bases. Not bad for a guy who's calling card was his glove. Since June 1st, he's OPSing over 1.100 including today's DH. He also jumped into the Sox top 20 earlier this year on SP. I think there may be a case for him being in the top 10. Either way, it looks like he is headed there. 19.3% K rate, 15.9% BB rate. He also has 24 sb out of 27 attempts. Unless something has changed, he's not a burner, so it looks like he has good instincts on the base. I think it's fair to say his baserunning is advanced for the FCL, anyway. He also doesn't turn 19 until November. Between him and Cespededs, the 2023 class is shaping up nicely. About a great a start as possible for the two biggest money IFAs. Been a bit since we saw so much out of the top signings.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jul 20, 2024 9:21:02 GMT -5
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Post by rickasadoorian on Jul 20, 2024 12:20:04 GMT -5
Over his last 31 games (including today), he is slashing .434/.527/.726. 125 PA. 19bb/19k. 19xbh/6HR. 18/19 in SB. 15.2% K%/BB%.
Obviously any streak like this is aided by luck. He's 40/82 in balls in play for a .488 BAbip.
Over his last 6 games: .700/.769/1.100, 25 PA. 6bb/0k, 4xbh/2HR. 8/9 in SB. Quite a run.
Luck aside, one has to love the K%. The BB% rate too, but it's the FCL. For the entire season, his K% sits at 17.5%.
He hasn't struck out in his last 27 PA, fwiw.
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Jul 20, 2024 12:21:37 GMT -5
Defensive play at the end was sick
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finaliz3d
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Post by finaliz3d on Jul 20, 2024 17:57:21 GMT -5
Maybe it's just because Cespedes hasn't played for a bit and his season is done, but given Arias' defensive ability and the fact he's been raking, I think he has a higher ceiling and might just be the better prospect.
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Post by jbuttah on Jul 20, 2024 20:35:19 GMT -5
Looks like he has a bit of physical project left as well.
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Post by tjb21 on Jul 21, 2024 14:55:37 GMT -5
Maybe it's just because Cespedes hasn't played for a bit and his season is done, but given Arias' defensive ability and the fact he's been raking, I think he has a higher ceiling and might just be the better prospect. I like it. I’m not nearly there but I like it.
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pd
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Post by pd on Jul 21, 2024 22:42:24 GMT -5
Maybe it's just because Cespedes hasn't played for a bit and his season is done, but given Arias' defensive ability and the fact he's been raking, I think he has a higher ceiling and might just be the better prospect. Wouldn't Arias defensive profile give him a higher floor?
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Post by KoreaSoxFan on Jul 22, 2024 4:21:08 GMT -5
Big 6
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Post by bentossaurus on Jul 22, 2024 4:46:33 GMT -5
I'll assume they mean first high school SS taken, in which case that would have been Konnor Griffin at #9.
Considering I was hoping for Rainer to drop to 12, that's excellent.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 22, 2024 5:35:49 GMT -5
Arias' 15-hit, 8 SB week was the best we've had by runs created since Mike R began tracking weekly stats splits back in 2008 to aid player of the week voting, at 19.8. Previous record was Abreu last August when he hit 6 HR in a week and had 19.6 RC.
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Post by jbuttah on Jul 22, 2024 10:11:31 GMT -5
So basically, the quoted scout was saying that Arias would've been a top 10 pick.
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Post by rickasadoorian on Jul 22, 2024 11:56:28 GMT -5
So basically, the quoted scout was saying that Arias would've been a top 10 pick. And Speier has him in his top 10 sox prospects. He's not far off from Cespedes. I'd have Arias 8th. If it's more of the same in Salem, he could go even higher though the top 7 would be really hard to crack.
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ematz1423
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Post by ematz1423 on Jul 22, 2024 12:01:57 GMT -5
Just perused arias player page and noticed him and I have the same birthday. Even more reason for me to like him. He's shooting way up my personal power rankings.
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Post by LoneStarSox on Jul 22, 2024 12:15:37 GMT -5
Just perused arias player page and noticed him and I have the same birthday. Even more reason for me to like him. He's shooting way up my personal power rankings. these are the advanced metrics that actually matter
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Post by adamgregory81 on Jul 22, 2024 13:34:41 GMT -5
So basically, the quoted scout was saying that Arias would've been a top 10 pick. And Speier has him in his top 10 sox prospects. He's not far off from Cespedes. I'd have Arias 8th. If it's more of the same in Salem, he could go even higher though the top 7 would be really hard to crack. The system is loaded. If that quote is enough to suggest that Arias is a potential top 100 guy, I count as many as 10 such guys in the system.
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shagworthy
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Post by shagworthy on Jul 22, 2024 13:54:22 GMT -5
Just perused arias player page and noticed him and I have the same birthday. Even more reason for me to like him. He's shooting way up my personal power rankings. these are the advanced metrics that actually matter Ha.. Advanced.. I see what you did there.
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Post by vermontsox1 on Jul 26, 2024 8:50:57 GMT -5
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Post by kingstephanos on Jul 26, 2024 19:19:48 GMT -5
And Speier has him in his top 10 sox prospects. He's not far off from Cespedes. I'd have Arias 8th. If it's more of the same in Salem, he could go even higher though the top 7 would be really hard to crack. The system is loaded. If that quote is enough to suggest that Arias is a potential top 100 guy, I count as many as 10 such guys in the system. Keith Law currently has Arias in his top 100 www.nytimes.com/athletic/5656143/2024/07/25/mlb-top-prospects-2024-jackson-holliday/
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 27, 2024 14:34:38 GMT -5
That link doesn't say that?
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Post by kingstephanos on Jul 27, 2024 14:50:45 GMT -5
That link doesn't say that? Chris, would you like me to find the specific Keith Law reply where he states Arias would be further down on his list? I'll get on my laptop and find it for you, sir.
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Post by kingstephanos on Jul 27, 2024 15:02:46 GMT -5
That link doesn't say that? Chris, would you like me to find the specific Keith Law reply where he states Arias would be further down on his list? I'll get on my laptop and find it for you, sir. Chris... If you scroll down to the "Comments" section of that article, you will see the following: Post 'Brian T (Jul 25) -Sox with 5 top 50 prospects. I don't hate it.' Reply 'Keith Law (Jul 25) STAFF - brian T. And Franklin Arias isn't far behind.' EDIT: I'm curious to read how Keith's comment above can be construed in a way different from my earlier assertion.
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Post by Chris Hatfield on Jul 27, 2024 15:49:07 GMT -5
1) Wasn't looking in the comments. 2) Very easily could just mean not far behind in terms of developing into a top 50 guy, or not far behind them but not necessarily top 100.
It's certainly a reasonable reading but I don't think it's clear that's what he means.
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jimoh
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Post by jimoh on Jul 27, 2024 17:21:14 GMT -5
Chris, would you like me to find the specific Keith Law reply where he states Arias would be further down on his list? I'll get on my laptop and find it for you, sir. Chris... If you scroll down to the "Comments" section of that article, you will see the following: Post 'Brian T (Jul 25) -Sox with 5 top 50 prospects. I don't hate it.' Reply 'Keith Law (Jul 25) STAFF - brian T. And Franklin Arias isn't far behind.' EDIT: I'm curious to read how Keith's comment above can be construed in a way different from my earlier assertion. The words "Keith Law currently has Arias in his top 100" are quite specific. I also spent some time looking for this "top 100."
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