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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 20:25:07 GMT -5
Good job Farrel not, I'm telling you he cost Drew far to many runs for the amount of starts made last year
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 20:23:18 GMT -5
Fine with the decision to bring him out for Davis. Live with the result - he got soft contact that dropped in. C'est la vie. Great outing. Very encouraging. Time for the bullpen to close this out. Agree. Davis was 0-2 with 2 K and Pom was under 90 pitches. He was fine to pitch to one more batter. First outing after being on the DL?, having him come out was better for his state of mind then 1 batter in this situation, thinking long term
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 20:21:58 GMT -5
DP please hold the ER line and the scoreboard
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 20:20:52 GMT -5
Sometimes being right sucks
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 20:20:03 GMT -5
of course that run will score. I know there is a stat for your ERA while on the mound what is that called.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 20:18:12 GMT -5
Farrel did again what I just said he did last year, now the bullpen will allow 2 runs and people who did not watch won't get it. Dumb move they held him back in ST due to injury concerns even start him on the DL he goes out throw 90 pitches 6 shut out innings and he brings him out for the seventh just to get one more batter, dumb dumb dumb
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 20:03:14 GMT -5
The Indians showed the World that all you have to do is pitch Mookie away to get him out and he hasnt adjusted, thats all everyone has done since then. How many games is this based on? Good job with that analysis.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 20:01:40 GMT -5
Doing a fantasy draft this weekend. Anyone have a good value guy
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 19:59:52 GMT -5
Far to many Sox fans who criticized the guy looked at the overall numbers, not the game log nor the games. Even many of his solid to good starts he'd tire in the sixth or seventh get a slow hook from Farrel allow or run or two or the relief pitcher would allow Drew's runner to score
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 11, 2017 19:57:36 GMT -5
How has Pomeranz looked I just got home
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Apr 8, 2017 13:01:43 GMT -5
Again saying they had no opportunity to trade them , means they had no opportunity to trade them. All of Fenways responses are negative with no substance, I am responding to that negativity and how he treats posters that disagree with him. I do agree with most of what you say about the sox , DD and Ben, I disagree with the total negativity of some posters, you can worry about the future and realize the present is very good and they have three years to rebuild the farm system. One skill DD has definitely shown is the ability to rebuild. After 2019 there may be a bridge year two or even possible three before draft picks made now can replenish the system but for some to think we are doomed beyond all repair after that season is absurd. It's as if some believe that: 1. players cannot be traded, 2. free agents can't be signed, 3. draft picks will not be made during the next few seasons 4. are assuming that our farm system is completely barren now 5. International free agents cannot be signed Even if things don't break right we should still have a good team in 2020 (that's all hind-site). A possible problem during these potential bridge seasons is that we might not be able to fill in some of the smaller gaps that a deeper farm could fill and we remain competitive without being a real threat to win in all, oh what potential dire straits, the ship is lost. We still have 6 years of Beintendi, Travis could be ready by seasons end, Devers is likely around 2 years away and looks to be a future #3 or #4 type hitter, Swihart, Groome have at least 6 years of control and there are others to. I think Marco Hernandez We are an American league favorite to be in the World Series now and likely for the next 2 seasons
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 29, 2017 21:54:37 GMT -5
I felt better after reading that. Moncada has some personal red flags. That doesn't mean he won't be good or even very good but I feel confident he won't reach the superstar level he's been pegged for because of certain personal traits. Then again he could by similar to Manny Ramirez a man child who only felt at ease when between the lines.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 20, 2017 11:59:52 GMT -5
I think in that case you look at the Heyward for Miller trade. You trade one year of XB for 3 years of a lesser player or something like that. There will always be a bunch of teams willing to trade for a player like XB with one year on contract. If it doesn't work out they can always trade him at deadline when teams are willing to overpay. I don't think the Red Sox would want a prospect that can't help them right away. Also I don't think you get a Torres. That was a clear overpay made at deadline to win a title. Maybe if we were out of race at deadline, but that would mean you would risk losing XB for almost nothing if you were a contending team. I can see a GM like Theo making this his new go to strategy to retool. The same way he would let free agents sign else where like Ellsbury to get the picks. The thing is very few GMs believe in bridge years like Theo, so we'll see what happens. I doubt it's that they don't believe in it, it's that they will not being afforded that luxury.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 13, 2017 11:34:57 GMT -5
You guys think it's smart hitting AB 3rd out the gate? No matter how good he eventually becomes, I think it's prudent NOT to put to much on anyone so quickly. Let him enjoy 6-8 weeks of success this season before increasing responsibility.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 13, 2017 11:31:32 GMT -5
FWIW, I ran the analyses using Fangraphs' 2017 projections for OBP and SLG (only considering the lineup against RHP): Pedroia, Betts, Ramirez, Bogaerts, Benintendi, Moreland, Sandoval, Bradley, Leon, :runs 5.2300863 The effects are quite small among the best 100 lineups (we're talking 2 runs per year!) But what is consistent: Betts hits 2nd (100%) Leon hits last (100%) Pedroia leads off (~95% -- Bogaerts the other 5%) The 9th batter is the predecessor to the lead-off batter so unless the 9th batter has a better OBP than the 8th batter, I'd rather the weakest batter in a line-up bat 8th.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 9, 2017 10:27:17 GMT -5
Like Allways Sunny in Philly, Crickets....
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 8, 2017 15:00:12 GMT -5
The reports say Glennon turned down more than 7 million. If I had to guess I say he gets 10-12 million a year from Bears. It won't be a horrible deal if they limit the guaranteed money. It does take away another bidder though. Still think Jimmy gets traded for 2 second round picks. We don't have to trade him so even if the field of teams dwindles who wants him, if 1 team wants him enough it doesn't matter if the Bears, etc, drop out of it.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 4, 2017 21:28:13 GMT -5
I wonder if there hasn't been a sea-change; only a single FA got a 100+ contract this past off-season; of course this was a particularly weak class to be sure but the people who track and predict FA contracts for a living, all overestimated the contracts that the big FAs received (Encarnacion, Bautista, Trumbo, et al) the only players to get paid were relievers. Whether it's weeding out of the old guard (tragically excluding the Red Sox), the CBT/CBA, or perhaps longer-term concerns about the financials of MLB (especially as cordcutting is growing), I sense something afoot; and if I were Price's agent, I'd want to have a pretty strong guarantee that there were a couple of teams willing to offer a 33-year old pitcher the equivalent of $127/4 years. Not to mention he won't be in the top 5 of that year's jewel of a FA class. Alot of good stuff here, I just wanted to add one thing, some of the players who are scheduled to be free agents in that jewel class will likely get resigned before free agency.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 4, 2017 21:11:49 GMT -5
Pomeranz first start aside for the Sox (he did not pitch for 13 days, some will insist that is cherry picking I beg to differ and call it common sense) his game log is 6IP-2ER, 5.1IP- 5ER, 6IP-2ER, 5.1IP-1ER, 7.2IP-2ER, 5IP-1ER, 6IP-2ER, 6.2IP-3ER, 5.2IP-2ER (Sept.5) and after that he wore down. 10 straight starts with the team with only 1 bad start. For that 10 game stretch his ERA was 3.41 while with the Red Sox. His sOPS+ by month was 80, 30,75, 86 (3 of 5 starts with Sox) ,82,143. What is the outlier here? His absurd May (30) and awful Sept (143). What is left is 80,75,86 and 82 with 11 starts with SD and 9 with Boston. It's amazingly consistent no matter where he pitched or when. It appears that people are going out of there way to find fault with him because he was traded for AE. It appears that not only was he all star worthy in the first half in the National League with San Diego 2.47 ERA, 3.15 FIP but for another third of the Season AFTER the All star break he was still good, perhaps even very good with a 3.41 ERA playing in the AL for the first time with brand new catchers and a new city. The question with Drew is not is he capable, that was answered if you paid attention last year, the question for him is after pitching a career high in innings last year how well does he hold up and adapt to 170+IP.
Good lord, the guy was mediocre with the Red Sox - look at his stats with the Red Sox, not a good stretch of decency. In 2013 Felix Doubront had a stretch where he pitched very well, but overall he wasn't that good. Pomeranz has had a history of injuries and sure enough he wasn't exactly healthy by the end of last season. Who knows how healthy he will be this season or how good he's going to be. It's a huge question mark. You have him pitching at an all-star caliber level while I see him as a guy who is an injury and performance risk. And that's exclusive of the fact that I absolutely hate that they traded Espinoza away for a guy who lacks a lot of certainty - well except for you who is certain of him, I guess. That's it for Pomeranz. This is a David Price thread. So fortunately he's not getting TJ surgery or anything like that now. I do wonder how effective he'll be. If he's really injury free, then the late start to his season can be a blessing in disguise, keeping his innings totals in check, and it also allows them to keep Wright, Pomeranz, and E-Rod in the rotation until he returns. Small injuries and layoffs at staggered intervals throughout the season could keep those six starters fresh while getting a decent amount of work. Real life doesn't always work out that well, though. I hilighted in red above to make sure you do not selectively read what I wrote. Of course he's a concern regarding the increase in IP and the way he finished the season in Sept. I wrote that but apparently you did not read that. Also I think I verified beyond any doubt that he did pitch well for us until he clearly wore down by September when he was well above his previous career high in IP. So it appears you are indeed clouded by your hatred of the trade and you actually verified that above. Regarding Price you are more objective, and I agree if he missed a few weeks at the seasons start the Sox could use that as an extended competition to decide who remains in the rotation when Price returns, assuming of course he actually misses time we'll have to wait and see.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 4, 2017 20:57:28 GMT -5
I am happy that it appears he'll be OK to pitch but I dont see him opting out now. What team is gonna offer him this kind of money with who knows what condition the elbow is really in. Huge money likely tied up going forward. Hopefully he has 3 or 4 strong years going forward. That's a good point, so let's hope he goes another 200+IP and does well this year and next, because the best thing that can happen is that we get 3 good years from him and then he opts out.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 3, 2017 12:11:01 GMT -5
One of my biggest pet peeves with other fans of baseball is they infer that question marks are a bad thing. Questions marks are neither a good thing nor a bad thing they are merely neutral, a question mark is neither nor until it is answered and therefore cannot be viewed as a negative, it is a question with judgement on hold until further notice. With out exception every season every club has questions, but fans only view it through their own teams viewpoint and therefore look at these question marks as a negative, and that clearly is not right. I agree that should Price miss the year that the Sox are still a strong post-season contender. Yeah but you're looking at all the question marks as positives. I mean, when you're talking about what great depth Brian Johnson is... You again missed the point. Slow your roll and re-read. Questions are not positive nor negative they are questions. I know you know that (or at least should now) but by all means push forward with your agenda
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 3, 2017 12:08:49 GMT -5
Disappointing news regarding David Price. Have a feeling it's going to be one of those injury plagued type of seasons. The lineup was pretty healthy last year. I hope that Pedroia and Hanley can stay healthy this season. The only way this works out with Price is if it's a minor injury, he gets a couple of months off and he comes back fresh and with his innings well below his norm come October. I think the heavy workload he usually carries with him is as much a reason for his October struggles as anything else. Perhaps a lower amount of innings pitched come October keeps him fresh. Of course that's the silver lining. My guess is - and that's all we can do right now is guess - is that he will need TJ surgery now or pretty soon. We watched John Lackey try to valiantly pitch through the pain in 2011 and that was a train wreck. I'm hoping we don't get that from Price or else two seasons will be wasted. It stinks that when the team didn't really try to replace Ortiz's bat the best they could (for the same reason they didn't hang onto Buchholz - to stay under the cap for a season so they can splurge in the future - a reasonable gamble to take), they were staking their season on having the best top 3 in the majors. Now Price is likely injured for a good chunk of the season if not more, Porcello will most likely regress, and now they have to hope that Pomeranz is either healthy or effective, two things he really wasn't with the Red Sox last year - and his all-star appearance doesn't change that. They also have injury question marks with how strong Wright's shoulder will be and if E-Rod will have any further knee issues. At this point Kyle Kendrick could be a crucial piece of depth as it looks pretty obvious that Owens will contribute nothing and Johnson probably won't be much better. Elias can't be relied on. The intriguing x-factor is Hector Velazquez. The Sox can survive and perhaps even thrive for a few months without Price, but if he is injured/ineffective, that has a ripple effect on the bullpen as well as Price was great for soaking up innings. Fortunately Porcello and Sale should be able to eat up innings, but that means more of Heath Hembree and Matt Barnes I guess. Pomeranz first start aside for the Sox (he did not pitch for 13 days, some will insist that is cherry picking I beg to differ and call it common sense) his game log is 6IP-2ER, 5.1IP- 5ER, 6IP-2ER, 5.1IP-1ER, 7.2IP-2ER, 5IP-1ER, 6IP-2ER, 6.2IP-3ER, 5.2IP-2ER (Sept.5) and after that he wore down. 10 straight starts with the team with only 1 bad start. For that 10 game stretch his ERA was 3.41 while with the Red Sox. His sOPS+ by month was 80, 30,75, 86 (3 of 5 starts with Sox) ,82,143. What is the outlier here? His absurd May (30) and awful Sept (143). What is left is 80,75,86 and 82 with 11 starts with SD and 9 with Boston. It's amazingly consistent no matter where he pitched or when. It appears that people are going out of there way to find fault with him because he was traded for AE. It appears that not only was he all star worthy in the first half in the National League with San Diego 2.47 ERA, 3.15 FIP but for another third of the Season AFTER the All star break he was still good, perhaps even very good with a 3.41 ERA playing in the AL for the first time with brand new catchers and a new city. The question with Drew is not is he capable, that was answered if you paid attention last year, the question for him is after pitching a career high in innings last year how well does he hold up and adapt to 170+IP.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 3, 2017 11:25:46 GMT -5
I'm not worried about this until we know exactly what's wrong with him. Obviously losing him would be a huge blow to the rotation, but it's not like we have no one to fill in the gaps. The Sox may not have great depth for Starters but a 3/4/5 of Wright/Rodriguez/Pomeranz isn't a disaster. They all have question marks but they also have plenty of upside. it's not like Price is the end all be all of this team. They way I see it, if Price were to miss the season, Sale basically replaces him and this team is still built to make a strong post season run. One of my biggest pet peeves with other fans of baseball is they infer that question marks are a bad thing. Questions marks are neither a good thing nor a bad thing they are merely neutral, a question mark is neither nor until it is answered and therefore cannot be viewed as a negative, it is a question with judgement on hold until further notice. With out exception every season every club has questions, but fans only view it through their own teams viewpoint and therefore look at these question marks as a negative, and that clearly is not right. I agree that should Price miss the year that the Sox are still a strong post-season contender.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 3, 2017 11:17:03 GMT -5
Well 2 of our 3 # 4 & #5 starters were all stars last season. Can even 1 staff other than the Sox make that claim. I'd bet that no other team can claim an all star even for their #3 starter, maybe even #2. We have 2 competing for spots and the other many believe as the upside of a front of the rotation starter. Everyone Forgets Brian Johnson. Bartolo Colon is set to be the Braves #3 starter and he was an All Star in 2016. So yeah, great way to judge a pitching staff I'd say. Also, everyone forgets Brian Johnson for a reason. I love when people misses the larger point at hand and pick at a weaker supporting point and then pretend to drop the mic. Is being an all star the end all be all, well of course not. However when it's used to make a quick point about the actual quality of the year said player had as opposed to merely someone from that team had to make the team so pointing out someone as an all star status is null and void is well a null and void point when you simply are not aware of the difference. And when you are not maybe one should not dip their toe in the lake. If you disagree then compare the first half of Pomeranz or Wright had with Colon and your point becomes moot. What exactly is the reason to forget about the depth the Sox have and using Johnson (Owens, Elias, Kendrick), as an example, because the anxiety issues he had in 2016? Is that the reason? Never mind that we had 6 above average starters vying for 5 spots. Never mind that we have no definitive answer with Price either.
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Post by jodyreidnichols on Mar 2, 2017 21:49:52 GMT -5
That call with about 2 and 1 half minutes left in the game for goalie interference is god awful. How do you make that call? The B's backed them selves into a corner but at least they are fighting there way out. They need every point they can get.
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