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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 9, 2023 12:42:44 GMT -5
Looking at Salem's roster trying to see if there would be any interesting promotions to backfill the spots left by Meidroth and Hickey, but seems unlikely with the youth of that middle infield and Max Ferguson's ability to play second. I guess the one thing I'm interested to see is if Mejicano moves up to Greenville, could we get a full season debut for Brooks Brannon?
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 9, 2023 12:32:07 GMT -5
Hickey is going to take some time from Scott, which is a shame because Scott has been hitting well this year. Hickey is the clear better prospect though. Alfaro has some kind of exit after 6/1 in his contract, right? Wouldn't surprise me if, between that (if I'm right) and Hamilton/Hernandez not exactly high level prospects in their own right, they made space for Scott in Worcester at some point.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 9, 2023 12:11:49 GMT -5
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 9, 2023 12:01:13 GMT -5
Dude is gonna be a 2.50 ERA guy for them as a starter, because of course he is (editing to add that yes I read the tweet I know he's not actually gonna start)
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 9, 2023 11:57:32 GMT -5
VINDICATION!!
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 9, 2023 10:46:44 GMT -5
In his Fangraphs review of Sox prospects who might see the majors this year, Longenhagen doesn't have Drohan listed. Not surprising since they have him with a FV of 35. I'd hope they'd reevaluate those lists as the season progresses. If he continues on this track he might just get a look before the fall rolls around. Fangraphs’ prospect stuff is just so behind right now that I’m sure it’s one of those things that hasn’t caught up yet
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 9, 2023 9:48:11 GMT -5
Wait, Mayer moved down three spots? The heck? Using Wayback Machine because BA doesn't archive this stuff: Graduated: Henderson, Carroll Moved ahead of Mayer in post-ST update: Volpe Moved ahead in this update: Holliday, Wood, Carter, Lawlar. I get Volpe and Holliday for sure. The others, I'm not sure how you have information now that justifies the movement after one month. Carter has been destroying the Texas League at the same age so I kind of get that but the other two, meh? Is that Carter as in Evan, the Rangers' prospect? I don't have a BA sub. If so, hell of a job doing the eval on him, as people were BAFFLED by that pick when it was made.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 7, 2023 11:00:51 GMT -5
Probably wonât matter but just why? How would you adjust the lineup? Iâd probably swap Tapia and Kiké just to break the string of lefties while also not feeling terribly good about it
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 6, 2023 21:09:55 GMT -5
Meidroth only reached base 3 times in 6 PA. OBP drops to .510. Maybe we need to start talking about a demotion to get him right
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 6, 2023 19:52:04 GMT -5
Not a ton of Saturday takeaways. Waldrep was missing bats like crazy but also missing the strike zone even more, he really just had no feel for the zone at all. I’ve kind of fallen off of the Jack Moss bandwagon a bit because the power is just so bad for a first baseman, but I will be all over Hunter Haas as an up-the-middle athlete, feel for hit player that the Sox seem to be all over.
Oh, and Jac hit an easy 104 mph homer to the opposite field that looked like he barely swung lol
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 22:53:46 GMT -5
One of the more interesting points of discussion in promotion talk to me that hasn't been discussed yet between Meidroth, Drohan, etc. is when the Sox decide to cut bait with some of the relief pitcher filler depth in Worcester and bump up the Fernandez/Guerrero/Denlinger group and treat them as guys that could potentially contribute at the big league level later this year. Maybe they won't be deemed ready for that at all this year and the higher floor/lower ceiling will be more useful to the Sox right now. But all three of those guys have flashed thus far this year to different extents.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 22:38:24 GMT -5
NESN should invite him on to do an apology tomorrow while Castellanos is at bat
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 21:57:12 GMT -5
Quick-ish Friday notes: Wyatt Langford went 2-for-3 with a double and a walk in pretty a pretty ho-hum dominant fashion - didn't get much to hit, didn't bite at anything that wasn't his pitch, made good contact when he swung. Not the flashiest night for him by any means but very much an "I am better than you" series of at-bats. Jac Caglianone, on the other hand, was straight up awful. Swing and miss issues and even when he made contact his timing was completely off all night, TAMU's pitchers did a great job of sequencing with him. Obviously not saying he is a bad player, but just caught a terrible look at him tonight. I'm sure he'll rebound tomorrow. Trevor Werner is one of the many TAMU bats that have had extended struggles this year, but there's still so much to dream on. He makes some really loud contact when he gets there, and he has the potential to be, IMO, an above-average third baseman (recruited as a shortstop but is huge) with a 60-65 arm. Someone will take the risk they can fix some of the inherent swing and miss there. Nathan Dettmer continues to slide after seeing his stock get pretty high following last years CWS. The breaking ball was actually a little snappy tonight, but the fastball is just way too hittable and doesn't have enough velocity to really fit the billing of power pitcher that people have tried to force on him. Brandon Sproat was... fine? It's interesting to read his scouting report on Pipeline that essentially says fastball/slider and mixes in a changeup, because I was wholly unimpressed with the fastball but thought the changeup was excellent. Fastball was sitting 96-98 in the first couple innings then settled at 94-96 late so it was certainly fast but TAMU hitters were squaring it up way too easily and he wasn't particularly locating it well. The change, however, was 87-89 with some pretty sick ASR and he was near pinpoint at times with his command of it. I sit second deck pretty much right behind home plate so I have a pretty good look at balls and strikes, and he located at least four changeups right on the edge of the plate that were called balls but were extremely competitive pitches given they moved off the plate to get there. The breaking ball was generally fine, gave up a homer off it but got some whiffs too. A few underclassman notes: - Florida's closer, Brandon Neely, will be an interesting guy next year as a pure-relief type if he can reign in the command a bit, power fastball and some deception. - Florida's second baseman, Cade Kurland, just set the Florida record for homers at the position tonight with his 14th. Pretty small and not particularly athletic but makes the most out of his tools and gets some real power out of the frame, only a freshman but will be a fun long-term track and will be interesting to see if they try to move him to left when Langford is gone or even let him take a shot at replacing Josh Rivera (up-and-down night) at short. - Texas A&M's left fielder, Jace LaViolette, could end up a guy that scouts are drooling over in a couple years. Almost OPSing .1000 as a freshman in the SEC is a pretty insane feat for just about anyone, but for him to overcome the early season struggles makes it all the more impressive. Still sporting a 26% K%, but the tools are all kinds of loud. Physically, he looks almost identical to Jac Caglianone in the box, massive but not in an unathletic way. Easy, easy power to all fields and surprising athleticism (12 steals on the year at 6'6" 230) and a former pitcher's arm in left, if he can mitigate some of the swing and miss concerns he could be a first round guy for sure. Also worth noting it's not an out-of-nowhere deal, either. TAMU was worried he'd be a risk to get drafted and go pro, but he wanted to come to A&M. Super highly touted of a very competitive area in Houston and didn't quiet the hype when he hit a 500 foot homer in a fall ball game. Will be one of the more talked about sophomores in the country next year, I'd wager. Add: if you have a D1Baseball sub, here’s an article from Kendall Rogers basically offering confirmation bias on Sproat: d1baseball.com/columns/floridas-sproat-continues-to-add-key-elements-to-repertoire/
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 21:07:38 GMT -5
3-0 against Manoah, Gausman, and Wheeler the last three games. Not bad. Makes me kinda nervous to face Bailey Falter
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 20:40:05 GMT -5
So important to go 1-2-3 there in order to preserve the save situation being exclusively the bottom of the lineup guys
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 20:36:08 GMT -5
The on-base streak is at 17 games! (I am possibly the only person who cares about this.) My entire stance is as long as Casas is walking I’m fine with giving him a leash to figure it out, so I care too!
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 20:12:59 GMT -5
The difference between Valdez and Arroyo really lengthens our lineup. He's batting .343 in the 8 Hole Forget Arroyo he’s just a journeyman with control. Next year it’s Story at SS, but Valdez and Duran sticking is interesting. Kiké will be a FA, but the truth is he’s just not a good hitter at this juncture. So he might be forced back into taking the utility role he signed here for to begin with. CF is so thin in the MLB that he would probably land on his feet beyond what he deserves. The whole “Cora promised me we’d be good” thing really rubbed me wrong with Kiké this year. 1) you’re not a star 2) you were a big reason for the regression for the entire team last year. Life comes at you fast. Now you’re the worst hitter on the team excluding Reese McGuire, despite you needing a promise that everyone else was good enough I think it was Bloom that promised it but your point is fair
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 19:55:22 GMT -5
Very random but I love that this guy is crushing the ball and I want more of it. Journeyman with a chance He’s a Yankee in like two months
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 15:00:18 GMT -5
He's had stretches of being a serviceable major league reliever, there are certainly worse depth options out there.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 14:53:22 GMT -5
What if Fan Duel had another who is getting promoted each Red Sox affiliate? That would be cool. Getting odds to bet. I know the other kid was first but it would be cool for each league. Seems like it would involve parsing what counts as a "promotion" which isn't something that I'm guessing the gambling folks are interested in getting into. Like last year, Jordan DiValerio was assigned to Salem, pitched in one game in which allowed four runs in an inning, and then went up to Greenville the following day based on roster needs. Obviously not a promotion, but try telling that to someone who took 200 to 1 that he'd be promoted first. There's also a lag time between the promotion and when it gets broken (usually) as opposed to a game or a draft pick with a definitive, live result. So like, to use Chase Meidroth as an example, he could get told he's getting a promotion on a Tuesday night but the news doesn't come out until Wednesday. Well what's stopping the Meidroth family from placing a huge bet on him Tuesday night after they get the news but before the book can catch it? There's just no great way to regulate that type of activity.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 12:56:00 GMT -5
Seeing Florida this weekend (going tonight weather permitting as a fan and then ESPN work Saturday) which I may be looking forward to more than the LSU series because while I think Crews/Skenes are a little more exciting than Caglianone/Langford, Florida also has more players that I think could fit into the Red Sox draft plan this year (Waldrep, Sproat, Rivera).
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 12:08:52 GMT -5
So you think that where Pipeline has him ranked is… more?? .. important than where they project he will actually go when evaluated by the actual league? Like I said, it’s just another data point, but I don’t think you are adequately taking in each data point for what they are. I’ll leave you to continue doing that should you so choose, given the complete temper tantrum you threw when the Yorke pick was made I’m really not gonna put a whole lot of stock into what you think of other analysts anyway. And I've admitted I was wrong about Yorke, everyone has some bad takes if you dig deep enough. But keep carrying Law's water, maybe he'll let you review some boardgame and then bake you a pie There’s a difference between able to interpret information rationally and carrying someone’s water, but honestly if the latter would get me free pie I’d consider it
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 11:34:58 GMT -5
But why is the Dollander ranking the one that’s attention seeking and the Eldridge ranking the one that’s “oh, interesting to note that he’s got him this high”? It’s not a consistent interpretation. Anyway, that’s getting off the rails. The MLB mock had him at 9, if you want to argue that 4 spot difference is fundamentally massive, go ahead and do it, but I don’t think the idea that Dollander’s stock is falling at least a little bit is all that crazy, you’re just nitpicking the degree. Certainly your right, but I’ve just gotten tired of that particular discourse. The MLB pipeline mock might've had him going 9th, but was still ranked 6th, Law's rankings weren't a mock So you think that where Pipeline has him ranked is… more?? .. important than where they project he will actually go when evaluated by the actual league? Like I said, it’s just another data point, but I don’t think you are adequately taking in each data point for what they are. I’ll leave you to continue doing that should you so choose, given the complete temper tantrum you threw when the Yorke pick was made I’m really not gonna put a whole lot of stock into what you think of other analysts anyway. Also working the broadcast for a game against Bama next weekend which, given everything they’ve got going on, should be…. Interesting
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 11:24:54 GMT -5
I don’t think it’s that extreme, it’s like 8 spots (and you’re not questioning Eldridge’s extreme rise in the same way likely because you agree with it, which I’d argue means you’re not approaching it objectively), he explains it in a way that at least makes sense whether or not you agree with it. Do I think that’s too low? Yes. Do I think it’s absurd? No. I hate how much I come off like a Law defender most of the time but I think the discourse around him has gotten ridiculous. It’s not against the law (pun not intended) to have an opinion if there’s reasonable justification behind it. Law has some real stinkers in his analysis sometimes, I think he tends to hyper-fixate, and I think he’s far from the best draft guy, but I also think that the general analysis of his analysis often ends up being more irrational that what his analysis is claimed to be. It’s just another data point. I never said the Eldridge ranking was correct... But why is the Dollander ranking the one that’s attention seeking and the Eldridge ranking the one that’s “oh, interesting to note that he’s got him this high”? It’s not a consistent interpretation. Anyway, that’s getting off the rails. The MLB mock had him at 9, if you want to argue that 4 spot difference is fundamentally massive, go ahead and do it, but I don’t think the idea that Dollander’s stock is falling at least a little bit is all that crazy, you’re just nitpicking the degree. Certainly your right, but I’ve just gotten tired of that particular discourse.
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on May 5, 2023 11:05:26 GMT -5
Do you think that’s too low? Or do you not think he’s fallen enough? He’s certainly still worthy of being a high pick, maybe even still has the tools to validate a top 10 selection, but he hasn’t been particularly great this year (though he hasn’t struggled nearly as much as Chase Burns). It's an extreme drop that isn't reflected anywhere else in the industry. If he was scratched several times with arm or shoulder ailments, than ya I get it, but his stuff just wasn't as sharp this season, it didn't disappear completely. I don’t think it’s that extreme, it’s like 8 spots (and you’re not questioning Eldridge’s extreme rise in the same way likely because you agree with it, which I’d argue means you’re not approaching it objectively), he explains it in a way that at least makes sense whether or not you agree with it. Do I think that’s too low? Yes. Do I think it’s absurd? No. I hate how much I come off like a Law defender most of the time but I think the discourse around him has gotten ridiculous. It’s not against the law (pun not intended) to have an opinion if there’s reasonable justification behind it. Law has some real stinkers in his analysis sometimes, I think he tends to hyper-fixate, and I think he’s far from the best draft guy, but I also think that the general analysis of his analysis often ends up being more irrational that what his analysis is claimed to be. It’s just another data point.
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