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Post by jchang on May 16, 2014 13:30:13 GMT -5
I am curious as to how the above projections are done. Looking at 2B players in 2013 with bWAR 3+, there are Brian Dozier, 147 games, 623 PA, WAR 3.8 oWAR 2.6, dWAR 1.5 .244/.312/.414 Chase Utley, 131 games, 531 PA, WAR 3.2, oWAR 3.8, dWAR -0.2 .284/.348/.475 Ian Kinsler 136 games, 614 PA, WAR 4.5, oWAR 3.2, dWAR 1.5 .277/.344/.413 If we are projecting Mookie to be above average defense, say dWAR 1, then I think his bat should be oWAR 3 or better. By mid-season, we should consider whether Mookie should be grade 7, not 6.
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Post by jchang on May 15, 2014 12:18:39 GMT -5
I know Papi used to be horrible vs LHP, but how did the Twins actually DFA him? For a 40-man spot, no less? It's like the reverse of the Babe Ruth sale (obvious exaggeration). Thank you Twins, for the 3 World Series championships and 384 home runs. I don't remember the circumstances of Ortiz being released as I did not think he was that significant a pickup for us in 2003. So looking back, he was released because no one would make an offer. Ortiz did have injuries back then. The Twins were contenders in that time frame 2002-04? They had young sluggers in Mientkiewicz (1B) and Matt Lecroy (1B/C/DH?) as well as some young catcher that lead the team in BA with OPS+ over 100 for both 02 and 03. So I suppose it was having an excess of sluggers to split time in the C/1B/DH positions?
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Post by jchang on May 14, 2014 20:49:06 GMT -5
I calculate .309 .400 .604
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Post by jchang on May 14, 2014 20:38:29 GMT -5
is there a reason Ortiz likes to torment the twins? Nah, I'm sure the Twins are nothing special to him. are you sure there are no hard feelings?
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Post by jchang on May 14, 2014 20:04:20 GMT -5
is there a reason Ortiz likes to torment the twins? You're joking right? They non-tendered him in 2003. I suppose we should not give up on a player too soon then?
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Post by jchang on May 14, 2014 19:54:15 GMT -5
is there a reason Ortiz likes to torment the twins?
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Post by jchang on May 12, 2014 1:02:57 GMT -5
I would rather have Holt fill any short term unexpected needs, and stick to the plan for Mookie, possibly a Sep csll up or sometime in 2015.
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Post by jchang on May 4, 2014 12:05:55 GMT -5
If we had offered Salty a 3-yr, Vazquez would replace Ross as backup in 2015, Swihart would spend 2014 in AA, 2015 in AAA, so it would only be 2016 in which we might have 3 catchers. If Vazquez spent most of 2015 in MLB, he would still have an option, and Swihart would have 2. Swapping Salty for AJ should have been viewed as a downgrade. Oh well.
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Post by jchang on May 4, 2014 11:37:10 GMT -5
Even during Shaw's mediocre 2013 + 2012 AA, both his OBP and SLG were above average. So the question is whether his recent surge just SSS, or is it because if of his new batting technique (leg kick?) and whether his recent performance projects to the MLB level. I would say that Shaw is good enough to warrant grade 3 - up and down player, with an upside of 4. The big question is going forward, will he have above average BA or the Mookie-esque BA of his last 14 games?
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Post by jchang on May 4, 2014 10:42:41 GMT -5
Time to notice Travis Shaw's resurgence. second this, I am willing to be patient on exactly where Shaw should be ranked, and would settle for the temporary up arrow placeholder
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Post by jchang on May 3, 2014 19:21:29 GMT -5
Ah, I did not realized Owens and Mookie don't need to be added for another year. It would be nice if Shaw has a stellar year and gets added to the 40 man. On the other topic of today, I think Owens is OK. Last year, Owens was pulled early from several games when he got rung up for runs. This year he has managed to grind out 5 IP even if he gave up runs. This is as important in a starting pitcher as having stellar stats and outings. For 21/almost 22 year old pitcher to be doing even just OK in AA is a big deal. Everything still points to a 4/5 starter with upside of 3, which runs $12M/yr in a free agent.
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Post by jchang on May 3, 2014 18:30:53 GMT -5
At the beginning of the season, I was hoping that Shaw would do well enough this year that he could be viewed as an adequate AAA depth player. At this pace he might make the 40-man roster at the end of the year, or he might be in the gap between good enough to be taken in the Rule 5, but below 40-man. There were already 5 from the 2011 draft that will need to be on the 40-man, now there may be another 2. But I suppose this a good problem to have.
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Post by jchang on Apr 29, 2014 18:32:00 GMT -5
What is a slump? For Mookie?
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Post by jchang on Apr 29, 2014 18:27:30 GMT -5
I would rather keep Mookie. But people keep talking trade. So that is what value i put on Mookie.
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Post by jchang on Apr 29, 2014 18:08:12 GMT -5
That's why I think nookie for Stanton plus Fernandez is generous on our part
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Post by jchang on Apr 29, 2014 12:48:16 GMT -5
in a sense, the only thing that counts is a ticket to the big leagues
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Post by jchang on Apr 29, 2014 11:43:30 GMT -5
Ranaudo with a complete game shutout? (of the 5IP variety)
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Post by jchang on Apr 27, 2014 17:11:00 GMT -5
I don't see how this can be considered anything other than a successful outing by Ball. The deciding reason he probably will not come out for the sixth is that he has been sitting too long waiting for the 5th to be over.
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Post by jchang on Apr 27, 2014 15:39:03 GMT -5
its called intangibles
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Post by jchang on Apr 27, 2014 14:24:53 GMT -5
Ruby also came back after a bad inning to give 2 more IP. At the beginning of 2012, Owens typical outing was 3 quick innings of mostly SO, then he would get hit in the 4th. Not a great or even good stat line, but it was clear that there was stuff that might be developed into something. So I think we should just look to see if there is potential, regardless of the stat line.
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Post by jchang on Apr 27, 2014 13:48:35 GMT -5
This was an important outing for Owens. Got rung up for runs early, but hung tough to still get 5IP to spare the pen to some degree (ie, versus only getting 2-3 IP).
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Post by jchang on Apr 27, 2014 12:59:00 GMT -5
Coyle is up into the top 20, from 20-something, but not mentioned above. My take is that he has great bat skills, but tries too hard to prove he can hit HR's, that ultimately takes a toll on the body, resulting in poor BA after a hard slugging streak. I think the same principle applies to other little guys. High BA/OBP from defensive positions has just as much as slugging from the corner OF, so I hope somebody stresses this to Coyle.
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Post by jchang on Apr 26, 2014 7:16:29 GMT -5
Shaw has gotten his ba up. Obp was always good. 3 singles last night. Upside of triple a depth?
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Post by jchang on Apr 23, 2014 8:58:27 GMT -5
Why can't you lets us dream that we found the bush on fire that does not burn?
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Post by jchang on Apr 22, 2014 20:32:54 GMT -5
darn!, Mookie gets on 4 times. I called for 3.
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