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Post by greatscottcooper on Feb 6, 2024 8:38:07 GMT -5
I keep on trying to decipher who the Sox are going to sign by who is left and who is still looking for pitching. I'm left with, the Sox are holding out for Montgomery, who is holding out for Texas to see if they can give him more money. If they don't get him they move on to Clevinger, but there's also this growing feeling in me that it's going to be no one, they're not signing anyone else.
I don't really think that, I think another starter gets added by opening day but....I don't really know anything who knows.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Feb 3, 2024 11:30:06 GMT -5
I do all the hiring for my company, so I'd like to think I have some valuable input here. Yes, It's not the Boston Red Sox but I feel it's still relevant. I put ads out on various sites such as Indeed. Every single person who applies for the job applied for the job. Every single person I decide to interview expressed interest in my company first. I can imagine that if I didn't hire that way, but rather I went out of my way to try and poach people who already had jobs and aren't actively out shopping for other positions I would get a lot of no's. What precedent to we really have to judge whether or not the amount of people declining to interview was above or below average. Maybe there's one I'm not thinking of that's an apples to apples comparission, but I'm guessing there is NOT one. The narrative that "no one wanted the job" was one that I believe was completely invented by the media. Negativity sells. I do this as well. What you're saying is true. It costs more to poach for sure. The problem is that some of these people are without contract and in the "job market". Some of these candidates, the Sox job would be considered a promotion. Negativity sells and usually the media reports would be BS, however isn't it strange how they've more or less been on the money with this offseason? People knew the Sox weren't spending back in November when we were all getting amped up about adding at worst 2 starters. I don't find it that strange at all, predicting that a 78 win team who has openly said they're not spending, has a history of not spending on pitchers over 30 isn't exactly an earth shattering prediction. Must people saw this coming, the lone exception to me was Yamamoto, who I thought the Sox would/should go big for, but know it's obviously that pretty much no one other than the Dodgers really had a chance.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Feb 3, 2024 11:16:59 GMT -5
This post is the definition of editorializing and making things up. So Henry didn't sign Devers the day after the Winter Classic? Multiple GM candidates didn't decline to interview with Boston? The spend hasn't been trending downward? I must be mistaken then. Its okay to call out ownership. I don't think you'll offend JWH. Hell he probably doesn't even know anyone on this team outside of Devers. If we've literally heard reports about this team that they need to move Jansen or Yoshi to make a move, that again is not a Breslow thing. This team is better with a Montgomery/Jansen combination than just Montgomery and prospects. Again none of this inactivity should fall on Breslow, just like the inability to spend the last couple of years should fall on Bloom. People in baseball know stuff. The writing was on the wall when multiple people declined to interview. The Sox job is viewed as a no win situation and unstable. Infact I think that was an anonymous quote. So normally you take those things with a grain of salt, but all of these reports from reporters this offseason have been correct. Its just that this board is kind of moving into the acceptance stage and trying to cope. I do all the hiring for my company, so I'd like to think I have some valuable input here. Yes, It's not the Boston Red Sox but I feel it's still relevant. I put ads out on various sites such as Indeed. Every single person who applies for the job applied for the job. Every single person I decide to interview expressed interest in my company first. I can imagine that if I didn't hire that way, but rather I went out of my way to try and poach people who already had jobs and aren't actively out shopping for other positions I would get a lot of no's. What precedent to we really have to judge whether or not the amount of people declining to interview was above or below average. Maybe there's one I'm not thinking of that's an apples to apples comparission, but I'm guessing there is NOT one. The narrative that "no one wanted the job" was one that I believe was completely invented by the media. Negativity sells.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Feb 3, 2024 10:43:42 GMT -5
In Pete Abe's piece this morning in the Globe, he mentions near the end that he sees Epstein and Kennedy as principal owners of the team at some point in the future. The idea of two Brookline kids blowing off homework to go see Silence of the Lambs and talking about how mad they're going to get seeing Dwight Evans wearing an Orioles jersey while having no idea that they'd both eventually own the Red Sox is pretty cool. Every bit of reporting I've seen hints at Kennedy's frustration with Henry and Werner. Anyone know if Theo joining would actually impact cash flow and financial "flexibility" given the amalgamation of resources. I honestly have no idea how that part works when a new minority owner is brought in. Would be pretty sweet if it would give them the juice to spend up to the tax threshold, but, again, I have no idea if that's moot. I really really doubt Theo joining affects budgets and/or payroll at all outside of any strategic guidance he provides. He’s definitely rich, but not independently own and/or finance a baseball team rich. I agree with this, in general. Theo shouldn't be running the Sox, otherwise they should have hired him to be the POBO. Maybe this is pure conjecture on my part but I also don't think a budget is set in stone on this team, it's more amorphous with the ability to expand or contract under the right circumstances; pretty much the entire past under this ownership proves this so maybe it's not conjecture. I'm certain there are circumstances that a GM/POBO, even those who are generally given free reign to run a team, have to go to the owner to ask for more money. "Hey, I know the budget was set at 200 million, but this guy might put us over the top and adds value for the next 5 years, and we can stay under the cap or reset next year" I view Theo as being the guy who is the one to say yes or no in that situation on behalf of John Henry. I don't think John Henry doesn't care about this team, and I also think he understands that he can't just make money in perputuity based on past success, and I do think he understands that investing in the team can ultimately lead to higher net income. But perhaps this move is an admittance that he doesn't have the time anymore to be that man for this team with everything else he was going on with FSG. I view Theo as being the guy who SHOULD be approving big time decisions such as going after Ohtani, dishing out the money to extend Mookie Betts, going over the luxury tax at the deadline to make a championship run etc etc. Theo is in a better position to evaluate those decisions than John Henry is, and If I'm right on this then it's a very good sign that John Henry trusts Theo Epstein in this capacity. Side Note. I have a 5 year old son named Theo. Yes, I partially named him after Theo Epstein. The man who helped break the curse and bring a world series to this franchise after 86 years.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Feb 1, 2024 8:20:17 GMT -5
Is Romy Gonzalez going to be a part of The Core? Probably not any more than Zack Weiss was expected to.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 30, 2024 13:38:53 GMT -5
To be fair I have seen reports that Snell prefers to play on the west coast. That was early in FA.
To be fair, that’s is not the same as saying “Snell doesn’t want to come here”. Two different statements.
Snell is going to whoever offers him the most money. That West coast preference might matter if he’s weighing two similar offers
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 30, 2024 12:16:44 GMT -5
I think the Sox are signing Duvall , I’m good with the lineup , we need to sign Montgomery somehow , dudes got no options and his price has to be dropping money or years wise I'm skepitcal, because Boras seems to come out on top even when you don't think he will, but part of me does believe the price for Montgomery is falling. If true, the same very well may also be true for Snell. My preference is Montgomery, but if the prices are falling the appeal of that upside SNell offers becomes pretty intriguing for me.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 30, 2024 8:41:56 GMT -5
Toronto fans are crying about this move on twitter. JT would have been one of their best hitters last year.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 29, 2024 9:50:58 GMT -5
I'll wager $5 that if the Red Sox end up signing Snell or Montgomery some will complain about the price tag and say that they overpaid because they freaked out and made a show me move.
This all has to end in a couple weeks right? certainly Boras won't take BOTH these guys far into spring training, right? dear god please tell me I'm right!
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 27, 2024 12:29:43 GMT -5
That Montgomery projection suggests something like a 3/65 contract is fair value. I'd be pretty surprised if the Sox weren't willing to offer a deal along those lines. Every team is making the same spreadsheets, and it doesn't look like Montgomery is going to inspire anyone to do something nutty. Maybe the Sox have a disappointing but leading offer. Montgomery already lives in Boston and doesn't need any time to get settled domestically, so he doesn't really have any pressure to accept until spring training is starting. He helpfully also has super insider knowledge on the Sox negotiations with nearly every other pitcher available. I think that AAV might be spot on or close to it, but someone is giving Montgomery more than 3 years, and I'd even be willing to guess someone is giving him at least 5.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 23, 2024 12:37:45 GMT -5
"Hoping to be competitive" is very different from "expecting to be competitive", but it is a lot like hoping Mayer, Anthony, and Teel will have the impact of the three Bs. Hey, it could happen! Let's just sit back and find out. Actually I don't think those things are very much alike at all. Expecting to be competitive is fair to command from the vantage point of a fanbase in a town like Boston. Prospects are always going to be prospects. You should always be hoping they pan out even if you're the LA Dodgers or the Pittsburgh Pirates.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 16, 2024 16:30:38 GMT -5
I wouldn't say I agree with this (they were 2 games away from the World Series literally two years ago, and botched two straight trade deadlines where they were in the mix for the playoffs), but I can understand if someone feels this way. Honestly I wish we could just start spring training now- new additions or not. Let me talk myself into Trevor Story being healthy and Andrew Bailey teaching Giolito how to use Spidertack again without detection helping the pitching staff take a leap. We've invested so much time on here thinking about/speculating on new players and moves, and the result is across baseball there's been like one move a week lol. Can Chris and Ian do us a solid and get a pod out soon so that we can be assured of some breaking news after they finish recording? I’d agree with his tweet, but it’s not Breslows fault the team has failed the past 4 years (with all respect to the 2021 season). He hasn’t even had one full offseason, one game played, one trade deadline, or one draft yet. Yet people are already coming up with nick names about Breslow. If he’s perfectly capable of turning this team around, it looks an awful lot like many are not going to give him any chance. To some extent, Breslow is going to have to shoulder the burden of a cynical fan base reeling over the failures of his predecessor, and his bosses. I’m certainly not the voice of reason, and I don’t try to pretend that my way of being a fan is best, but I’d like to at least give this guy a chance.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 15, 2024 11:03:24 GMT -5
Do pitchers ever get 7 figure bonuses? They gave Anderson Espinoza and Christopher Acosta 1.8 and 1.5 million each one year, I believe that was about 10 years ago.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 13, 2024 12:53:36 GMT -5
The Mets/Red Sox tweet seems like either a nothing report from someone not reputable, or a leak from Boras trying to leverage other teams. Seems pretty evident the Red Sox, and especially the Mets, are not that interested in Snell. I don’t think either team has any interest if his ask is still in the $200 mil range. A lot of people think the Red Sox have no real interest, and are unwilling to spend big. If this is true, why would using the Sox as leverage actually create any leverage at this point? Boras is a smart guy.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 13, 2024 10:07:09 GMT -5
It may be too much to ask of such a young player, but if Grissom hits as well as advertised, he feels like a good lead off hitter in this team. And that sets the lineup up great with Casas/Devers 2/4
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 12, 2024 13:50:36 GMT -5
Highlights from Alex Speier's new article in the Boston Globe: - Red Sox offered Imanaga a 2 year deal (more guaranteed money than Cubs) with potential for 2 vesting years
- Red Sox unlikely to acquire Montgomery or Snell
- Ryu and Clevinger mentioned as possible FA targets
- Red Sox remain interested in trading for a SP with control for multiple years but have shown no willingness to part with Mayer/Anthony/Teel
- Front office does not see this as the time to consider deals involving elite prospects
- Duran/Rafaela/Abreu/Houck mentioned as MLB players and Yorke/Bleis as MiLB players that could be packaged for a SP
- Further additions will more likely improve depth and reliability of the rotation (i.e., middle or back end)
- Red Sox will rely heavily on the team's ability to help pitchers develop beyond 2023 levels
Should just look at signing players they could possibly flip at the deadline at this point. I get why people think this is a viable strategy, and it's not that I'm against because I'm all for creative ways to bring talent into the organization. But if it pays off for some of them then.....you might not want to be sellers.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 10, 2024 16:40:40 GMT -5
It’s pretty hilarious that they scrapped the town hall at winter weekend and are replacing it with a Papelbon talk show. Hope Pap is getting a nice payday to be the ownership punching bag for an hour or so. This is such a bad look. Claim there is a covid outbreak in the FO or something. But to just pull the plug, especially when last year went sideways. This is ugly and inexcusable. As the majority owner of a corporation (much smaller than FSG) I've been in some really really rough spots. I have found when you're in a shitty situation that people respect you a lot more when you level with them and are 100% open and honest. Your people know what's going on, and they don't like being lied to. They're stake holders, just like we are to FSG. I would feel much better about it if they just came out and said "we still believe in our model, we believe in the plan, we just did a very bad job of executing it the last few years" I'd then go on to highlight all the good things going on, such as the state of the farm, the youngsters on the roster, and what we plan on doing with all the changes to bring in more pitching talent over the long run. Sure, they'd get boo'd, there's always going to be that out there, but a lot more poeple would respect them if they'd do that.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 9, 2024 13:27:40 GMT -5
It sounds like Imanaga has told all the remaining teams that they need to significantly increase their offer to have a chance and they're all calling his bluff. Not expecting this contract to be impressive. How long until he threatens to go back to Japan? I still think all teams would call his bluff, even if not given the money he is asking for he is likely being offered far more than he will make in Japan and he gets to play on the biggest stage. At the very least….it’s not like we have to wait much longer to see what happens
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 8, 2024 8:15:03 GMT -5
I'm not going to pretend I know what the heck is going on, but I wonder if the Sox would sign Soler to be more of a DH type? Yes, I know he has played some right field, maybe the Sox think he can round out to be a good LF and trade Yoshida but that's not the rabbit hole I'm going to go down right now.
If healhty, and a full 500 at bats, I think Soler offers more upside than Teoscar. I never really liked it when people had mentioned going after Soler in the past, but the more I think about him....the more I don't hate it.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 7, 2024 14:49:45 GMT -5
Why be in on Taylor or Bader when we have Rafaela? Doesn’t even make sense If you think there’s still development in the bar at the AAA level it’s beneficial to get him everyday reps there and buy a 4th RHH outfielder on the cheap. If Rafaela can never really hit well he will still be a 4th outfielder, maybe a defense first starter next year. But if there’s a chance he’s more, and he has room to grow. It’s the right move. If he takes a step forward, I suspect he will be starting games by August regardless
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 6, 2024 14:08:57 GMT -5
Breslow would look like a genius if he waited out the market and got Montgomery for something like 140/6.
Still, I have to believe there are either more teams out there than being reported that are in in these free agents. Including many of the teams that we are presuming may be done spending.
Man I feel gullible. The last page in this thread has me hoping right back on the “we are getting Montgomery and Imanaga”
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 5, 2024 15:38:40 GMT -5
If the Sox unload Yoshida, I wouldn't mind Turner back on a 1 year deal.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 4, 2024 17:00:57 GMT -5
Blake snell is a Fornite expert.... I see zero evidence that this is NOT Blake Snell.
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 4, 2024 16:56:01 GMT -5
Bader would have been the perfect guy to platoon with Duran/Abreu in CF/RF Did Tyler O’Neill die?? This made me laugh, I did forget about him. I still would have been fine with 10/1 but it’s not this move is moving the needle much. I’m not dying on this hill
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Post by greatscottcooper on Jan 4, 2024 15:07:02 GMT -5
Bader would have been the perfect guy to platoon with Duran/Abreu in CF/RF Isn't that Refsnyder's role? Bader was better against LHP last year, but Refsnyder was still really good, and in 2022 Refsnyder was much better than Bader. Also $10M, no thanks. Refsnyder can’t play CF/RF. Bader career OPS .824 vs LHP vs Refsnyder .757 If used correctly against LHP he’s a better player both offensively and defensively. And it’s 1 year ten million. Literally peanuts.
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